Tennessee 75 Washington 62: We Should’ve Known

The big picture questions of this season revolved around what the Vols could/would do in the paint. Kyle’s gone, Grant’s gone, Admiral’s gone, Uros is ineligible, Pons is playing the four. #20 Washington provided an excellent early test, with three 6’9″ starters, one of them a top five freshman, and plenty of shot blocking.

And Tennessee did the simple things to absolute perfection.

Maybe we’re still a little hesitant to believe the most straightforward answers to those questions could all be real without all that cast from last season. But Tennessee took down Washington’s length by absolutely wearing out its zone defense with the same free throw line jumper it worked so well last season. I thought the Vols needed Williams inside to get those kind of looks. Turns out, at least today, nope: Tennessee shot 47.2% from the floor against what was the #13 defense in KenPom’s efficiency ratings. The Huskies allowed 31.2% from inside the arc in their first two games. Tennessee opened up a 12-point halftime lead behind Jordan Bowden, John Fulkerson, and Yves Pons knocking down open jumper after open jumper.

It’s only three games, but it feels like it’s time to start assuming good things from Yves Pons. Bowden took 13 shots to tie for Tennessee’s lead…with Pons, who hit seven shots and finished with 15 points. He splashed another three, and he can still do this:

What seemed like a stop-gap measure has turned into an actual strength on both ends of the floor. Pons isn’t just the best available option at the four. He could end up one of the best in the league. Once again, Rick Barnes and company are transforming a player with incredible speed and efficiency.

With Plavsic, I wondered who else the Vols would play beyond a seven-man rotation. Without Plavsic, Tennessee plugged in Olivier Nkamhoua – two blocks of his own – and ran a seven-man rotation just fine. Would something like that work in SEC grind? Not sure. But tonight, Tennessee’s seven jumped Washington 14-5 in the first five minutes. Washington got no closer than five the rest of the way, and no closer than seven in the second half.

The Vols are now 7-7 against ranked foes in the last three seasons. In Bruce Pearl’s six-year tenure, Tennessee went 23-21 against ranked foes. You needed to see one to believe it, perhaps, but Barnes and company will have the Vols back in the Top 25, and back chasing the same expectations now, not later.

And they’re doing all of it without any revelation from five-star Josiah James, free to come along nicely with a 4-of-4 performance from the floor tonight and the J.P. Prince Stat Line of the Game: 9 points, 4 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, 3 turnovers, 3 fouls.

The Vols return home to face Alabama State on Wednesday (0-3 and lost to Gonzaga by 31), then host Chattanooga on Monday, November 25. Then it’s off to Destin for the next big test against Florida State and either VCU or Purdue. The way things are going, the Vols might go from scrappy rebuild on the fly to the highest-ranked team in the field.

We’ll worry about that later. For now, this was a big, validating win: old faces, new roles, same result.

Go Vols.

Bye Week Big Board – In the Trenches and On Defense

With the Vols on their second of two bye weeks of the season, the Tennessee staff will not only take the opportunity to rest its team and develop its younger players but also reassess its 2020 recruiting board.  They’ll likely hit the road and touch base with prospects while at the same time likely handing out at least a handful of new offers.  After previously looking at the Offensive Big Board, below we’ll take a look at the Defensive and Offensive Line boards and evaluate where these prospects sit on Tennessee’s board as well as their reciprocal interest.  As a reminder, the Vols currently have 18 commitments, giving them 7-8 spots to work with and multiple needs to address:

OL

Current commitments:

James Robinson

Cooper Mays

Javontez Spraggins

Kyree Miller

Prospects:

Chris Morris (Texas A&M commitment)

Marcus Henderson

RJ Adams

Jeremy Flax (JUCO)

With four really strong OL commitments, including at least a couple who can play multiple positions once they get to college, OL is the position where the Vols both can afford to be picky and also potentially pass on adding another player altogether.  To that point, OL is almost certainly to be a Best Player Available position, where Tennessee likely fills needs elsewhere before taking another OL.  That’s speculation, and it does seem like if Chris Morris specifically called and wanted in the Vols would be hard pressed to tell them no.  Morris is a very good prospect who Tennessee has recruited for over a year, and it seems certain that they will try and get him back to Knoxville at least one time before he signs.  Henderson is a fellow Memphis native (though Morris now plays football in West Memphis, AR) whose recruitment has been a bit of a rollercoaster after starting as a highly coveted prospect, dropping off a lot of radars due to putting on bad weight, and then heating back up again thanks to a strong senior season.  He’s tentatively scheduled to OV to Tennessee for the Vanderbilt game, and from there it will be interesting to see what the Vols think.  Adams is an Under Armour All-American who likely projects more as an(other) interior OL prospect.  The former PSU commitment visited unofficially for Tennessee’s UAB weekend and by all accounts is very interested in returning for an OV.  Flax is very intriguing – a big (6’6, 320) pure OT JUCO prospect with three seasons of eligibility (ala Jahmir Johnson) that makes him less of a “risk” than your normal JUCO OL.  He’s got recent offers from UK, Louisville, and Texas Tech along with his new Vol offer.  Whether he ends up visiting or not is TBD, and his spot on the board will be better known once that is worked out.

DL

Current commitment:

Dominic Bailey

Prospects:

Tyler Baron

Octavius Oxendine

Omari Thomas

Jay Hardy (AU commitment)

Reginald Perry

Damarjhe Lewis

Yaya Diaby (JUCO)

Without a doubt a huge area of need in this (and every) class, Tennessee has put itself in a position where it can either hit a grand slam or strike out.  Bailey is a top-shelf product and a good anchor for the DL class himself, providing some positional versatility along the DL.  He’s a guy you happily take in every DL class and has been solid since his commitment many months ago.  From there, most of the board is relatively well-known.  It seems unlikely that a scenario would arise in which Tennessee wouldn’t take Baron (who some might characterize as a pass-rushing OLB but from here projects as a DL fairly soon in his career), Oxendine, and Thomas.  Those are all high-level SEC DL prospects who bring the kind of size and talent that Tennessee must continue to stack at the position.  Baron continues to flirt with Kentucky and to a lesser extent OSU, but in the end it’s really hard to see him going anywhere other than Tennessee.  Oxendine is another UT-UK battle that the Vols appear to be winning (right now), whlile Thomas is a UT-Ole Miss recruitment that will ultimately come down to head and heart (Tennessee) vs. logistics (Ole Miss) for the Memphis native.  Hardy, who most know shocked everyone by committing to the Tigers instead of the homestate Vols, is also still a take – the Vols will likely try and quickly figure out what went wrong with a legacy who visited campus upwards of a dozen times and yet chose someone else.  Whether it’s his position coach not being his main recruiter or simply not getting enough love if the staff felt he was in the bag (and by all accounts they had every reason to since he told them he was coming on multiple occasions), something happened and Tennessee needs to figure it out quickly.  Perry is a good looking prospect in his own right – big and powerful yet not lacking quickness – who is visiting officially for the Vanderbilt game.  The Vols will hope to have some clarity on at least a handful of other targets – at DL and other positions – before deciding how hard to push for him.  Lewis is a former Auburn commitment who’s stock has dropped from where it was last spring but is still a possibility for the Vols depending on how the chips fall, and Diaby is a new offer from the JUCO ranks.  Frankly, given that Tennessee loses seven(!) DL after the 2020 season due to graduation the idea of bringing in a guy who would only have one more year of eligibility after that doesn’t make a ton of sense unless the staff thinks he’s a future NFL player.

