2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine: Community expectations just prior to Florida

Sam Hensley

4 years ago

at South Carolina: 65%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 45%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 75%

Florida: 45%

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

after week 1, I’m up to 5.95 wins

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

after week 3, up to 6.00 wins

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

And, down to 4.55 wins after week 4

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

Down to 4.40 after Alabama… sigh

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

4.50 after the bye. I guess I’m feeling more hopeful today lol

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

3.23 after Arkansas. It hurts.

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Sam Hensley

4 years ago

Reply to Sam Hensley

And, 2.88 after Auburn. A disappointing year, but I swear there is a good team somewhere in there. QB play has really crushed this team.

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Isaac Bishop

4 years ago

at South Carolina: 70%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

5.5 wins

I could live with 6 wins.

5 would be my minimum satisfied amount. 7 would exceed expectations.

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Isaac Bishop

4 years ago

Reply to Isaac Bishop

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 85%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 30%

5.9 wins

Feel better about UGA, A&M. Feel worse about Bama. UK, Aubie, and UF hold firm.

Mizzou, Vandy, Arky has slight movement. Nothing to worry me yet.

Last edited 4 years ago by Isaac Bishop

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Harley

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 5.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 70%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

I hope I am wrong by a lot… Go Vols!

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Jayyyy

4 years ago

5.10

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 55%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 50%

0

Jayyyy

4 years ago

Reply to Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 6.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 75%

Texas A&M: 60%

at Auburn: 60%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 40%

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Jayyyy

4 years ago

Reply to Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 5.80.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 65%

Texas A&M: 55%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 40%

0

Jayyyy

4 years ago

Reply to Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 4.45.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 50%

Texas A&M: 35%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 25%

0

Jayyyy

4 years ago

Reply to Jayyyy

Your expected win total is 2.90.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 65%

Florida: 10%

Texas A&M: 15%

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Jayyyy

4 years ago

Reply to Jayyyy

2.85 going into florida, bleh

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Admin

Will Shelton

4 years ago

I’m at 5.99 wins; I think we can pull out the other .01. As we mentioned on the podcast, with only conference games and the Vols playing 10/13 possible opponents, one team looking bad comes at the expense of another opponent looking good. The most noteworthy game of the weekend (LSU/MSU) was one of the few that will have no bearing on Tennessee at all.

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 85%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 69%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 87%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 88%

Florida: 27%

0

Andrew Cooper

4 years ago

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 45%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 30%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

0

Harley

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 5.70.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

Preseason = 5.6… now at 5.7. Mostly the SC win at 100. Go Vols!

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Harley

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 5.20.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 40%

Down from 5.6 last week. Probably overly negative, but assumes JG continues at QB and the OL and Defense is average at best. Go Vols!

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Andrew Cooper

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 6.10.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: 70%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 80%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 50%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 50%

0

Admin

Will Shelton

4 years ago

I’m at 5.8 after Georgia.

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Author

Joel Hollingsworth

4 years ago

AFTER KENTUCKY:

Your expected win total is 4.30.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 5%

at Arkansas: 50%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 45%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 10%

Explanations posting Monday morning at 6:00 a.m.

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Harley

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 4.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: 0%

at Arkansas: 70%

Texas A&M: 40%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 30%

Well it’s not getting any better. Sigh… hope I am wrong. Go Vols!

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Harley

4 years ago

AFTER ALABAMA

Your expected win total is 4.00.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: 60%

Texas A&M: 30%

at Auburn: 30%

at Vanderbilt: 70%

Florida: 10%

Sigh… I see struggles down the road unless miracles happen during the bye week… Go Vols!

Last edited 4 years ago by Harley

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Author

Joel Hollingsworth

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 4.00.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: 50%

Texas A&M: 35%

at Auburn: 25%

at Vanderbilt: 80%

Florida: 10%

Explanation posted Monday morning at 6:00 a.m.

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Author

Joel Hollingsworth

4 years ago

Reply to Joel Hollingsworth

Explanations.

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Harley

4 years ago

Win Total “After Bye”… sticking with 4.0 Total entered “After Alabama”. Not enough new information to change. The Arkansas game and any adjustments will have a huge impact going forward. Go Vols!

0

Admin

Will Shelton

4 years ago

I’m at 4.4 after the bye:

at Arkansas: 54%

Texas A&M: 38%

at Auburn: 38%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 25%

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Harley

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 2.85.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

Texas A&M: 10%

at Auburn: 20%

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 5%

Unfortunately, I see chaos, no leadership and poor game planning in this team. This is an especially disappointing loss following 2 weeks of prep. My expectations for this season is at a low point. But, I still “bleed orange”… Go Vols!

1

Harley

4 years ago

Reply to Harley

Above total is After Arkansas

0

Admin

Will Shelton

4 years ago

I did this in my head last night after the Arkansas loss and was at 2.75…I’ve warmed to 3.00 by Sunday afternoon.

1

Author

Joel Hollingsworth

4 years ago

Your expected win total is 2.95.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

Texas A&M: 15%

at Auburn: 15%

at Vanderbilt: 60%

Florida: 5%

Extended explanations live here.

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Harley

4 years ago

After Auburn.

Your expected win total is 2.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 100%

Missouri: 100%

at Georgia: %

Kentucky: %

Alabama: %

at Arkansas: %

at Auburn: %

at Vanderbilt: 50%

Florida: 05%

Texas A&M: 05%

It ain’t pretty… Go Vols!

Last edited 4 years ago by Harley

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The 2020 GRT Expected Win Total Machine

Your expected win total is 4.30.

Your expected win total is 4.00.

Your expected win total is 2.95.