Guessing Game Results: Georgia Tech

Thanks to everyone who played our Guessing Game last week. GoVols365 and PaVol took an early lead thanks to the mushrooms, and then Will Shelton took sole possession of the lead in the second round thanks to being one of the few to guess that Jarrett Guarantano wouldn’t play (and also thanks to a mushroom).

But Fatso ends up with a two-point lead at the end of the day after Will fell prey to his optimism on the question of whether the Vols would hold Georgia Tech to less than their average rushing yards from last season.

The full results are below.

This week’s questions will go up sometime Friday.

Round 1

Q: Which true quarterback takes the first snap? (1-3 points)

A: Quinten Dormady

In a historical feat of remarkable collective prescience, every single player got the answer to the first question correct, except for Jarrett Guarantano, who didn’t play. But his time is coming.

Mushrooms: GoVols365 and PaVol

Bananas: RockyTopinKY and vfl_mks

Blue shells and bolts: None

Top 10 after Round 1:

Round 2

Q: At which point does another true quarterback get his first snap at quarterback? (2-10 points)

A: NEVER!

Shocking twist afoot.

Mushrooms: Will Shelton and GoVols365

Bananas: Drew and Dave Strunk

Blue shells and bolts: None!

Top 10 after Round 2:

Round 3

Q: Georgia Tech averaged 258.1 rushing yards per game last year. How many do they get against the Vols Monday night? (3 points)

A: 258 or more (a LOT more!)

Mushrooms: Dave Strunk and . . . Dave Strunk

Bananas: Jayyyy and charles matthews

Blue shells and bolts: None!!

Top 10 after Round 3:

Full table

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How do we feel about the Tennessee Vols the rest of the way?

Now that we have at least one week’s worth of data, let’s take a look at what to reasonably expect out of the Vols the rest of the way.

Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week. There’s also a chance for you to log your own expectations at the bottom of the post.

The Vols after Georgia Tech

Not sure exactly what to make of the Vols yet, of course. It’s difficult after one game anyway, but when the first opponent is Georgia Tech, it’s even more sketchy to attempt to draw too many conclusions. It’s not just that the defense played against the flexbone, it’s that the offense was sitting on the sideline while it was happening. We knew this going in, of course, but it bears repeating. Perhaps the biggest takeaways are that John Kelly is going to be a workhorse (he got 19 of 20 carries against the Yellow Jackets) and that Marquez Callaway is our non-Jauan Jennings playmaker at wide receiver.

Apart from that, you have to be happy about a few things: No sacks, no TFLs. The offense had five trips to the red zone and scored touchdowns every single time. Special teams looked like they’re going to pick up right where they left off, and the trash can is +2 with no interceptions and no fumbles to go along with two fumble recoveries. Plus, the team had only two penalties for 20 yards, which puts them tied for third nationally with four other teams. Give Jones credit for harping on Maxim 1 heading into Atlanta.

You can’t really draw any conclusions about the defense due to the opponent. Or I should say, let’s hope you can’t draw any conclusions about the defense. They did make the play that mattered most, but you don’t want to look at the stats.

So, on the whole, I’d have to say that I feel pretty much the same about the Vols themselves after the first game.

The Vols’ past opponents

None yet.

The Vols’ future opponents

9/9/17: Indiana State (0-1, 0-0 MVFC, NR)

  • W1: Lost to E Illinois, 22-20.
  • W2: At Tennessee.
  • W3: At Liberty
  • W4: Bye
  • W5: At Illinois State
  • W6: North Dakota State
  • W7: At South Dakota
  • W8: S Illinois
  • W9: At Missouri State
  • W10: Youngstown State
  • W11: W Illinois
  • W12: At Northern Iowa

Expectations for a Vols win: Indiana State lost in the last three seconds to E Illinois, so don’t put too much on that loss. On the other hand, they are still an FCS program that should be overmatched against Tennessee. I’m going to keep them at 98%.

PREDICTIONS – INDIANA STATE
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
98 98

9/16/17: Florida (0-1, 0-0 SEC, #22)

  • W1: Lost to #11 Michigan, 33-17.
  • W2: N Colorado
  • W3: #25 Tennessee
  • W4: At Kentucky
  • W5: Vanderbilt
  • W6: #12 LSU
  • W7: Texas A&M
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: vs #15 Georgia
  • W10: At Missouri
  • W11: At South Carolina
  • W12: UAB
  • W13: #10 Florida State

Expectations for a Vols win: The headline may be “Michigan hands Florida its first season-opening loss since 1989,” but Florida generally doesn’t open with a good team anyway, so the headline should probably be “Florida still hasn’t found its offense.” It’s not that Florida lost to Michigan, it’s that their offense scored only three of 17 points. Note, though, that Florida was without two of their best playmakers on offense in receiver Antonio Callaway and running back Jordan Scarlett. I had them at 51% before, and I’m going to bump that up to 55%.

