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Expected Win Total Machine: Week 1

Game week.

We wanted to wait until we had a starting quarterback, officially. But being that this is, in fact, that week, let’s do this thing.

You know the drill: enter the percentage chance you give Tennessee to win each game. Something closer to 100 for Bowling Green, something closer to 0 for Alabama, etc. Enter your response for each game and hit submit, and you’ll get your expected win total for the season.

At the end of spring practice, our community’s expected win total for this fall was 6.57. Curious to see how that number has gone up or down as kickoff approaches. We’ll reveal the full results before kickoff next Thursday, and we’ll compile the responses every week and let you know how we’re feeling as the season progresses.

Go Vols.

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John Wilbanks
John Wilbanks
2 years ago
Reply to  Will Shelton

I got 6.6 – tempered optimism.

Brenna Russell
Brenna Russell
2 years ago

I’m at 7.2.

Isaac Bishop
Isaac Bishop
2 years ago

at Bowling Green: 100%

vs Pittsburgh: 50%

vs Tennessee Tech: 100%

at Florida: 30%

at Missouri: 40%

vs South Carolina: 60%

vs Mississippi: 40%

at Alabama: 5%

at Kentucky: 40%

vs Georgia: 10%

vs South Alabama: 100%

vs Vanderbilt: 80%

6.6 Wins

HixsonVol
HixsonVol
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 6.9.
Your details:

at Bowling Green: 100%
vs Pittsburgh: 65%
vs Tennessee Tech: 100%
at Florida: 35%
at Missouri: 35%
vs South Carolina: 60%
vs Mississippi: 40%
at Alabama: 5%
at Kentucky: 45%
vs Georgia: 5%
vs South Alabama: 100%
vs Vanderbilt: 100%

I am at 6.9 wins also hopefully great minds think alike.

Harley
Harley
2 years ago

It’s a real crap shoot at this stage… though some optimism prevails. Please don’t “GA State” me this year. Go Vols!

Your expected win total is 7.2.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 100%

vs Pittsburgh: 75%

vs Tennessee Tech: 100%

at Florida: 40%

at Missouri: 50%

vs South Carolina: 50%

vs Mississippi: 40%

at Alabama: 0%

at Kentucky: 35%

vs Georgia: 25%

vs South Alabama: 100%

vs Vanderbilt: 100%

JustinTipton
JustinTipton
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 5.1.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 80%

vs Pittsburgh: 50%

vs Tennessee Tech: 100%

at Florida: 5%

at Missouri: 10%

vs South Carolina: 40%

vs Mississippi: 45%

at Alabama: 1%

at Kentucky: 25%

vs Georgia: 9%

vs South Alabama: 95%

vs Vanderbilt: 50%

Josh Farrar
Josh Farrar
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 5.9.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 100%

vs Pittsburgh: 55%

vs Tennessee Tech: 100%

at Florida: 10%

at Missouri: 35%

vs South Carolina: 65%

vs Mississippi: 30%

at Alabama: 0%

at Kentucky: 25%

vs Georgia: 0%

vs South Alabama: 100%

vs Vanderbilt: 70%

Matt
Matt
2 years ago

6.2. If we go to a bowl this year I am treating it like a national championship game based on our off season.

Gavin Driskill
Gavin Driskill
2 years ago

Team “a bowl game would be nice, but I’m not quite convinced it’ll happen” here!

Your expected win total is 5.9.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 92%

vs Pittsburgh: 55%

vs Tennessee Tech: 98%

at Florida: 10%

at Missouri: 25%

vs South Carolina: 60%

vs Mississippi: 40%

at Alabama: 1%

at Kentucky: 30%

vs Georgia: 10%

vs South Alabama: 90%

vs Vanderbilt: 75%

Jayyyy
Jayyyy
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 6.0.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 95%

vs Pittsburgh: 55%

vs Tennessee Tech: 95%

at Florida: 15%

at Missouri: 30%

vs South Carolina: 60%

vs Mississippi: 30%

at Alabama: 5%

at Kentucky: 30%

vs Georgia: 10%

vs South Alabama: 95%

vs Vanderbilt: 80%

GtownRockyTop
GtownRockyTop
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 7.0.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 90%

vs Pittsburgh: 60%

vs Tennessee Tech: 95%

at Florida: 40%

at Missouri: 45%

vs South Carolina: 70%

vs Mississippi: 50%

at Alabama: 10%

at Kentucky: 40%

vs Georgia: 15%

vs South Alabama: 95%

vs Vanderbilt: 90%

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
2 years ago

Your expected win total is 6.1.

Your details:

at Bowling Green: 96%

vs Pittsburgh: 45%

vs Tennessee Tech: 98%

at Florida: 10%

at Missouri: 45%

vs South Carolina: 55%

vs Mississippi: 40%

at Alabama: 5%

at Kentucky: 40%

vs Georgia: 10%

vs South Alabama: 95%

vs Vanderbilt: 70%