Use the form below to calculate your expected win total for the rest of the season.

The GRT Expected Win Total Machine


My assessment

Even a day later, I’m still feeling like the Vols really weren’t even competitive against the Gators and that the evidence is insufficient at this time to support a belief that it’s going to get better any time soon. Ugh.

Meanwhile, Mississippi State and Missouri are looking better and better, while the other remaining opponents all look good enough to lose to. Bleck.

With this week’s adjustments, I now have an expected win total of . . . 2.9, which actually feels a bit high. I guess all of those 20 and 30 percents add up to a win I’m not exactly expecting. Hurl.

  • Preseason: 6.55
  • After Week 0: 6.6
  • After Week 1: 2.87
  • After Week 2: 2.37
  • After Week 3: 3.65
  • After Week 4: 2.9

Details: I have Alabama and Georgia both at 5%, Mississippi State and Missouri at 20%, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt at 30%, and UAB as a tossup. Ugh.

Here’s a table with my expectations this week:

Tennessee Volunteers currently

Current record: 1-3 (0-1), 4th in the SEC East

The Vols’ past opponents

Georgia State Panthers

Current record: 2-2 (0-1), 5th in the Sun Belt East

BYU Cougars

Current record: 2-2 (0-0)

Chattanooga Mocs

Current record: 1-3 (0-0), 4th in the Southern Conference

Florida Gators

Current record: 4-0 (2-0), 1st in the SEC East

The Vols’ future opponents

Georgia Bulldogs

Current record: 4-0 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

Tough game against Notre Dame, but these guys pulled it out and looked good doing it against the Fighting Irish. They’re going to be a real problem for the Vols.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Current record: 3-1 (1-0), 1st in the SEC West

The Bulldogs looked good against Kentucky and made that loss to Kansas State look like a fluke. Kylin Hill is currently the SEC’s leading rusher. Ugh, this game’s looking tougher, even before you account for the Vols’ problems.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Current record: 4-0 (1-0), 1st in the SEC West

Machines.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Current record: 1-3 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Looked good against Alabama, but not so good against Missouri this week.

UAB Blazers

Current record: 3-0 (0-0), 3rd in C-USA West

Nobody schedule, but 3-0.

Kentucky Wildcats

Current record: 2-2 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Missouri Tigers

Current record: 3-1 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

Season-opening loss to Wyoming looking more and more like an anomaly.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Current record: 0-3 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East

Not looking good, but playing two Top 5 teams to begin the season will do that.

What about you? Where are your expectations for the Vols now?

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Harley
Harley
5 years ago

Down from 4 wins last week to 3 wins this week… sssssigh. Go Vols!

Will Shelton
Admin
Will Shelton
5 years ago

I’m at 3.51. This “feels” right, whatever that’s worth: beat UAB and then get one, maybe two of the non-UGA/Bama games.

Pete
Pete
5 years ago

2.37. I’ll take the Under. We destroyed our best chance in decades for a winless season with the slip up at UTC.

daetilus
daetilus
5 years ago

3.17….seems about right.

HT
HT
5 years ago

July 25, 2019 (pre-season): 5.96
August 26, 2019 (after “Week Zero”): 5.92
September 3, 2019 (post-Georgia St.): 3.86
September 9, 2019 (post-BYU): 3.09
September 16, 2019 (post-Chattanooga): 3.61
September 24, 2019 (post-Florida): 2.71

So much for progress.

This is really kind of unbelievable in Year 2.