This week, our community gives the Vols a 72.1% chance of victory at Vanderbilt. Some of that is the Dores, for sure: even coming off the Georgia loss, fans gave the Vols a 94.1% chance against Vandy two weeks ago. The rest of it, of course, is Tennessee. The 72.1% […]
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Expected Win Totals: How confident are we at Vanderbilt?
Even after losing to Georgia, last week marked the second-highest confidence level of the season overall. After blowing out Missouri, fans were even more confident the Vols would get to 11 wins than we were coming out of the Alabama game. It did not go that way, of course, but […]
South Carolina 63 Tennessee 38 – A Bewildering Night
A season that has surprised us all saved another one for tonight. And this time, unfortunately, it was not the fun kind. These things always need the full season to find their proper place, as much as the moment may invite us to do otherwise each week. This post will […]
Historical Precedent for One-Loss Teams in the Playoff
The Vols remained at #5 in the College Football Playoff poll this week after two overtimes and many of our bedtimes. Shout out to Michigan State, giving the Vols an early transitive scrimmage win over Kentucky in basketball. The top four speak for themselves, all undefeated at 10-0. LSU trails […]
Expected Win Totals, Basketball, & AP Top 5 History at UT
We’ve reached the final two games of the regular season, which means our boundaries are pretty clearly defined in expected wins. That’s usually true for Tennessee when we close the season with Vanderbilt; it’s especially true for this Tennessee team, playing with an inevitability they’ll take on the road to […]
Tennessee 66 Missouri 24 – Impossible Becomes Inevitable
When Missouri hit a 38-yard pass to make it 28-24 midway through the third quarter, were you worried? Tennessee still had a sizeable statistical advantage, turned away twice on fourth down inside the Missouri 40 in the first half. The Tigers, meanwhile, had already gone three-and-out four times. It felt […]
Can the Vols make this part easier than it looks too?
Of all the benchmarks we can use for this turnaround, the happiest one is Missouri. On October 2, 2021, the Vols went to Columbia at 2-2. Vanquished at Florida the week before in a second half that got out of hand, 38-14. An announced attendance of 82,203 to watch them […]
Expected Win Total Machine – Missouri Week
Here’s the question now: how confident are you the Vols will go 3-0 the next three weeks? That starts this week with Mizzou, who was blown out 40-12 at Kansas State in week two. The Wildcats are #23 in the land this week, so we probably weren’t giving them enough […]
Georgia 27 Tennessee 13 – Alternate Route
I’ve been down with the flu for the past few days, and I feel like this game fit that mood perfectly: stuffy, sleepy, body aches, all that. Credit the defending champs for playing like it: Georgia’s defense may or may not have the first round picks of the 2021 squad, […]
How to watch the Vols like a pro: GRT’s Week 10 college football TV schedule
Here’s our TV watching schedule for this week, curated just for Vols fans.