Tennessee-Arkansas Four Factors Forecast: No dancing, no rip-roaring

Presenting the Four Factors Forecast for this afternoon’s game between Tennessee and Arkansas at Bud Walton Arena.

What to Watch

Rule No. 1: No dancing on that giant logo.

Rule No. 2: Avoid turnovers that lead to runaway rip-roaring for the home crowd.

Rule No. 3: Set the Anti-Rip-Roaring-inator on Willy-Nilly and deploy at will. (Try to get more offensive rebounds than usual.)

See Rules 4(a)-(e) below regarding fouls.

Score Prediction

KemPom projects a two-point win for the Vols tomorrow — Tennessee 71, Arkansas 69 — giving the good guys a 56% chance of winning. The lines have the Hogs as 2- to 2.5-point favorites. Expect a nail biter either way.


Baseline

Current numbers:

The Vols have a bit of an edge when shooting the three-ball, and the Hogs have a bit of an edge in both defensive boards and trips to the free-throw line.

Four Factors: Straight-Up

Effective FG%

So we’re a better shooting team than they are. Good to know. They’re not Arizona or Kentucky, but they do fit the profile of a team good enough to beat us at their place.

So, Rule No. 1: No dancing on the Hog logo. And that thing is so outrageously huge that looks like it’s eating the paint under one basket and . . . let’s call it making a mess . . . under the other. So, Revised Rule No. 1: No dancing anywhere.

Turnover %

We are basically the same team in different laundry when it comes to turnovers.

Rule No. 2: Be just a little bit better than usual protecting the ball. Turnovers lead not just to points, but to exciting points and a rip-roaring good time for the home crowd. Which leads to the officials feeling lonely and left out and wanting some of that applause for themselves. Which leads to foul trouble and (and free throws for the other team — see below) and still more rip-roaring. So, Revised Rule No. 2: Avoid Rip-Roaring by taking especially good care of the ball this afternoon.

Offensive Rebound %

This makes it look like we’re much better on the offensive boards than are the Feral Pigs. But if you look at the actual numbers up at the top of the post, you’ll see that the advantage really only adds up to half of an o-board per game.

So, Rule No. 3: Be just a little bit better than usual on the offensive glass. Every offensive rebound is an extra possession. It’s kind of like forcing a turnover except that you are (usually) immediately in the paint under the basket with the defense out of position. It frustrates and wears out the defense. It frustrates the crowd, deflates them, makes them suddenly aware that their feet are hurting from all that standing, and installs an obsession with consuming concessions in silence. Basically, offensive rebounds are Anti-Rip-Roaring Devices. Doofenshmirtz would call them Anti-Rip-Roaring-inators. So, Revised Rule No. 3: Set the Anti-Rip-Roaring-inator on Willy-Nilly and deploy at will.

Free Throw Rate

Ouch. Arkansas appears to have a major advantage at getting to the free-throw line. The actual numbers back that up, as the Razorbacks on average get to the stripe seven more times per game than the Vols do. In a predicted two-point contest, that’s a problem.

So, Rule No. 4: Stay in front of them. Remember the principle of verticality. No foolishness away from the basket like fouling jump shooters or moving screens. Stay out of the bonus and dial up the aggression in these areas only late in the halves and only if needed. On the other side, at every opportunity, yell at Chandler and Ziegler to turn on the jets and get to the hoop and even things out a bit.

Okay, we’ll call that Rules 4(a)-(e).

Those are the straight-up comparisons. Let’s see what it all looks like with the opponent impact thrown in.

Four Factors: Opponent impact

Effective FG%

I feel like Tennessee’s season-long eFG% numbers are still suffering from the periodic bouts of narcolepsy that plagued them early in the season. Regardless, Arkansas has a good defense from a shooting perspective. The antidote is crisp ball movement, getting to Jimmy Dykes’ favorite “third side of the floor,” and then choosing between open jump shots or our burners driving to the bucket and doing something happy when they get there.

When the Hogs have the ball, they’re not especially great shooters, so the Vols just need to do what they do.

Turnover %

Listen, there is some Rip-Roaring in the forecast, so just brace for it. We’re a little too careless with the ball, and Arkansas has the ability to turn that carelessness into absolute sloppiness. Minimizing the turnovers must be a priority.

On the other end, they’re about as careless as we are, but our guys have the ability to turn their carelessness into absolutely demoralizing chaos for them and obsession-with-concessions territory for us. Let’s do it.

