It’s just hard to know what to expect, at least for me. What’s an appropriate level of cynicism after all these years? What are healthy boundaries around our hearts: still beating orange blood, but hey, our doctor said to take it easy? Even after last week. And even after last […]
Author: Will Shelton
Tennessee vs South Carolina Preview: Earning the Expectation
It’s been easy, in hindsight, to frame a lot of last week as, “LOL Mizzou’s defense.” I’ve done it too. And now, that’s leading us head first into, “LOL Carolina’s offense,” on the front end this week. And sure: take away pick sixes, and the Gamecock offense scored 13 points […]
The Value of Early Faith (and how long it lasts)
The good vibes live on into Wednesday, the non-stop highlight reel of last Saturday turning the corner to reframe a visit from the Gamecocks this week. The Vols are -10.5 as I type. In the last four meetings, the Vols have been -2.5, +9, +4, and -4.5 last year. What […]
Expected Win Total Machine – Week 6
And now for the fun part: There’s a reason we wait til Mondays on these things: not too high, not too low, etc. But I’m very curious to see where our community will land after Saturday’s beat down. In addition, our next two opponents didn’t exactly cover themselves in glory. […]
More Year One Context: Vols in SP+ Ratings
It’s early, but these Vols are playing at a higher level than we’ve seen for much of this attempted rebuild.
Tennessee 62 Missouri 24: Announce my presence with authority
Context is king, but it’s hard to find after this one my friends.
Tennessee at Missouri Preview: October Tells The Story
Our community expected win total lands at 5.92 this week. Through four weeks of the season, Tennessee has been incredibly steady as it relates to expectations. The biggest difference we’ve seen in expected win totals was losing a 50/50 game to Pittsburgh: In our three games vs FBS competition, the […]
Defense: Bend ‘Til They Break, etc.
The thing Tennessee was worst at last season was allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.2% of their passes, 125th of 127 teams that played. After Emory Jones went 21-of-27, we’re not seeing grand improvement in this category: opposing quarterbacks have now hit 64% of their passes against the Vols this […]
Expected Win Total Machine – Week 5
So, this is a much less reliable week because we’re unsure of the situation at quarterback, at least until Josh Heupel speaks today at noon. And, if it’s like last week, we’re not likely to know who’s going to start against Missouri until kickoff. If it’s not Hendon Hooker, that […]
Are we in it?
In the weeks leading up to the season the last two years, we’ve put Tennessee’s outlook into tiers based on SP+ projections. Leading up to 2020, for instance, the most common comparisons were Tennessee teams you felt like had a realistic chance to have a shot every game. For this […]