PREDICTIONS – FLORIDA
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
51 55

9/23/17: UMass (0-2, 0-0 IND, NR)

  • W1: Lost to Hawaii, 38-35.
  • W2: Lost to C. Carolina, 38-28.
  • W3: Old Dominion
  • W4: At Temple
  • W5: At #25 Tennessee
  • W6: Ohio
  • W7: Bye
  • W8: At #21 USF
  • W9: Ga Southern
  • W10: Appalachian State
  • W11: At Mississippi State
  • W12: Maine
  • W13: At BYU

Expectations for a Vols win: UMass is struggling out of the gate, and so far, it does not look like the Vols should have any trouble with them. I’m sticking with 98% and slotted above Indiana State.

PREDICTIONS – UMASS
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
96 96

9/30/17: Georgia (1-0, 0-0 SEC, #15)

  • W1: Beat Appalachian State, 31-10. QB Jacob Eason went down, but freshman Jake Fromm looked good and took care of business.
  • W2: At #24 Notre Dame
  • W3: Samford
  • W4: Mississippi State
  • W5: At #25 Tennessee
  • W6: At Vanderbilt
  • W7: Missouri
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: vs. #22 Florida
  • W10: South Carolina
  • W11: At #13 Auburn
  • W12: Kentucky
  • W13: At Georgia Tech

Expectations for a Vols win: The latest on Eason is that he’s week-to-week. But there really doesn’t seem to be much difference between Eason and Fromm. Bottom line, Georgia looked good. I had them at 45% and two spots above Florida before the season began, and I’m going to keep them there for now. We’ll know more about them after this week’s game at South Bend.

PREDICTIONS – GEORGIA
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
45 45

10/14/17: South Carolina (1-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat NC State, 35-28.
  • W2: At Missouri
  • W3: Kentucky
  • W4: LA Tech
  • W5: At Texas A&M
  • W6: Arkansas
  • W7: At #25 Tennessee
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: Vanderbilt
  • W10: At #15 Georgia
  • W11: #22 Florida
  • W12: Wofford
  • W13: #3 Clemson

Expectations for a Vols win: Get used to hearing the phrase, “Jake Bentley to Deebo Samuel.” Those guys are dynamic and dangerous. The Gamecocks’ win over NC State was actually an upset, and it did come down to the last play as the Wolfpack was throwing into the end zone on the last play. There’s also this: South Carolina was outgained 504-246. These guys may be better than we gave them credit for in the offseason. Or they may not be. Holding firm on them for now at 70% and first in the group that consists of them, Kentucky, Missouri, and Vanderbilt.

PREDICTIONS – SOUTH CAROLINA
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
70 70

10/21/17: Alabama (1-0, 0-0 SEC, #1)

  • W1: Beat #3 Florida State, 24-7.
  • W2: Fresno State
  • W3: Colorado State
  • W4: At Vanderbilt
  • W5: Ole Miss
  • W6: At Texas A&M
  • W7: Arkansas
  • W8: #25 Tennessee
  • W9: Bye
  • W10: #12 LSU
  • W11: At Mississippi State
  • W12: Mercer
  • W13: At #13 Auburn

Expectations for a Vols win: All these guys did was dominate the third-best team in the country and knock their opponent’s best player out for the season in the first game. I had them at 10% preseason, and I’m keeping them there for now.

PREDICTIONS – ALABAMA
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
10 10

10/28/17: Kentucky (1-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat Southern Miss, 24-17.
  • W2: E Kentucky
  • W3: At South Carolina
  • W4: #22 Florida
  • W5: E Michigan
  • W6: Missouri
  • W7: Bye
  • W8: At Mississippi State
  • W9: #25 Tennessee
  • W10: Ole Miss
  • W11: At Vanderbilt
  • W12: At #15 Georgia
  • W13: #17 Lousiville

Expectations for a Vols win: Kentucky won their game this weekend, but their offense didn’t look good. QB Stephen Johnson had only 176 yards, and running back Benny Snell had only 67 rushing yards. The team needed every bit of two forced fumbles late to win. It’s early, but at this point, and I’m going to keep them at 65% for now.

PREDICTIONS – KENTUCKY
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
65 65

11/4/17: Southern Miss (0-1, 0-0 C-USA, NR)

  • W1: Lost to Kentucky, 24-17.
  • W2: Southern
  • W3: At UL Monroe
  • W4: Bye
  • W5: North Texas
  • W6: UTSA
  • W7: UTEP
  • W8: At LA Tech
  • W9: UAB
  • W10: At #25 Tennessee
  • W11: At Rice
  • W12: Charlotte
  • W13: At Marshall

Expectations for a Vols win: Everything I just said about Kentucky could instead mean more about Southern Miss. We won’t know for a little while, so for now, I’m going to give Southern Miss the benefit of the doubt and move them up a bit, too, from 90% to 85%.