Offensive Rebounding %

Okay, so those coveted offensive rebounds are not only usually hard to come by, the Razorbacks are going to make them especially rare. Like most (all?) of Doofenshmirtz’s -inator inventions, the Anti-Rip-Roaringinator may be thwarted by Agent P’s successor, Agent R. CURSE YOU, BIG RED THE RAZORBACK! (Seriously, though, celebrate every o-board we get. They’re valuable.)

Worse yet, offensive rebounds may be much easier to grab for the Hogs because we don’t put up much resistance.

Free Throw Rate

This is where the real problem is, I think. We should get to the free-throw line as often as usual, but the combination of them being really good at getting there and us being really bad at keeping opponents from there spells trouble. See Rules 4(a)-(e) above. The goal isn’t to win this mini-battle, but to minimize its impact.

Go Vols.

Tennessee-Kentucky Four Factors Forecast: Dial the Pestinator to 11

I do not like this picture.

What’s the Four Factors Forecast? This thing, right here –> Four Factors Forecast. What’s this? It’s the Four Factors Forecast for tonight’s game between Tennessee and Kentucky.

What to Watch

On January 15 in Rupp Arena, Kentucky made what was actually a good shooting game by the Vols look like a giant pimple on prom night. They beat Tennessee primarily with transcendent shooting — making the Vols’ elite defense look like it had gone on strike — but also forced us into an uncharacteristic number of turnovers and topped it off by overachieving on free throw attempts as we were underachieving in the same category.

As good as the ‘Cats looked during that game, it’s tempting to chalk it up to them just having a good night. The reality, though, is that yes, they had a good night, but they are also a consistently great team this season.

The good news is that Tennessee is a really, really good team, too, and may be shedding the inconsistency so slowly that the season-long numbers, particularly offensively, are lagging behind. It’s a team now mostly weaned off the offensive naps they indulged in too often in the early part of the season, and one that sports a solid, well-tested foundation and a ceiling we’re not sure where to put yet. We’ll learn much about that ceiling tonight.

Score Prediction

KemPom projects a one-point loss for the Vols tonight — Kentucky 71, Tennessee 70 — giving the good guys a 48% chance of winning. The line, however, posts the Vols as one-point favorites. So, basically it’s a coin flip, and everybody’s expecting a thriller this evening at Thompson-Boling despite what happened earlier this season at Rupp.


Baseline

Current numbers:

Prior Game:

Goodness, it was hot in Kentucky in the middle of January. It’s like both offenses were sitting comfortably in their leather wingbacks wearing old slippers and puffing on pipes next to the fireplace, blissfully oblivious of the fact that they’d both left their defenses in the back seat of the car with the door open in sub-zero temperatures. HONEY, DON’T FORGET THE CHILDREN THIS TIME!

Four Factors: Straight-Up

Effective FG%

Quick, somebody get me a thesaurus, because I’m going to need several different options to convey the phrase “bad news.” Because this is bad news.

Did Kentucky shoot freakishly well against Tennessee in Rupp? Yes, yes it did.

But I know what you want me to say, because I want me to say it, too. So, I’m going to lie to all of us and say that the Wildcats just had a good night on January 15 and it’s nothing to worry about. But I’m a lawyer, and lawyers know better than most not to trust lawyers. Which now that I think about it, presents an intriguing question: Is it possible for skeptical lawyers to lie to themselves? Anecdotal evidence at this very moment tells me no, but I’ll take your feedback in the comment section below.

The truth is, unfortunately, that the Wildcats had an especially good day the last time we saw them and that they are also the second-best shooting team we’ve played all season, consistently. Sigh.

Turnover %

I’ll defer to Pooh here and just say, “Oh, bother.” Both Tennessee and Kentucky average right around 12 turnovers per game, which is pretty good. But the last time out, the Big Blue gave up right at their average of 12, while we went all post-ghost Scrooge and gave up an extra eight. Let’s hope the Vols embrace utterly depraved selfishness for 40 minutes tonight. Regardless, Kentucky is the third-best team we’ve played when it comes to protecting the ball. Somebody turn the Double Z Pestinator Dial to 11 so we can dominate the Tri-State Area. (Pardon all of the Phineas and Ferb references. I’m forever about 15 years behind.)

