Our community expected win total creeps back over six this week. Using our GRT Expected Win Total Machine, we’ve got Tennessee’s projected regular season win total at 6.06 this week. That’s up from 5.94 last week, which followed 6.74 in preseason and 6.60 after Bowling Green. Even if the Vols […]
Author: Will Shelton
Opportunity is something something
Two years ago this week, the Vols headed to Gainesville after losing to Georgia State and BYU. In the middle of that week, it looked like the line in Vegas might become the second-worst of the then 30 years Tennessee and Florida had met consecutively. It settled at +12.5 by […]
Expected Win Total Machine – Week 4
Here’s where we’ve stood heading into the first three Saturdays of the year in expected win totals: Week 1: 6.74 wins Week 2: 6.60 Week 3: 5.94 The Vols had no problem with Tennessee Tech, but are still more of a mystery than we were counting on after three weeks. […]
Look out, it’s the tight end!
Last season, Princeton Fant caught 12 passes for 103 yards. Jacob Warren had six for 73, a grand tight end total of 18 catches for 176 yards. This season, in two games between them: 11 catches for 112 yards. Those 11 catches currently represent 35% of Tennessee’s total receptions, a […]
Expected Win Total Machine – Week 3
With the loss to Pitt, it’s a pretty safe bet that our community expected win total is going south of 7 after rounding up. We’ve spent the first two weeks at 6.74 and 6.60, but now the real question will be how many of us will dip into the 5’s […]
We got this thermometer at the gas station, are you sure it works?
What is the most important piece of information from this game? Tennessee’s offense lost its starting quarterback midway through the second quarter, its 1B tailback to health protocols, its 1A tailback after eight carries, a starting wide receiver on the second possession, and its starting center to an ankle sprain […]
Run/Pass Ratio with QB Uncertainty under Heupel
Our community Expected Win Total Machine has the Vols at 6.60 projected wins this week, down just a hair from 6.74 a week ago. This reflects the conversations I bet you’ve had this week: yeah, we won by 32, but it didn’t look great all the time. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh got […]
The Baseline Reading
The Vols opened +1.5 against Pittsburgh, making Saturday’s contest an excellent initial reading for the program Josh Heupel is seeking to build. Many of us have talked about how it feels like Lane Kiffin’s Week 2 test against UCLA a dozen years ago – more on that in a moment […]
Expected Win Total Machine: Week 2
The question this week: will our community expected win total for the Vols, at 6.74 going into Bowling Green, go down even in 32-point victory? Will it stay north of 6.5 wins, or will 6-6 become our most likely outcome? Expected win total is about us, but it’s also about […]
Tennessee 38 Bowling Green 6: Scanning the Radio Dial
So much of what happened last night was new. The question, which was never going to be answered last night, is how much of it will be better. Josh Heupel’s offense snapped the ball 88 times. The last time we saw Tennessee play against Texas A&M last December, they snapped […]