Tennessee-Michigan Four Factors Forecast: Just the facts, ma’am

Welcome to another Dragnet version of the Four Factors Forecast, this one for today’s Round of 32 game against the Michigan Wolverines.

Score Prediction

The lines have the Vols as 5.5- to 6.5-point favorites.

KemPom projects a six-point win for the Vols — Tennessee 71, Michigan 65 — giving us a 72% chance of winning.

Hat Guy likes Tennessee by 9, 74-65 in favor of the good guys in Big Orange.


Current numbers:

According to KenPom, Tennessee’s strength of schedule is ranked No. 10 and Michigan’s is ranked No. 7.

Four Factors: Straight-Up

Effective FG%

Turnover %

Offensive Rebound %

Free Throw Rate

Those are the straight-up comparisons. Let’s see what it all looks like with the opponent impact thrown in.

Four Factors: Opponent impact

Effective FG%

Turnover %

I like the look of that.

Offensive Rebounding %

Free Throw Rate

Go Vols.

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