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2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine: Community expectations just prior to Florida

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Here’s how our community expectations are looking as of the Friday before the Vols take on Florida:

We’ll open the thing back up for submissions the Sunday after the game.

The 2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine

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37 Comments
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Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
5 months ago

at South Carolina: 65%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 45%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 75%

Florida: 45%

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
5 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

after week 1, I’m up to 5.95 wins

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

after week 3, up to 6.00 wins

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

And, down to 4.55 wins after week 4

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

Down to 4.40 after Alabama… sigh

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
4 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

4.50 after the bye. I guess I’m feeling more hopeful today lol

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
3 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

3.23 after Arkansas. It hurts.

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
3 months ago
Reply to  Sam Hensley

And, 2.88 after Auburn. A disappointing year, but I swear there is a good team somewhere in there. QB play has really crushed this team.

Isaac Bishop
Isaac Bishop
5 months ago

at South Carolina: 70%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

5.5 wins

I could live with 6 wins.

5 would be my minimum satisfied amount. 7 would exceed expectations.

Isaac Bishop
Isaac Bishop
5 months ago
Reply to  Isaac Bishop

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 30%

5.9 wins

Feel better about UGA, A&M. Feel worse about Bama. UK, Aubie, and UF hold firm.

Mizzou, Vandy, Arky has slight movement. Nothing to worry me yet.

Last edited 5 months ago by Isaac Bishop
Harley
Harley
5 months ago

Your expected win total is 5.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 70%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

I hope I am wrong by a lot… Go Vols!

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
5 months ago

5.10

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 55%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 50%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 6.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 60%

at Auburn: 60%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 40%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 5.80.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 65%

Texas A&M: 55%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 4.45.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 50%

Texas A&M: 35%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 25%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
3 months ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 2.90.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 65%

Florida: 10%

Texas A&M: 15%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
3 months ago
Reply to  Jayyyy

2.85 going into florida, bleh

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
5 months ago

I’m at 5.99 wins; I think we can pull out the other .01. As we mentioned on the podcast, with only conference games and the Vols playing 10/13 possible opponents, one team looking bad comes at the expense of another opponent looking good. The most noteworthy game of the weekend (LSU/MSU) was one of the few that will have no bearing on Tennessee at all.

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 69%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 87%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 88%

Florida: 27%

Andrew Cooper
Andrew Cooper
5 months ago

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 45%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

Harley
Harley
5 months ago

Your expected win total is 5.70.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

Preseason = 5.6… now at 5.7. Mostly the SC win at 100. Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
4 months ago

Your expected win total is 5.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

Down from 5.6 last week. Probably overly negative, but assumes JG continues at QB and the OL and Defense is average at best. Go Vols!

Andrew Cooper
Andrew Cooper
4 months ago

Your expected win total is 6.10.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 80%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 50%

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
4 months ago

I’m at 5.8 after Georgia.

Harley
Harley
4 months ago

Your expected win total is 4.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 30%

Well it’s not getting any better. Sigh… hope I am wrong. Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
4 months ago

AFTER ALABAMA

Your expected win total is 4.00.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 70%

Florida: 10%

Sigh… I see struggles down the road unless miracles happen during the bye week… Go Vols!

Last edited 4 months ago by Harley
Harley
Harley
4 months ago

Win Total “After Bye”… sticking with 4.0 Total entered “After Alabama”. Not enough new information to change. The Arkansas game and any adjustments will have a huge impact going forward. Go Vols!

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
4 months ago

I’m at 4.4 after the bye:

at Arkansas: 54%

Texas A&M: 38%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 25%

Harley
Harley
3 months ago

Your expected win total is 2.85.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

Texas A&M: 10%

at Auburn: 20%

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 5%

Unfortunately, I see chaos, no leadership and poor game planning in this team. This is an especially disappointing loss following 2 weeks of prep. My expectations for this season is at a low point. But, I still “bleed orange”… Go Vols!

Harley
Harley
3 months ago
Reply to  Harley

Above total is After Arkansas

Will Shelton
Will Shelton
3 months ago

I did this in my head last night after the Arkansas loss and was at 2.75…I’ve warmed to 3.00 by Sunday afternoon.

Harley
Harley
3 months ago

After Auburn.

Your expected win total is 2.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 05%

Texas A&M: 05%

It ain’t pretty… Go Vols!

Last edited 3 months ago by Harley