Read: Tough decisions ahead for Pruitt

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from 247Sports:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Vols report card: Florida, via 247Sports
  2. Vols endure more Swamp misery in blowout loss to Florida, via 247Sports
  3. Pruitt explains Vols’ change, reviews QB play in Florida loss, via 247Sports
  4. Are Vols in for QB competition during their open date?, via 247Sports
  5. Vols ‘beat ourselves’ with offensive mistakes against Gators, via 247Sports
  6. Gators pick apart Vols’ defense for big plays in passing game, via 247Sports
  7. Rick Barnes breaks down what makes Grant Williams special, via 247Sports

Behind the paywalls

How do you structure this team for the long-term?

2019 has become about 2020; really, it’s about 2021 and beyond. If the Vols somehow find a way to get to six wins this season, we’ll rightfully celebrate it. But Tennessee’s win expectancy hovered around 4.2 on our site before the Gators won 34-3. With Georgia and Alabama still to come, Tennessee is looking at a scenario where it needs to go 5-1 against Mississippi State, South Carolina, UAB, Kentucky, Missouri, and Vanderbilt. I think the Vols can win games in that stretch to extend the conversation. But five-of-six asks for a consistency that seems beyond what this team has shown itself capable of.

There’s a mental concern too: how long will this team keep fighting at 1-3 when it seemed to fold after Guarantano got knocked out of the Missouri game last year at 5-5? Wes Rucker advocates holding out on a full-on youth movement until after the Alabama game, while playing upperclassmen with NFL futures to help their stock. Something like that could still represent progress in the back half of the season when the schedule does lighten just a bit, but you’ll still need some kind of investment from both upper-and-underclassmen for progress to show up.

As others have pointed out (including the most well-rounded take I’ve seen from Andy Staples at The Athletic), it’s a fairly simple equation for Pruitt and Tennessee in the big picture. It’s in no one’s best interests for the Vols to move on from him this season. From a competitiveness standpoint, the Vols are at the lowest point of my lifetime; we said even after BYU it’s best to measure progress from the bottom instead of to the top. It’s funny: I thought that might be a little more freeing when watching Tennessee against Florida, but so many of the mistakes still bring the same feelings of frustration.

Pushing the reset button right now just adds time to the clock. The Vols need to compete well enough, with some wins thrown in, for Pruitt to continue to recruit at a reasonable level. I’m not worried about Tennessee’s national ranking of 22 in recruiting for 2020 right now; the Vols are still at the blue chip ratio target of 50% in that class, which would make two years in a row. But with only 14 commits at the moment, will they be able to stay there or close to it as we approach the signing period? One thing slowing the process right now is the makeup of Butch Jones’ final recruiting class, when the Vols couldn’t parlay any momentum left from consecutive 9-4 ranked finishes into anything better than five blue chip players in a class of 27 in 2017.

Even before Georgia State, we thought it was true the guys who would ultimately decide Pruitt’s fate weren’t the upperclassmen on this roster. That was especially true at quarterback. Fans are going to be quick to anoint Harrison Bailey, and we’ll see. But you can at least create reasonable competition if you play Brian Maurer, whether now or after Alabama. Guarantano does have a year left, but might also find a graduate transfer situation appealing after all he’s been through.

It will always be worth pointing out that Jim Chaney has been part of the two biggest QB reclamation projects I’ve ever seen involving Tennessee players. Jonathan Crompton was 61-of-122 (50%) for 667 yards (5.5 ypa) with four touchdowns and six interceptions against UCLA, Florida, Ohio, and Auburn in 2009. And then he played himself into the NFL Draft in the second half of the season. Any conversation about Guarantano’s performance being the worst we’ve ever seen has clearly forgotten Nathan Peterman in the same venue six years earlier; Chaney was with him the first of two years at Pitt, which led to eight NFL appearances.

The difference with Guarantano is he appears to be getting worse. And with Georgia and Alabama on the horizon, the windows for improvement are shrinking.

We’re also aware a youth movement is already underway in several spots. Guys who will ultimately be involved in the big picture conversation about Pruitt – Eric Gray, multiple offensive linemen, Henry To’o To’o, most of the secondary – are already in the mix. Unfortunately, there aren’t many of those options on the defensive line, where the Vols simply are who they are: a group replacing every starter and without Emmitt Gooden that cannot generate any pressure against an SEC offensive line by themselves. The youth movement there is in high school: BJ Ojulari and Dominic Bailey join Harrison Bailey and safety Keshawn Lawrence as Tennessee’s highest-rated commits.

But you also can’t roll into 2020 expecting to make decisions about Pruitt based on what freshmen defensive linemen do in the SEC. This whole thing is going to last longer than anyone wanted to get figured out.

If Pruitt continues to recruit reasonably well, you at least let him put more talent on the roster and really see if he can grow into this job. He stays long enough to decrease the buyout and do the thing Kiffin, Dooley, and Butch Jones failed to do: leave the program in better shape than they found it.

There’s also a long-term scheduling note here, one that hasn’t paid off for Tennessee this season but might in the future. The Vols are going to be massive underdogs when they go to Oklahoma next September. But after that, there’s a relative dip in Tennessee’s schedule over the next few years. All those jokes about Tennessee and Arkansas needing to play each other for morale will come true next season when the Vols go to Fayetteville. In 2021, it’s Ole Miss in Knoxville. And the Vols will go home-and-home with Pittsburgh in 2021 and 2022, followed by the return match with BYU in Provo in 2023. There are no guarantees, but at least Pruitt isn’t facing the same scheduling gauntlet Butch Jones saw (Oregon, Oklahoma, Oklahoma, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech in the non-conference; Auburn, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Texas A&M, LSU from the SEC West).

The one assumption for this season was progress. That’s still important, it just looks a lot different. The real goal now is maintaining investment: with players, with recruits, and with fans week-to-week. Can the Vols compete enough to make us believe they have a chance to win when we turn on the TV against everyone other than Georgia and Alabama? The Vols clearly weren’t beating the Gators, but going forward you’d like to see less of four turnovers and four personal fouls and more winning and losing honestly. It’s the best way to continue to make an honest assessment of Jeremy Pruitt, and the reality of where this program is right now.

The GRT Expected Win Total Machine: Post-Florida

Use the form below to calculate your expected win total for the rest of the season.

The GRT Expected Win Total Machine


My assessment

Even a day later, I’m still feeling like the Vols really weren’t even competitive against the Gators and that the evidence is insufficient at this time to support a belief that it’s going to get better any time soon. Ugh.

Meanwhile, Mississippi State and Missouri are looking better and better, while the other remaining opponents all look good enough to lose to. Bleck.

With this week’s adjustments, I now have an expected win total of . . . 2.9, which actually feels a bit high. I guess all of those 20 and 30 percents add up to a win I’m not exactly expecting. Hurl.

  • Preseason: 6.55
  • After Week 0: 6.6
  • After Week 1: 2.87
  • After Week 2: 2.37
  • After Week 3: 3.65
  • After Week 4: 2.9

Details: I have Alabama and Georgia both at 5%, Mississippi State and Missouri at 20%, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt at 30%, and UAB as a tossup. Ugh.

Here’s a table with my expectations this week:

Tennessee Volunteers currently

Current record: 1-3 (0-1), 4th in the SEC East

The Vols’ past opponents

Georgia State Panthers

Current record: 2-2 (0-1), 5th in the Sun Belt East

BYU Cougars

Current record: 2-2 (0-0)

Chattanooga Mocs

Current record: 1-3 (0-0), 4th in the Southern Conference

Florida Gators

Current record: 4-0 (2-0), 1st in the SEC East

The Vols’ future opponents

Georgia Bulldogs

Current record: 4-0 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

Tough game against Notre Dame, but these guys pulled it out and looked good doing it against the Fighting Irish. They’re going to be a real problem for the Vols.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Current record: 3-1 (1-0), 1st in the SEC West

The Bulldogs looked good against Kentucky and made that loss to Kansas State look like a fluke. Kylin Hill is currently the SEC’s leading rusher. Ugh, this game’s looking tougher, even before you account for the Vols’ problems.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Current record: 4-0 (1-0), 1st in the SEC West

Machines.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Current record: 1-3 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Looked good against Alabama, but not so good against Missouri this week.

UAB Blazers

Current record: 3-0 (0-0), 3rd in C-USA West

Nobody schedule, but 3-0.

