A community of reasonable fanatics.
Okay, so I’m fairly confident we’re going to come out pretty close to nine wins this week, making that the baseline expectation going forward. That means we expect this to be our best season in at least 15 years; the Top 10 ranking follows suit.
The real fun this week – the kind of fun you can have in the bye week – is this question:
Which is more likely: 8-4 or 10-2?
Find out here:
I have us at 8.9 wins. Who would have thought that I’d have us favored to beat LSU on the road and Kentucky at home when the season started?
I think we’re better than everyone on the schedule except Georgia and Bama. It’s the offense.
But we do have weaknesses that the coaches and a phenomenal QB are covering up. That should normally be enough (because: awesome) but someone will pick up a cheap one.
That’s why 9-3 vs 10-2.
I’m getting a bit more optimistic.
Your expected win total is 9.0.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 50%
vs Alabama: 25%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 85%
at South Carolina: 75%
at Vanderbilt: 90%
I am more optimistic. And I think we have a puncher’s chance against Bama and Georgia. But I also think we are going to lose one or two of the games we should. At this point I trust Hooker more than any UT QB I can ever remember watching, which goes back to the late-80s for me. And my trust in his play and decision-making is greater even than Manning (who would come up short in some bafflingly important moments, and was let down multiple times by so-so WR play), Tee (who was a strong QB, surrounded by an amazing… Read more »
Despite a relapse of Battered Vol Syndrome during those last two minutes, I’m up to 9.2 in post-Florida game euphoria. Feeling better about everyone except the Dawgs and Tide; hard to have much faith there unless our pass defense improves. Hooker had enough compeititon without letting Richardson put up Heisman-worthy numbers!
Your expected win total is 9.2.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 70%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 85%
at South Carolina: 80%
at Vanderbilt: 95%
Seems I am the optimist of the group:
Your expected win total is 9.6.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 65%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 80%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 85%
at South Carolina: 90%
at Vanderbilt: 100%
My total has jumped by 1.5 this week. Much more confident in the Vols this week after Florida. Both because we handled our demons this year, and because having dealt with a couple of ranked teams, I’m much more confident about the other teams on the schedule.
Your expected win total is 8.8.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 30%
vs UT-Martin: 95%
vs Kentucky: 50%
at Georgia: 10%
vs Missouri: 80%
at South Carolina: 70%
at Vanderbilt: 80%
Wow. I have my rose colored glasses on. Your expected win total is 9.7.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 66%
vs Alabama: 33%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 22%
vs Missouri: 99%
at South Carolina: 88%
at Vanderbilt: 99%
Your expected win total is 9.0.Your details: vs Ball State: 100% at Pittsburgh: 100% vs Akron: 100% vs Florida: 100% at LSU: 60% vs Alabama: 20% vs UT-Martin: 99% vs Kentucky: 65% at Georgia: 10% vs Missouri: 85% at South Carolina: 75% at Vanderbilt: 90% Positive moves: Kentucky to 65% up 5% So if you like visiting other team’s message boards you may have seen UK fans being ecstatic and confident against Tennessee because they had a wider margin of victory over Florida.. Counterpoint. Vandy handled NIU better than the wildcats so I’m bumping it up 5%. Fun fact: UK never… Read more »
I don’t remember my total ever being this high before, not even in 2016 (were we even doing this in 2016?)
Your expected win total is 9.2.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 100%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 100%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 10%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 65%
at Georgia: 5%
vs Missouri: 90%
at South Carolina: 92%
at Vanderbilt: 99%
The win total machine goes back to 2017, so sadly, we don’t have 2016 to compare it to. I’d imagine the week of the Texas A&M game it probably would’ve been higher than 9.21, but that’s a function of strength of schedule as much as anything.
I’m also not sure you’ve ever been higher than me. Nothing has changed from preseason like our collective opinions of Missouri and South Carolina. There are a ton of 90+%s on Missouri this week.
Ha, I’m also fairly certain I’ve never had a higher number than you before now. I went back and found my Week Zero numbers – I was ahead of the curve on Mizzou but my LSU and South Carolina expectations are the big changes for me. I may be a little high with my USCjr number but had to go with 92 to avenge Coach Majors. Your expected win total is 7.3. Your details: vs Ball State: 99% at Pittsburgh: 50% vs Akron: 99% vs Florida: 40% at LSU: 35% vs Alabama: 1% vs UT-Martin: 99% vs Kentucky: 55% at… Read more »
