Gameday Today: Feeling fine heading into Florida week

Rocky Top stops fretting about the running backs, turns its attention to Florida, and counts its Indiana State blessings. This and more in today’s Vols link roundup.

Who’s no longer anxious about the running backs?

One of the concerns about the Vols heading into the season was the depth of the running back position. You had John Kelly, then a guy best known for causing a fumble that probably cost the team the South Carolina game last year, and then a handful of new guys we knew next to nothing about.

Well, never mind.

Kelly is, so far, everything we believed he would be. Carlin Fils-aime began re-writing his history Saturday, as he had 41 yards and two touchdowns on only three carries against Indiana State. Ty Chandler exploded onto the stage by taking the game’s opening kickoff all the way to the end zone, and the other newcomers got a chance to shine a little bit as well. Kelly’s the man, but there are two solid options behind him in Fils-aime and Chandler, and the unit has some extra added depth if needed, too.

Vols turn their focus to Florida

The Vols are now #23 in both the AP and Coaches polls, just ahead of Florida. And yet, Florida opened as 8.5 point favorites over Tennessee.

The early storylines are pretty much all the same reheating of last year’s leftovers: The Vols haven’t won in The Swamp since 2003. If that bothers you, just remember that this time last year the story was that the Vols hadn’t beaten the Gators at all in over a decade.

History also shows that Florida looked terrible against Michigan. The Gators played two quarterbacks against Michigan two weeks ago. One went 5-of-9 for 75 yards, and the other went 9-of-17 for 106 yards. Their running game gained 11 yards on 27 carries, and their offensive line gave up six sacks. Tennessee may have some issues, but so do the Gators.

The decision-makers are waiting until Hurricane Irma moves on before announcing whether the game will still be played in Gainesville this Saturday, but either way, the guys have turned their attention and focus to the Gators and sound like they’re going to be ready.

Quick hits

 

 

Updated win probabilities for the Vols after Week 2

As the data on 2017 continues to trickle in, let’s take a look at what to reasonably expect out of the Vols the rest of the way.

Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week. And just like last week, there’s a chance at the bottom of the post for you to contribute to the community survey on the same question.

The Vols after Indiana State

After a week of not knowing exactly what to make of a defense playing against Georgia Tech’s triple option, we’re now faced with not knowing exactly what to make of a team playing a middle-of-the-road FCS team.

What we do know is that the team got a lot of different players valuable reps on the field. They used two quarterbacks and five running backs, and nine different players caught a pass. Plus, the NCAA’s official stats say that 17 players have started both games, and, by my count, 71 guys have played in at least one game already this season.

So, that’s all good, but if we can’t really draw any conclusions about a poor defense against Georgia Tech, we also shouldn’t be too hasty about drawing any conclusions about that same defense against an FCS foe. So, woo for 100% on third down stops and all that, but it’s a muted woo.

We really can’t say much about the offense, either. Basically, we’re right around where we expected to be and don’t really know much more about the team than we did in the preseason, other than the identity of some of the guys on whom they’ll rely.

All of that is to say this: I’m not adjusting expectations about the Vols themselves at all after the first two weeks. I am making some adjustments based on Vols’ opponents, though.

The Vols’ past opponents

Georgia Tech (1-1, 0-0 ACC, NR)

  • W1: Lost to Tennessee 42-41 in double overtime.
  • W2: Beat Jacksonville State, 37-10.
  • W3: At UCF
  • W4: Pitt
  • W5: North Carolina
  • W6: Bye
  • W7: At #17 Miami
  • W8: Wake Forest
  • W9: At #3 Clemson
  • W10: At Virginia
  • W11: #16 Virginia Tech
  • W12: At Duke
  • W13: #13 Georgia

Oh, my goodness, Jacksonville State held Georgia Tech to 210 yards, less than half of what we did! Our defense must therefore be twice as bad as the . . . hold, please, while I look up the Jacksonville State mascot . . . Gamecocks!

Whatever. The Yellow Jackets had this game in hand long before it was over. Draw whatever conclusions you want, but I’m going to wait and see.

9/9/17: Indiana State (0-1, 0-0 MVFC, NR)

  • W1: Lost to E Illinois, 22-20.
  • W2: Lost to Tennessee, 42-7.
  • W3: At Liberty
  • W4: Bye
  • W5: At Illinois State
  • W6: North Dakota State
  • W7: At South Dakota
  • W8: S Illinois
  • W9: At Missouri State
  • W10: Youngstown State
  • W11: W Illinois
  • W12: At Northern Iowa

We got about what we expected from these guys.