Kentucky Wildcats

Current record: 2-2 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Missouri Tigers

Current record: 3-1 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

Season-opening loss to Wyoming looking more and more like an anomaly.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Current record: 0-3 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Not looking good, but playing two Top 5 teams to begin the season will do that.

What about you? Where are your expectations for the Vols now?

C_hawkfan wins Week 4 of the 2019 Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em Contest

Congratulations to C_hawkfan, who finished first this week in the Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em contest with a record of 16-4 and 173 confidence points.

Here are the full results for last week:

Rank Player W-L Points Tiebreaker
1 C_hawkfan 16-4 173 18-35
2 corn from a jar 16-4 164 13-21**
2 birdjam 15-5 164 17-27
2 Jahiegel 14-6 164 16-32
5 Will Shelton 12-8 163 23-20
6 Hjohn 15-5 161 0-0
7 jeremy.waldroop 14-6 160 14-27**
7 Phonies 16-4 160 13-30
7 wedflatrock 14-6 160 17-27
7 LuckyGuess 14-6 160 17-31
7 alanmar 15-5 160 24-27
12 Anaconda 14-6 158 16-35
13 Joel @ GRT 13-7 157 20-34
14 mmmjtx 14-6 156 17-31**
14 waitwhereami 14-6 156 0-0
16 ltvol99 15-5 155 22-24**
16 Knottfair 14-6 155 21-31
18 Displaced_Vol_Fan 13-7 154 13-27**
18 ChuckieTVol 14-6 154 26-24
20 dgibbs 15-5 153 10-31**
20 daetilus 13-7 153 13-31
20 bluelite 13-7 153 21-20
23 claireb7tx 14-6 152 9-17**
23 Rossboro 14-6 152 0-0
25 joeb_1 13-7 151 17-31**
25 GeorgeMonkey 13-7 151 17-31**
25 UTSeven 13-7 151 24-23
28 PAVolFan 14-6 149 14-24**
28 tbone 14-6 149 17-24
30 Raven17 13-7 148 17-21
31 Hixson Vol1 14-6 147 27-30**
31 hounddog3 13-7 147 23-37
33 OriginalVol1814 13-7 146 17-24
34 PensacolaVolFan 13-7 145 19-15**
34 keepontruckin 13-7 145 24-20
36 TennVol95 in 3D! 12-8 144 27-21
37 jfarrar90 13-7 143 23-24**
37 Bulldog 85 14-6 143 24-23
39 TennRebel 13-7 141 10-27
40 ctull 11-9 139 14-21**
40 rsbrooks25 14-6 139 15-27
40 ga26engr 13-7 139 17-0
43 trdlgmsr 13-7 138 6-28**
43 DinnerJacket 12-8 138 17-24
43 BZACHARY 13-7 138 19-38
46 ddayvolsfan 13-7 137 17-24**
46 memphispete 13-7 137 13-35
46 HUTCH 11-9 137 13-45
46 doritoscowboy 14-6 137 0-0
50 aaron217 12-8 136 20-17**
50 Harley 12-8 136 27-24
52 boro wvvol 12-8 135 17-21
53 cnyvol 12-8 134 17-27**
53 Sam 13-7 134 13-38
55 Jayyyy 11-9 133 20-17
56 Neil Neisner 12-8 132 18-34
57 Orange Swarm 12-8 131 10-31**
57 patmd 13-7 131 17-0
59 vols95 11-9 123 17-27
60 Orange On Orange 11-9 122 30-28
61 mariettavol 8-12 117 21-20
62 Timbuktu126 11-9 114 23-26
63 VillaVol 10-10 113 8-48
64 rollervol 10-10 112 24-17
65 rockytopinKy 9-11 111 27-24
66 Wilk21 9-11 101 19-31
67 Crusher 9-11 99 31-28
68 Jrstep 10-10 93 21-20
69 Dmorton 0-20 92 0-0**
69 Aaron Birkholz 0-20 92 -
69 mmb61 0-20 92 -
69 UTVols18 0-20 92 -
69 Salty Seth 0-20 92 -
69 Teri28 0-20 92 -
69 tpi 0-20 92 -
69 If you ain’t first you’re 0-20 92 -
69 tallahasseevol 0-20 92 -
69 waltsspac 0-20 92 -
69 Willewillm 0-20 92 -
69 RockyPopPicks 0-20 92 -
69 ed75 0-20 92 -
69 BristVol 0-20 92 -
69 orange_devil87 0-20 92 -
69 VFL49er 0-20 92 -
69 ddutcher 0-20 92 -
69 Caban Greys 0-20 92 -
69 cactusvol 0-20 92 -
69 Techboy 0-20 92 -
69 JLPasour 0-20 92 -

C_hawkfan also remains in the lead for the season so far with a record of 58-22 and 682 confidence points.

Rank Player W-L % Points
1 C_hawkfan 58-22 72.50 682
2 birdjam 56-24 70.00 655
3 wedflatrock 57-23 71.25 651
4 corn from a jar 57-23 71.25 649
5 Raven17 55-25 68.75 647
6 jeremy.waldroop 54-26 67.50 644
7 Will Shelton 52-28 65.00 643
8 OriginalVol1814 56-24 70.00 641
9 GeorgeMonkey 54-26 67.50 640
10 ChuckieTVol 56-24 70.00 639
11 PAVolFan 57-23 71.25 638
12 keepontruckin 53-27 66.25 637
13 LuckyGuess 53-27 66.25 635
13 Knottfair 53-27 66.25 635
15 UTSeven 55-25 68.75 634
16 daetilus 53-27 66.25 633
16 alanmar 53-27 66.25 633
18 Displaced_Vol_Fan 53-27 66.25 632
19 joeb_1 51-29 63.75 631
19 Joel @ GRT 54-26 67.50 631
21 Hixson Vol1 56-24 70.00 628
22 jfarrar90 52-28 65.00 623
22 memphispete 54-26 67.50 623
24 DinnerJacket 53-27 66.25 622
24 hounddog3 52-28 65.00 622
26 mmmjtx 55-25 68.75 621
27 HUTCH 50-30 62.50 616
28 Phonies 54-26 67.50 613
28 Bulldog 85 53-27 66.25 613
30 TennRebel 51-29 63.75 611
31 cnyvol 51-29 63.75 608
32 Sam 54-26 67.50 607
33 trdlgmsr 51-29 63.75 599
33 dgibbs 50-30 62.50 599
35 Harley 53-27 66.25 598
35 Orange On Orange 52-28 65.00 598
37 doritoscowboy 52-28 65.00 596
38 ga26engr 54-26 67.50 595
39 ddayvolsfan 52-28 65.00 592
40 aaron217 49-31 61.25 590
41 waitwhereami 56-24 70.00 589
42 TennVol95 in 3D! 49-31 61.25 587
43 BZACHARY 52-28 65.00 584
44 boro wvvol 50-30 62.50 582
45 VillaVol 51-29 63.75 577
46 bluelite 50-30 62.50 574
47 Anaconda 41-39 51.25 573
48 rsbrooks25 52-28 65.00 572
49 ltvol99 54-26 67.50 571
50 tbone 45-35 56.25 565
50 mariettavol 48-32 60.00 565
52 Orange Swarm 48-32 60.00 563
53 Timbuktu126 45-35 56.25 543
53 Rossboro 40-40 50.00 543
55 PensacolaVolFan 49-31 61.25 540
56 Jayyyy 37-43 46.25 538
57 ctull 37-43 46.25 536
57 tpi 40-40 50.00 536
59 rollervol 48-32 60.00 534
60 Crusher 44-36 55.00 533
61 Neil Neisner 43-37 53.75 531
62 Wilk21 46-34 57.50 527
63 claireb7tx 42-38 52.50 508
64 patmd 48-32 60.00 507
65 Jahiegel 42-38 52.50 499
66 rockytopinKy 44-36 55.00 495
67 Willewillm 25-55 31.25 484
68 Jrstep 34-46 42.50 478
69 BristVol 26-54 32.50 459
70 Dmorton 27-53 33.75 456
71 Caban Greys 13-67 16.25 446
72 vols95 21-59 26.25 442
73 tallahasseevol 14-66 17.50 436
74 If you ain�t first you�re 13-67 16.25 434
74 orange_devil87 15-65 18.75 434
74 JLPasour 14-66 17.50 434
77 RockyPopPicks 21-59 26.25 426
78 Aaron Birkholz 13-67 16.25 425
79 ed75 13-67 16.25 421
80 Salty Seth 12-68 15.00 411
81 Techboy 11-69 13.75 410
82 waltsspac 11-69 13.75 407
83 cactusvol 12-68 15.00 401
84 VFL49er 4-76 5.00 350
85 Hjohn 30-50 37.50 329
86 Teri28 5-75 6.25 303
87 mmb61 0-80 0.00 302
87 ddutcher 0-80 0.00 302
87 UTVols18 0-80 0.00 302

Jayyyy gets lucky, gets the lead in the GRT Guessing Game

Here’s the play-by-play for this week.