OLB

Current commitment:

Jimari Butler

Prospects:

Morven Joseph (FSU commit)

Jevon Banks (Mississippi State commit)

Simeon Barrow (Michigan State commit)

Jasheen Davis (WF commit)

Khari Coleman (Kansas commit)

Jonathan Horton

Sa’vell Smalls (Washington commit)

Butler is a guy who we’re very high on, and a nice recovery for Tennessee from an evaluation perspective after losing the commitment of BJ Ojulari to LSU.  The Vols could use at least one more edge rusher/OLB in this class, and if they got the right combination of the above they’d likely take more than one.  We broke down the board pretty thoroughly here, even before the Butler commitment, and not much has changed since.  Joseph and Banks have both scheduled for their respective official visits to Knoxville for the Vanderbilt game, while the Vols have continued to try with especially Smalls as recruiting ace Brian Niedermeyer checks on him each time he heads out on his 5-Star West Coast tour.      

ILB

Current commitment:

Bryson Eason

Martavius French

Tamarion McDonald

Prospects:

Len’neth Whitehead

Desmond Tisdol

Vai Kaho

Noah Sewell

One could make the case that only Eason will end up as an ILB from the committed group above, as French could easily project to the DL or even OLB while McDonald could end up playing some sort of Nickel/Money/Safety hybrid position.  That said, all are high level who check a lot of boxes for the Vols.  Whitehead and Tisdol are likely both Tennessee leans at this point (Tisdol has actually named the Vols as his leader) and also both multi-positional prospects who could play LB or RB, and both recruitments having seen ebbs and flows in terms of the Vols.  Whitehead was thought to be close to committing to Tennessee when he took his OV for the Georgia State debacle, then was close to pledging the South Carolina over the last couple of months.  However, with the turmoil in Columbia the Vols have sensed an opportunity and pounced, and right now Whitehead looks like Tennessee’s to lose.  Whitehead has stated his preference for playing RB, and that’s where he’ll get his first shot; however, the money here is on him realizing quickly that he can be an All-SEC LB and the defensive minded Jeremy Pruitt helping him figure that out.  Tisdol was also once a Gamecock lean, but that was after he was close to committing to Auburn first.  Per 247Sports, Auburn coaches are particularly high on his potential at LB and the Tigers have tried to circle back to him since they lost the commitment of 5-star Trenton Simpson.  Tisdol is also a good looking RB prospect.  Again however, he likely has a higher ceiling in college at ILB, and ideally the Vols would land a higher level pure RB prospect.  The question is whether or not there are enough spots to take both Whitehead AND Tisdol AND another pure RB. In terms of timing, Whitehead will likely make it back to Knoxvulle and then potentially commit before Tisdol’s OV the 12/13 weekend, though Tisdol could be incentivized to try and jump in ahead of him – Tennessee coaches will have to figure out how to manage all of that.  In the meantime, Kaho has emerged as a legitimate target at ILB.  Like Tisdol he’s on the shorter side in the 6’0-6’1 range, but the Nevada commitment from Reno has seen his stock rise of late.  The Polynesian Bowl honoree is clearly not a firm Wolfpack commitment, as his official visit to Knoxville for the Vanderbilt game will have been preceded by an OV to Colorado in October.  His brother Ale is a scholarship LB at Alabama, so distance is likely not a factor – additionally Ale is apparently universally thought to be underutilized in Tuscaloosa, so if they could “convince” him to take his talents to Tennessee by signing Vai we’d be all for it.  Just sayin’.  Sewell is a well-known prospect to UT fans and another of the 5-star players who Niedermeyer continues to try and keep the Vols involved with.  Thought to be an Oregon-Georgia battle, Sewell is a freakish player whose brother plays for the Ducks as one of if not the best OL in the country.  Obviously the Vols would prefer for him to stay out West should he not come to Knoxville, but they won’t stop trying to get Sewell back for an OV.  He’s one of a few prospects for whom the Vols would 100% make room if he wanted to come.

DB

Current commitment:

Keshawn Lawrence

Mordecai McDaniel

Art Green

Prospects:

Kendall Dennis

Emmanuel Appiah (JUCO)

Ramon Henderson

Ronald Williams (JUCO)

Joel Williams

Tommy Wright

Decamerion Richardson

The Vols have a nice group of commitments so far in the secondary, with three players who could all potentially play multiple positions.  Lawrence and McDaniel in particular are stud athletes and will bring a swagger to the Tennessee defensive backfield that has been building that with the additions of guys like Alontae Taylor, Bryce Thompson, and Jaylen McCullough.  Green has had a somewhat subpar season that has seen his stock drop according to the recruiting gurus, but he’s an early enrollee with really good size who’s played both S and CB in Junior College so as long as the coaches are sold on him there is little reason to worry. 

In a world in which numbers didn’t matter, it would make sense to add a 4th DB to this class.  Obviously that’s not the case, so it’s quite likely that in order for any of the DBs on the board to be takes it will have to be in a Best Player Available situation.  Dennis unofficially visited Knoxville a couple of times over the summer but has been thought to be an Auburn lean for a while now.  He’s tentatively scheduled for an OV for the Vanderbilt game.  Appiah is a relatively new addition to the board and is another DB who the Vols and Auburn could battle it out for.  The NJ native is a close friend of Jarrett Guarantano and has had a huge season.  He’s also an EE, which makes him a more attractive prospect as someone more likely to make a quick impact.  He’s scheduled to visit the 12/13 weekend.  Henderson is a relatively new name on the board and someone Tee Martin has been quietly working on.  A guy who could play on either side of the ball, Henderson is another EE scheduled for the Vanderbilt game and the 4-star will decide between OU, Notre Dame, UCLA, Utah and the Vols.  Ronald Williams has become a much more highly coveted prospect with recent offers from the likes of Alabama, while Joel Williams has been on the scene for a while and is a former UF commitment whose interest in and from the Vols has vacillated throughout the process.  Neither those two nor Wright and Richardson – two other recent offers – currently have OVs scheduled to Tennessee right now. 

Tennessee vs Washington Preview

The good news: a bye week isn’t really a bye week when your basketball team is playing a Top 20 opponent. The bad news: because everyone not on a bye is still playing football, all your television channels are spoken for. So we welcome the Vols to ESPN+, which means you can watch this game for $4.99 (per month if you don’t cancel it) or as part of an expanded Disney+ subscription.

