The SEC finally (re-)released the 2020 SEC football schedule yesterday, so we now have something to talk about other than just whether we’re actually going to make it to the starting line. That means it’s time to fire up the Gameday on Rocky Top Expected Win Total Machine.

The 2020 Expected Win Total Machine


My assessment

My expected win total is 5.4.

If I was just assigning wins and losses, I’d be at 5-5.

Details

at South Carolina: 70%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 35%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 35%

at Auburn: 35%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

And here’s how it looks with its church clothes on:

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Will Shelton
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Will Shelton
4 years ago

I’m at 5.43, a little less enthusiastic in the big games and a little more confident against the lesser foes than Joel:

at South Carolina: 62%

Missouri: 83%

at Georgia: 20%

Kentucky: 63%

Alabama: 20%

at Arkansas: 95%

Texas A&M: 38%

at Auburn: 39%

at Vanderbilt: 88%

Florida: 35%

Harley
Harley
4 years ago

Without looking at Joel’s, I came up with 5.3… got to see these guys in action to get more optimistic. Here are my numbers:

at South Carolina: 60%

Missouri: 70%

at Georgia: 30%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 10%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 50%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 30%

Go Vols!

Andrew Cooper
Andrew Cooper
4 years ago

I’m slightly more optimistic, apparently. Not a lot but a little. I think we get between 5 and 6 wins. This bears that belief out.

Your expected win total is 5.60.

Your details:

at South Carolina: 65%

Missouri: 75%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 60%

Alabama: 25%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 45%

at Auburn: 40%

at Vanderbilt: 90%

Florida: 45%

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
4 years ago

at South Carolina: 65%

Missouri: 80%

at Georgia: 25%

Kentucky: 55%

Alabama: 15%

at Arkansas: 90%

Texas A&M: 45%

at Auburn: 45%

at Vanderbilt: 85%

Florida: 40%

I sure hope we are still playing football by the time Florida is scheduled to come to town.

Last edited 4 years ago by Sam Hensley