PREDICTIONS – SOUTHERN MISS
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
90 85

11/11/17: Missouri (1-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat Missouri State 72-43.
  • W2: South Carolina
  • W3: Purdue
  • W4: #13 Auburn
  • W5: Bye
  • W6: At Kentucky
  • W7: At #15 Georgia
  • W8: Idaho
  • W9: At UConn
  • W10: #22 Florida
  • W11: #25 Tennessee
  • W12: At Vanderbilt
  • W13: At Arkansas

Expectations for a Vols win: Keep an eye on Missouri, as they like to fly low all the way to the finish line. Yeah, their opponent was Missouri State, but 72 points is 72 points. QB Drew Lock had a record-setting 521 yards and seven touchdowns, and Damarea Crockett had 202 rushing yards. On the other hand, their problem last year was defense, and they allowed 43 points and 6.6 yards per play, so . . . who knows at this point? I’m going to move them to 65% and slot them above Kentucky.

PREDICTIONS – MISSOURI
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
70 65

11/18/17: LSU (1-0, 0-0 SEC, #12)

  • W1: Beat BYU, 27-0.
  • W2: Chattanooga
  • W3: At Mississippi State
  • W4: Syracuse
  • W5: Troy
  • W6: At #22 Florida
  • W7: #13 Auburn
  • W8: At Ole Miss
  • W9: Bye
  • W10: At #1 Alabama
  • W11: Arkansas
  • W12: At #25 Tennessee
  • W13: Texas A&M

Expectations for a Vols win: Running back Derrius Guice had 120 yards and two touchdowns, and the LSU defense didn’t allow BYU’s offense to even cross midfield. We’ll see whether Orgeron can hold things together, but all of the pieces seem to be there. I had LSU at 25% preseason, significantly away from the Florida/Georgia pack, and I’m going to stick with that at this time.

PREDICTIONS – LSU
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
25 25

11/25/17: Vanderbilt (1-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat MTSU, 28-6.
  • W2: Alabama A&M
  • W3: #19 Kansas State
  • W4: #1 Alabama
  • W5: At #22 Florida
  • W6: #15 Georgia
  • W7: At Ole Miss
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: At South Carolina
  • W10: W Kentucky
  • W11: Kentucky
  • W12: Missouri
  • W13: At #25 Tennessee

Expectations for a Vols win: Yikes, that’s a tough stretch from Week 3 to Week 6 for the Commodores. QB Kyle Shurmur threw for 296 yards and three touchdowns, and the defense held a Blue Raiders that was 12th nationally in scoring last year to only six points. Vandy may be better this year than we believed heading into the preseason. I was inclined to move Vanderbilt above Kentucky, too, but for now I’m leaving them where they are at 70%.

PREDICTIONS – VANDERBILT
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
70  70

All of that puts me at 7.92 wins, but with 9 if the coin comes up the right way every time.

YOUR TURN

How would you set your win probabilities for the rest of the Vols games? Fill out this form, and we’ll compile the results and post them later this week:

 

Choose Your Own Adventure

So I tried lying to myself all week, about how this game wouldn’t really matter. If Georgia Tech’s unique offense got the best of Tennessee’s Kirkland-less defense, we couldn’t draw too many conclusions. If Tennessee’s offense looked great against an uncelebrated Yellow Jacket defense, we couldn’t get too excited. No matter what happened, our chances in the SEC East race and the season’s narrative would be largely unaffected.

That was a stupid thing to believe.

The Defensive Numbers in Context

There is a helplessness that can set in when playing an offense like Georgia Tech’s. It reminded me a little of our 1990’s games against Nebraska; even with less talent and lower stakes, when that offense is humming a two-possession lead feels like 20. And you can try to talk yourself into whatever you want, but when the ball is kicked in week one the stakes are always high because they are carrying an entire off-season on their shoulders. In Tennessee’s case, an off-season plus some leftovers from 2016.

So it is comforting the day after to realize that while Georgia Tech did run for 535 yards, the most a Tennessee defense has ever allowed, they also did so on 86 carries. Their 6.22 yards per carry are not something we want to try to reproduce, but it’s also not as bad as what Tennessee’s defense surrendered to Texas A&M (7.06), Alabama (8.52), Kentucky (8.05), or Missouri (6.27) last year. GT’s 6.82 yards per play won’t lead us to a successful season if it shows up in the box score every week, but the Vols allowed more than seven yards per play to A&M, Alabama, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt last year. It was by no means success, but I might wait to see what this defense does against the offenses it’ll see the rest of the year before passing judgment on Bob Shoop’s 2017.

Third Down For Less

It was not, of course, comforting in the moment last night. Listening to cries of “STOP THEM!” was like watching your undersized team get dominated on the boards and all you can do is yell “BOX OUT!” Adding to the discomfort:  Tennessee’s offense got off to a not-great start. The first half went like this:  punt, three-and-out, three-and-out, three-and-out, an eight-play, 46-yard touchdown drive, and a turnover on downs featuring sub-par clock management. Then a three-and-out to open the second half, at which point Georgia Tech ran the third quarter clock down to 3:14 with a 21-7 lead before missing a 47-yard field goal.