A tangent: Tennessee’s football media guide includes a section called “Vols On Television”, a ludicrous premise to anyone under the age of 30. You have to go back to a game between the 4-4 Vols and Memphis in November 1994 to find the last time a Tennessee football game simply wasn’t available to watch. But between 1989 all the way up to the first game of the Butch Jones era, VideoSeat carried 47 Tennessee football games on pay per view; some who lived outside the Volunteer State in the latter part of that run will remember fondly the old ESPN GamePlan package carrying these games. The first one of those PPV games is the most famous: September 9, 1989, when the Vols went to #6 UCLA late on the east coast and rolled to a 24-6 victory, sparking Tennessee’s “decade” of dominance from 1989-2001. The media guide lists the Vols as 46-1 in those games (thanks, Wyoming); it’s the nature of the beast that they’d be less interesting.

Even the term “pay per view” seems strange now unless you’re a wrestling fan, and it may fade from that vocabulary too over time. The good news for basketball: the Vols aren’t playing Austin Peay, and you’re getting #20 Washington at a much better price.

The Huskies leaped from the also receiving votes pile with a stunning comeback against #16 Baylor in the Armed Forces Classic from Anchorage. Baylor went up 10 with 5:38 to play. They hit a single free throw the rest of the way home.

Tennessee might see each of the three highest-rated freshmen in college basketball this season. We’ll see what happens with James Wiseman at number one. Anthony Edwards – there’s two o’s in Goose – is at Georgia, he’s number two. And number three is Isaiah Stewart, a 6’9″ 245 lbs. forward at UDub. They threw him in the fire right away with 36 minutes against Baylor, and he went 7-of-13 for 15 points and 7 rebounds. Fellow 6’9″ Top 10 freshman Jaden McDaniels played 33 minutes and had 18 points, going 7-of-8 at the line.

The leading scorer was 6’6″ junior Nahziah Carter with 23 points on 4-of-6 from the arc. And you’ll remember Quade Green, who transferred from Kentucky. He scored double figures in each of the 2018 UT/UK games; it’s a different role here, as he had only two points but dished out nine assists for the Huskies in the opener.

Washington was already pulling in elite talent: Markelle Fultz was the top pick in the 2017 draft, and Matisse Thybulle is getting 15 minutes a night as a rookie with the Sixers. But the transition from Lorenzo Romar to Mike Hopkins following a 9-22 finish with both of them on the roster has led to actual wins. Hopkins was an assistant at Syracuse for more than 20 years, the coach-in-waiting for Jim Boeheim who, it seems, got tired of waiting. Washington rebounded to 21-13 and an NIT appearance in Hopkins’ first year, then 27-9 with a Pac-12 title last season. They routed Utah State in an 8/9 game, then got routed by North Carolina.

After finishing 224th in KenPom’s defensive efficiency ratings in 2017, Hopkins has made defense the focus: 73rd in 2018, 18th last season, and 13th in the early stages this year. The big freshmen protect the rim, and they do not tolerate nonsense: McDaniels and 6’9″ junior Hameir Wright each blocked four shots in the opener, then Stewart got five against Mount St. Mary’s. If we don’t get at least one good showdown between Yves Pons and one of these dudes, I’ll be disappointed.

So there are obvious issues for Tennessee in going against a lineup featuring three 6’9″ guys. It’s a thin bench for Washington, so foul trouble becomes an issue both ways. The Vols haven’t done much in the way of getting to the line in the first two games, and are shooting just 60% when they arrive. What Tennessee did do was torch Murray State from the arc at 12-of-22. Getting a high volume of shots from three was sometimes a sign of trouble last season. But without Williams, Schofield, and Alexander, the Vols may lean more toward the three this season. Washington’s excellent rim protection should be a good indicator of how Barnes sees that dilemma.

But what also comes with playing a bunch of freshmen: turnovers. The Huskies survived 20 in the opener, then added 15 including five from McDaniels against Mount St. Mary’s. The Huskies are giving it away on 25.1% of their possessions. That’s opportunity.

Here’s a phrase you don’t really use when you spend a month at number one, but might be applicable some this season: Washington might be a bad match-up for Tennessee. This combination of size and skill is rare, and will be the biggest test for Pons, Fulkerson, and certainly Nkamhoua to date. You won’t see much of the Huskies playing so far away, but they’ll be worth keeping an eye on; the Bracket Matrix has them as a nine seed, but the ceiling is obviously quite high.

This first run of marquee non-conference foes features Tennessee – a seven seed in the Bracket Matrix – going against teams right on their level. Washington is ranked 20th, and all four teams in the Emerald Coast Classic – the Vols, Florida State, VCU, and Purdue – are between 26-32 in also receiving votes. Group them together, and 2-1 would be a job well done. But we’re not used to thinking that way after last season…and there’s no reason to start until losing makes you.

Can the more experienced Vols impose their will, turn Washington over, and shoot well enough from three to get the win in Toronto? The first real answers will come Saturday at 5:00 PM on ESPN+.

Go Vols.

Looking back on the Vols’ 2017 coaching candidates

This past summer, after Jeremy Pruitt had his first full season as Tennessee’s head coach under his belt, we looked back on the long list of Vols’ coaching candidates to see how they did in 2018 relative to Pruitt. Now that Pruitt has turned a 1-4 beginning in 2019 into a 4-1 hot streak, we thought we’d use the second bye week of the season to take another peek.

This is a long post. The details of each candidate’s updates are below, but I’ve included my own re-ranking both here at the top and at the bottom for the sake of convenience and in the interest of fighting back against carpal tunnel.

Here’s my re-ranking as of right now:

Good bets

  1. Dan Mullen
  2. Jeremy Pruitt
  3. Jimbo Fisher
  4. Gary Patterson
  5. Matt Campbell
  6. Justin Fuente
  7. Mike Norvell
  8. Mike Leach
  9. Les Miles
  10. P.J. Fleck
  11. Joe Moorhead
  12. Jeff Brohm

Calculated risks

  1. Lane Kiffin
  2. Chip Kelly
  3. Jon Gruden
  4. Charlie Strong
  5. Scott Frost
  6. Mel Tucker
  7. Mike Bobo

Unknowns (as head coach)

  1. Brent Venables
  2. Kevin Steele
  3. Tee Martin

Goodness, what did we almost do?

  1. Chad Morris
  2. Willie Taggart
  3. Greg Schiano
  4. Bobby Petrino
  5. D.J. Durkin

Head coaches hired as head coaches

1. Dan Mullen

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Florida
  • Went 10-3 (5-3), tied for 2nd in the SEC East
  • Beat No. 23 Mississippi State, No. 5 LSU, and No. 7 Michigan
  • Only losses were to Kentucky, Missouri, and No. 7 Georgia

2019 so far

  • Currently 8-2 (5-2), 2nd in the SEC East
  • Beat then No. 7 Auburn, 24-13
  • Lost to then No. 5 LSU 42-28 and No. 8 Georgia 24-17
  • Team is currently No. 11 in the CFP rankings
  • On pace to exceed GRT 2019 expectations

2. Jimbo Fisher

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Texas A&M
  • Went 9-4 (5-3), tied for 2nd in the SEC West, No. 16 in both polls
  • Beat No. 13 Kentucky, No. 7 LSU, a bunch of others; lost by only 2 to No. 2 Clemson

2019 so far

  • Currently 6-3 (3-2), 4th in the SEC West
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • Lost to No. 1 Clemson 24-10, No. 8 Auburn 28-20, and No. 1 Alabama 47-28
  • Not ranked in the CFP rankings
  • On pace to meet or exceed GRT 2019 expectations

3. Willie Taggart

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Florida State
  • Went 5-7 (3-5), tied for 5th in the ACC Atlantic
  • Beat No. 20 Boston College, but lost to No. 20 Virginia Tech, No. 17 Miami, No. 2 Clemson, No. 21 NC State, No. 3 Notre Dame, No. 11, and unranked Syracuse.