Week 3 – Florida

Round 1

Q: Tennessee’s allowed 5 sacks this season, and Florida’s gotten 16. How many sacks does Tennessee give up? (30 points available)

A: 4 (30 points)

Only Hounddog3 got this right.

Mushrooms (5 points): Isaac Bishop and Hounddog3

Bananas (-5 points): Joel Hollingsworth and Isaac Bishop

Blue shells and bolts: 

  • No new bolts or blue shells
  • Blue Shell #2 blows up and takes out current leader Brenna for -20 points. She stays in the lead, but barely.
  • Blue Shell #3 Counter: 1
  • Blue Shell #4 Counter: 2

Top 10 after Round 1:

  1. Brenna Russell
  2. Jayyyy
  3. Mitchell K
  4. Joel Hollingsworth
  5. LTVol99
  6. daetilus
  7. cscott95
  8. Isaac Bishop
  9. HixsonVol fka MariettaVol
  10. jfarrar90

Round 2

Q: Which team gets more than its average in rushing yards? (Florida is averaging 139.7; Tennessee is averaging 176.7.) (30 points available)

A: Neither (30 points)

Nobody got this right.

Mushrooms (5 points): LTVol99 and Will Shelton

Bananas (-5 points): Jayyyy and cscott95

Blue shells and bolts: 

  • Sam Hensley throws a bolt and gets 15 points
  • No new blue shells
  • Blue Shell #3 blows up and takes out current leader Brenna for another -20 points. She falls to a tie for second and Jayyyy takes the lead.
  • Blue Shell #4 Counter: 1

Top 10 after Round 2:

  1. Jayyyy
  2. Brenna Russell
  3. Mitchell K
  4. LTVol99
  5. Joel Hollingsworth
  6. daetilus
  7. Isaac Bishop
  8. cscott95
  9. Sam Hensley
  10. HixsonVol fka MariettaVol

Round 3

Q: Which team throws the most interceptions? (30 points available)

A: Tennessee (30 points) (Vols 3, Gators 2)

Only cscott95 got this one. That jumps him ahead of Jayyyy for the lead.

Mushrooms (5 points): Jayyyy and Isaac Bishop

Bananas (-5 points): Sam Hensley and PaulS

Blue shells and bolts: 

  • No new bolts or blue shells
  • Blue Shell #4 blows up and takes out current leader . . . cscott95 for -20 points. Jayyyy breathes a sigh of relief and re-takes the lead.

Final Standings After Week 3:

Rank Player Points
1 Jayyyy 81
2 Brenna Russell 65
3 Mitchell K 65
4 LTVol99 63
5 Joel Hollingsworth 60
6 cscott95 58
7 daetilus 55
8 Isaac Bishop 54
9 HixsonVol fka MariettaVol 44
10 Will Shelton 44
11 jfarrar90 43
12 Sam Hensley 40
13 Harley 38
14 Hounddog3 35
15 Alyas Grey 33
16 Greenback42c 30
17 Gavin Driskill 25
18 Power TBP 15
19 StiflerUncut -3
20 PaulS -5

Vols lose 34-3 to the Gators: What now?

My eight-year-old and I have been bingeing our way through Little House on the Prairie for the past couple of months. I once joked to one of my college professors that that show was primarily responsible for my moral upbringing. I was kidding, but it was also kind of true, and so now I’m indoctrinating my most impressionable children.

Yes, you can predict almost everything about every episode. Carrie’s always going to fall down, Nellie’s always going to be nasty, and Mr. Edwards is always going to sing Old Dan Tucker.

And Pa is always going to lose his crop and press on anyway. We’re only three seasons in, and if memory serves, Charles has lost three crops already. The last one even caused him to sell his farm so he could move away from the present adversity in Walnut Grove back home where all of the troubled memories have been filtered out by time. Fortunately, the buyers just so happened to be the same people who’d made the mistake of selling the exact same place years ago and ended up backing out of the sale because they didn’t want the Ingalls to make the same mistake. Of course. Also, Charles finally realized that Walnut Grove was where all of his friends were. So he stayed, and he planted another crop, got back to work, and prayed another prayer for harvest.

Meanwhile, of course, Mary got sick and almost died, Carrie fell down a well and almost died, and Pa and the fine folks of Walnut Grove nearly went both dead and bankrupt trying to save and love everybody. It’s a hard life in the little house, but everybody always laughs and smiles and cries at the end.

I don’t know when we Vols fans are going to finally laugh and smile and cry tears of joy because we don’t have the foggiest idea when this episode is going to end. There is no playhead, no time-scrubber, no Kindle progress indicator. We can’t know how long this chapter is or how close to the end we are.

I do know that the crop just burned up again and memories of home are calling.

The Vols went to Gainesville Saturday hoping that some of the feel-goods from the Chattanooga game would translate into something competitive against the Gators. Tennessee was a 14-point underdog and had shown enough chinks in the armor in losses to Georgia State and BYU to relieve anyone of the burden of expecting to win in The Swamp, but one expectation was still alive and well heading into Week 4: Be competitive and show some improvement.

Hail. Fire. Drought. The crop’s gone. Again.

These Vols are not getting better. They lost 34-3 to the Gators. They had 12 first downs to Florida’s 25. Their fourth-year quarterback — who’s started most of his 24 games — passed for 107 yards and zero touchdowns with two interceptions before getting benched while the Gators rolled out a guy who’d never started before and who threw for 293 yards with two touchdowns anyway.

Tennessee made plenty of mistakes, but this one cannot be pinned on The Weirdness. This wasn’t 2018, where Tennessee was -5 in turnovers; they were only -1 yesterday and got beat even worse. I said on our podcast last week that I wanted to see last year’s game without the turnovers. Turns out, I didn’t want to see it.

So now, add to an embarrassing loss at home to a non-Power 5 team that was 2-10 last year and an overtime heartbreaker to BYU the loss of the hope that we can at least be competitive against our rivals this year.

That crop is gone. There will be no harvest of hope this year. All that’s left is figuring out how to get through the rest of this season and planning and preparing for the next. There can still be some happy moments this season, certainly, but those moments will have to come via secondary storylines.

There’s a happy ending in here somewhere. Alas, it’s probably not this season and there’s likely more adversity ahead. But eventually, everything will come together, Nellie will get her due, and we will have our harvest.

Your Gameday Gameplan: Tennessee-Florida

It’s Gameday on Rocky Top, via Gainesville, with the Vols hoping to pull off the upset against the dreaded Florida Gators. Here’s the Gameday Gameplan for Tennessee fans. Where and when to find the Vols game on TV, what other games to watch as well, and what to listen to and read as you wait for kickoff.

When is the Vols game, and what TV channel is it on?