The Vols’ future opponents

9/16/17: Florida (0-1, 0-0 SEC, #24)

  • W1: Lost to #11 Michigan, 33-17.
  • W2: Canceled game with N Colorado.
  • W3: #25 Tennessee
  • W4: At Kentucky
  • W5: Vanderbilt
  • W6: #12 LSU
  • W7: Texas A&M
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: vs #15 Georgia
  • W10: At Missouri
  • W11: At South Carolina
  • W12: UAB
  • W13: #10 Florida State

Expectations for a Vols win: No game, no change.

9/23/17: UMass (0-3, 0-0 IND, NR)

  • W1: Lost to Hawaii, 38-35.
  • W2: Lost to C. Carolina, 38-28.
  • W3: Lost to Old Dominion, 17-7.
  • W4: At Temple
  • W5: At #25 Tennessee
  • W6: Ohio
  • W7: Bye
  • W8: At #21 USF
  • W9: Ga Southern
  • W10: Appalachian State
  • W11: At Mississippi State
  • W12: Maine
  • W13: At BYU

Expectations for a Vols win: Goodness, UMass is having a tough time. They had 79 yards rushing, and, according to the lede from ESPN, got beat on a 7-yard quarterback sneak. That’s what it says. Keeping them at 96%.

9/30/17: Georgia (2-0, 0-0 SEC, #13)

  • W1: Beat Appalachian State, 31-10. QB Jacob Eason went down, but freshman Jake Fromm looked good and took care of business.
  • W2: Beat #24 Notre Dame, 20-19.
  • W3: Samford
  • W4: Mississippi State
  • W5: At #25 Tennessee
  • W6: At Vanderbilt
  • W7: Missouri
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: vs. #22 Florida
  • W10: South Carolina
  • W11: At #13 Auburn
  • W12: Kentucky
  • W13: At Georgia Tech

Expectations for a Vols win: The Bulldogs got it done against the Fighting Irish, as Jake Fromm went 16-of-29 for 141 yards with one touchdown and one interception. They also ran for 185 yards, but only got 4.3 yards per carry. They won the game late when Davin Bellamy sacked the Notre Dame QB and made him fumble. Bottom line, Georgia looks good, but they don’t look invincible. I am going to move them from 45% to 40%, though.

10/14/17: South Carolina (2-0, 1-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat NC State, 35-28.
  • W2: Beat Missouri, 31-13.
  • W3: Kentucky
  • W4: LA Tech
  • W5: At Texas A&M
  • W6: Arkansas
  • W7: At #25 Tennessee
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: Vanderbilt
  • W10: At #15 Georgia
  • W11: #22 Florida
  • W12: Wofford
  • W13: #3 Clemson

Expectations for a Vols win: Missouri led South Carolina 10-0 in the second quarter before making the mistake of allowing the Gamecocks’ Deebo Samuel to field a kickoff, which he promptly took directly to the scoreboard for the second week in a row. Samuel then scored again 15 seconds later on a jet sweep after an interception by Jamyest Williams. The question: Was Missouri’s 13 points, after the Tigers put up 72 last week, an indication that they’re not all that or an indication that South Carolina is? We won’t know for sure for a few more weeks, but right now, the Gamecocks do look like a serious contender. I’m moving them from 69% to 60%.

10/21/17: Alabama (2-0, 0-0 SEC, #1)

  • W1: Beat #3 Florida State, 24-7.
  • W2: Beat Fresno State, 41-10.
  • W3: Colorado State
  • W4: At Vanderbilt
  • W5: Ole Miss
  • W6: At Texas A&M
  • W7: Arkansas
  • W8: #25 Tennessee
  • W9: Bye
  • W10: #12 LSU
  • W11: At Mississippi State
  • W12: Mercer
  • W13: At #13 Auburn

Expectations for a Vols win: No surprises here. Keeping the Tide at 10%.

10/28/17: Kentucky (2-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat Southern Miss, 24-17.
  • W2: Best E Kentucky, 27-16.
  • W3: At South Carolina
  • W4: #22 Florida
  • W5: E Michigan
  • W6: Missouri
  • W7: Bye
  • W8: At Mississippi State
  • W9: #25 Tennessee
  • W10: Ole Miss
  • W11: At Vanderbilt
  • W12: At #15 Georgia
  • W13: #17 Lousiville

Expectations for a Vols win: Hmm. Apparently, Kentucky was behind most of this game and needed two turnovers at crucial moments to pull it out. They’re probably going to be fine, but for now, I’m moving them from 65% to 70%.

