Use the form below to calculate your expected win total for the rest of the season.
The GRT Expected Win Total Machine
The Vols appear to have improved despite failing to cover a huge spread against the Bulldogs at home. For that reason, I’m giving them a slight bump.
Meanwhile, Missouri’s looking better, Vanderbilt’s looking worse, and Mississippi State, Alabama, South Carolina, and Kentucky were all resting comfortably.
With this week’s adjustments, I now have an expected win total of . . . 3.85. Continuing to inch up.
- Preseason: 6.55
- After Week 0: 6.6
- After Week 1: 2.87
- After Week 2: 2.37
- After Week 3: 3.65
- After Week 4: 2.9
- After Week 5: 3.25
- After Week 6: 3.85
Details: Alabama remains at 5% and Missouri stays at 25%. South Carolina and Mississippi State both move to 40%, Kentucky and Vanderbilt move to 50%, and UAB moves to 75%.
Here’s a table with my expectations this week:
Tennessee Volunteers currently
Current record: 1-4 (0-2), 5th in the SEC East
The Vols’ past opponents
Georgia State Panthers
Current record: 3-2 (1-1), 2nd in the Sun Belt East
The Panthers had 722 yards of offense! It’s not that this loss wasn’t bad, but maybe not quite so horrendous as maybe we thought? Maybe?
Current record: 2-3 (0-0)
Off this week.
Current record: 3-3 (2-0), 2nd in the Southern Conference
Current record: 6-0 (3-0), 1st in the SEC East
Raise your hand if you hate the Gators! Will and I disagree a bit about how good Auburn is, but the Gators are looking good, so I’m giving the Vols a bit of a bump because this loss is looking (but not feeling) better.
Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 2nd in the SEC East
Again, my thoughts on this one are here.
The Vols’ future opponents
The Bulldogs were also off this week.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Current record: 3-2 (1-1), 5th in the SEC West
The Bulldogs were off last week, so getting stomped by Auburn the prior week is the last thing we have to go on. If this game moves on my list, it’s because of the Vols.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 1st in the SEC West
Alabama was also off.
South Carolina Gamecocks
Current record: 2-3 (1-2), 4th in the SEC East
Did anybody play this week besides us?
Current record: 4-1 (1-1), 4th in C-USA West
Rice has lost 17 of its last 18 games, so . . . .
Current record: 2-3 (0-3), 6th in the SEC East
Current record: 4-1 (1-0), 3rd in the SEC East
Missouri looking really good. QB Kelly Bryant left with an injury, but the reports are that he’s going to be ready to roll again this week. Linebacker Cale Garrett, who’s scored three defensive touchdowns this year alone, is out indefinitely, though.
Current record: 1-4 (0-3), 6th in the SEC East
Commodores not looking good. They gave up 413 rushing yards to Ole Miss in this game.
What about you? Where are your expectations for the Vols now?