The game got a lot more fun after that. A sure path to no fun:  Tennessee’s opening drives featured 3rd-and-12, 3rd-and-8, 3rd-and-10, and 3rd-and-10. But after that, the Vols saw no worse than 3rd-and-7 the rest of the night with one exception:  the 3rd-and-9 dump-off to John Kelly that went for 10, two plays before Marquez Callaway’s 50-yard touchdown.

Quinten Dormady might turn into something really special; right now the Vols just need him to be something good. Last year the Vols could count on a veteran quarterback to get them out of trouble on third down with both his arms and his legs. This year the Vols have to help Dormady get out of trouble on third down by not getting in trouble on first and second down. It certainly made a tremendous difference in the second half last night.

Let Team 121 Be Team 121

I was in the stands last night and didn’t even know there was a trash can on the sideline until I saw it this morning. If the players like it – context clues suggest they do – perhaps Butch Jones and this bunch embrace a bit of them against the world? People making fun of something else the coach does? Bring it on. You don’t like the trash can? Maybe next week there are two of them. If you’re going to do the trash can, own the trash can.

This team will need to rally around each other, and they got plenty of practice last night. Not only has Tennessee lost its biggest names and faces from last season, it will now be without Darrin Kirkland Jr. and Jauan Jennings all year. It’s helpful to remember that, while Tennessee’s injury luck has been astoundingly bad, the Vols did beat Florida and Georgia and should have beaten Texas A&M without Kirkland, Cam Sutton, and Jalen Reeves-Maybin last fall. It wasn’t the quality of injuries that did the Vols in last fall; the defense’s shutdown performance against the Gators in the second half came on the shoulders of guys like Colton Jumper. No program is going to handle 2016’s quantity of injuries well. But for now, while losing Kirkland and Jennings in no way will make Tennessee better, there is plenty of talent to meet this new opportunity. Daniel Bituli and Marquez Callaway are Exhibits A and B. We’ll need more, but it was a great opening response.

The drama was similar, but the names and faces last night were new…and the Vols still got it done. It’s a long year with the entirety of conference play before us…but this offense should have earned plenty of confidence in the second half, and the defense will have a chance to do the same against traditional offenses. Team 121 will face plenty of adversity. But if they learned how to handle it better than Team 120, they’ll have a chance to have a more successful season. And in that department, last night was a really good start.

Report: Jauan Jennings’ injury a dislocated wrist, out up to 12 weeks

The Vols got bad news this morning when they learned that dynamic wide receiver Jauan Jennings suffered a dislocated wrist in last night’s game and will miss up to 12 weeks. Volquest.com is citing sources in saying that Jennings will have surgery this afternoon.

Jennings had three catches for 17 yards in last night’s 42-41 win over Georgia Tech. He was also, of course, the guy who had the huge go-ahead touchdown catch against Florida last year and the Hail Mary catch to beat Georgia last season.

Back in early August, we ranked Jennings third on our list of offensive players who had to stay healthy, so we think this is a huge blow to the team, especially on the heels of the news last week that linebacker Darrin Kirkland Jr. would also be out for the season. Kirkland was tied for first on our list of defensive players who needed to stay healthy. So, after one game, the Vols have already lost two of the five players they could least afford to lose.

Best wishes to Jennings for a speedy and full recovery. Now, it is time for the rest of the receiving corps to step up. Marquez Callaway, who had four huge catches and two touchdowns last night after Jennings went down, has already started down that path, but the team will need others to step up as well. Josh Smith may be back from his own injury soon, and the team is optimistic about guys like Josh Palmer and Tyler Byrd contributing as well.

 

Tennessee Volunteers 42, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 41: the Grit Game

Last night’s double overtime victory over a Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team that had dominated them most of the night turned out to be an unexpected thriller, warts and all.

A terrible start

After a brief period during which both sides were sizing each other up, it was ugly for the Vols in the first half, with Georgia Tech moving the ball at will on the ground, putting up touchdowns, and eating clock, while Tennessee’s offense struggled. Apart from turning a short field into seven points after a Georgia Tech fumble, the Vols were being dominated by the Yellow Jackets.

New quarterback Quinten Dormady was a woeful 8-20 for 52 yards in the first half. Passes that were on target were being dropped by receivers, and to make matters worse, Jajuan Jennings left the game with a wrist injury that would keep him out for the duration of the evening.

Finding themselves in the second half

The third quarter started like the first half ended, with GT putting together a five-minute touchdown drive to go up 21-7 and the Vols responding with a three-and-out. But then the Vols began to piece things together, and it was just a question of whether they had enough time to climb out of the hole they’d dug for themselves.

Thanks to an offense that found its identify in Dormady handing off to John Kelly and throwing to Marquez Callaway and a defense that finally made a couple of key stops and caused a key fumble, the Vols managed to get the game tied at 28 with 1:29 to go in the game.

At that point, Tech marched down the field to the Tennessee 24-yard line to set up a 36-yard field goal attempt with three seconds left to win the game.

And that’s when things went from interesting to historical.