11/4/17: Southern Miss (1-1, 0-0 C-USA, NR)

  • W1: Lost to Kentucky, 24-17.
  • W2: Beat Southern, 45-0.
  • W3: At UL Monroe
  • W4: Bye
  • W5: North Texas
  • W6: UTSA
  • W7: UTEP
  • W8: At LA Tech
  • W9: UAB
  • W10: At #25 Tennessee
  • W11: At Rice
  • W12: Charlotte
  • W13: At Marshall

Expectations for a Vols win: That 45-0 win over Southern this week might be more impressive than it seems, as Southern Miss had 28 of those 45 points in the first quarter. It probably shouldn’t matter much, but I am going to move them from 85% to 80% based on that game.

11/11/17: Missouri (1-1, 0-1 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat Missouri State 72-43.
  • W2: Lost to South Carolina, 31-13.
  • W3: Purdue
  • W4: #13 Auburn
  • W5: Bye
  • W6: At Kentucky
  • W7: At #15 Georgia
  • W8: Idaho
  • W9: At UConn
  • W10: #22 Florida
  • W11: #25 Tennessee
  • W12: At Vanderbilt
  • W13: At Arkansas

Expectations for a Vols win: See the discussion of South Carolina above. Never mind, I guess, about that 72-43 win over Missouri State last week, but I would keep an eye on these guys. For now, I’m moving the Tigers back to 70%, where I had them preseason.

11/18/17: LSU (2-0, 0-0 SEC, #12)

  • W1: Beat BYU, 27-0.
  • W2: Beat Chattanooga, 45-10.
  • W3: At Mississippi State
  • W4: Syracuse
  • W5: Troy
  • W6: At #22 Florida
  • W7: #13 Auburn
  • W8: At Ole Miss
  • W9: Bye
  • W10: At #1 Alabama
  • W11: Arkansas
  • W12: At #25 Tennessee
  • W13: Texas A&M

Expectations for a Vols win: Watching that recap video makes LSU look impressive, but they were playing Chattanooga. So, I’m leaving these Tigers right at 25% for now.

11/25/17: Vanderbilt (2-0, 0-0 SEC, NR)

  • W1: Beat MTSU, 28-6.
  • W2: Beat Alabama A&M, 42-0.
  • W3: #19 Kansas State
  • W4: #1 Alabama
  • W5: At #22 Florida
  • W6: #15 Georgia
  • W7: At Ole Miss
  • W8: Bye
  • W9: At South Carolina
  • W10: W Kentucky
  • W11: Kentucky
  • W12: Missouri
  • W13: At #25 Tennessee

Expectations for a Vols win: I couldn’t tell you one thing about Alabama A&M, but 42-0 is pretty good, so I’m moving Vandy to 65%.

All of that puts me at 7.71 wins, but with 9 if I’m right on every game.

YOUR TURN

How would you set your win probabilities for the rest of the Vols games? Fill out this form, and we’ll compile the results and post them later this week:

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BlountVols edges out spartans100 to win Week 2 of the Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em Contest

Congratulations to BlountVols, who, along with spartans100, went 17-2 in the Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em Pool this week. BlountVols wins by virtue of the Fun Office Pools tiebreaker and gets a free Gameday on Rocky Top t-shirt from our custom tee store, Web Community Tees:

Gameday on Rocky Top Logo Tee

BlountVols, watch your GRT inbox for a direct message from us on how to get your tee.

Here are the full results for this week:

Rank Participant W-L Points Tie Breaker
1 BlountVols 17-2 179 13-38**
1 spartans100 17-2 179 7-51
3 Phonies 15-4 174 7-37
4 TennVol95 in 3D! 15-4 173 13-55
5 jfarrar90 15-4 172 17-45**
5 wreckvol 15-4 172 17-52
7 Knottfair 15-4 170 10-42**
7 OriginalVol1814 14-5 170 10-45
9 dgibbs 16-3 169 7-48**
9 jeremy.waldroop 15-4 169 10-51
11 LuckyGuess 15-4 168 10-48**
11 ChuckieTVol 15-4 168 3-56
13 alanmar 14-5 167 13-48
14 Raven17 15-4 166 6-48
15 birdjam 16-3 165 13-48**
15 mariettavol 15-4 165 13-49
15 CajunVol 16-3 165 14-49
15 Displaced_Vol_Fan 15-4 165 10-54
15 Drew 14-5 165 0-0
20 PrideofTheSouthlandFan 14-5 164 10-35**
20 waltsspac 16-3 164 14-41
20 daetilus 14-5 164 17-48
20 ThePowerT 14-5 164 14-52
24 bking 15-4 163 20-31**
24 Sam 15-4 163 7-62
24 C_hawkfan 14-5 163 19-52
24 biologydropout 15-4 163 0-0
28 rsbrooks25 15-4 162 9-45
29 joeb_1 15-4 161 9-38**
29 boro wvvol 14-5 161 10-35
29 tdrb42 14-5 161 3-56
29 rockhopper78 14-5 161 6-55
33 rollervol 15-4 160 10-45
34 rockytopinky 13-6 159 14-50
35 VillaVol 14-5 158 17-27**
35 GeorgeMonkey 13-6 158 14-45
37 Will Shelton 13-6 157 10-41**
37 mmmjtx 13-6 157 7-45
37 Volfan2002 14-5 157 14-49
37 mmb61 13-6 157 13-52
37 BritishVol 13-6 157 0-0
42 Volboy 14-5 156 6-51
43 PAVolFan 13-6 155 10-34**
43 TNann 13-6 155 0-0
45 crafdog 14-5 154 13-47**
45 RichVols 13-6 154 17-55
45 vols95 12-7 154 17-56
45 The Alyas Greys 15-4 154 17-63
45 jstorie1 13-6 154 17-66
50 mobilevol 15-4 153 10-40**
50 rudydog 15-4 153 14-52
50 ltvol99 14-5 153 7-59
50 IBleedVolOrange 13-6 153 17-52
50 patmd 14-5 153 21-49
50 chuckiepoo 13-6 153 13-59
50 MeytonPanning 15-4 153 21-56
50 BZACHARY 14-5 153 0-0
58 Jahiegel 13-6 152 16-49**
58 Anaconda 13-6 152 0-0
60 utkjmitch 15-4 151 10-45**
60 EVOL 13-6 151 3-52
60 UNDirish60 14-5 151 0-0
60 waitwhereami 14-5 151 0-0
64 Joel @ GRT 13-6 150 10-48**
64 PensacolaVolFan 14-5 150 10-50
66 edgarmsmith 14-5 149 20-28**
66 CNMcCreary 15-4 149 10-49
66 tpi 14-5 149 0-0
69 over754ut 12-7 147 17-38
70 ed75 12-7 144 10-56
71 ctull 12-7 143 7-34
72 DinnerJacket 13-6 141 10-48**
72 HUTCH 14-5 141 6-31
72 VandyVol 13-6 141 17-45
75 ddayvolsfan 12-7 140 10-49**
75 KeepsCornInAJar 12-7 140 10-21
75 Techboy 12-7 140 0-0
78 aquasox 13-6 137 14-42
79 Jrstep 12-7 135 17-44
80 1hoss2 12-7 132 7-54
81 Harley 12-7 125 13-52
82 sncdaisy 14-5 119 10-35
83 jobliner 12-7 115 10-24
84 Gman15 9-10 111 17-34
85 Timbuktu126 10-9 105 7-24
86 DCVFL 6-13 99 0-0
87 Dylan pickle 9-10 98 14-24
88 ga26engr 10-9 97 16-32
89 PaVol 5-14 85 0-0
90 901Vol 0-19 84 -
90 T dog 0-19 84 -
90 kmchugh 0-19 84 -
90 wedflatrock 0-19 84 -
90 SouthernDCist 0-19 84 -
90 Rossboro 0-19 84 -
90 memphispete 0-19 84 -

 

And here are the current overall standings after Week 2:

