How did Tennessee’s performance against Georgia Tech affect our outlook on the rest of the season? In this week’s win probability (and you can still fill in your own at the bottom of that post), our readers nudge the Vols to the right side of eight wins: Opponent Win Probability Georgia […]
Author: Will Shelton
Choose Your Own Adventure
So I tried lying to myself all week, about how this game wouldn’t really matter. If Georgia Tech’s unique offense got the best of Tennessee’s Kirkland-less defense, we couldn’t draw too many conclusions. If Tennessee’s offense looked great against an uncelebrated Yellow Jacket defense, we couldn’t get too excited. No […]
The Stage Matters
Last year Tennessee got its chance to make the first impression of the college football season. It was not a good one: the Vols were lethargic and lucky to escape against 20-point underdog Appalachian State, and it cost Tennessee nine spots in the polls. The drop was the second largest […]
What Will We Learn On Monday?
There is so much that is unique to playing Georgia Tech, it may be hard to fully believe a lot of what we see on Monday night. Whether Bob Shoop’s defense plays well or plays poorly, you’ll need a couple weeks of seeing them against more traditional offenses to really […]
Tennessee Game-by-Game & Record Predictions with Win Probability
Earlier this month we showed you Tennessee’s projected record using win probability with ESPN’s FPI and SB Nation’s S&P+. Add up the percentage chance they give the Vols to win each game, and you’ll get their projection for Tennessee’s regular season win total. Then our staff made their picks using […]
Gameday on Rocky Top Picks Contest
Our 2017 picks contest is now open and free to play at Fun Office Pools. If you played before at our old site, you know the rules: we pick 20 games straight up every week using confidence points. You pick the winners and assign 20 points to the outcome you’re […]
Win Probability: What Will Tennessee’s Record Be?
Earlier this month we looked at Tennessee’s win probabilities using ESPN’s FPI and SB Nation’s S&P+. Their formulas assign a win probability for each game (somewhere between 7% against Alabama and 99% against Indiana State); add up those percentages and you’ll get their projection for Tennessee’s regular season wins. Assigning […]
The Idiot Optimist’s Guide to the 2017 Season
Hey, y’all think about cutting a power T out of them eclipse glasses so it’d be burned onto your retina forever? … …uh, yeah, me neither. Really though, I figure I’ve had enough medical problems anyway. But listen, before you even ask, I’m fine. I know I was in the […]
Where do we set the bar for John Kelly?
Earlier this week Jimmy Hyams quoted some of Tennessee’s offensive linemen saying they wanted John Kelly to get 2,000 yards this season. Perhaps they’re unaware that no one at Tennessee has ever run for even 1,500 yards in a single season, but hey, aim high! It’s not fair to Kelly […]
Comparing Tennessee’s Win Probabilities with FPI & S&P+
That’s a lot of alphabet soup in the title. FPI (Football Power Index) is an ESPN metric; as such you’ll see it a lot on their coverage, in playoff conversations, etc. S&P+ is a metric used by Bill Connelly at SB Nation and Football Outsiders, measuring what it believes to […]