Against Vegas opening spreads last week, the GRT Statsy Preview Machine went 24-19 (55.81%) overall, 7-6 (53.85%) in Category 2, and 3-4 (42.86%) in Category 3. For the season, the SPM is now 113-116 (49.34%) in Category 1, 45-49 (47.87%) in Category 2, and 23-24 (48.94%) in Category 3.

Using the same spreads as SP+, the SPM was 21-20 (51.22%) overall for the week.

For the sake of comparison, SP+ was 20-21-2 (48.78%) officially, using its own spreads. (That should make it 116-110-4 (51.33%) for the season.) It did better against our spreads: 25-18 (58.14%).

Below are the GRT Statsy Preview Machine’s picks for Week 10 of the 2020 college football season. As always, if you’re wondering why we do this or what I mean when I refer to “confidence” and when I place game predictions into different categories, check out this post. Also, in case it’s not perfectly clear from the above results, spreads matter.

GRT SPM 2020 Week 10 Picks

Below are the machine’s picks this week. NOTE: This is the first week for the Pac-12 and the MAC, and the SPM is not currently doing well in the first couple of weeks of a team’s season. When the Big 10 first started up, the SPM whiffed on all but one game. Because of that, I’d avoid putting any confidence whatsoever in any of the Pac-12 or MAC games.

There are nine Category 3 games that the SPM likes particularly well this week, although many of them are either Pac-10 or MAC games that are likely to be wrong. I wouldn’t beat my chest about anything this week, to be honest.

What are you favorite games this week?