Here are the particulars for today’s Tennessee game:

The best games for Vols fans to watch today

Here’s our list of games to watch today, curated just for Vols fans:

Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON
Texas Tech Oklahoma 12:00 PM FOX Channel Hop Why not?
Texas A&M Arkansas 12:00 PM ESPN Channel Hop Former coaching candidate
Northern Illinois Vanderbilt 12:00 PM SECN Channel Hop Future Vols opponent
AFTERNOON
Clemson North Carolina 3:30 PM ABC Channel Hop Closer than expected?
Ole Miss Alabama 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop Future Vols opponent
Virginia Notre Dame 3:30 PM NBC Channel Hop Top 20 matchup
Towson Florida 4:00 PM SECN Channel Hop Former Vols opponent
USC Washington 3:30 PM FOX Channel Hop Top 20 matchup
EVENING
Mississippi State Auburn 7:00 PM ESPN Channel Hop/DVR Future Vols opponent
Kentucky South Carolina 7:30 PM SECN Channel Hop/DVR Future Vols opponents

And here’s a searchable version of this week’s entire college football TV schedule:

Date Away Home Time TV
9/19/19 Houston Tulane 8:00 PM ESPN
9/20/19 Florida International Louisiana Tech 8:00 PM CBSSN
9/20/19 Utah USC 9:00 PM FS1
9/20/19 Air Force Boise State 9:00 PM ESPN2
9/21/19 Southern Mississippi Alabama 12:00 PM ESPN2
9/21/19 LSU Vanderbilt 12:00 PM SECN
9/21/19 Tennessee Florida 12:00 PM ESPN
9/21/19 Michigan Wisconsin 12:00 PM FOX
9/21/19 California Ole Miss 12:00 PM ESPNU
9/21/19 Western Michigan Syracuse 12:00 PM ACCN
9/21/19 Elon Wake Forest 12:00 PM ACCNX
9/21/19 Boston College Rutgers 12:00 PM BTN
9/21/19 UL Monroe Iowa State 12:00 PM FS1
9/21/19 UConn Indiana 12:00 PM BTN
9/21/19 Michigan State Northwestern 12:00 PM ABC
9/21/19 Morgan State Army 12:00 PM CBSSN
9/21/19 Coastal Carolina UMass 1:00 PM
9/21/19 Louisiana Ohio 2:00 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 Troy Akron 3:00 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 Central Connecticut Eastern Michigan 3:00 PM ESPN3
9/21/19 Miami (OH) Ohio State 3:30 PM BTN
9/21/19 Auburn Texas A&M 3:30 PM CBS
9/21/19 UCF Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ABC
9/21/19 Washington BYU 3:30 PM ABC
9/21/19 SMU TCU 3:30 PM FS1
9/21/19 Temple Buffalo 3:30 PM ESPNU
9/21/19 Bowling Green Kent State 3:30 PM ESPN3
9/21/19 Wyoming Tulsa 3:30 PM CBSSN
9/21/19 South Alabama UAB 3:30 PM NFL
9/21/19 Louisville Florida State 3:30 PM ESPN
9/21/19 Appalachian State North Carolina 3:30 PM ACCNX
9/21/19 Central Michigan Miami 4:00 PM ACCN
9/21/19 Kentucky Mississippi State 4:00 PM SECN
9/21/19 South Carolina Missouri 4:00 PM SECN
9/21/19 West Virginia Kansas 4:30 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 New Mexico State New Mexico 4:30 PM
9/21/19 Hampton Liberty 6:00 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 William & Mary East Carolina 6:00 PM ESPN3
9/21/19 Wagner Florida Atlantic 6:00 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 Oregon Stanford 7:00 PM ESPN
9/21/19 Old Dominion Virginia 7:00 PM ESPN2
9/21/19 Southern Illinois Arkansas State 7:00 PM ESPN3
9/21/19 Georgia State Texas State 7:00 PM ESPN+
9/21/19 Baylor Rice 7:00 PM CBSSN
9/21/19 Ball State NC State 7:00 PM ESPNU
9/21/19 Charlotte Clemson 7:30 PM ACCN
9/21/19 Oklahoma State Texas 7:30 PM ABC
9/21/19 San Jose State Arkansas 7:30 PM SECN
9/21/19 UTSA North Texas 7:30 PM
9/21/19 Notre Dame Georgia 8:00 PM CBS
9/21/19 Nevada UTEP 8:00 PM ESPN3
9/21/19 Nebraska Illinois 8:00 PM BTN
9/21/19 Colorado Arizona State 10:00 PM PAC12
9/21/19 Sacramento State Fresno State 10:00 PM
9/21/19 Toledo Colorado State 10:15 PM ESPN2
9/21/19 UCLA Washington State 10:30 PM ESPN
9/21/19 Utah State San Diego State 10:30 PM CBSSN
9/21/19 Central Arkansas Hawai'i 11:59 PM

GRT games and contests

While you’re waiting for the games to begin, make sure that you submit your answers to the GRT Guessing Game questions and update your picks for the GRT Pick ‘Em.

GRT game-week audio

Here’s the GRT Podcast from earlier this week with talk of both Gators, which we hate, and donuts, which we (mostly) love:

And here is Will’s regular Friday appearance with Josh Ward and Heather Harrington on WNML’s Sports 180.

Pre-game prep

To catch up on your pre-game reading, have a look at our game preview posts from earlier this week:

And here’s the best of the stuff we curated from other sites this week:

Go Vols!

Stay on Target?

We’ve made much of Tennessee running fewer plays than any team in the country last year. The Vols took a few overtime snaps, but are nonetheless 69th in total plays through three games this year (stats via SportSource Analytics). Tennessee is averaging 68.3 snaps per game; last year it was 59.7.

The Vols are also more balanced on first down so far this year. Last year Tennessee ran the ball 69.7% of the time on first down; this year the Vols are at 61.4%. The late attempt to rally against Georgia State and the backup snaps against Chattanooga help balance out the equation.

Last year Tennessee’s passing was extremely balanced: Guarantano had 80 attempts on first down, 78 on second, and 82 on third. Under Jim Chaney, Guarantano has been far more likely to come out firing: 31 passing attempts on first down, compared to 23 on second down and 19 on third down. But at least so far, Guarantano’s struggles don’t seem to come alongside passing more on first down: he’s 20-of-31 (64.5%) for 339 yards (10.9 ypa) and no interceptions.

We know last year Guarantano was really good on third down; add in Tennessee’s struggles to run on third-and-short, and statistically it was better for the Vols to face third-and-medium and let him throw it. So far this year? Guess who leads the nation in third down completion percentage?

On third down, Guarantano is 16-of-19 (84.2%) for 171 yards (9.0 ypa). Now, you’ll point out that his completion percentage is higher because the Vols have been making too many safe throws behind the sticks on third down. And you’re right in part: despite the ridiculous completion percentage, the Vols have converted only eight times on his 19 third down passes. So far Tennessee’s entire third-and-short package has struggled: on 3rd-and-1-3, Guarantano is 3-for-3 for two yards and one first down.

Third-and-medium has been mixed: Guarantano is 4-of-7 for 40 yards with a touchdown, an interception, and only three first downs on those seven attempts. But on 3rd-and-7-10+, Guarantano is 9-of-9 for 129 yards (14.3 ypa). Four of those nine third-and-long completions led to first downs.

Guarantano has been okay on first down, and so far Chaney is mixing it up more than his predecessor. And he’s been really good, again, on third-and-long. It’s the tighter windows on third down where JG is struggling more. And you can see it on fourth down too: 1-of-3 for five yards coming via the tipped touchdown by Jennings against BYU.

Issues are also easier to spot when the Vols get thrown off schedule. Guarantano on second down this year: 13-of-23 (56.5%) for 114 yards (4.9 ypa). When the Vols are unsuccessful on first down and then go back to the pass on second down, it’s been less fruitful.

Some good news here: the Vols have allowed only 13 tackles for loss, 35th nationally. Tennessee was 116th in that category last year, 112th in 2017. The number may go down as the Vols face SEC competition starting this week, but there does appear to be some real improvement on the offensive line.

In the first half against Georgia State, the Vols had gains of two yards or less on first down seven times. But Tennessee still converted six of those series into first downs. Then in the second half, the Vols had gains of two yards or less on first down five times, and failed to turn any of those series into first downs or touchdowns.

By my count, the Vols were 12-of-17 in similar situations against BYU. That’s pretty good! There’s an unanswerable question in here about how much of this was/is mental: a case of the oh-nos in the second half against Georgia State, tightening up on third-and-medium and fourth down, etc. But on first down, and on third-and-long, Guarantano is still relatively sharp.

Going forward, the Vols could trade sharp for spectacular: Tennessee has just 10 plays of 20+ yards so far this season. That’s 98th nationally, and better than only a dozen teams who’ve played three games.

All of this goes into the pot for Jim Chaney when game-planning for the Gators. Your quarterback is good on first down and third-and-long. He’s struggled so far when the windows got tighter. You need more big plays, but also have to block well enough to set them up against the best defense you’ve seen yet. The offense may have a tendency to get tight, so how aggressive do you want to be in the early going when it backfired so spectacularly against this team last year?

I’m not sure what to expect. But it should be our best data point yet. Here’s hoping the Vols make it a good one.

The Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game: 2019 Week 4

It’s Friday before Gameday, and that means it’s time for the Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game. If you’ve played before, you know the deal, and you can skip to the questions below. If not, catch up here.

Let’sa go!

  1. Submit your answers to our three questions below.
  2. Click the “Submit” button.
  3. Copy and paste your answers in the comments below.

Good luck!

Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast – Episode 155 – Florida Week

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Robo-Transcript below.

Pardon the errors, as the bot understands neither southern accents nor football.

Joel:
Hey, look, it’s the Gameday on Rocky Top podcast episode one fifty five. We are back from an undisclosed remote location where we were undergoing therapy and rehab after drinking too much whiskey and smoking too much crack. All of which was understandable because of the Vols two consecutive losses to open the season and because my wife and kids and pastor are all probably listening. I’m kidding. I didn’t smoke any crack anyway. I’m Will Shelton. Kidding again. I’m Joel Hollingsworth. I’m joined by Will Shelton. Will, did you spend any time in rehab over the past couple of weeks?

Will:
No. You know, we did one of these after the Georgia state game, and then a number of circumstances prevented us from doing what, after BYU? Was it like I was at the BYU game? I wasn’t at the Georgia state game. So I’m 100 percent convinced. If I was at both, I would definitely think Georgia State was worse than BYU. That obviously not a great way to go there at the end of regulation and a weird day we read about this weird not only for the unlikelihood of that last play, but also just man Tennessee control that game the whole time. I mean, you never once you saw they showed up to play. Never really thought they’d lose. And so I eat our nature of podcasting or not podcasting and suggests that we like felt worse after BYU. I still felt a little better. Was that year. Was that your take, too?

Joel:
I did feel better. Yes, I thought. I think Georgia State was a fluke. I think what happened there was that they their mistake was not taking them seriously and thinking it was a pre-season game and thinking, hey, we need to we need to use this as a scrimmage and figure out about ourselves and oh, no, it’s the fourth quarter and we’re about to lose and it’s too late. I think that’s what happened there. And I think who are we? We’re not we’re not the team that played Georgia State. We’re not the team that played UTC. But I think we might just be the team that played BYU, which is sort of a cusp B. Top 25 or have a chance against the top 20 to top 25 teams. I’m thinking that’s kind of where we’re at right now.

Will:
Yeah, they were you. I watched a lot of that USC game, like a lot of people hopefully hoping that they looked great and they did win. They offensively they had a lot more purpose against the Trojans than they did against Tennessee. And I’m hopeful that Tennessee’s defense was part of taking them out of that purpose, because like we said, I mean, they just Tennessee control that game from start to finish. And nothing that BYU use offense did in regulation was particularly frightening. They should get credit for a couple of great calls. They dialed up those reverse and around calls at the at the perfect time in regulation and in overtime. And kudos to those guys for that. But then is USC, they really looked like their offense had some purpose. So if you are if you want to lean optimistic about this thing, then maybe, Joel, what you’re saying is exactly right. Tennessee just didn’t show up at all against Georgia State. Certainly some of that was alignment. That’s what we were hoping two weeks ago. Turns out that was some of that, at least was the case when they get lined up. Right. They don’t have to give up four yards a carry to everybody. And you know that Tennessee’s defense looks better when Bertucci is on the field. We might get to find out if they look better. Bryce Thompson is on the field. No one’s exactly sure what’s going to happen there still. But yeah, I I feel better about the whole of of things. And I’m not sure if Tennessee beat Georgia State, you know, thirty eight to thirty seven and then they beat BYU 16 to 13 or whatever that was. I’m not sure. Like week to week in terms of Tennessee’s chances against the Gators on Saturday, I’m not sure I’d feel a whole lot different than where we are with Tennessee losing both of those games.

Joel:
I think that’s right. Yeah. And just to clarify, I was not, you know, wallowing in addiction or anything like that or I will also wasn’t just you know, it wasn’t we didn’t we didn’t have the we didn’t forego the podcast just because we were upset about football, that we had stuff going on. I got sick

Will:
Brett?

Joel:
For like always nasty sick. It was it was I don’t hope anybody ever gets that sick. It was nasty. Anyway, moving on. So the real season actually, I think begins now. The Vols head into the thicket of the SCC schedule. They get the gators this Saturday at noon on ESPN and then they get a week off before a gauntlet of get out my trusty magazine here. I did a smart thing this time. I actually put the schedule on the first page, so I didn’t have to look for it every time now. So, yeah. So we got Georgia in Knoxville and then Mississippi State and Knoxville. They go to Alabama, then they get South Carolina in Knoxville. A little bit of a breather, maybe hopefully against UAB for homecoming in Knoxville. And then they finish the gauntlet with a trip to Lexington to play Kentucky. So that’s that’s the gauntlet. But first up is, is Florida. And, you know, here’s the thing. They don’t look great, you know, but here’s the other thing. We always think that and then and then they gang up with the weirdness and they put a whopping on us. You know, I know we have 2016. Right. And, you know, I’m happy for that. I’m glad we have it. But it’s like one twelfth of our memories of, you know, of our recent memories. It’s like a it’s like a Boston cream, a single Boston cream and a box of like maple cake donuts. You know, no offense to maple cake doughnut lovers, but those things are terrible. You know, I do. Do you like maple cake? Doughnuts? You’re what? They’re probably your wife’s,

Will:
No.

Joel:
Like, specialty or something

Will:
No.

Joel:
That said

Will:
My

Joel:
That.

Will:
Wife does not do donuts, so you’re safe on that. No.

Joel:
Okay.

Will:
But I also am not a fan at all. Boston Cream. So I really wasn’t sure where you were going with that.

Joel:
Boston cream is like the best what? So. Okay, well, what is your what’s your favorite? What’s your Florida 2016 donut? And then what’s your. I hate Florida. Don’t it fills up the rest of the box.

Will:
Well, see, the Florida 2016 donut is the donut that you eat and you enjoy it so much and then you hate yourself the next day because of the rest of the donuts that were in the 2016 box after that, what the Hail Mary donut the next week. So

Joel:
Okay.

Will:
That’s that’s a good. So I feel like I can’t use my my my favorite favorite doughnut is a Krispy Kreme seasonally sometimes puts out a key lime donut,

Joel:
Oh,

Will:
Which

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
Is one of the things that I’ve ever put in my mouth.

Joel:
You know,

Will:
So

Joel:
I’m sorry,

Will:
That’s

Joel:
But now

Will:
A.

Joel:
That now that I versus I think if we had this same conversation, my so stuck on doughnuts that I’ve asked you this question before.

Will:
Well, it could just be that I’m increasingly excited to talk about key lime, because

Joel:
Okay.

Will:
It’s also my wife who is a professional cake decorator, like she makes a key lime cupcake. That is also one of the best things I’ve ever put my mouth. So it’s probably just me talking, talking about key lime a lot. So

Joel:
Ok.

Will:
It would it would not be that it would be the like where you sometimes I feel like when you’re getting doughnuts that you can get to Krispy Kreme and places of that nature. You get to exotic and you get to doughnuts that have too many things going on and they’re too rich and filling in, like, say, you eat one. As was the case in 2016, you get the big battle of Bristol Donut like the big donut that you had before. And then you eat two other really good doughnuts and then you should stop right there and don’t eat anything else out of that box. But then you do you hate yourself for the next roughly three hundred and sixty five days. So that’s that’s that’s my take on that.

Joel:
So do you not have like a doughnut, you just will not eat because they’re so nasty?

Will:
I mean, they would have to be really weird. Krispy Kreme also made a. Oh, what’s the E? The peeps made a peeps doughnuts.

Joel:
Oh, okay. That’s.

Will:
So I won’t eat peeps, period. So that’s just that’s just by nature and proximity to a peep.

Joel:
So don’t tell me that you like cake donuts, because to me like cake donuts, they’re not really donuts. They’re not really cake. They’re like bagels. That, you know, a month before the high school reunion are trying to be doughnuts, you know. But they’re not quite getting there. So,

Will:
It’s a good analogy, too,

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
I enjoy. If it is Sunday morning before church or after worship in the little coffee and doughnuts section that all good Jesus loving churches have. I do enjoy like a cake doughnut hole in that situation

Joel:
Ok. All right.

Will:
Where it’s something light and all that. But I know, but the place that I eat, Krispy Kreme is when I’m on vacation at the beach. If I’m at the beach, I’m not purchasing any cake donuts. I’m going for the shit. You should eat two or three and then stop situation. There is no cake donuts in that box.