Introducing Paul Bain from Champs

It should have been a relatively easy field goal attempt for Georgia Tech, and they should have been racing off the field declaring to the the world that they were 4-0 in the SEC. But walk-on Paul Bain was having none of that nonsense, and he blocked the attempt to send the game to overtime.

What does Paul Bain expect when he returns home now that he’s Knoxville-famous? Nothing much:

He’s Paul Bain from Champs, and how he always will be.

Trading punches in overtime

But, of course, the drama didn’t end with the block by Paul Bain of Champs. The teams traded touchdowns and extra points in the first overtime, and the Vols scored another touchdown and extra point to begin the second. At this point, neither team’s defense could stop the others’ offense, so when Georgia Tech scored its own touchdown in the second overtime to bring them within one point of the Vols, Paul Johnson elected to go for two, putting the entire game on the shoulders of one play.

The play that mattered most

The Vols had been gashed and gassed all night long. In the end, they would give up 535 rushing yards on 86 exhausting plays. All night, it had seemed like Georgia Tech could score three yards almost at will, and there was little reason to believe that the Vols would be able to stop them this time.

But when it mattered most, when the game was on line, that is exactly what they did.

https://twitter.com/imgaudio/status/904915484084232192

SB Nation has a really interesting Xs and Os explanation of why Tech’s two-point conversion attempt didn’t work, but it really all boils down to this: Tennessee defensive end Darrell Taylor beat his guy. Taylor said after the game that he knew exactly what to do on the play:

“I knew he was going to keep it, honestly,” he said. “I didn’t think nothing about the pitch. I was the quarterback player.”

Good news

Bottom line, Team 121 still has a lot of work to do, but there is a lot to like. Consider this:

Grit, belief, and the will to win

So, in the end the team escaped with a victory, and yet we’re still kind of wondering what it all means. When asked what it is about his team that attracts chaos, coach Jones nudged the narrative back to how he’s proud of his team’s heart and also tipped his cap to the Yellow Jackets:

“Maybe our program has great character and grit,” Jones said. “These kids believe in each other, and the amount of players that kept walking by me saying, we’ve got you, Coach. Coach, we’ve got you. Again, I think it’s how you tell the narrative. I think this is a football program that’s built on character, it’s built on grit, it’s built on belief, and we found a way to win when we didn’t play our best, but a lot of that is a tribute to Georgia Tech.”

https://twitter.com/vol_football/status/905037824704909313

 

Postscript: The trash can

No, you weren’t the only one raising an eyebrow at the sight of a orange and white checkerboarded Team 121 trash can being hoisted on the Vols’ sideline for much of the game.

The official explanation for the thing is that it’s a motivational tool designed to encourage a focus on creating turnovers. A player who recovers a fumble or makes an interception gets to carry the ball to the trashcan and dunk it.

Of course, the internet, and in particular the Twittersphere, cares little for official explanations, and instead immediately instituted a runaway meme as the team struggled while lifting a trash can like it was a trophy. I’m usually more on the side of giving the guys trying to motivate the kids a break, but I have to admit that this was pretty funny:

Of course, the trash can got the last laugh with a well-deserved victory lap . . .

. . . and by quickly celebrating its newfound celebrity status with an actual Twitter account.

 

 

 

Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech: The Memories You Make

Sports is all about those “where were you” moments.

When Francisco Cabrera drove in Sid Bream for an improbable National League Championship Series win over the Pirates in 1992, I was a 13-year-old kid who got to stay up late, dance around the living room and embrace my dad when it happened.

When Florida missed the overtime field goal in 1998 and the Tennessee Vols exorcised the Gators demon, I was sitting in Section D for it, then I was storming the field as a freshman who felt on top of the world. Later that year, I fumed at my parents because they didn’t let me go to Tempe but still celebrated with buddies as the Vols beat Florida State for the national championship.

I have no idea what Monday night’s 42-41, inexplicable triumph over a Georgia Tech team that manhandled the Vols all night will mean in the long run. But, in it’s own sick-and-twisted, morbid way, it’ll hold a spot on the list of games I won’t forget.

Oh, it’s nowhere near the moments mentioned above, but for those of us who love the macabre, it will teeter on the fringe of fable.

In a game the Vols should have lost six or seven times, at least, a defensive hero in Darrell Taylor emerged from a field full of defensive goats who’d given up more rushing yards than any UT team in school history, battled through a block and somehow stuffed Georgia Tech He-Man signal-caller TaQuon Marshall for what would have been a go-ahead, game-ending two-point conversion by the Yellow Jackets.

For one play, a Vols defense that hadn’t stopped GT from getting three rushing yards on a play nearly all night somehow found a way to get a stop. Though every Tennessee fan in the universe gasped when Marshall somehow threw the ball while going down on the final play and nearly completed a pass, it was already on the turf when the receiver grabbed it, and the Vols escaped Mercedes-Benz Stadium with a win and 1-0 record.

Most of the night, the hulking stadium that sits mere feet from UT’s old house of horrors — the Georgia Dome — appeared to be a new torture chamber for Vols fans. Yes, every Tennessee fan would love to be the one to push the button when they blow up the Dome this fall, but maybe Monday night was a new beginning for the Vols in Atlanta.