2019

  • Fired mid-season after a 4-5 (3-4) start capped by a 27-10 loss to rival Miami

4. Jon Gruden

2018

  • Hired as head coach at the NFL’s Oakland Raiders
  • Went 4-12, beating only Cleveland (in OT), Arizona (by 2), Pittsburgh (by 3), and Denver

2019 so far

  • Currently 5-4, 2nd in the AFC West

5. Scott Frost

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Nebraska
  • Went 4-8 (3-6); Beat only Minnesota, Bethune-Cookman, Illinois, and Michigan State, all unranked

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (2-4), 6th in the Big Ten West
  • Only wins over South Alabama, Northern Illinois, Illinois, Northwestern
  • Currently on a three-game losing streak to then-unranked teams

Coordinators hired as head coaches

1A. Joe Moorhead

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Mississippi State
  • Went 8-5 (4-4), 4th in SEC West
  • Beat No. 8 Auburn, No. 16 Texas A&M, and others; finished No. 25 in the Coaches Poll

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (2-4), 5th in the SEC West
  • Lost four of the past five games, with the lone win coming against an Arkansas team that just fired its Year 2 coach
  • Will fail to meet GRT 2019 expectations by at least two games

1B. Jeremy Pruitt

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Tennessee
  • Went 5-7 (2-6), last in the SEC East
  • Beat No. 21 Auburn and No. 11 Kentucky, but lost to No. 1 Alabama, No. 2 Georgia, No. 17 West Virginia, and unranked Florida, South Carolina, Missouri, and Vanderbilt

2019 so far

  • Currently 5-5 (3-3), 3rd in the SEC East
  • Won four of the last five games, with the one loss coming to No. 1 Alabama
  • Two bad losses to unranked teams to begin the season
  • Other three losses all to Top 10 teams
  • On pace to meet GRT 2019 expectations overall, to exceed expectations for the SEC

3. Chip Kelly

2018

  • Hired as head coach at UCLA
  • Went 3-9 (3-6), 5th in the Pac-12 South
  • Only wins were against California, Arizona, and USC, all unranked

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (4-2), 3rd in the Pac 12 South
  • Started the season 1-5 (1-2)
  • Currently on a three-game win streak, which includes a win over No. 24 Arizona State

4. Chad Morris

2018

  • Hired as head coach at Arkansas
  • Went 2-10 (0-8), last in the SEC West
  • Only beat Eastern Illinois and Tulsa

2019 so far

  • Fired mid-season after a 2-8 (0-6) start, on the heels of a non-competitive seven-game losing streak

Candidates who got fired shortly after we were talking about hiring them

The next three guys not only didn’t get any offer compelling enough to move somewhere, they couldn’t even keep their existing jobs for one more season.

Greg Schiano

2018

  • Remained as defensive coordinator at Ohio State in 2018.
  • When Urban Meyer was suspended for three games, he handed the reins not to Schiano but to offensive coordinator Ryan Day.
  • The Buckeyes defense was not as good in 2018, and when Meyer retired at the end of the season, Day was made head coach. He did not retain Schiano after the season.
  • Schiano was hired as defensive coordinator for New England in February, 2019, but left after only a month.

2019 so far

  • Likely to return to Rutgers to take the open head coaching job

Bobby Petrino

2018

  • Remained at Louisville as head coach until he was fired in November
  • Team went 2-10 (0-8), last in ACC Atlantic
  • Only wins were against Indiana State and Western Kentucky

2019 so far

  • Back on the coaching carousel this November

D.J. Durkin

2018

In fall camp last year, a player died, and allegations of toxic culture under Durkin led to his suspension. He was later reinstated for a day and then fired.

2019 so far

Currently a consultant for the Atlanta Falcons.

Head coaches who stayed put

1. Mike Leach

2018

  • Basically hired by John Currie, who apparently did not have the authority to do so
  • Stayed at Washington State
  • Went 11-2 (7-2) and tied for first in the Pac-12 North
  • Beat No. 12 Oregon, No. 24 Stanford, but lost to No. 16 Washington. Beat No. 24 Iowa State in the Valero Alamo Bowl
  • Finished No. 10 in the AP and Coaches polls

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (1-5), 6th in the Pac 12 North
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • Lost five of the last six games

2. Les Miles (former head coach, unemployed in both 2017 and 2018)

2018

  • Not hired by anyone until after the season.
  • Now head coach at Kansas for 2019

2019 so far

  • Currently 3-6 (1-5), 9th in the Big 12
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • Lost five of the last six games, although this stretch includes a two-point loss to No. 15 Texas
  • Has Kansas much more competitive than in the past

3. Matt Campbell

2018

  • Remained at Iowa State as head coach
  • Went 8-5 (6-3), tied for 3rd in the Big 12
  • Beat No. 25 Oklahoma State, No. 6 West Virginia, and several others

2019 so far

  • Currently 5-4 (3-3), 4th in the Big 12
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • Two one-point losses to No. 19 Iowa and No. 9 Oklahoma

4. Mike Norvell

2018

  • Remained at Memphis as head coach
  • Went 8-6 (5-3), tied for 1st in the American West
  • No wins against ranked teams

2019 so far

  • Currently 8-1 (4-1), 3rd in the American Athletic West
  • One win over a ranked team: 54-48 over No. 15 SMU
  • Currently No. 18 in the CFP rankings

5. Gary Patterson

2018

  • Stayed at TCU as head coach
  • Went 7-6 (4-5), tied for 5th in the Big 12
  • No wins against ranked teams

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (2-4), 7th in the Big 12
  • Beat No. 15 Texas, 37-27
  • Lost to No. 12 Baylor, 29-23 in 3OT
  • All losses but one (to Iowa State) were one-possession games

6. Charlie Strong

2018

  • Stayed at South Florida as head coach
  • Went 7-6 (3-5), 4th in American East
  • No wins against ranked teams, and lost last six games

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (2-3), 4th in the American Athletic East
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • Only game against a ranked opponent resulted in a 49-0 loss to No. 19 Wisconsin
  • Two opportunities against No. 17 Cincinnati and No. 18 Memphis up next

7. P.J. Fleck

2018

  • Remained as head coach at Minnesota
  • Went 7-6 (3-6), tied for 5th in the Big 10 West
  • No wins against ranked teams

2019 so far

  • Currently 9-0 (6-0), 1st in the Big Ten West
  • One win over a ranked opponent, but it was a good one: 31-26 over No. 4 Penn State
  • Two more opportunities against ranked opponents to close out the season (No. 20 Iowa tomorrow and No. 14 Wisconsin on 11/30)