Offensive Rebound %

I’ve been sitting here staring at this and just shaking my head wondering what to say. It’s been like five minutes now, so I think it’s time to punt and just tell you that I’m shaking my head and leave it at that. Yeah.

Free Throw Rate

Oh, well would you look at that! Good news. Kentucky’s players couldn’t find the free throw line if Calipari duct-taped it directly onto their eyeballs. A slight exaggeration, but I enjoyed it.

Let’s see if the head-to-head opponent impact outlook looks any rosier.

Four Factors: Opponent impact

Effective FG%

Okay, so brace for them to maybe make our offense look bad. Got it.

Aaaaand brace for them to hit shots and maybe make our defense look bad, too. Okay.

Turnover %

We commit too many turnovers, but they’re not especially adept at forcing them. Theoretically, we should have fewer-than-normal turnovers against them, January 15th notwithstanding.

Kentucky is generally better at protecting the ball than we are, but our defense is all long arms and fast feet and is much, much feistier than Kentucky is used to. Again, January 15th notwithstanding.

Attention: Serious point ahead: If something flips tonight, I’m guessing it will be turnovers. Rather than the ‘Cats giving up their normal 12 and the Vols giving up an abnormally-high 20, I wouldn’t be surprised if those numbers flip with the home court and potentially decide the game.

Offensive Rebounding %

Ferb, I know what we’re going to do today. First, hold our own on our own offensive glass. We have the ability. Second, ummm . . . keep pushing P? Maybe P stands for Plavsic. Or, maybe try to get Tshiebwe two fouls in the first half and fouled out in the second? Hey, the suggestion box is open.

Free Throw Rate

Hey, remember that comment up there about how the ‘Cats couldn’t find the free throw line if it was taped to their eyeballs? I take it back. Not funny anymore. We’re only marginally better, and we’ll be going up against a team that somehow doesn’t foul much. The team to figure out first that the free throw line is taped to their eyeballs might win this game.

Hey. Where’s Perry?

Go Vols.

Episode 181 – Vols beat ranked Kentucky and we’re looking for a new theme song

  • Breaking down the big road win against a ranked Kentucky team.
  • Peeking in on the GRT Fun Office Pool standings.
  • Just how good are these Vols?
  • So you’re saying there’s a chance against Georgia? (Uh, not really.)
  • Checking in on Vols hoops as the (real) season is about to tip off.
  • Soliciting ideas for a new theme song. Anything by John Mayer has already been ruled out.

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Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast on Apple Podcasts

Listen here

Episode 180 – This episode brought to you by Dasani

  • Twenty minutes of chaos overwhelms an otherwise awesome environment!
  • What really happened on 4th and 24?
  • What really happened on the sack-fumble-touchdown that wasn’t?
  • Still more nonsense!
  • Um, how’s our quarterback, by the way?
  • All of that, and we still almost won the game.

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Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast on Apple Podcasts

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Vols stat rankings update: The Heuper Drive is giving me the vapors.

Goodness. I am digging this whole Heuper Speed offense and the complementary defense. Plus, a good special teams unit and improvement in penalties and turnovers. It’s all making emotions fun again.

Offense

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

High fives: I don’t think I’ve ever had this problem before. There are seven categories in which the Vols’ offense is in the Top 25, and I don’t want to write them all down. Idea: shorter synonyms. Clean, on schedule, running, scoring, total. Woo. Yeah, that’ll do it.

Attaboys (improving): Um, completion percentage?

Fix this next: The offense is still allowing an embarrassing amount of sacks. I’m flummoxed as to how the offense is so good despite wasting so many plays due to sacks.

Defense

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

High fives: The Vols are third in the nation in TFLs. They’re also very good at intercepting passes and converting turnovers into touchdowns.

Attaboys (improving): Total defense (yards), sacks, and red zone defense.

Fix this next: Still more work to do on each of the attaboys, plus we’ve slipped a bit on first (and third) downs.

Special Teams

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

High fives: Protecting our kickers, blocking punts, punt return defense.

Attaboys (improving): Kickoff returns, punt returns, kickoff return defense.

Fix this next: Net punting.

Turnovers and Penalties

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

Penalties. Okay, so the number of penalties is improving, but the ones we do have are of larger denominations. Still, good progress this week and last. We dug a big hole early in the season.

Turnovers. Everything got better again this week, although we still have much ground to make up on fumbles lost.

Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast – Episode 179 – A Fantasy Island Staycation

Joel and Will woo their way through the Vols exceeding expectations for the second week in a row. They then parlay that into a long weekend at Fantasy Island and return home to conclude that the upcoming Ole Miss game looks suspiciously like the earlier Florida game, except that now the Tennessee offense seems to have found its stride.

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Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast on Apple Podcasts

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Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast – Episode 178 – We are finding who we are

Joel, fresh out of involuntary hibernation, and Will react to Tennessee’s beatdown of Missouri. Topics:

1. The Gas: Hey, these stats look pretty good!
2. The Brakes: We’ve been here before. Is there danger lurking just around the corner?
3. What should we expect against South Carolina this Saturday?

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Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast on Apple Podcasts

Listen here

Surprise! These Vols stats look pretty good! And my hair is a mess.

Surprise! Tennessee had 35 first downs, nearly 700 yards of offense, 450+ rushing yards, and 62 points while holding Missouri to 24 in Josh Heupel’s fifth game as the head coach of the Vols. If I knew how to use GIFs or memes or whatever the kids are calling such things these days, this is where I’d insert Chris Farley’s “That was awesome.” Because those three words and a runaway fan-boy/man-crush says more (and more easily) than 800 words of analysis written primarily for the sake of getting a gold star for the proper use of SEO from the Royal Family of Search Engines, Bestowers of Clicks.

Also, Surprise! I am shuffling out of my cave in search of too much coffee due to over-hibernating. I love my new Hatch Restore, and you can set the alarm to go off only on certain days and in certain patterns, but I had no idea that it apparently also has a hibernation mode where it only wakes you up if and when your team scores 62 points. (In case you’re curious about the unfunny reason for my extended absence, a Reader’s Digest version is below the meat of this post.)

Before I fall down the rabbit hole of bear hibernation never to be seen again — did you know black bears can spend five months without eating, drinking, or pooping and never lose any muscle mass or bone strength? — here’s a groggy color-coded look at how the Vols’ national stat rankings right now compare to those at the tragic ending of 2020.

Offense

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

Goodness. Either I’m still dreaming or joy really does come with the morning, even when it comes to hibernating bears and football. The difference on offense between now and the end of 2020 isn’t just mere improvement. It’s a remarkable transformation. So this is me, remarking on it. Mark this as remarked upon. Okay, I’ll stop.

High fives: Not throwing interceptions, first down offense, rushing offense, scoring offense, total offense. All of these are in the Top 21. In the nation. The best of these last year? First down offense, for which we ranked No. 50. Scoring and total offense were in the Facepalm 100s.

Attaboys (improving): Third down conversions and red zone offense are no longer things you’re hoping your pastor doesn’t find out, and TFLs allowed and passing efficiency are also better.

Fix this next: The offense is still allowing an embarrassing amount of sacks. Completion percentage is somehow worse than last year, and the passing offense (yards gained through the air) has not actually improved from 2020 yet. But don’t blame the scheme, blame all the early overthrown balls. Plus, the excellent run game may also be eating some of those opportunities. But still, a bit more balance will likely be needed later on.

Defense

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

Wait, what? This is happening to the defense, too?

High fives: Tennessee’s defense is in the Top 25 in four categories, including the all-important category of rushing defense. TFLs and interceptions are not only in the Top 25, they’re dramatically improved over last year. The defensive line and secondary appear to be helping each other this fall instead of taking turns punching each other in the face.

Attaboys (improving): Passing efficiency defense, third down conversion defense, and passing yards allowed no longer need disguises to go out in public. They’re not getting stopped for autographs just yet, but it’s nice to be able to walk to the mailbox without encountering protesters. First down defense is also improving quite nicely.

Fix this next: Red zone defense. A defensive unit that is having decent success in other areas of the field is not getting it done when the opposition is within spitting distance of the castle. I don’t know whether they’re changing the scheme when opponents cross the moats or whether they should be changing the scheme at that point and aren’t. Somebody wake up the archers and the folks in charge of the giant cauldrons of boiling tar.

Special Teams

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

Odd. SP+ has Tennessee’s special teams ranked No. 18, and it feels to me like they are, in fact, doing quite well. But . . . those numbers are not better than last year. What gives?

High fives: Much of the green on special teams is basically a participation trophy for all of the teams that have merely avoided rare catastrophes when kicking or punting the ball. (There are currently 65 teams tied for first in blocked kicks allowed and 97 tied for first in blocked punts allowed.) So yeah, half-hearted, fly-by high five to you and almost everybody else. Good job showing up.