Joel:
I got an image of you sitting on the beach. Your pale white skin getting sunburned with a box full of donut holes.

Will:
Yet you and also the other rule about that is don’t eat donuts on the beach. Man, eat him. Eat him on the on the balcony of your hotel room. That’s just that’s a that’s a private moment with you and the donuts.

Joel:
All right. So let’s talk about Florida. So did you watch the Kentucky game?

Will:
I did. I watched it in full.

Joel:
Ok, first first thoughts when Philippe Franks went down.

Will:
Well, first thought was, man. That is a terrible. And, you know, it’s bad when they don’t go back and show it again. So my first thought was, I feel really bad for that kid even. And especially I mean, he’s done terrible things to Tennessee in 2017 and it certainly was an accomplice to Tennessee doing terrible things to itself last year in this game. But yeah, I felt terrible for him. My next thought was Emory Jones, and then we didn’t see him at all. So this this Trask kid was. I had heard that story, you know, about him being a backup in high school or whatever. But I I had never seen him or not paid any attention to the little bit that he had played before. So when they didn’t play Emory Jones at all. And then this kid comes out and. Those guys did a great job play calling for him, because with Franks, regardless of the ways that we talk ourselves into things in this Tennessee Florida game, the week leading up to it, it’s not just his fans that put forth a defense around Franks that is basically described as weird. I mean, we talked about this on the podcast before the Georgia state game. We’re going to encourage you to do something dumb, right? Like

Joel:
Yep.

Will:
We’ll give you a 12:00 play drive. We bet you’ll do something dumb on plays 1 through 11:00. So that defense didn’t work with with Trask. You’re going to need to blitz that kid more often and make him uncomfortable. I thought he had some happy feet, but he certainly is also 6 5 with a rocket arm. So my bigger takeaway now is when Mullin comes out and says, well, we got game plans for both and we’re going to play both of them, you know, it’s working. I genuinely don’t know. Is he just making Tennessee prepare for two guys, one of which was much more highly rated than the other? Or is this just you know, is it actually going to be. Yeah, we’re going to come out and roll two quarterbacks against Tennessee. So I think everybody is a little curious about whether or not it’s going to be just Trask or if they really do have the 6 5 rocket arm kit or the more athletic option. That’s that’s also going to play against Tennessee.

Joel:
I wonder if it really matters that much with more, and it seems like Mullen’s going to do his thing regardless of who’s under center or in the shotgun.

Will:
It’s a good one. Yeah, good point.

Joel:
So it’s just a matter of, you know, which guy you’ve got to you’ve got to calibrate based on, you know, which guy can run faster or or whatever. I don’t know. We’ll find out. But here’s the thing. As you said, the defense or. Well, let me say this first. It seemed to me like Kentucky started playing different for some reason. I don’t know whether that was really the case or whether Trask was just more efficient or something. But regardless, he he’s seen he played better. You know, the team was better under him. And I don’t know why that that is. Sometimes I don’t know whether because I ask you this question. And just second. But we were well acquainted with the plague of backup quarterbacks. Right. We’ve got rotten memories of backup quarterbacks. And I don’t know what happens, whether whether the defense is like, oh, good, their best guy is out. We can coast from here, you know, or whether the teammates of the guy who just went out are like, oh, no, we better step it up and they start playing better. Or, you know, whether the I don’t know, whatever it might be. Something happens when a new guy comes in. Maybe it’s because your whole game plan goes out the window now because you’ve got somebody new back there. But what do you think it is working? Do you have any explanation for why it is that that sometimes when backup quarterbacks come in, you don’t get the result that you think you should get? Because what you should get is that, hey, the best guy is out. The second best guy is in. We should be able to make something of that.

Will:
I think the simplest answer for all the ways we want to dress it up is when it happens in the middle of the game. The defense didn’t prepare for it and an offense almost by default simplifies because you haven’t been giving the backup as much of the playbook and enough reps in practice and all that stuff. And sometimes if a team is struggling on offense, as the Gators were at that point in the game and struggling, you know, they missed the chip shop field goal at the end of the first half. They had some other things that were. They were part of that, I think. But simplifying the offense. They did lots of quick throws with Trask taking advantage maybe of a defense that by default wants to be more aggressive against the backup. That sort of thing. I think some of it is just that. And then you see the next week. Hopefully this case that when you’re getting a full 60 minutes with this guy and it’s not asking a defense to change on the fly, then they don’t look quite so hot. But intimacy has seen both sides of that historically against backup quarterbacks. But again, I think Florida can negate some of that if they’re going to play both guys, because then you would have the same situation with Emyr Jones where you’re dealing with having to change it up on defense and adapt if Mullin is going to design kind of two different things for these guys. I think, again, you have to hope that now that you’ve seen a quarter and some change against this guy in a live fire situation and you’re ready for it as opposed to trying to be ready for what Franks does then in Tennessee, hopefully won’t have as much of a problem as Kentucky at.

Joel:
So I alluded to this earlier, but Tennessee’s had some bad experiences with this before. So what are your worst memories of backup quarterbacks as a Tennessee fan? Go.

Will:
Well, Matt, Mark is right is number one.

Joel:
That’s

Will:
I mean,

Joel:
Got

Will:
That’s

Joel:
To be number one. Yeah.

Will:
That’s at the top of everybody’s list. I was at that game and I probably said on this podcast and I know in writing that I was I was 20 years old then and a student at USC and all that stuff in 2001. And my three friends that I went to that game that we’re talking about, how can we rent an RV that drive that drive to Pasadena? None of us is old enough to legally rent a car, all that stuff at halftime. I think we said forwards to each other on the drive back to Knoxville on a car. So

Joel:
All

Will:
That

Joel:
Profanities.

Will:
That one and. Yes. And just more coughing than

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
Talking. And that that went to it happened in Tennessee at a time when Tennessee’s defense was so elite that it was it was just chugging in there. I always try to make a point to say when we’re talking about that game, sometimes you just fumble. There’s lots of little things you can pick apart. And certainly Tennessee wasn’t prepared. They they were ready for a road hand debut. They weren’t prepared for Mark being more elusive. But also their two best offensive skill players, Travis Stevens

Joel:
Yep.

Will:
And Donte Stallworth, fumble in the fourth quarter. It happens. It sucks. But sometimes it happens and it’s you in battle dropped an interception. You know, we don’t need to relive that game or that. So, Mark, as one. I think the Kentucky won the Dooley, Kentucky one is too. Just because that’s the other end of the spectrum where you’ve had a bad year. Kentucky is worse. And trotting out the let’s try a wide receiver at quarterback today and it works for the first time in three plus decades. So that one is is certainly on the list in terms of what cost Tennessee, Jake Bentley at South Carolina a couple of years ago where, you know, that wasn’t an endgame switch and neither was Kentucky with what was that kid’s name? Rourke. That was the the wide receiver starting quarterback.

Joel:
I’ve I’ve repressed all that.

Will:
Yeah. I don’t want to remember.

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
So no need to notify us if we got that wrong. But you know, Bentley in South Carolina, who’s you know. Oh, he is he’s supposed to be at his prom and all this other stuff.

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
And here in South Carolina and Tennessee, off the bye week just with everything in front of him, that that game. I know that I didn’t ever write this. My grandmother died the day before that game. And, you know, I often joke like that would have killed her if she lived another day. Because I mean, that that thing I just remember being in a hotel in Covington, Tennessee, where my son was named after for my grandmother’s funeral and watching the end of that game and just thinking, what are you doing to me to say it like this? This is to stop eating the doughnuts. Right. That that game, by the way, again, not to dwell on the bad, but but doing those historic lines with Tennessee lost to Georgia State. That’s that’s like the fifth worst upset that Tennessee has suffered in the last 30 years. So we probably didn’t give that. There was no overreacting to that. Let me say that any any reaction to that loss and I was like, say, my grandmother died. I was kind of out of the immediacy of responding to it in blog form. But yeah, those weren’t over reactions. That was those are appropriate reactions for 14 and a half point underdog. So those are the three that stand out to me. Let me say this, like some of this angst we’re fans are of, we have fans of ages now that don’t weren’t alive when we were great.

