The Vols are 2-0, Josh Heupel has his second ranked win, and we’re off and running in the Top 15.
Here’s our Expected Win Total Machine for this week. Will the community total climb to 8.5 or higher? That’s up to you!
The Vols are #15 in the AP Poll this week, a welcome sight after spending most of the last 15 years away. For context, Tennessee finished in the Top 15 16 times in 23 years from 1985-2007, last appearing at #12 in the final poll in ’07.
Tennessee Top 15 Finishes, 1985-2007
- 1st: 1998
- 3rd: 1995
- 4th: 1985, 2001
- 5th: 1989
- 7th: 1997
- 8th: 1990
- 9th: 1996, 1999
- 12th: 1992, 1993, 2007
- 13th: 2004
- 14th: 1987, 1991
- 15th: 2003
The Vols were #18 in the 2008 preseason poll, fell out immediately, and didn’t return at all until one week in 2012. Our 2015 appearance lasted two weeks before sliding back in at #22 in the final poll.
But for the Top 15, you’ve gotta go to 2016, where Tennessee appeared in the preseason poll and five other weeks. And in the covid polls of 2020, the Vols made two Top 15 appearances, both of which came before all teams had begun play.
So that’s eight weeks in 15 years…plus right now.
Let’s see if we can stick around a minute, yeah?
I’m at an even 8.5 this week
Your expected win total is 8.3.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 60%
at LSU: 50%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 50%
at Georgia: 10%
vs Missouri: 80%
at South Carolina: 75%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Your expected win total is 8.1.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 50%
at LSU: 45%
vs Alabama: 2%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 55%
at Georgia: 1%
vs Missouri: 90%
at South Carolina: 70%
at Vanderbilt: 98%
Your expected win total is 8.4.vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 95%
vs Florida: 75%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 10%
vs Missouri: 75%
at South Carolina: 70%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Your expected win total is 8.5.Your details: vs Ball State: 100% at Pittsburgh: 100% vs Akron: 99% vs Florida: 65% at LSU: 60% vs Alabama: 20% vs UT-Martin: 99% vs Kentucky: 60% at Georgia: 5% vs Missouri: 80% at South Carolina: 70% at Vanderbilt: 90% Biggest movers are all positive. Florida to 65% up 15% I honestly thought that AR was overrated, especially if you stopped the run. I only had them at 50% out of a courtesy for the Utah win. Sure enough, I was right. UK stopped the run, forced AR to pass and he got exposed. Makes me… Read more »
Up to 8.4 this week.
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 55%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 25%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 55%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 80%
at South Carolina: 60%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Your expected win total is 8.6.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 62%
at LSU: 62%
vs Alabama: 18%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 55%
at Georgia: 11%
vs Missouri: 79%
at South Carolina: 68%
at Vanderbilt: 100%
Total this week is 8.4. Our Vols have lot to work on before diving into the SEC schedule. Still not feeling great about the defense giving up some big plays and not stopping the rush better. The offense is now looking vulnerable, not to mention the Special Teams. Go Vols!
Your expected win total is 7.8.
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 95%
vs Florida: 45%
at LSU: 50%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 95%
vs Kentucky: 50%
at Georgia: 5%
vs Missouri: 70%
at South Carolina: 70%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Your expected win total is 8.9.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 65%
at LSU: 75%
vs Alabama: 35%
vs UT-Martin: 98%
vs Kentucky: 70%
at Georgia: 22%
vs Missouri: 75%
at South Carolina: 65%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Up from 7.8 from last week. I’m glad we got the win, but can’t say that game made me feel much more confident about the major games on the schedule.
Your expected win total is 8.2.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 45%
at LSU: 40%
vs Alabama: 15%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 55%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 90%
at South Carolina: 75%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Your expected win total is 8.2.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 98%
vs Florida: 55%
at LSU: 55%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 50%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 75%
at South Carolina: 65%
at Vanderbilt: 85%
Your expected win total is 8.1.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 98%
vs Florida: 50%
at LSU: 50%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 97%
vs Kentucky: 50%
at Georgia: 10%
vs Missouri: 75%
at South Carolina: 70%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
Your expected win total is 9.3.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 65%
at LSU: 70%
vs Alabama: 25%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 70%
at Georgia: 9%
vs Missouri: 100%
at South Carolina: 95%
at Vanderbilt: 100%