If so, the origin of these good vibes will be hatched from familiar frustration.

For the vast majority of the night, this felt like the beginning of the end for Vols coach Butch Jones. I bet I fired the man 100 times throughout the game in my head and my heart. I fired defensive coordinator Bob Shoop 10 times that many. I’m still not sure either one of them deserve anything other than our frustration still, but this will be no column for frustration.

This is no time for scorn.

This was a momentous victory, regardless of how much better than the Vols Georgia Tech was on Monday, how few answers UT had and how many questions the Vols have moving forward. How this team needs to be the rest of the year needs to start with the team that woke up in the fourth quarter, not only on the field but on the sideline. Bad body language permeated UT’s side of the field throughout the first few quarters. Jones looked like he didn’t want to be there and didn’t know what he was doing, quarterback Quinten Dormady sat on opposite ends of the water cooler as backup Jarrett Guarantano, neither of them doing anything resembling leadership.

Guarantano especially acted like he didn’t want to be there, pouting his way through the game. There was no fire, no excitement, not a peep like you were used to seeing last year from former Vols Joshua Dobbs talking to players up and down the sideline or Sheriron Jones waving a towel and hyping his teammates.

All that changed once the Vols started to get in a rhythm on the field. Dormady came out of shell on the field and on the sideline, and all of a sudden, it looked like he was beginning to show some of the leadership skills you want from your quarterback.

The win was meaningful, and the way the Vols won could wind up being huge for this program.

Jones cliched his way through the postgame interview, but you’ve tuned him out by now, anyway. Wins like this were meant for hyperbole. They’re inexplicable, unbelievable and hard to stomach.

But they’re fun once you win; if you win.

The Vols won Monday night. Beyond all your frustration at some of the decisions Jones made or all the difficulty Tennessee experienced, do not forget that. Don’t let what you think overshadow what you saw.

John Kelly is who we thought he was. He’s a monster hellbent on getting every morsel of yardage possible on every play. When offensive coordinator Larry Scott called the type of run plays where he excels and not those slow-developing stretch plays meant for Alvin Kamara, Kelly was the best player on the field.

Tight end Ethan Wolf dropped a couple of balls, but he also made some big plays and key catches. True freshman guard Trey Smith was the best offensive lineman UT had on the field against Tech, which is saying something considering how well center Jashon Robertson played. Yes, there were tons of miscues from tackles Marcus Tatum and Brett Kendrick, but UT got much better up front throughout the game. Junior guard Jack Jones had a nice game as well.

Then there’s sophomore receiver Marquez Callaway.

With Jauan Jennings out for an undisclosed amount of time with what looked like a wrist injury, the Vols were discombobulated in the passing game. Nothing was going on, and UT needed a weapon to emerge. That happened when Callaway took over, finishing with four catches for 114 yards and two touchdowns. The 6’2″, pass-catcher played like he was 6’6″, showing the DOG that Jennings normally does when he’s in there. He went up and got passes, turned first-down catches into 50-yard touchdowns and would not be denied.

The Vols had to have warriors step up, and Callaway did that.

Dormady grew up so much, too. Everybody wrote him off in a first half that saw him throw his share of poor passes, but he also didn’t get any help from his line or his receivers. As the Vols began to get more into a flow, the junior from Boerne, Texas, wouldn’t be denied. He wanted to make plays, it looked like he believed he was going to make them, and he did. Then, when UT had to have yards, it turned to Kelly.

Sure, there are major coaching concerns still. Jones called an inexplicable timeout as the play clock was winding down on what should have been Georgia Tech’s game-winning drive. He mismanaged the clock at the end of the first half. The jury’s still out on whether Shoop will end up deserving his $1 million annual salary, and the clock is ticking. Yes, the Yellow Jackets executed exquisitely on Monday night, but Shoop had no answers. And though first-year offensive coordinator Larry Scott needs to be praised for how he called the game down the stretch, it took him far too long to get into a rhythm calling plays, and he put way too much on Dormady early when he should have slowed down the game and leaned on Kelly to help salvage some minutes for his defensive players.

All that happened, and the Vols still won. They still found a way.

With Georgia Tech putting the game away going into the end zone, Rashaan Gaulden pulled his best Malik Foreman-against-South Carolina impression and popped the ball free, giving the Vols a pivotal turnover in the fourth quarter that kept them alive.

Walk-on defensive tackle Paul Bain got his hand on the would-be, game-winning 36-yard field goal at the end of regulation, forcing the game into overtime.

Then — with guys who’d played their hearts out and got gassed like Daniel Bituli and Colton Jumper needing some sort of spark — defensive end Darrell Taylor found a way. He’d been Tennessee’s most disruptive defender most of the night, occasionally blowing up plays in the backfield for glimmers of happiness through the porous defensive performance by his team as a unit. Then, he reached down, battled off a block and made the biggest impact in the only play that mattered.