Will:
It’s not their fault they weren’t alive. But there is this this is turning a little too jinxed for my taste because we mentioned the good tasting donut of the 2016 Florida game. That was a backup quarterback. That was Austin Appleby in that game who threw a delicious interception in the midst of that. That that fourth quarter run by Tennessee, where I’m telling my wife I’ve been waiting all day for him to make that throw. And sure enough, you know, he added anything. So you have to hope for things like that with Trask, too, that if you get into that kind of situation, like just he’s he’s going to have something, he’s gonna have a bad decision in him. And hopefully that is what shows up there. So not it doesn’t always go bad against the gators. And there’s a one from 2014 as well where the you know, you’re up nine to nothing and then you give him the short field and they put in the backup and he runs one play and gets a touchdown. I’ve forgotten that guy’s name, too, but yeah. Those those Mark and then the Kentucky one. And I think Nick Bentley would be three on on my list.

Joel:
All right, speaking of quarterbacks, no. Had kind of a rough start, like the team for the first couple of games and then really bad first throw on on his first throw and against UTC, but then went what was seven of eight. He finished, looked really good, like he found a groove. It was Chattanooga. So we’ll see. But how are you feeling about Karen Tano at this point?

Will:
I feel like I would take the 2018 version of him in a heartbeat. Right now.

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
The version that we all attached ourselves to in the offseason, the will be better because he’s a year older and we’ll be better because working with Jim Chaney version at this point, I’m willing to let that go. And I would just take last year’s version because I’m unsure what’s going on here other than to say that again. And good grief. We should know better.

Joel:
Yep,

Will:
I should know better.

Joel:
I know what you’re gonna say.

Will:
Don’t assume that new offensive coordinator is gonna mean smooth sailing right away. Like we should know that by now. But yeah, that is clearly not the case. So I hope again, for his sake. Can we simplify? Can we do something different? But if you give me the guy where you say, you know, your job is don’t make mistakes and give us a chance and give our excellent wide receivers who Pruitt said this week or last week, I feel like I know what I got at wide receiver and I’m not sure about anywhere else. He’s right. I feel like I know what we’ve got a wide receiver, too. Let’s give those guys a chance. You can’t expect the Auburn game from last year is so strange in terms of what Tennessee did on third down. You can’t expect that every time, especially against good defenses like the Gators in theory have. But the quarterback, that is not. I don’t know if he’s pressing. I don’t know if he’s just not. If he’s overwhelmed with with the scheme or whatever the case may be. But I mean, his interceptions are bad interceptions. You know, they are they are bad, bad interceptions. So I would I will go back to the 2018 version of him if that was offered to me right now.

Joel:
Do you watch the the sports source TV show? I know. I know you don’t want to live. But

Will:
Yeah,

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
I’d watch it on YouTube. I usually click through and watch the highlights. That depends on what game it was and what happened. But yeah, I click through the segments where the descriptions are of interest to me.

Joel:
So did you see the one where they talked about David Evans story in the athletic about the UTC staff identifying some tells the offense and the defense?

Will:
I did not. Because I. Because it was Chattanooga. I have not. I have not taken the time to watch any of it this week.

Joel:
Ok. Did you read the article?

Will:
I think it’s.

Joel:
Ok. So just if anybody is listening, hasn’t seen it. The gist of it is that David Alvin of the Athletic, who is fantastic. If you are not subscribed to that site, you should.

Will:
Yes, whole, whole we agree. We don’t know that dude. I don’t get a dime from them. You should subscribe to that. Absolutely.

Joel:
Yep,

Will:
And it

Joel:
Yep.

Will:
Just it supports a model of writing about sports on the Internet that you will not be surprised to know that Joel and I are fans of and believe them. So, yes, subscribe to them.

Joel:
Yeah. So he was embedded with the UTC staff the week before the Tennessee game and was privy then to their scouting of Tennessee. And they identified some tells, which I guess is what you do when your game plan, right. I mean, this is this is unique to guys who’ve never been in a locker room, but maybe is not so surprising to people who have. But it was really interesting in some of the things were like that, like the one they talked about on the sports source show was that if you follow Austin Pope, you will find the ball because Austin Pope, they run behind him every single time.

Will:
As

Joel:
And.

Will:
Opposed to running behind Dominick Wood-Anderson. Yeah.

Joel:
Yeah. So follow. Number 81. And you will find the ball. So I mean, it’s pretty interesting if you’d if you watch against see that’s that’s what happened. But the whole time that they’re talking about this. Sterling Hinton, is it. No, they’re smiling. Right. And when pendants and finally gives the floor to him, he’s like, you know what? They if if if it’s working, you don’t change it. Right. So you just keep doing it as long as it’s not working. And then you go do your counters. It’s all a game theory, man. Right. Of course, I should have said it like sterling hidden, which is, you know, 20 decibels more in a higher pitch in a lot more interesting and inspirational, which I love that dude. But anyway. So anyway, the reason I bring that up is just. Are you worried about a team in FC s team figuring out what Jim Chaney is going to do before he does it? Or do you side with Sterling Hinton, which is saying don’t worry about it, man, because when it stops working, he’s got a wrinkle.

Will:
I would need to see more data

Joel:
Dr..

Will:
In general. I’m not worried about Jim Chaney. It would take a lot here. A lot going wrong. I think for four. Reasonable Tennessee fans just get off the Cheney bandwagon, given over who’s been and what he’s done. And just look at the personnel and some of the talent deficiency. He’s working with here. I think it falls in line with what we’ve already talked about, which is the lack of seriousness with which they took Georgia State, which absolutely falls on Pruitt. But, you know, some of that stuff is the bit in there about and Jesse Simonton and I think it’s pointed on Volk West has pointed this out, too, that, hey, when Tennessee’s receivers are not Marquez Callaway, Jauan Jennings or Palmer on the field, they’re gonna run. I figured that out. You know, just just watching, being at the game and seeing, OK, there’s Ramel Keyton and there’s Cedric Tillman. This is gonna be a run. And and more often than not, that’s been the case. The backup wide receivers are in. It’s gonna be a run again. That’s the sort of stuff that was BYU. That’s the sort of stuff that you can get away with against some of these other teams that you will get away with way less against a team like Florida.

Will:
But I’m hoping that those are that’s why I say any more data. I’m obviously I’m not pleased that they overlooked Georgia State to the degree that they did. But I’m also hopeful that they’ve got a different bag of tricks in store here for for what they’re gonna get against the gators and falls in line with. What they did last year. I mean, they. They they beat YouTube. They really dominated YouTube statistically, but only scored, whatever, 24 points last year. I mean, they were very vanilla and all they had because they didn’t want to show. And then they came out. It didn’t work, but they came out so hyper aggressive against the gators with a very different set of things. And then they went to even more different and newer things, some of which worked a little against Georgia and worked better against Auburn. So, yeah, I need I need more data. If we’re still talking about running behind Austin Pope in October, then we got a problem. But I’m not ready

Joel:
I

Will:
To go there yet.

Joel:
Don’t know if we’re running 300 yards a game behind Austin Pope,

Will:
You.

Joel:
I’d be OK

Will:
Yeah, sure.

Joel:
With that.

Will:
But

Joel:
Yeah,

Will:
A.

Joel:
Yeah, yeah. I just think that tendencies that are actually good things. I mean, how do you how do you spring a really, really good play? You set it up with tendencies and then you break the tendency when they’re not expecting it. So anyway, I just I just think it’s if that’s all you can do, that’s a problem. But if you’ve got other things that you can go to after you said set up the other team, then that’s fine. So against Florida, what what do you think is the what’s the number one thing that you think Tennessee needs to do to get the upset against gators Saturday?

Will:
I don’t know. I have been trying to figure that out. Other than. So there is an answer here. That’s the magical Garen Tanto plays better. Sure. That would be helpful. But besides that and the magical when the turnovers by three or more. Yeah. Also would be helpful. I’m curious about. They beat BYU to death with outside runs because Tennessee has way better athletes than BYU. On the edge. Not true. On Saturday. So can they? No. When in doubt is the first truth of Tennessee, Florida is a team that runs the ball best since to win. So is there a version of this running attack that does work when you’re not dealing with a speed advantage on the outside? I hope so. I think that would be interesting and I’m curious to see that. But I mean, honestly, we’re recording this here on Wednesday nights and I’m trying to figure out what to write about this game on Friday, because all of the angles I just don’t know with with backup quarterback at Florida. I don’t know. They looks better. Tennessee’s defense look better. Like I say with Bertucci in there, I get Bryce Thompson back. Is that going to make a big difference? I don’t know. There’s just a lot that I’m really unsure of. And and we talked about this a little in the Tennessee Florida history piece earlier this week. We had that stretch there of basically 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 of those cities. You really have the better team. They were favored in that stretch. They should have won 14, 15, 16, 17. And then last year. Now the gators go on to have a great season because of the time when that happened. They were just a team that lost to Kentucky and then waxed Tennessee. And that was obviously not a good feeling for anybody. But as it turned out, Florida ten win team top 10. Great job. Mullins, a good coach.