But actually creating said catastrophes? Those are worth some hearty mutual celebration. Tennessee has blocked both a kick and a punt already this year, so huzzah. Also, punt return defense is Top 25, so keep it up.

Attaboys (improving): Hmm. This chili could use some more cayenne.

Fix this next: Okay, so allowing a 100-yard kickoff return to a team you are otherwise grinding into powder apparently moves you from 48th nationally to 109th. My humble and considered opinion is that we should attempt to avoid doing that in the future.

Turnovers and Penalties

If that looks wonky on your device, try this link.

Penalties. Um, fix this next. All of it. Only two penalties for 20 yards against Missouri is a good start. And look what happened. More, please.

Turnovers. Much of this is better than last year, but still with a lot of room for improvement. Not fumbling the ball is Job No. 1.


Joel, I know you’re not a bear and that you don’t actually hibernate. So, seriously, where have you been?

Well, first let’s talk about the magazine. Unless I’m mistaken, 2021 is the first year since 2009 that we did not publish a print magazine over the summer. The reasons for this were numerous. Among the more notable reasons were (1) a 2020 pandemic edition that lost a bunch of money; (2) a palpable lack of interest in a 2021 edition due to how the 2020 season ended, the looming NCAA sanctions, the massive amount of talented players high-tailing it out of town, and a transfer portal that was changing daily and would continue to do so until July 1. There was so much roster movement this year that it was incredibly difficult to keep up with, and any magazine that published before the transfer portal closed had to be rife with outdated information. Because of all of that, I initially decided about two thirds of the way through to wait until after July 1 to finish and publish.

And then, in May, two things happened that sealed the deal. I can’t tell you one of them because it involves work and it’s somebody else’s story to tell. The other, though, is my story, and it starts on May 15 when I got up in the middle of the night, passed out, and landed head and face first on granite. Two CT scans confirmed a brain bleed, and my heart was in a-fib for several hours before resolving by itself.

Fortunately, the 24-hour follow-up CT scan showed that the brain bleed had also resolved on its own. So, I stayed in the ICU for two days and a regular room for another while they ran a ton of tests. At the end of that stay, everything basically checked out except that I had positional vertigo and generally felt terrible due to a concussion, and they wanted to monitor my heart for two weeks to see if I was going into a-fib regularly without knowing it.

So, when I went home the first time, I thought I was just waiting out concussion symptoms and wearing a heart monitor as a precaution. To close the loop on the heart thing, there was no a-fib or any other irregular rhythm for those two weeks. The cardiologist said everything actually looked okay, but he wanted me to have an implantable monitor to wear until the battery gives out, which with this new fully-loaded Mercedes model will take 4.5 years. Bottom line on my heart: No problems, although the cardiologist — who, I feel compelled to add, is not a picture of health himself — was, in my opinion, a little over-zealous about my diet. In my mind, the conversation boiled down to this: “Everything is mostly fine. Nothing to worry about. But I want you to change everything anyway.”

Anyway, back to my brain. As I said, I thought I was just waiting for the concussion symptoms to resolve, so I took the rest of the week off and then started back at work half-days. I did that Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. Wednesday evening, I started feeling a little weird.

Then, something went badly wrong with my brain on Thursday morning as I was getting ready for work. In a matter of only a few minutes, I was incredibly worried and scared to death about nearly everything. My heart raced, and I was shaking and hyperventilating. And then came a spontaneous onset of terrifying, dark, and uncontrollable thoughts of death and suicide. I’ve had no past experience with any of these things. They just came out of nowhere, and it was terrifying.

Back at the ER, another CT scan came back normal. But because I’d told them everything, they confiscated my phone and transferred me alone without my wife to “Crisis,” which is apparently the politically correct term for a mental ward where a nurse aide is assigned to sit outside your room, watch you through the glass (presumably to make sure you don’t act on those intrusive thoughts but merely wrestle with them for hours before giving you any medicine.) Eventually, a social worker appeared via webcam to question me and talk about whether I should have inpatient or outpatient psychiatric care. We decided outpatient, and my discharge orders were to simply go find a psychiatrist.

Friday, things got worse. We had trouble reaching my primary care physician, but eventually he prescribed an anti-depressant over the phone. My wife picked it up, and when I took it, I immediately felt even worse. The PCP then gave me a prescription of five tablets of Xanax. I took one. It helped, and I slept.