I’d be stunned (and wouldn’t believe you) if you told me you thought Tennessee was going to win that game, was going to stop that play. Again, they hadn’t stopped Georgia Tech all night. There’s no way they were going to stop them.

But they did.

And though this team gives us so much anger, so much heartache, so much frustration and anxiety and despair, they gave us something so much more valuable on Monday night:

They gave us a memory.

Now, it’s on to Neyland Stadium and Indiana State at 1-0 and with this dreadful last-gift-from-Dave-Hart debacle of a scheduling fiasco behind them. The Vols not only survived; they gave us a heart-stopping thrill.

It’s one we’ll have to remember, because I don’t think any of us want to relive that again. When it was all over, I jumped up and hugged my dad, but it wasn’t like any of those other moments I mentioned. It was out of pure, unadulterated, disbelieving relief.

Tennessee Vols vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: game thread

It’s finally here. Football Time in Tennessee.

The Vols take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the national spotlight to cap off the first weekend of major college football tonight at 8:00 in Atlanta’s new Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

ESPN has the broadcast, and Rece Davis, Kirk Herbstreit, and Maria Taylor are the analysts.

This is your Gameday on Rocky Top game thread. If you haven’t signed up for the Guessing Game yet, why not?

Go Vols!

The Stage Matters

Last year Tennessee got its chance to make the first impression of the college football season. It was not a good one:  the Vols were lethargic and lucky to escape against 20-point underdog Appalachian State, and it cost Tennessee nine spots in the polls. The drop was the second largest in the history of the AP poll for a team that actually won its game. While the events of week one would be quickly overwhelmed by the following four Saturdays, it took all of those events – beating Virginia Tech by three scores at Bristol, scoring 38 unanswered points to beat Florida, and escaping via hail mary in Athens – just to get Tennessee back to its original starting position at #9 in the polls.

The lesson:  if you’re going to play on a national stage in week one, you’d better play well.

The national stage is something we shouldn’t take for granted, not yet. Perhaps the Vols were still warming up to it last season; I know the experience was a long time gone for fans as well. Consider this:  from 2009-2014, the Vols played in the 3:30 CBS game just ten times. Four of those times the occasion was the number one team in the nation on the other sideline. In those six years the Vols played Florida four times and Georgia, LSU, and even Alabama just twice each on CBS at 3:30.

Most of our good and/or relevant moments in that span, like Kiffin and Crompton’s shocking takedown of Georgia? SEC Network. 2010 visit from Oregon? ESPN2. Friday night opener in 2012 against NC State? ESPNU. Should-have-could-have beaten Florida in 2014? SEC Network.

Aside from those ten games, I’d throw in College GameDay’s visit for the 2012 Florida game (on ESPN) and the 2014 trip to Oklahoma in the 8:00 PM ABC primetime spot as Tennessee’s only blips on the national radar. A dozen appearances on the national stage in six years. A dozen losses.

But in the last two years, the Vols have played the 3:30 CBS game seven times, and won three of them. Plus GameDay at Bristol in the 8:00 PM ABC slot, and I’d count the season opener with Appalachian State, and Tennessee won both of those. In 2015 and 2016, the Vols have been on the national stage nine times, and won five.

And they’ll be back tonight.

The stage isn’t success by itself, not like it’s been at places like Indiana this week. We’re Tennessee, even if sometimes we feel like we’re still trying to be Tennessee again. But we’re also Tennessee right now:  still looking for a better year than the one Phillip Fulmer gave us a decade ago, still hopeful this one might be it. The Vols were very much in the SEC East race well before Florida looked like that and Jacob Eason got hurt. That part won’t change no matter what happens tonight. But we shouldn’t take the stage for granted.

The stage is exactly why you play this game. Conventional wisdom suggests you avoid having to prepare for Georgia Tech. But the stage on this night in this stadium is worth the risk.

Tennessee will walk into downtown Atlanta’s new spaceship at the end of a long off-season when what Butch Jones said generated more conversation than what he did. The champions of life/five-star heart stuff was poorly timed, but the head coach’s actions were those of a man who was plenty disappointed by what happened last year.

The Vols will face Georgia Tech with a new offensive coordinator, new strength and conditioning coach, and new position coaches at quarterback, wide receiver, offensive line, defensive line, and in the secondary. It is undeniable change; tonight we’ll start learning if it’s change we can believe in.

We’ve spent more than a year now on our podcasts talking about how Butch Jones is a tweaker:  incremental changes over the long haul while hoping you don’t break what didn’t need fixing. This is another way to look at all the off-season changes, as the offensive coordinator and offensive line coach were in-house promotions. But Jones also learned for the first time last year what it’s like to be the head coach of a team with those Top 10 expectations.

As we’ve tracked the progress of this program, it’s noteworthy to track the growth of its head coach as well. Just as Tennessee has grown from an o-fer on the national stage to regular appearances and regular victories, so too might Butch Jones be evolving as a coach. What he says is less important than what he does. And whatever has or hasn’t been said about this team and these players, especially in comparison to their immediate predecessors, won’t matter at all compared to what they have a chance to do, starting tonight.