Joel:
Kentucky

Will:
All that stuff.

Joel:
Is also

Will:
But.

Joel:
Good.

Will:
Kentucky also good, as it turns

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
Out. But the game itself. What am I supposed to take from I living in southwest Virginia? I have this conversation about the battle at Bristol all the time where Virginia Tech fans are kind of like, well, you know, and I say, hey, if you fumble it to a six times we’re supposed to beat, you look like that’s what’s supposed to happen and we’re supposed to beat you by multiple possessions, which is what happened. So, like, I’m I’m not talking trash or anything. I’m telling you, if you put it on the ground six times. Thank you. And we will probably anyone will probably take advantage of that situation. So I really what I said at the time to my if there are any of my hockey friends that are listening to this, I would like to see that game again. Tech, as it turns out, was pretty good that you’re two. And it was not a if you fumble it six times, it’s not a fair representation of who you are. Not a fair representation. Tennessee wasn’t a good football team last year, but the Florida game wasn’t a fair representation of who they were. If you I mean, again, the first 10 drives ended in something other than a punt or a touchdown. That’s so weird. So I don’t know. I just I’m not going back to this mode of Tennessee. Actually have a better team. No, of course they don’t. But how much better really was Florida than Tennessee last year? How much better is Florida with a backup quarterback right now than a Tennessee that lost Georgia state? I’ve got no idea. So I honestly. Do you have one Joe Doyle? Do you have a. Here’s what I think is most important other than the pixie dust for Garen Santo.

Joel:
I just think it’s turnovers.

Will:
Yeah. Which is I mean, that’s the underdog playbook, right?

Joel:
It’s the underdog playbook, and it’s just I again, I would like to see last year’s game again without the turnovers. What happens? You know, I think I heard Pruitt say in some presser earlier this season that he thought turnovers basically were four points. So that’s 24 points right there. You know, I just I I think if they play clean and force turnovers instead of giving them away, then then they’ve got a shot. And the problem is that the weirdness has never been wearing our colors in this thing. So I don’t know if we could figure out how to send him to the medical tent. Let’s do that.

Will:
Yeah. It’s so funny because even the it’s weird statistically, the 30 minutes of glory there in 2016, but that wasn’t weird. I mean, Tennessee just whipped him for about real time and I mean, nothing Joanne’s catch on the sideline. Obviously, the juggling was that was weird. But, you know, Taber, as we all know, was quite beat on that play. So, you know, the other times that Tennessee has has one in this series there, 2004, there’s weirdness obviously at the end with the the missed extra point and rightfully so. Some complain about the personal foul call that went against the gators and wasn’t offsetting. That was that was a big deal. Two thousand three tests. They just whipped them up front and won that game. Hail Mary was helpful, but it wasn’t the margin. Tennessee just really dominated them up front and won that game. A one anybody. I mean, classic game. I play that game ten times. Each side wins five great game 98 as he wins cause they get five turnovers. So yeah, I mean sometimes you’ve got to have you’ve got to have that stuff.

Joel:
That

Will:
But a

Joel:
I’m sorry,

Will:
Good.

Joel:
That those those I don’t I can’t remember all five turnovers in that 98 game, but I’m not sure those weren’t unforced errors. Those were Al Wilson.

Will:
Yeah. Yeah. I would say the only one. Deon Grant, the incredible individual play, the one the first one where Florida is going in to take a 7 and nothing lead. And that thing gets punched out at the goal line. Not not weird for the play. Just for what a huge I mean, you got to remember at that point in time, Tennessee hadn’t had a lead. Tennessee being a top 5 team for three or four years in a row and had a lead on Florida since halftime of three years earlier. So when those guys are getting ready to go up 7 or nothing and punch it in and Tennessee instead punches that out, that that felt like a that and then a long Sean Brown and run. I remember thinking this is not how this usually goes, you know? And we could use. There was one of those in the 15 game in the swamp that Jauan Jennings passed back to Josh Dobbs had

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
A feeling of this isn’t how this usually goes. So, yeah, we need one of those that

Joel:
Yeah,

Will:
Would that would be helpful.

Joel:
Well, not when I say the weirdness, it’s it’s like I have never seen that before and it really hurts.

Will:
Yep, yep.

Joel:
Yeah.

Will:
And Florida does to Tennessee what Tennessee used to do to Kentucky, which is why you think you’ve run out of ways to have your heart broken. But surprise. We’re going to block this kick in overtime and those turn it back for a touchdown and then beat you two overtimes later. So, yeah, I mean, that’s that’s that. That tends to be how that goes.

Joel:
Yeah. All right. So a freestyle, anything that I haven’t asked that you want to talk about. And if you can give it a rhythm and make it rhyme. Extra points.

Will:
Right. No, I think this it maybe I’ll read about this like the lost to BYU. It was freeing in a way that I think now there is no choice left but to embrace the reality of the situation, which you can do. We can argue about what rock bottom is. But the first step in recovery is admit that you have a problem that’s beyond your control. So I think there was a level of admit that’s. Whatever Georgia state actually revealed to BYU, the end of that game made you swallow it whole. So I just. All that to say this if Tennessee. The last time we beat these guys in 2016, it was almost a relief. Not the way the game itself played out. It was a thrilling surprise being down when we were down and then coming back in that game. But at kickoff, it’s like beating them would have been a relief. More than anything else. And it was a statement on whether or not Butch Jones can get it done and whether or not he’s back. And then obviously that was incorrect. After winning that game. But now, because of Tennessee being 1 and 2, because we’re not doing bowl math here yet, because we have no illusions about winning the east or anything like that. This really feels like a standalone. If Tizzy somehow finds a way to win this game, there’s kind of a freedom in being able to celebrate and appreciate it just for what it is and not having to tie it into.

Will:
What it was for former in terms of literally and figuratively, the game that made the difference between being a national champion and not being in that conversation and not in 2001. And for Butch Jones where it was. Is this going to. Is just going to work for you or not? There are duly in 2012 is just going to work for you or not. There’s there’s just a freedom in it to say, hey, look, if Tennessee wins this game, we still got lots of problems and we’re still probably going to be more likely to get to five wins than six. But man, it would be great. And there’s a bye week after that. It would be really great. And so I think it’s it would just kind of be a stand alone when where the larger than the largest narrative at play here is Tennessee is in bad shape. And we got a ways to go and we need to measure progress from the bottom and not to the top butts. So I don’t know. That strikes me as being different this week. The feel of it is it’s kind of untethered from everything else that’s happening in Tennessee is so big. This isn’t a prove anything. Game 4 Jeremy Pruitt. It’s it’s just an opportunity to go out there and beat your rival and we can celebrate it appropriately if that’s

Joel:
And

Will:
What happens.

Joel:
That’ll do it for this edition of the Gameday on Rocky Top podcast. We appreciate you tuning in. And hey, if you feel so inclined, we’d love for you to give us a rating and maybe leave us a review. Bonus points if you include the secret phrase maple cake donuts, we might even send you a box. It’ll be the same one we got back in 2012. But trust us, they taste exactly the same now as they did back then. So for Will Shelton Joel Hollingsworth. And this has been the Gameday on Rocky Top podcast.

Will:
I think back to my the like 2010 and 11, where I was traveling back and forth to seminary in the fall as well, like I did, I did many of these in my car in a parking lot somewhere because my roommate was not like it just wasn’t worth trying to explain to these people that I was only seeing a couple days a week what was going on. I was like, I’m just gonna go to the car for like an hour. So.

Joel:
He spoke.

Will:
Yep, this is breaking the covenant of the seminary.

Joel:
So what do you think about the game? My machine says 10.

Will:
You know, how would we feel about 10? That’s that’s the thing of. That would cover the spread. You’d be like, OK.