Rank Participant W-L Points
1 BlountVols 35-4 377
2 Knottfair 32-7 372
3 TennVol95 in 3D! 32-7 369
4 wreckvol 32-7 368
5 CajunVol 34-5 367
6.1 spartans100 35-4 366
6.2 dgibbs 33-6 366
8 jfarrar90 32-7 365
9 alanmar 33-6 364
10.1 Displaced_Vol_Fan 33-6 363
10.2 OriginalVol1814 32-7 363
12.1 mariettavol 34-5 362
12.2 LuckyGuess 33-6 362
12.3 biologydropout 34-5 362
15.1 PrideofTheSouthlandFan 32-7 360
15.2 rockhopper78 32-7 360
17 jeremy.waldroop 33-6 359
18 Drew 32-7 357
19.1 ChuckieTVol 33-6 356
19.2 rsbrooks25 32-7 356
19.3 boro wvvol 31-8 356
19.4 tdrb42 31-8 356
23 VillaVol 31-8 355
24.1 birdjam 33-6 354
24.2 joeb_1 32-7 354
24.3 Phonies 32-7 354
24.4 rollervol 32-7 354
28.1 waltsspac 33-6 353
28.2 Raven17 31-8 353
30 ltvol99 31-8 351
31.1 EVOL 29-10 350
31.2 chuckiepoo 31-8 350
33.1 daetilus 31-8 349
33.2 Volfan2002 32-7 349
33.3 GeorgeMonkey 29-10 349
36 waitwhereami 32-7 348
37.1 TNann 31-8 347
37.2 RichVols 31-8 347
39.1 PAVolFan 31-8 346
39.2 vols95 30-9 346
41.1 Volboy 31-8 345
41.2 ThePowerT 30-9 345
43.1 C_hawkfan 31-8 344
43.2 Joel @ GRT 31-8 344
45.1 Sam 31-8 341
45.2 UNDirish60 31-8 341
47.1 mmb61 29-10 340
47.2 over754ut 29-10 340
49.1 utkjmitch 33-6 339
49.2 Will Shelton 28-11 339
51 mmmjtx 29-10 338
52 MeytonPanning 31-8 337
53.1 bking 31-8 336
53.2 KeepsCornInAJar 30-9 336
55 patmd 28-11 335
56 rockytopinky 31-8 334
57 ctull 30-9 331
58.1 rudydog 31-8 330
58.2 aquasox 31-8 330
60 1hoss2 31-8 328
61 BZACHARY 27-12 326
62 tpi 30-9 325
63 crafdog 30-9 324
64.1 edgarmsmith 29-10 323
64.2 Jahiegel 30-9 323
66.1 mobilevol 31-8 322
66.2 Jrstep 29-10 322
68.1 jstorie1 28-11 321
68.2 ddayvolsfan 29-10 321
68.3 Gman15 29-10 321
71 DinnerJacket 28-11 317
72 IBleedVolOrange 27-12 309
73 ed75 27-12 306
74 sncdaisy 30-9 301
75 PensacolaVolFan 27-12 286
76 DCVFL 21-18 285
77.1 CNMcCreary 29-10 283
77.2 BritishVol 27-12 283
79 kmchugh 18-21 277
80.1 ga26engr 27-12 276
80.2 memphispete 18-21 276
82 Anaconda 13-26 275
83.1 Timbuktu126 25-14 273
83.2 901Vol 18-21 273
85 SouthernDCist 16-23 265
86.1 Techboy 22-17 264
86.2 Rossboro 16-23 264
88 jobliner 12-27 238
89.1 wedflatrock 0-39 207
89.2 T dog 0-39 207
91 The Alyas Greys 15-24 154
92.1 HUTCH 14-25 141
92.2 VandyVol 13-26 141
94 Harley 12-27 125
95 Dylan pickle 9-30 98
96 PaVol 5-34 85

Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game Results: Indiana State

In this week’s Guessing Game, Will Shelton (and charles matthews) hog all the mushrooms, but lose ground anyway, as Fatso extends his lead. Four other players have solid performances in Week 2 as well, including Dave Strunk and Sam, who both go from right near the bottom to right near the top.

The full results are below. This week’s questions will go up sometime Friday.

Top 10 as of the end of last week

Fatso 8
Will Shelton 6
GoVols365 6
PaVol 5
btpenley 4
LTVol99 4
Jayyyy 3
Drew 3
RockyTopinKY 3
Dave Strunk 2

 

Round 1

Q: At which point does the second true quarterback get his first snap at quarterback? (2-10 points)

A: First quarter (4 points); First half (2 points)

Three players got the safe two points for guessing the first half, and six others got the full four points for guessing the first quarter.

Mushrooms: Will Shelton and charles matthews

Bananas: Rockytop01 and Displaced_Vol_Fan

Blue shells and bolts: None

Top 10 after Round 1:

Will Shelton 9
Fatso 8
Dave Strunk 6
Harley 5
PaVol 5
Evan 5
Marietta Vol 4
Daetilus 4
wreckvol 4
LTVol99 4

 

Round 2

Q: The Vols allowed 535 rushing yards last week. How many do they allow this week?

A: 101-150 (122)

A whopping 15 players get this right and get five points for it.

Mushrooms: Marietta Vol and Rockytop01

Bananas: Evan and LTVol99

Blue shells and bolts: None!

Top 10 after Round 2:

Fatso 13
Harley 10
Marietta Vol 10
Will Shelton 9
Daetilus 9
Jayyyy 8
Joel Hollingsworth 8
RockyTopinKY 8
Dave Strunk 6
charles matthews 6

 

Round 3

Q: Who is the first Vol to catch a pass from a Tennessee QB?