8. Justin Fuente

2018

  • Remained at Virginia Tech as head coach
  • Went 6-7 (4-4), tied for 3rd in ACC Coastal
  • Beat No. 19 Florida State, No. 22 Duke

2019 so far

  • Currently 6-3 (3-2), 3rd in the ACC Coastal
  • One win over a ranked team: 36-17 over No. 19 Wake Forest
  • One-point loss to No. 16 Notre Dame
  • Two other losses were one-possession to Boston College and a blowout loss to Duke

9. Jeff Brohm

2018

  • Remained at Purdue for his second season
  • Went 6-7 (5-4) and tied for second in the Big 10 West
  • Beat No. 2 Ohio State, No. 16 Iowa, and No. 23 Boston College, but lost to Northwestern, Eastern Michigan, Missouri, Michigan State, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Auburn, all unranked

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-6 (3-4), 5th in the Big Ten West
  • No wins over ranked teams
  • One-possession loss to No. 23 Iowa

10. Lane Kiffin

2018

  • Remained at Florida Atlantic as head coach
  • Went 5-7 (3-5), 5th in C-USA East
  • No wins against ranked teams

2019 so far

  • Currently 7-3 (5-1), 1st in Conference USA East
  • Two losses against No. 5 Ohio State and No. 18 UCF to start the season, then 7-1 the rest of the way

11. Mike Bobo

2018

  • Remained as head coach at Colorado State
  • Sidelined by health issues early, and team went 3-9 (2-6), 5th in MWC Mountain
  • Only wins were Arkansas, San Jose State, and New Mexico

2019 so far

  • Currently 4-5 (3-2), 4th in Mountain West Mountain
  • No wins over (or losses to) ranked teams

Coordinators who stayed put (at the time)

1. Brent Venables

2018

  • Remained at Clemson as DC
  • 5th nationally, 2nd in the ACC in total defense last year

2019 so far

  • Still at Clemson as DC
  • 4th nationally, 1st in the ACC in total defense

2. Mel Tucker

2018

  • Remained at Georgia as DC. Hired as head coach at Colorado for 2019.
  • 13th nationally and 2nd in the SEC in total defense last year

2019 so far

  • First year as head coach at Colorado
  • Currently 4-6 (2-5), 6th in the Pac 12 South
  • Two wins over then-ranked teams: 34-31 OT over No. 25 Nebraska, 34-31 over then No. 24 Arizona State
  • 1-5 over the last six games
  • Colorado was 5-7 each of the past two seasons before Tucker arrived

3. Kevin Steele

2018

  • Remained at Auburn as defensive coordinator
  • 38th nationally and 8th in the SEC in total defense

2019 so far

  • Still at Auburn as DC
  • 28th nationally and 4th in the SEC in total defense

4. Tee Martin

2018

  • Remained at USC as OC; was released along with most of the staff in late November
  • 83rd nationally and 10th in the Pac-12 in total offense last season
  • Hired as a wide receivers coach at Tennessee

2019 so far

  • Still coaching wide receivers at Tennessee

Re-ranking the 2017 Tennessee coaching candidates

Based on all of that, here’s how I’d rank them as of right now:

Good bets

  1. Dan Mullen
  2. Jeremy Pruitt
  3. Jimbo Fisher
  4. Gary Patterson
  5. Matt Campbell
  6. Justin Fuente
  7. Mike Norvell
  8. Mike Leach
  9. Les Miles
  10. P.J. Fleck
  11. Joe Moorhead
  12. Jeff Brohm

Calculated risks

  1. Lane Kiffin
  2. Chip Kelly
  3. Jon Gruden
  4. Charlie Strong
  5. Scott Frost
  6. Mel Tucker
  7. Mike Bobo

Unknowns (as head coach)

  1. Brent Venables
  2. Kevin Steele
  3. Tee Martin

Goodness, what did we almost do?

  1. Chad Morris
  2. Willie Taggart
  3. Greg Schiano
  4. Bobby Petrino
  5. D.J. Durkin

Your turn

What about you? How would you rank those guys now?

SPM picks: Week 12

Tennessee’s off again this week, so I figured we’d use this spot for an SPM update and its favorite picks for the week.

The SPM’s performance so far in 2019

This week, the SPM went 25-23 (52.08%) overall. When the difference between the SPM spread and the Vegas spread was over a certain pre-determined number (the “confidence threshold”), the SPM was 12-5 (70.59%), and when the difference was over that number but under another pre-determined number (the “confidence range”), the SPM was 7-2 (77.78%).

For the season, the SPM is now 277-257 (51.87%) overall, 121-89 (57.62%) over the confidence threshold, and 70-37 (65.42%) in the confidence range.

SP+ finished last week at 26-22 (54.17%) and is still 55% on the season. Our SPM has had its legs for over a month now, but it still hasn’t caught up to SP+ for the season.

SPM favorite picks this week

Here are the SPM’s favorite picks for this week:

What do y’all think?

Bye Week Big Board – Offense

With the Vols on their second of two bye weeks of the season, the Tennessee staff will not only take the opportunity to rest its team and develop its younger players but also reassess its 2020 recruiting board.  They’ll likely hit the road and touch base with prospects while at the same time likely handing out at least a handful of new offers.  Below we’ll take a look at the Offensive Board by position and evaluate where these prospects sit on Tennessee’s board as well as their reciprocal interest.  As a reminder, the Vols currently have 18 commitments, giving them 7-8 spots to work with and multiple needs to address:

QB

Current commitment: Harrison Bailey

Prospect:

Jimmy Holiday

Holiday is a TCU commitment from Madison, MS who has shined over the course of his senior season.  We featured him in an article talking about the need for playmakers in early October, after which Holiday took an official visit to Tennessee in October for the UGA weekend.  While it’s unclear whether or not TCU is recruiting him as a QB or as more of an ATH (read: WR), what’s not in doubt is the fact that Holiday considers himself a QB.  The Vols have told him that they will absolutely give him his first opportunity at QB, which seems to have resonated with him.  Bottom line is he’s ~6’0 and 180 pounds, runs a sub-4.4 40 and notched the 7th best overall SPARQ score at a Nike Regional event over the summer that included over 300 other prospects – and ALL of that translates on film. Whether or not the Vols need another QB in this class is up for debate, which is why the fact that Holiday projects as an electric playmaker with the ball in his hands no matter where he ends up a more valuable prospect for Tennessee.  Holiday took his OV to TCU over the summer, so the Horned Frogs won’t get a chance to host him in that manner again.  He’s been committed to them for a while now, so flipping him won’t be particularly easy, but the chance to play QB and play in the SEC could be enough if the Vols decide to push.

