College Football TV Schedule: Week 6

The Vols host Georgia this Saturday night at Neyland and on ESPN, but there are other games of interest to Tennessee fans this weekend as well. Here’s when and where to find those games, along with some suggestions on how and why to watch them.

First up is the list curated just for Vols fans. The full schedule follows that.

Thursday, October 3, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
Georgia Southern South Alabama 7:30 PM ESPNU Never mind.
Temple East Carolina 8:00 PM ESPN

That is the extent of the Thursday night slate. So yeah, never mind.

Friday, October 4, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
18 UCF Cincinnati 8:00 PM ESPN Live Top 25 team

Could be fun.

Gameday, October 5, 2019

Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON
14 Iowa 19 Michigan 12:00 PM FOX Live Top 25 matchup
AFTERNOON
7 Auburn 10 Florida 3:30 PM CBS Live Top 10 matchup
EVENING
3 Georgia Tennessee 7:00 PM ESPN Live Go Vols

Lots of good games this Gameday, and without a lot of competition. In the noon slate, Iowa and Michigan square off in a Top 25 matchup on Fox, and Auburn and Florida do the same at 3:30 on CBS.

And then it’s the Vols-Bulldogs at 7:00 on ESPN.

Enjoy!

Full searchable college football TV schedule

Date Away Home Time TV
10/3/19 Georgia Southern South Alabama 7:30 PM ESPNU
10/3/19 Temple East Carolina 8:00 PM ESPN
10/4/19 UCF Cincinnati 8:00 PM ESPN
10/4/19 New Mexico San Jose State 10:00 PM CBSSN
10/5/19 Utah State LSU 12:00 PM SECN
10/5/19 Oklahoma Kansas 12:00 PM ABC
10/5/19 Kent State Wisconsin 12:00 PM ESPNU
10/5/19 Purdue Penn State 12:00 PM ESPN
10/5/19 Iowa Michigan 12:00 PM FOX
10/5/19 Oklahoma State Texas Tech 12:00 PM FS1
10/5/19 South Florida UConn 12:00 PM
10/5/19 TCU Iowa State 12:00 PM ESPN2
10/5/19 Maryland Rutgers 12:00 PM BTN
10/5/19 Tulane Army 12:00 PM CBSSN
10/5/19 Boston College Louisville 12:30 PM ACCNX
10/5/19 Eastern Michigan Central Michigan 3:00 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Auburn Florida 3:30 PM CBS
10/5/19 Bowling Green Notre Dame 3:30 PM NBC
10/5/19 Texas West Virginia 3:30 PM ABC
10/5/19 Ohio Buffalo 3:30 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Western Michigan Toledo 3:30 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Ball State Northern Illinois 3:30 PM ESPN3
10/5/19 Arkansas State Georgia State 3:30 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Baylor Kansas State 3:30 PM ESPN2
10/5/19 Illinois Minnesota 3:30 PM BTN
10/5/19 Air Force Navy 3:30 PM CBSSN
10/5/19 Virginia Tech Miami 3:30 PM ESPN
10/5/19 Marshall Middle Tennessee 3:30 PM
10/5/19 Memphis UL Monroe 3:45 PM ESPNU
10/5/19 Northwestern Nebraska 4:00 PM
10/5/19 North Carolina Georgia Tech 4:00 PM ACCN
10/5/19 Troy Missouri 4:00 PM SECN
10/5/19 Arizona Colorado 4:30 PM
10/5/19 Western Kentucky Old Dominion 6:00 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Georgia Tennessee 7:00 PM ESPN
10/5/19 Rice UAB 7:00 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 UMass Florida International 7:00 PM ESPN3
10/5/19 Michigan State Ohio State 7:30 PM ABC
10/5/19 Tulsa SMU 7:30 PM ESPNU
10/5/19 Vanderbilt Ole Miss 7:30 PM SECN
10/5/19 California Oregon 8:00 PM FOX
10/5/19 Pittsburgh Duke 8:00 PM ACCN
10/5/19 Liberty New Mexico State 8:00 PM
10/5/19 UTSA UTEP 8:00 PM ESPN+
10/5/19 Oregon State UCLA 9:00 PM
10/5/19 San Diego State Colorado State 10:00 PM ESPN2
10/5/19 Washington Stanford 10:30 PM ESPN
10/5/19 Boise State UNLV 10:30 PM CBSSN

Read: Year 2 is different here

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from Wes Rucker at 247Sports:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Smart: Vols are “on the brink of something special”, via 247Sports
  2. Everything Chris Weinke said at Knoxville QB Club on Monday, via 247Sports
  3. Vol Report: Vols Ready to Host No. 3 Bulldogs – University of Tennessee Athletics, via UTSports

Behind the paywalls

Tennessee Vols statistical ranking trends – after Florida

The offense needs to get on track, but is the defense actually improving despite a struggling defensive line?

Offense

Climbed out of the Bottom 30: Nothing.

Climbed into the Top 30: Nothing.

Fell into the Bottom 30: Joining 4th down conversion percentage in the cellar are Total Offense and First Downs Offense. There’s a line at the door, too.

Fell out of the Top 30: Tackles for Loss Allowed and Red Zone Offense.

This thing looks like my lawn: not a lick of green and a single spark away from catching on fire.

Defense

Climbed out of the Bottom 30: Nothing.

Climbed into the Top 30: Um . . . nothing.

Fell into the Bottom 30: Team Tackles for Loss joins 3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense.

Fell out of the Top 30: Red Zone Defense.

Really, considering that the Vols can’t generate a pass rush or push the line back with just its defensive line, this isn’t terrible. Pass defense is pretty good, assuming that it’s not just because everybody’s too busy running the ball. But even the rushing defense appears to be improving.