A: Brandon Johnson (5 points)

Only two players got this right: Dave Strunk and Sam.

Mushrooms: Will Shelton and charles matthews (hey, wait a minute . . . how did that happen?)

Bananas: Fatso and vfl_mks

Blue shells and bolts: No blue shells, but Alyas Grey draws a thunderbolt. The next question belongs to him and only him.

Top 10 after Round 3:

Fatso 12
Dave Strunk 11
Harley 10
Marietta Vol 10
Will Shelton 10
Sam 10
Daetilus 9
Jayyyy 8
Joel Hollingsworth 8
RockyTopinKY 8

 

Full table

W1 R1 R1 Sub R1 Specials R1 Total R2 R2 Sub R2 Specials R2 Total R3 R3 Sub R3 Specials R3 Total
Fatso 8 8 8 5 13 13 13 -1 12
Dave Strunk 2 4 6 6 6 6 5 11 11
Harley 1 4 5 5 5 10 10 10 10
Marietta Vol 4 4 4 5 9 1 10 10 10
Will Shelton 6 2 8 1 9 9 9 9 1 10
Sam 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10
Daetilus 4 4 4 5 9 9 9 9
Jayyyy 3 3 3 5 8 8 8 8
Joel Hollingsworth 1 2 3 3 5 8 8 8 8
RockyTopinKY 3 3 3 5 8 8 8 8
charles matthews 0 0 1 1 5 6 6 6 1 7
Josh Farrar 1 1 1 5 6 6 6 6
PaVol 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Alyas Grey 0 0 5 5 5 5 THUNDERBOLT 5
Gr82baTNVol 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
TennVol95 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
Rockytop01 0 -1 -1 5 4 1 5 5 5
vfl_mks 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 -1 4
Evan 1 4 5 5 5 -1 4 4 4
wreckvol 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
LTVol99 4 4 4 4 -1 3 3 3
Drew 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Displaced_Vol_Fan 1 2 3 -1 2 2 2 2 2
cscott95 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
NJ Vol 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Raven17 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Volfaninsc 0 0 0 0 0 0

Tennessee 42 Indiana State 7 – Keep it Simple

The answers will really come next week. But after a week of triple option and a week of FCS, we can put a few questions aside on the road to Gainesville.

Quinten Dormady is Tennessee’s quarterback right now. Speculation that Jarrett Guarantano has a higher ceiling is based in recruiting rankings and…I’m not sure what else at this point. Dormady is 33-of-55 for 415 yards (7.5 yards per attempt) with four touchdowns and one poor decision on an interception today. Since halftime against Georgia Tech, Dormady is 25-of-35 (71.4%) for 363 yards (10.4 ypa).

Guarantano could’ve had more help from his receivers today, but was still 4-of-12 for 41 yards against an FCS opponent. There is a reason they didn’t play him on Monday, and I would not expect to see him in Gainesville. That’s no guarantee Dormady will be lights out against a tougher Gator defense, but he is the clear choice of this coaching staff at the moment. And what we’ve seen on the field backs that up.

Tennessee’s number two running back is up for grabs. Before today Carlin Fils-aime was best known for being part of an unfortunate fumble at South Carolina last year. I was worried, if Ty Chandler had clearly passed him by, that might be the strongest memory he got to make at Tennessee. But CFA took care of that himself today with 41 yards and two touchdowns on three carries.

In Butch Jones’ tenure the Vols have always had a clear one-two at running back (Neal/Lane, Hurd/Lane, Hurd/Kamara). John Kelly is clearly the alpha, but the beta is still up for grabs it would seem.

Dormady loves Brandon Johnson. With seven catches in two games, Johnson has been Tennessee’s most targeted wide receiver. John Kelly has more catches overall as the Vols continue to love to throw to the running back in this offense. And Marquez Callaway is clearly the big play threat. But Johnson might be emerging as the number two option at receiver in what is still a crowded field. Josh Palmer had some big chances today that Dormady overthrew, and Josh Smith was going to start originally but is yet to play. I think the Vols are better off if they get more consistency at the top, but there are some decent options here.

Efficiency competes for championships. The Vols had only one three-and-out today and put an 0-for-11 on Indiana State’s offense on third down. This offense isn’t putting up the numbers we saw in November last year, but that’s an unfair comparison considering the Vols led the nation in yards per play during that stretch last fall. What they have done is get off to a better start in the first two games than what we saw from Team 120 against Appalachian State, Virginia Tech, and Ohio. They avoid negative plays and, since halftime against Georgia Tech, give themselves good opportunities on third down. The defense can’t erase Yellow Jacket memories by beating Indiana State, but they did hold the Sycamores to 3.77 yards per play.