RB

Current commitment: Tee Hodge

Prospects*:

Zaquandre White (JUCO)

Ty Jordan – Texas commitment

John Gentry – Arkansas decommitment

Don Ragsdale (JUCO) – USM commitment

Like QB, one could make the case that Tennessee doesn’t need another RB in this class.  All three of Tennessee’s RBs who have played this season – Ty Chandler, Tim Jordan, and Eric Gray – have eligibility remaining, and even the one senior in the RB room in Carlin Fils-aime could potentially redshirt and return.  Hodge’s senior season has been plagued by injury and he hasn’t put up monster stats, but there is a reason that schools like Wisconsin and Oregon wanted him up to when he committed to the Vols over the summer, and in the Badger’s case continue to try.  Hodge looks like a solid and capable SEC RB, something that’s not to be understated.  And assuming all of the above return in 2020 that would give Tennessee four (or five, pending CFA) RBs.  It would also set them up to need at least two in 2021, which in theory is precarious.  However, at the same time that would give the Vols a tremendous sales pitch.  Because for all of the great things that Jeremy Pruitt has done in terms of upgrading the talent and depth in the program, one sore spot he’s so far failed to correct is Tennessee’s decade-long inability to land a bigtime, no-brainer, blue-chip 5-star RB.  While Eric Gray was a highly regarded and coveted prospect, he’s just not on the level of the kind of RBs that the likes of Alabama and Georgia have been adding literally year after year, sometimes landing more than one in a class.  There are still more than a few things that Tennessee needs to do to reach the next level of truly going toe-to-toe with the Tide and Bulldogs as well as competing for championships, but having that kind of gamebreaking RB is one of them.  That has to be considered an absolute MUST for 2021.

As for the RBs on the board should the Vols choose to add one more, it’s an interesting group.  Given the above, on the one hand it makes sense to add a JUCO who would bring maturity and experience to a potentially shorthanded group. On the other hand, if the concern is more about who is around past 2020 then a JUCO makes less sense.  Either way, White is seemingly the most likely to make an instant impact, as he has the strongest pedigree as a former 4-star FSU signee and has had a nice sophomore year in Junior College.  The Vols have been on him for a while but so far he hasn’t been to campus since Pruitt was the coach, although it should be noted that he’s not been anywhere else either this year.  Jordan is the other one of the group who the Vols have been recruiting for some time, and he took an OV to Knoxville this summer before ultimately deciding to stay close to home, at least partially due to an illness in the family.  With the Vols adding a commitment from his high school teammate OL Kyree Miller, however, Volquest.com has reported that Tennessee has reengaged at least a little with Jordan.  Ultimately it seems hard to see the small but very dynamic back opting to leave the state, but like with most if not all prospects Tennessee covets they likely won’t stop trying.  The last three RBs on the board are all very new offers – with Tennessee tendering each of them in the past week or so.  Gentry is another Lone Star state standout, and Arkansas’s firing of Coach Chad Morris caused him to back off of his pledge to the Razorbacks.  Gentry seems like a Utah lean and as of this writing Amos appears to be ready to jump in the sinking ship that is Gamecock football, so those two could be off the board before Tennessee has time to gain any footing. Finally, Ragsdale, the newest offeree, is the second JUCO on the board and is currently committed to homestate Southern Mississippi.  He’s a big, powerful back whose film shows some impressive shiftiness but a lack of top end speed – think a bigger Tim Jordan while at the same time thinking of your prototypical Southern Miss RB. 

*It is very important to note that Tennessee is recruiting both Desmond Tisdol and Len’neth Whitehead as Athletes who could play both RB or ILB.  Both of them are high level prospects and both could possibly be considered Vol leans at this point (with the South Carolina implosion moving the needle for both).  That said, not only is there still a need for another ILB in the class, but I have a hard time seeing Jeremy Pruitt put bigtime players on offense when he has a choice of keeping them on the defensive side.  Therefore for these purposes neither prospect is being counted on the RB board

WR

Current commitments: Jalin Hyatt, Jimmy Calloway, and Darion Williamson

Prospect(s):

Rakim Jarrett (LSU commitment)

Thaiu Jones-Bell (Alabama commitment)

Dee Beckwith

With the impending graduation of two potential All-SEC players in Jajuan Jennings and Marquez Callaway, Tennessee’s passing game is inevitably going to look different in 2020.  Whether it ends up worse is TBD, as the move of UGA transfer Deangelo Gibbs from DB to WR and the decision to redshirt the dependable soon-to-be 5th year senior Brandon Johnson will give the Vols some veterans that they didn’t necessarily think would be there when the season started.  At the same time, freshmen Cedric Tillman, Ramel Keyton and Jerrod Means have gotten some real playing time this season, giving the Vols some more experience as well.  And of course Josh Palmer will be in line to take over as the headliner of the group.  Finally, in the second year of OC Jim Chaney’s system there could be more involvement in the passing game for both the TEs (especially if they add the stud prospect below) and RBs. 

That said, Tennessee needs an infusion of both quantity and quality at the position in the 2020 class, and although they have three commitments they could stand to add at least one more and are recruiting as such.  Even more because Calloway is still looking to take visits – to at least OU if not also UK and maybe homestate UGA if they end up offering – and Williamson has visited Memphis this season and also is less likely to be a Year 1 contributor given his inseason knee injury.  Tennessee was thought to be the leader for Jarrett in the spring until he made a surprising commitment to LSU (no one knew at that point their offense would resemble the Greatest Show on Turf), and even a summer official visit to Knoxville wasn’t enough to flip him.  The Vols have continued to stay in touch and so far Jarrett hasn’t told them a final “no,” while at the same time taking a late October OV to Alabama, but that one looks like an uphill battle.  Similarly, Tennessee was 1B to Alabama’s 1A when Jones-Bell committed over the summer, with some actually thinking that he was going to announce for the Vols.  An unofficial visit to Knoxville for the South Carolina game was a great sign for Tennessee – now it will be about getting an official visit for the December signee.  He’s talked about taking his OV to Bama the second to last weekend before the early signing period and then to Knoxville for the last weekend; in theory that sets up well for the Vols but one can be sure that Alabama will do everything it can to shut that down when he’s in Tuscaloosa.  Volquest.com has hinted that Jones-Bell’s mother isn’t a big fan of the Tide and she did accompany him on that recent trip to Knoxville.  Ultimately it could prove too difficult to flip a Bama commitment who the Tide is all in on, but the Vols are very much in the thick of it for an instant impact pass catcher.  The final player on the board is arguably the most interesting, as Beckwith is not only a multi-positional player on the gridiron but also a high level basketball player.  He’s now been offered the chance to play both sports at Tennessee to go with his other top schools like Florida (arguably Tennessee’s top competition), Ole Miss and instate Auburn.  At 6-5, 215 pounds he shows uncanny agility playing part-time  QB for his high school team while also WR/TE and even RB.  He’d be a Swiss Army Knife kind of player for Chaney, capable of playing Wildcat QB (and passing, too) while also both running and catching the football.  Beckwith is probably the most likely of the three and the Vols would do well to add him to the collection of WR talent they already have committed.  Should they combine him with either of Jarrett or Jones-Bell the Vols would have hit a grand slam at the position in the timeliest manner possible.

