Here’s how our community expectations are looking as of the Friday before the Vols take on Florida:
We’ll open the thing back up for submissions the Sunday after the game.
2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine: Community expectations just prior to Florida
More in Expected Win Totals:
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Hat Guy’s expectations for the Vols’ 2023 season: UPDATED (post-Georgia)
November 20, 2023
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Hat Guy’s expectations for the Vols’ 2023 season: UPDATED (post-UConn)
October 30, 2023
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Hat Guy’s expectations for the Vols’ 2023 season: UPDATED (post-Alabama)
October 25, 2023
at South Carolina: 65%
Missouri: 75%
at Georgia: 35%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 25%
at Arkansas: 85%
Texas A&M: 45%
at Auburn: 50%
at Vanderbilt: 75%
Florida: 45%
after week 1, I’m up to 5.95 wins
after week 3, up to 6.00 wins
And, down to 4.55 wins after week 4
Down to 4.40 after Alabama… sigh
4.50 after the bye. I guess I’m feeling more hopeful today lol
3.23 after Arkansas. It hurts.
And, 2.88 after Auburn. A disappointing year, but I swear there is a good team somewhere in there. QB play has really crushed this team.
at South Carolina: 70%
Missouri: 80%
at Georgia: 20%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 30%
at Arkansas: 90%
Texas A&M: 40%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Florida: 30%
5.5 wins
I could live with 6 wins.
5 would be my minimum satisfied amount. 7 would exceed expectations.
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 85%
at Georgia: 35%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 20%
at Arkansas: 85%
Texas A&M: 50%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Florida: 30%
5.9 wins
Feel better about UGA, A&M. Feel worse about Bama. UK, Aubie, and UF hold firm.
Mizzou, Vandy, Arky has slight movement. Nothing to worry me yet.
Your expected win total is 5.60.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 60%
Missouri: 80%
at Georgia: 20%
Kentucky: 70%
Alabama: 10%
at Arkansas: 90%
Texas A&M: 70%
at Auburn: 30%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Florida: 40%
I hope I am wrong by a lot… Go Vols!
5.10
at South Carolina: 60%
Missouri: 70%
at Georgia: 25%
Kentucky: 55%
Alabama: 20%
at Arkansas: 75%
Texas A&M: 30%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Florida: 50%
Your expected win total is 6.20.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: 25%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 15%
at Arkansas: 75%
Texas A&M: 60%
at Auburn: 60%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Florida: 40%
Your expected win total is 5.80.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 20%
at Arkansas: 65%
Texas A&M: 55%
at Auburn: 50%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Florida: 40%
Your expected win total is 4.45.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: 15%
at Arkansas: 50%
Texas A&M: 35%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 25%
Your expected win total is 2.90.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: %
at Auburn: %
at Vanderbilt: 65%
Florida: 10%
Texas A&M: 15%
2.85 going into florida, bleh
I’m at 5.99 wins; I think we can pull out the other .01. As we mentioned on the podcast, with only conference games and the Vols playing 10/13 possible opponents, one team looking bad comes at the expense of another opponent looking good. The most noteworthy game of the weekend (LSU/MSU) was one of the few that will have no bearing on Tennessee at all.
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 85%
at Georgia: 30%
Kentucky: 69%
Alabama: 25%
at Arkansas: 87%
Texas A&M: 50%
at Auburn: 38%
at Vanderbilt: 88%
Florida: 27%
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 75%
at Georgia: 45%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 30%
at Arkansas: 70%
Texas A&M: 50%
at Auburn: 50%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 40%
Your expected win total is 5.70.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 70%
at Georgia: 30%
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 10%
at Arkansas: 90%
Texas A&M: 50%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Florida: 30%
Preseason = 5.6… now at 5.7. Mostly the SC win at 100. Go Vols!
Your expected win total is 5.20.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: 60%
Alabama: 0%
at Arkansas: 60%
Texas A&M: 40%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 40%
Down from 5.6 last week. Probably overly negative, but assumes JG continues at QB and the OL and Defense is average at best. Go Vols!
Your expected win total is 6.10.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: 70%
Alabama: 20%
at Arkansas: 80%
Texas A&M: 50%
at Auburn: 50%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Florida: 50%
I’m at 5.8 after Georgia.
AFTER KENTUCKY:
Your expected win total is 4.30.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: 5%
at Arkansas: 50%
Texas A&M: 40%
at Auburn: 45%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 10%
Explanations posting Monday morning at 6:00 a.m.
Your expected win total is 4.60.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: 0%
at Arkansas: 70%
Texas A&M: 40%
at Auburn: 40%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 30%
Well it’s not getting any better. Sigh… hope I am wrong. Go Vols!
AFTER ALABAMA
Your expected win total is 4.00.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: 60%
Texas A&M: 30%
at Auburn: 30%
at Vanderbilt: 70%
Florida: 10%
Sigh… I see struggles down the road unless miracles happen during the bye week… Go Vols!
Your expected win total is 4.00.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: 50%
Texas A&M: 35%
at Auburn: 25%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Florida: 10%
Explanation posted Monday morning at 6:00 a.m.
Explanations.
Win Total “After Bye”… sticking with 4.0 Total entered “After Alabama”. Not enough new information to change. The Arkansas game and any adjustments will have a huge impact going forward. Go Vols!
I’m at 4.4 after the bye:
at Arkansas: 54%
Texas A&M: 38%
at Auburn: 38%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Florida: 25%
Your expected win total is 2.85.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: %
Texas A&M: 10%
at Auburn: 20%
at Vanderbilt: 50%
Florida: 5%
Unfortunately, I see chaos, no leadership and poor game planning in this team. This is an especially disappointing loss following 2 weeks of prep. My expectations for this season is at a low point. But, I still “bleed orange”… Go Vols!
Above total is After Arkansas
I did this in my head last night after the Arkansas loss and was at 2.75…I’ve warmed to 3.00 by Sunday afternoon.
Your expected win total is 2.95.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: %
Texas A&M: 15%
at Auburn: 15%
at Vanderbilt: 60%
Florida: 5%
Extended explanations live here.
After Auburn.
Your expected win total is 2.60.
Your details:
at South Carolina: 100%
Missouri: 100%
at Georgia: %
Kentucky: %
Alabama: %
at Arkansas: %
at Auburn: %
at Vanderbilt: 50%
Florida: 05%
Texas A&M: 05%
It ain’t pretty… Go Vols!