Tennessee now must maintain focus in what will be an emotional week. Where will this Florida game be played? Florida State and Miami have moved their showdown, but the Vols and Gators do not have a common bye week. If Gainesville isn’t an option, could the game be played in Atlanta? Would both teams consider moving it to Knoxville, then playing in Gainesville in both 2018 and 2019?

There will be plenty of rumors, and Florida’s decision makers didn’t endear themselves to the rest of the league over the LSU game last year. But the biggest concern this week is everyone’s safety and the livelihood of those in the Sunshine State; how much that is affected won’t begin to be known until a few days from now. Thoughts and prayers to those in the path of this storm; we’ll figure out football later. And no matter what the outcome, Tennessee is capable of taking care of its own business.

Tennessee vs. Indiana State: Looking at the Vols’ Forest Through the Sycamores

Tennessee’s game on Saturday against Indiana State was much more about the rest of the season than it was about the Sycamores.

There’s not much we can learn about the Vols when you play against a Football Championship Subdivision team that is drastically overmatched from the opening kickoff and win 42-7.

This was more about UT executing its offense, gaining valuable reps for guys who need to provide depth through the grueling stretches of the season and about rebounding from a horrific defensive performance in a fortunate season-opening win over Georgia Tech.

Though, again, there were warts, it was mostly mission accomplished in all three phases.

**CAVEAT: We all know this was Indiana State. Still, if we’re going to discuss the negative (and, Lord knows we’ve done that) we need to harp on the good, too.**

With Evan Berry out and watching from the sideline, the Vols placed dynamic freshman Ty Chandler back to field the opening kickoff. Ninety-one yards later, it was 7-0 Tennessee, and it was on.

Was it always pretty? No. Quinten Dormady didn’t feel the pressure on one occasion and lost a fumble that wound up turning into a touchdown after a few Sycamores plays. He also threw a terrible interception in the end zone that never should have been released. The Vols had some golden opportunities to hit big plays downfield, but twice Dormady overthrew Josh Palmer — who consistently beat defenders downfield all day — and Jarrett Guarantano had a pass dropped by Jeff George on a good pass downfield. And that was only in the first half.

The Sycamores got the edge far too much on jet sweeps, turning it upfield for considerable gains on running plays, and even though ISU finished 0-of-11 on third-down conversions, it wasn’t always dominating for Tennessee’s defense. Still, you’re being too picky if this performance disappointed you.

Jonathan Kongbo and Kyle Phillips played much better than they did a week ago, and UT nearly had double-digit tackles for a loss. Bituli continued to prove he’s a playmaker, and the Vols defensive line bounced back a bit.

But with the negative out of the way, the Vols performed plenty well enough to satisfy the masses and provide a positive tune-up prior to the Florida game. The only worrisome injury occurred when backup tight end Eli Wolf went out in the first quarter and finished the game on crutches, watching from the sideline.

Everything else was OK. Special teams were brilliant, including Trevor Daniel’s titanium leg and punt returner Marquez Callaway giving UT great starting field position a couple of times.

UT still looked too slow at times on defense, but the Vols played a lot of guys, and they did swarm to the football. Daniel Bituli again proved he belongs somewhere on the football field at all times. You simply can’t take one of your three best playmakers (along with Darrell Taylor and Nigel Warrior) off when your defense is lacking speed and difference-makers.

The biggest excitement, at least to me, came for Tennessee on offense. Would I have liked to see UT have a few more explosion plays downfield, hitting Palmer on a big pass play or two? Absolutely. That would have made it a perfect day. Would I have liked to see Guarantano take off and display his dual-threat dynamics? Sure, that would have been nice, too.

But the Vols played the methodical game to perfection. This offensive line is playing terrific for the most part, especially the interior. That’s where senior center Jashon Robertson, freshman Trey Smith, junior Jack Jones and redshirt sophomore Venzell Boulware all flashed all day. Those guys are opening up huge holes, and John Kelly blew threw them. When Kelly needed a breather, the Vols showed they’ve got some explosion behind him with freshman Ty Chandler and sophomore Carlin Fils-aime.