TE

Current commitments: None

Prospect: Darnell Washington

We’ve made the argument that Washington is the only TE the Vols should attempt sign.  Since then he’s made an unofficial visit to Knoxville for the UAB game, making it close to a half dozen visits to Tennessee since last year.  He also took his Alabama official visit this past weekend, which by all accounts helped the Tide get back into the race.  Georgia is still considered one of his top choices, and he’s taking an OV to Oregon this coming weekend.  That will leave him one more OV, which the Vols will be fighting Miami for.  Indications from 247 Sports are that he’s more likely to visit Knoxville than Coral Gables, and if he does so you really have to like Tennessee’s chances here.  The Vols have had uber-recruiter Brian Niedermeyer on Washington from the get-go, and will have gotten not only Washington’s last official visit but two of his final four campus visits overall and the chance to make the final impression.  Washington is a certain Day 1 starter at Tennessee and would instantly help the Vols recoup some of what will be lost in the passing game with the graduation of Jennings and Callaway. em

Tennessee vs Murray State Preview

The Racers – home of one of my favorite college sports logos – are more than the school of Ja Morant. The number two pick in June’s draft is averaging 18.6 points with the Memphis Grizzlies; Murray State went 26-6 and 28-5 in his two seasons, knocking off Marquette in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last year.

Murray State has long been one of the best stepping stones for coaches. This is Matt McMahon’s fifth year; before him it was Steve Prohm (to Iowa State), Billy Kennedy (to Texas A&M), and Mick Cronin (to Cincinnati). It’s a program accustomed to winning, and though Morant is gone, I wouldn’t take them lightly. Guard Tevin Brown led the way with 17 points in their 20-point win over Southern (349th in KenPom) in the opener, on par with Tennessee’s level of competition against UNC Asheville. And 6’10” K.J. Williams had 15 points and 11 rebounds.

Brown was a high-percentage shooter last season; Morant’s play led to lots of open shots for other guys. That was even more true for Williams, who shot 71% inside the arc, eighth nationally in two point field goal percentage. Tennessee’s defense will have an opportunity to frustrate them more than they’re used to.

It was one game, but a couple of things jumped out for the Vols statistically. Tennessee grabbed 17 offensive rebounds – Pons with five, Fulkerson and Nkamhoua with four each – for a 48.6% offensive rebounding percentage. The Vols were a Top 75 team in that category the last two years; just one game, but it was nice to see the undersized Vols continue to get in the mix there.

If you’re bothered by UNC Asheville being remotely competitive with the Vols, consider a small tip of the cap to them for making tough shots. The Bulldogs had 24 made shots but had only four assists, an excellent team defensive effort from the Vols. There will be nights when Tennessee’s individual defensive efforts – staying in front of guys off the dribble, undersized post match-ups – are an issue. But for a team with so many new pieces and changing roles, Tennessee’s team defense was really good against UNC Asheville.

Murray State is an excellent step up on the way to Toronto, where Washington awaits on Saturday (excellent scheduling for a bye week!). The Huskies beat Baylor in the opener and feature Kentucky transfer Quade Green, among others. KenPom likes the Vols to beat the Racers by 13 and calls the Huskies a toss-up. Things will get real in a hurry; Murray State is a great test to see if these Vols are up to speed.

7:00 PM Wait, 9:00 PM? What? On the actual SEC Network. Go Vols.

College Football TV Schedule: Week 12

The Vols are off this week, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing for Tennessee fans to watch. Here’s when and where to find the games that matter most to Vols fans, along with some suggestions on how and why to watch them.

The list curated just for Vols fans is up first, but there’s a full schedule following that so you can curate your own if you like.

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
Western Michigan Ohio 7:30 PM ESPN2 Channel Hop It's football
Eastern Michigan Akron 8:00 PM ESPNU Channel Hop It's football

Do you care about certain geographical areas of Michigan and/or cities in Ohio? No? Do you like a little football better than no football? Yes? Okay, then.

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
Bowling Green Miami (OH) 8:00 PM ESPNU Channel Hop It's football
Northern Illinois Toledo 8:00 PM ESPN2 Channel Hop It's football

Do the good people of Ohio not believe in football on Saturdays anymore?

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
Buffalo Kent State 7:00 PM CBSSN Channel Hop It's football
North Carolina Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ESPN Channel Hop It's football

Now that we’ve exhausted all of The Other Ohio state schools, we can get to some Power 5 teams. Well, two of them anyway.

Friday, November 15, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
Louisiana Tech Marshall 7:00 PM CBSSN Channel Hop It's football
Fresno State San Diego State 9:30 PM ESPN2 Channel Hop It's football

Never mind. But tomorrow’s Gameday!

Gameday, November 16, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON
#9 Penn State #2 Ohio State 12:00 PM FOX Live Top 10 matchup
AFTERNOON
Texas A&M #4 Georgia 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop Former Vols opponent
East Tennessee State Vanderbilt 3:30 PM SEC ALTERNATE DVR / Check in Future Vols opponent
#19 Texas #13 Baylor 3:30 PM FS1 Channel Hop Top 20 matchup
EVENING
Tennessee Missouri 7:30 PM SECN Live Go Vols

Vols fans can get a look at Tennessee’s next opponent at noon on Saturday when the Missouri Tigers host the Florida Gators on CBS. Immediately following that one, No. 6 Georgia and No. 11 Auburn face off on the same channel, although Tennessee’s final opponent — Vanderbilt — is on at the same time on the SEC Network, so DVR that one for later reference.

The evening slot features No. 9 Oklahoma and No. 12 Baylor at 7:30 on ABC.

Enjoy!