One year after a bad first impression on the national stage was the opening act for an unsatisfying season, Tennessee gets to make the last impression of college football’s opening weekend. Value the stage. Value the moment. Value the opportunity.

Go Vols.

 

The GRT “Other Games” Game Thread

It’s not Gameday for the Vols — not yet — but it is Gameday for most of the rest of college football. Hang out with us here if you’re watching the other games today.

Here’s the day’s schedule again:

 

College football schedule curated for Vols fans

Saturday, Sept. 2, 2017

Matchup Time (ET) TVTickets How to Watch Root For
Akron at (6) Penn State Noon ABC Channel Hop Akron
Kent State at (5) Clemson Noon ESPN Channel Hop Kent State
(11) Michigan vs. (17) Florida (at Arlington, TX) 3:30 pm ABC Live Debatable
Appalachian State at (15) Georgia 6:15 pm ESPN Live, until 8:00 Debatable
(3) Florida State vs. (1) Alabama (at Atlanta, GA) 8:00 pm ABC Live Debatable
BYU vs. (13) LSU (at New Orleans, LA) 9:30 pm ESPN DVR, until after AL/FSU Debatable

The entire schedule

Saturday, Sept. 2, 2017

Matchup Time (ET) TVTickets
Akron at (6) Penn State Noon ABC
Ball State at Illinois Noon BTN
Bowling Green at Michigan State Noon ESPNU
Kent State at (5) Clemson Noon ESPN
Maryland at (23) Texas Noon FS1
Missouri State at Missouri Noon SECN
Wyoming at Iowa Noon BTN
California at North Carolina 12:20 pm ACCN
Bethune-Cookman at (18) Miami, FL 12:30 pm RSN
Youngstown State at Pittsburgh 1:00 pm ACCNExtra
Portland State at Oregon State 2:00pm Pac-12N
VMI at Air Force 2:00 pm ESPN3
NC State vs. South Carolina (at Charlotte, NC) 3:00 pm ESPN
Alabama A&M at UAB 3:30 pm Stadium
(11) Michigan vs. (17) Florida (at Arlington, TX) 3:30 pm ABC
Nevada at Northwestern 3:30 pm BTN
Temple at Notre Dame 3:30 pm NBC
UTEP at (7) Oklahoma 3:30 pm FOX
William & Mary at Virginia 3:30 pm ACCNExtra
Troy at Boise State 3:45 pm ESPNU
Charleston Southern at Mississippi State 4:00 pm SECN
Eastern Washington at Texas Tech 4:00 pm FSN
Kentucky at Southern Miss 4:00 pm CBSSN
Stony Brook at (19) USF 4:00 pm ESPN3
Western Michigan at (4) USC 5:15 pm Pac-12N
Albany at Old Dominion 6:00 pm ESPN3
James Madison at East Carolina 6:00 pm ESPN3
NC Central at Duke 6:00 pm ACCNExtra
Appalachian State at (15) Georgia 6:15 pm ESPN
Miami, OH at Marshall 6:30 pm Stadium /
Central Arkansas at (20) Kansas State 7:00 pm K-StateHD.TV
Eastern Kentucky at WKU 7:00 pm FloSports.TV /
Hampton at Ohio 7:00 pm ESPN3
Houston at UTSA Postponed
Houston Baptist at Texas State 7:00 pm ESPN3
Lamar at North Texas 7:00 pm ESPN3
Liberty at Baylor 7:00 pm FS2
Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech 7:00 pm ESPN3
SE Louisiana at UL Lafayette 7:00 pm ESPN3
SE Missouri at Kansas 7:00 pm JTV
Stephen F. Austin at SMU 7:00 pm ESPN3
UMass at Coastal Carolina 7:00 pm ESPN3
Cal Poly at San Jose State 7:30 pm No TV
Georgia Southern at (12) Auburn 7:30 pm SECN
(16) Louisville vs. Purdue (at Indianapolis, IN) 7:30 pm FOX
South Alabama at Ole Miss 7:30 pm ESPNU
Abilene Christian at New Mexico 8:00 pm No TV
Arkansas State at Nebraska 8:00 pm BTN
(3) Florida State vs. (1) Alabama (at Atlanta, GA) 8:00 pm ABC
Grambling State at Tulane 8:00 pm ESPN3
Jackson State at TCU 8:00 pm FSN
Northern Iowa at Iowa State 8:00 pm Cyclones.tv
Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee 8:00 pm CBSSN
Southern Utah at Oregon 8:15 pm Pac-12N
UC Davis at San Diego State 8:30 pm Stadium /
Howard at UNLV 9:00 pm MWN
BYU vs. (13) LSU (at New Orleans, LA) 9:30 pm ESPN
Incarnate Word at Fresno State 10:00 pm No TV
Montana State at (24) Washington State 10:30 pm FS1
NAU at Arizona 11:00 pm Pac-12N
Western Carolina at Hawaii 11:59 pm Spectrum PPV