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2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine: Community expectations heading into Florida Week

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The Vols entered a scheduled bye week on October 31st with a 2-3 record, then lost a game on November 7th. Then they had a postponement on the 14th and lost again on the 21st. And then another postponement on the 28th, and now 7-1 Florida comes to 2-5 Tennessee. Here’s how our community expectations are looking as of the Sunday before Florida Week:

If you’d like to add to that, fill out the form below, and we’ll update it this Friday, assuming the game is still on at that point.

The 2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine

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Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
2 months ago

at South Carolina: 65%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 45%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 75%

Florida: 45%

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
2 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

after week 1, I’m up to 5.95 wins

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
1 month ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

after week 3, up to 6.00 wins

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
1 month ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

And, down to 4.55 wins after week 4

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
1 month ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

Down to 4.40 after Alabama… sigh

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
27 days ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

4.50 after the bye. I guess I’m feeling more hopeful today lol

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
22 days ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

3.23 after Arkansas. It hurts.

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
5 days ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

And, 2.88 after Auburn. A disappointing year, but I swear there is a good team somewhere in there. QB play has really crushed this team.

Isaac Bishop
Isaac Bishop
2 months ago

at South Carolina: 70%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

5.5 wins

I could live with 6 wins.

5 would be my minimum satisfied amount. 7 would exceed expectations.

Isaac Bishop
Isaac Bishop
2 months ago
Reply to  Isaac Bishop

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 30%

5.9 wins

Feel better about UGA, A&M. Feel worse about Bama. UK, Aubie, and UF hold firm.

Mizzou, Vandy, Arky has slight movement. Nothing to worry me yet.

Last edited 2 months ago by Isaac Bishop
Harley
Harley
2 months ago

Your expected win total is 5.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 70%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

I hope I am wrong by a lot… Go Vols!

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
2 months ago

5.10

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 55%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 50%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
1 month ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 6.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 60%

at Auburn: 60%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 40%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
1 month ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 5.80.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 65%

Texas A&M: 55%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
1 month ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 4.45.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 50%

Texas A&M: 35%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 25%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
6 days ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 2.90.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 65%

Florida: 10%

Texas A&M: 15%

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
2 months ago

I’m at 5.99 wins; I think we can pull out the other .01. As we mentioned on the podcast, with only conference games and the Vols playing 10/13 possible opponents, one team looking bad comes at the expense of another opponent looking good. The most noteworthy game of the weekend (LSU/MSU) was one of the few that will have no bearing on Tennessee at all.

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 69%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 87%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 88%

Florida: 27%

Andrew Cooper
Andrew Cooper
2 months ago

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 45%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

Harley
Harley
2 months ago

Your expected win total is 5.70.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

Preseason = 5.6… now at 5.7. Mostly the SC win at 100. Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
1 month ago

Your expected win total is 5.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

Down from 5.6 last week. Probably overly negative, but assumes JG continues at QB and the OL and Defense is average at best. Go Vols!

Andrew Cooper
Andrew Cooper
1 month ago

Your expected win total is 6.10.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 80%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 50%

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
1 month ago

I’m at 5.8 after Georgia.

Harley
Harley
1 month ago

Your expected win total is 4.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 30%

Well it’s not getting any better. Sigh… hope I am wrong. Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
1 month ago

AFTER ALABAMA

Your expected win total is 4.00.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 70%

Florida: 10%

Sigh… I see struggles down the road unless miracles happen during the bye week… Go Vols!

Last edited 1 month ago by Harley
Harley
Harley
29 days ago

Win Total “After Bye”… sticking with 4.0 Total entered “After Alabama”. Not enough new information to change. The Arkansas game and any adjustments will have a huge impact going forward. Go Vols!

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
29 days ago

I’m at 4.4 after the bye:

at Arkansas: 54%

Texas A&M: 38%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 25%

Harley
Harley
22 days ago

Your expected win total is 2.85.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

Texas A&M: 10%

at Auburn: 20%

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 5%

Unfortunately, I see chaos, no leadership and poor game planning in this team. This is an especially disappointing loss following 2 weeks of prep. My expectations for this season is at a low point. But, I still “bleed orange”… Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
22 days ago
Reply to  Harley

Above total is After Arkansas

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
22 days ago

I did this in my head last night after the Arkansas loss and was at 2.75…I’ve warmed to 3.00 by Sunday afternoon.

Harley
Harley
7 days ago

After Auburn.

Your expected win total is 2.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 05%

Texas A&M: 05%

It ain’t pretty… Go Vols!

Last edited 7 days ago by Harley