Saturday morning, I was worse still, and my wife sent out emergency texts to several key friends from church who all dropped what they were doing and raced over to our place to sit and talk and pray with us. I still haven’t been able to find the right words to explain what I was feeling during this time. The closest I can get is to say that it kind of felt like a tornado had blown through my mind and uprooted everything I believed. Nothing was different — I could still reason and think and remember — but I’d completely lost any ability to control certain emotions and beliefs. My memory was intact, so I could remember the beliefs that guided my life and that my usual temperament is to be neither afraid nor anxious about things, but now all of those things were spinning in the funnel of the tornado, and I could not grasp them or put them back into place. And worse still, they were now intermingling with these other, unwanted dark thoughts of death that were threatening to overwhelm everything. The unwanted would seize my attention and relentlessly attempt to persuade me that ending it all was the only way out of the torment. I was still unable to anchor myself to the memories of my faith and my hope, but I could still remember and recognize them, and the confounding incongruity of it all was literally driving me crazy.

At its worst, I would sit with my face in my hands and just sob until I was too worn out to weep anymore. My wife and friends would pray for me and tell me it was going to be alright. That it was just an injury to my brain, that it would get better, and that it was just going to take some time. I was capable of appreciating that they were there to help, but I was incapable of believing them. The faith I’d had just a few days before was now flying around in the air out of reach, and without faith, the intercessions on my behalf were just meaningless words going nowhere and doing nothing. I was utterly hopeless.

That was a bad day. It was Memorial Day Weekend, and we were trying to locate a neurologist friend we all knew from the church to get a needed referral to a psychiatrist. We eventually connected, and he got me an appointment with a trusted psychiatrist in the area for Tuesday. Now, all I had to do was make the four Xanax I had left last until Tuesday. Friends stayed with me and tried to help me battle the darkness.

I made it through the weekend with much help from my wife and friends. When we met with the psychiatrist Tuesday, he said he knew exactly what was happening, what was causing it, and that there was medicine for it. I cried yet again right then and there, but this time it was because I was finally grasping a small handful of hope. The condition was Pseudobulbar affect, he said, which made me think it was a placebo diagnosis he made up on the spot just to make me feel better. It’s a real thing, though, basically a malfunction of the part of your brain that controls emotions. It can happen for a few different reasons, including traumatic brain injury. So, he knew what it was and what to do about it. Good news.

The bad news was that the medicine would only work very gradually, over the course of two to four weeks or more. I started my first dose right there in his office.

The next six weeks were extremely difficult. My only goal for most of that time was to get from one minute to the next, to string enough minutes together to make an hour, and then to string enough hours together to make a day. There were many bad days, but over time, they grew fewer and further between.

Where am I at now? Well, I went back to work at the very end of June and have been working since, but I was very careful to make sure I was getting the rest I needed, so really all I did for most of the summer was work and sleep. At some point, I began to have classic symptoms of clinical depression. The psychiatrist said that was normal, and I’m on medicine for that now as well. It’s troubling not being interested in anything, especially the things I used to really look forward to, like pursuing goals for the future. spending time with family, music, and watching, talking, and writing about football. The doctors advise getting out there and doing some of the stuff I used to enjoy even when I don’t feel like it. It was really strange to be almost completely disinterested in the approaching football season this year. Weird, too, that not caring somehow can also make you sad. But the theory is that the desire will likely and eventually follow, and that and the medicine and the prayer is working, if more slowly than I’d like.

So. I don’t know how much I’ll be writing, but I will say that it does feel good to be right here right now. I owe a huge debt of gratitude to many, but here I specifically want to thank Will, not only for holding down the fort while it was spinning for me, but even more for his friendship and support through this time. And to you all as well for still being here.

Community Preseason Top 25 Form

Thanks to everyone who already contributed to the various projected SEC win totals for our upcoming preseason publication. Along the same lines, we’d now like to provide you with an opportunity to contribute to the publication’s preseason Top 25.

We’ve include all FBS teams in the list for the sake of completeness and to avoid excluding any outlier someone might feel strongly about. But to make things easier, we’ve also ordered the teams according to our own Power Rankings (rather than alphabetically) so you don’t have to go scrolling as much. The teams may not be in the order you prefer, but they shouldn’t be too far away.