Full searchable college football TV schedule

Date Away Home Time TV
11/12/19 Western Michigan Ohio 7:30 PM ESPN2
11/12/19 Eastern Michigan Akron 8:00 PM ESPNU
11/13/19 Bowling Green Miami (OH) 8:00 PM ESPNU
11/13/19 Northern Illinois Toledo 8:00 PM ESPN2
11/14/19 Buffalo Kent State 7:00 PM CBSSN
11/14/19 North Carolina Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ESPN
11/15/19 Louisiana Tech Marshall 7:00 PM CBSSN
11/15/19 Fresno State San Diego State 9:30 PM ESPN2
11/16/19 #3 Alabama Mississippi State 12:00 PM ESPN
11/16/19 Indiana #4 Penn State 12:00 PM ABC
11/16/19 #10 Florida Missouri 12:00 PM CBS
11/16/19 #13 Wisconsin Nebraska 12:00 PM BTN
11/16/19 Michigan State #14 Michigan 12:00 PM FOX
11/16/19 Kansas #23 Oklahoma State 12:00 PM FS1
11/16/19 UMass Northwestern 12:00 PM BTN
11/16/19 TCU Texas Tech 12:00 PM ESPN2
11/16/19 VMI Army 12:00 PM CBSSN
11/16/19 Alabama State Florida State 12:00 PM ACCNX
11/16/19 Tulane Temple 12:00 PM ESPNU
11/16/19 UTEP UAB 1:00 PM ESPN3
11/16/19 #24 Navy #15 Notre Dame 2:30 PM NBC
11/16/19 Idaho State BYU 3:00 PM ESPN3
11/16/19 Coastal Carolina Arkansas State 3:00 PM ESPN+
11/16/19 UL Monroe Georgia Southern 3:00 PM ESPN+
11/16/19 Troy Texas State 3:00 PM ESPN3
11/16/19 #1 Ohio State Rutgers 3:30 PM BTN
11/16/19 #19 Wake Forest #5 Clemson 3:30 PM ABC
11/16/19 #6 Georgia #11 Auburn 3:30 PM CBS
11/16/19 West Virginia #16 Kansas State 3:30 PM ESPN
11/16/19 #21 Memphis Houston 3:30 PM ESPN2
11/16/19 Central Michigan Ball State 3:30 PM CBSSN
11/16/19 Virginia Tech Georgia Tech 3:30 PM ACCNX
11/16/19 Kentucky Vanderbilt 3:30 PM SECN
11/16/19 Texas Iowa State 3:30 PM FS1
11/16/19 #17 Minnesota #18 Iowa 4:00 PM FOX
11/16/19 Syracuse Duke 4:00 PM ACCN
11/16/19 Incarnate Word New Mexico State 4:00 PM
11/16/19 Wyoming Utah State 4:00 PM ESPNU
11/16/19 Hawai'i UNLV 4:00 PM
11/16/19 Rice Middle Tennessee 4:30 PM ESPN+
11/16/19 Stanford Washington State 4:30 PM PAC12
11/16/19 Louisiana South Alabama 5:00 PM ESPN+
11/16/19 Southern Mississippi UTSA 6:00 PM ESPN+
11/16/19 #2 LSU Ole Miss 7:00 PM ESPN
11/16/19 #20 Cincinnati South Florida 7:00 PM CBSSN
11/16/19 Air Force Colorado State 7:00 PM ESPN2
11/16/19 #9 Oklahoma #12 Baylor 7:30 PM ABC
11/16/19 South Carolina Texas A&M 7:30 PM SECN
11/16/19 Louisville NC State 7:30 PM ACCN
11/16/19 Arizona State Oregon State 7:30 PM FS1
11/16/19 Appalachian State Georgia State 7:30 PM ESPNU
11/16/19 UCLA #8 Utah 8:00 PM FOX
11/16/19 New Mexico #22 Boise State 10:15 PM ESPN2
11/16/19 Arizona #7 Oregon 10:30 PM ESPN
11/16/19 USC California 11:00 PM FS1

Early Bye Week Recruiting Musings

The more I think about the pickup of OLB Jimari Butler the more I love it.  Yes, the loss of BJ Ojulari was a big blow to the class, particularly given Tennessee’s need for pass rushers both immediately in 2020 and when looking out vis a vis the current roster.  And yes, Butler is raw and relatively underrecruited (for now).  But like we’ve noted, Pruitt has a pretty darn good track record for talent evaluation, which should make Vol fans feel good about just about anyone Tennessee chooses to take.  Perhaps more importantly, when specifically looking at Butler what jumps out is his pure athleticism to go with his size.  Why was Roman Harrison relatively underrecruited last season as a future pass rusher?  Because he’s 6’1.  Why has Quarvaris Crouch, a bigtime player who’s a cornerstone of the future somewhere on defense, failed to get home to the QB multiple times despite getting good push on Offensive Tackles?  Because he’s 6’1.  And why is Darrell Taylor a likely 2nd round pick at worst despite playing during a pretty darn bad stretch of Tennessee football?  Because he’s 6’5 and combines that length with top end athleticism to actually sack the QB.  Butler is also 6’5, and used that length as well as his elite athletic ability – he was clocked at a 4.6 40 over the summer and you can see his ability to bend around the corner on film – to get 18 sacks just this season, his first playing football since 7th grade. That length is something that Tennessee just doesn’t have much of at the OLB/Rush DE spot, and it makes a huge difference.  I’m not sure he’s a 2020 contributor simply given his lack of experience – though I wouldn’t put it past Pruitt and Co. to get him there – but mark me down as saying Butler is a future star and will likely see a bigtime ratings boost before all is said and done. 

With Tennessee on a bit of a roll it’s obvious that things are stable in Knoxville.  And not only does winning help in general, but that stability, and the erasure of any talk about Pruitt’s job security that goes with it, is huge.  Combine that with the recent firings at FSU and Arkansas as well as real instability at places like South Carolina (likely to finish 4-8) and potentially other SEC programs like Mississippi State and Tennessee’s program has a real advantage.  That’s of course even before you get to the carousel that will come from FSU and Arkansas hiring coaches themselves and whatever other coaching changes are made at programs nationally. 

To that point, the opinion here is that Tennessee’s staff should resist the urge to go poach immediately from those programs and instead be picky and stick with its philosophy of only going after bigtime players (as defined both by recruiting services and more importantly the staff itself).  Right now there are limited spots left in the class and realistically many more options out there to fill them.  There will also inevitably be new players who come on the board, either because of coaching changes or because Tennessee sees something they like from senior/JUCO film or even in a postseason all star game and decides to make a move.  And given the above, there are going to be players that the Vols missed out on earlier in the process who are newly available and re-engaging with the Tennessee staff.  Guys like Arkansas DE commitments Blayne Toll and RB John Gentry, FSU OLB commitment Morven Joseph, Mississippi State OLB commitment Jevon Banks, or even a guy like RB/LB Len’neth Whitehead who was a heavy Gamecock lean but now may be feeling uneasy about what’s going on in Columbia.  Further, should Tennessee win out to get to 7-5 and play in a January bowl like the Taxslayer in Jacksonville, they very well may be able to regain traction with 5-stars like ILB Noah Sewell, OLB Sa’vell Smalls (a Washington commitment), and WR Rakim Jarrett (a LSU commitment) and keep momentum going with 5-star TE Darnell Washington and Alabama WR commitment Thaiu Jones-Bell.  As Pruitt says, it’s about the players you get, not the ones you don’t get.  But if Tennessee continues to win AND the staff plays its cards right (i.e., not just taking the first couple of guys looking for a lifeboat), the Vols could find themselves with the opportunity to actually choose from a host of really good players.  Having to make tough decisions is by definition difficult, but it’s always a better position to be in than being desperate and trying to fill spots. 

There are also positional needs to consider – the Vols need playmakers on offense, they need at least one more pass rusher, and they need at least one more LB.  One could also argue they need another DB if possible.  No matter what, with only 25 spots (although it’s worth wondering whether Tennessee got Melvin McBride’s 2019 initial counter back due to his medical condition and can sign 26) Tennessee will not be able to get exactly where it needs to be in terms of talent and depth with just the 2020 class, even if the class does move the program significantly forward in that regard.  It could come down to Best Player Available down the stretch, where Tennessee chooses to go with “another” player at a position that seemingly has been filled simply because he’s a significantly better football player than the best available player at a position of “need” in the class.  For example, would Tennessee take both Whitehead and ILB/RB Desmond Tisdol?  Would they take all of DL Tyler Baron, Octavius Oxendine, Omari Thomas and then a guy like Reginald Perry?  What if Jay Hardy comes to his senses and wants (back) in?  Would they take all offensive playmakers Jones-Bell, JUCO RB Zaquandre White, and ATHs Dee Beckwith and Jimmy Holiday?  Would they add a 5th OL if it’s Chris Morris?  Again, potentially good problems to have to solve for, and I would wholeheartedly support the “BPA” decision especially if it comes on the backs of remaining patient.