While we’re there, Fils-aime?!?!?! Where did that come from? All through the preseason, people were discrediting his role in this offense, saying Chandler was going to blow by him on the depth chart. Maybe he has. But that doesn’t mean Fils-aime should spend all his time on the sideline. He proved that on Saturday, finishing a touchdown run by punishing a middle defender, then blowing through a gaping hole on his second scoring run to prove he’s got some speed and shake to go along with the power he displayed for an undersized guy on that first run.

There are a lot of reasons to be excited. Yes, the guys who are supposed to show out did well, especially John Kelly. Dormady had some good moments and some not-so-great moments, and the Vols found other weapons in the passing game as Callaway was relatively quiet. When Dormady finally found him, he took his reception in for a touchdown, but Tennessee’s receiving corps proved they could make plays, too.

Yes, it was against Indiana State, and no, it wasn’t the 50-point performance we all wanted to see, but the Vols got to sit a bunch of players who were battling injuries, and they got to rotate in a bunch of subs, too. They also came out fairly healthy.

With Florida sitting this week due to Hurricane Irma, all of this was important. Does this team look ready to play the Gators? In the Swamp? That’s up in the air. There are still mistakes to be fixed, plays to be made, depth to be displayed and some gaps to fill.

But Saturday did nothing to prove that Tennessee has serious problems. If anything, it showed the Vols are talented, even though they’re young, inexperienced and make a lot of mistakes.

The Vols proved what they had from a grit-and-grind perspective in Week 1. All we could see this week was they took care of business the way they were expected to against a bad team.

The real test about what this season is going to look like comes in Gainesville next week. Unfortunately for UT, it comes — like most years — before all the kinks can be worked out. But the Gators have their fair share of question marks, too, especially after Michigan looked like anything but world-beaters against Cincinnati this week.

Saturday was about what the Vols could become as we wind toward the meat of the season. It was about what they are now and where they need to go. There’s a long way left until this is a team that can reach its potential, but the potential is there.

So, if you choose to be critical of this team, that’s your prerogative. If you choose to be excited about the possibilities, that’s your choice, too. As of now, the best any of us can be is cautiously optimistic. This is a team that will be carried by Kelly and can be efficient with good quarterback play and timely defensive stops.

If either of those last two things are absent, it’s going to be hard to win. But Saturday shouldn’t give you any pause about the possibilities of what Tennessee’s ceiling is in 2017.

Tennessee Vols vs. Indiana State Sycamores: game thread

Last Monday night, it was “Football Time in Tennessee,” but only kinda sorta because “Football Time for Tennessee in Georgia this week because we’re on the road to start the season” sounds like a Daniel Tiger song, cramming square peg words into round hole melodies. You’ll be singing it ALL DAY LONG, but it’s never going to make the Top 40.

But today, it’s actually all caps “FOOTBALL TIME IN TENNESSEE” for real, as the Vols host the Indiana State Sycamores in their home opener at Neyland Stadium this afternoon at 4:00 p.m.

The SEC Network has the broadcast, and David Neal, Matt Stinchcomb, and Dawn Davenport are the broadcast personalities.

This is your Gameday on Rocky Top game thread. If you haven’t signed up for the Guessing Game yet, you can do that here all the way through kickoff.

Go Vols!

Use your words and say how you feel below.

The GRT “Other Games” Game Thread – Week 2

We hope you’re heading up/down/over to Neyland Stadium for the Vols’ home opener this afternoon, but there’s a fair amount of other games to watch today as well. Hang out with us here while you’re watching.

Note that the several games have been canceled, postponed, and/or moved due to Hurricane Irma, including the Florida game against Northern Colorado that was supposed to kick at noon, so be wary of any college football TV schedule posts live out there on the internet.

There will be a separate game thread for the Vols, which will go live later.

Will Shelton on WNML’s Sports 180: Wondering what we know about Tennessee after Georgia Tech

 

Yesterday afternoon on WNML’s Sports 180 with Josh & Will (West), Will Shelton discussed the takeaways from the Georgia Tech game, the benefits of a better rhythm of this year’s schedule compared to last year’s, and whether and to what degree he feels better about the Vols’ chances to win the SEC East when after one game every East team seems to have its own flaws. They also talked about Marquez Callaway and the receiving corps, and they’re hoping and expecting to see many more players on the field against Indiana State this afternoon.

Listen to Josh & Will’s Sports 180 show every weekday from noon to 3:00 at AM 990 in Knoxville and at SportsRadioWNML.com online. Will Shelton is on with them every Friday at 1:30. You can also subscribe to their podcasts by clicking the button below.

The Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game: Indiana State edition

It’s not too late to participate in this season’s Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game. If you are wondering what that is exactly, you can find out everything you need to know here. Last week’s results are here.

 

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