Special Teams

Still the strength of the team.

Turnovers and Penalties

Penalties are not terrible from a quantity standpoint, but are significantly worse from a number-of-yards perspective. The turnovers categories appear to be very volatile from game to game, so they just need to do it every time.

Read: Trey Smith, Quavaris Crouch and the right mindset

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from 247Sports:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Everything Quavaris Crouch said during his debut media session, via 247Sports
  2. Andy Katz predicts new-look Vols to return to NCAA Tournament, via 247Sports
  3. Pruitt: Turnovers, takeaways still Vols’ biggest problem, via 247Sports
  4. Kim English describes ‘obsessed’ Vols basketball culture, via 247Sports
  5. Redshirt watch: Where Tennessee stands after four games, via 247Sports

Behind the paywalls

The GRT Expected Win Total Machine: After the bye

Use the form below to calculate your expected win total for the rest of the season.

The GRT Expected Win Total Machine


My assessment

The Vols were off this week, and the results from prior opponents didn’t really have much impact one way or the other. But results from future opponents did rearrange things a bit and improve expectations every so slightly.

With this week’s adjustments, I now have an expected win total of . . . 3.25, up a teensy bit from last week.

  • Preseason: 6.55
  • After Week 0: 6.6
  • After Week 1: 2.87
  • After Week 2: 2.37
  • After Week 3: 3.65
  • After Week 4: 2.9
  • After Week 5: 3.25

Details: Alabama and Georgia both remain at 5%. After that, I have three groups: Missouri and South Carolina are at 25%, Mississippi State and Kentucky are at 35%, and Vanderbilt and UAB are at 50%.

Here’s a table with my expectations this week:

Tennessee Volunteers currently

Current record: 1-3 (0-1), 4th in the SEC East

The Vols’ past opponents

Georgia State Panthers

Current record: 2-2 (0-1), 2nd in the Sun Belt East

Like the Vols, the Panthers were off this week.

BYU Cougars

Current record: 2-3 (0-0)

Toledo returned an interception 40 yards to the 2-yard line in the last minute of the game to get the go-ahead touchdown.

Chattanooga Mocs

Current record: 2-3 (1-0), 3rd in the Southern Conference

Florida Gators

Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 1st in the SEC East

Nothing to see here.

The Vols’ future opponents

Georgia Bulldogs

Current record: 4-0 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

The Bulldogs were also off this week.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Current record: 3-2 (1-1), 4th in the SEC West

These Bulldogs, however, were not off. Well, actually, they were “off,” but in a different sense of the word, meaning they got absolutely clobbered by the Auburn Tigers. Even those 23 points are misleading.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 1st in the SEC West

The Tide defense gave up 476 yards, and yet the team still won by 28 points. Sigh.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Current record: 2-3 (1-2), 4th in the SEC East

I think the take on South Carolina so far is exactly what we said in our magazine prior to the season: They are actually good, but their brutal schedule obscures it. They basically throttled Kentucky’s offense.

UAB Blazers

Current record: 3-1 (0-1), 4th in C-USA West

Kentucky Wildcats

Current record: 2-3 (0-3), 7th in the SEC East

With three losses in a row now (and only two wins — against Toledo and Eastern Michigan), these guys are looking like they really miss Benny Snell and Josh Allen, not to mention injured quarterback Terry Wilson. The offense could do nothing against the Gamecocks. They still look better than the current version of the Vols, though.

Missouri Tigers

Current record: 3-1 (1-0), 2nd in the SEC East

Off this week.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Current record: 1-3 (0-2), 6th in the SEC East

Not much to be said about that.

What about you? Where are your expectations for the Vols now?

Vols Spend Off Week Handing Out New Offers

With the team on its first of two bye weeks of the season, the Tennessee staff took the opportunity to hit the road and grant new offers to multiple prospects.  As discussed last week, while the Vols are still very much in play for many of their top targets they are at the same time long shots for many of the elite prospects with whom they were very much in play before the season started.  In fact, OLB Sa’vell Smalls, one of those 5-star prospects who visited over the summer and was heavily considering Tennessee, committed to his homestate Washington Huskies this weekend.  Therefore, in order to have a large enough board to work from heading into the next two months before the early signing period, it was imperative that the Vols staff widen its net some. 

DT Jayson Jones is an Alabama commitment but hasn’t been shy about the fact that his recruitment is pretty darn open.  Jones is a mountain of a man at 6’5+ and ~340 pounds with great mobility for that massive size, and checks in the Top 175 nationally in the composite rankings.  Jones took a summer official visit to Georgia Tech and is currently scheduled to OV to Michigan in November, but importantly will be in Knoxville as an unofficial visitor for the UGA game after a school visit by ace Vol recruiter Brian Niedermeyer.  Jones is the kind of DL that the Vols simply don’t have right now in terms of elite size combined with solid athleticism, and though his motor doesn’t always run hot that’s something that Tennessee coaches would love to have the chance to unlock.  We’ll know more about the Vols chances with Jones, who will be a December signee and is potentially an early enrollee to boot, after this weekend, but the Vols clearly sense an opening with a kid from Alabama so they’ll look to pounce.

OLB Tamarion McDonald is a Mississippi State commitment who is teammates with bigtime Vol target and fellow Memphian Bryson Eason.  McDonald is a bit of a tweener at 6’3ish and ~220 pounds, but he’s a playmaker all over the field for a very talented Whitehaven defense that also includes Arkansas LB commitment Martavius French.  As has been well-documented by Austin Price of Volquest, with the Vols in a dogfight for Eason and at the same time needing talented bodies across the entire defense, making a push for French in particular in order to package him with Eason makes a lot of sense.  And if a) McDonald making it a 3-man package increases those odds, b) locking all three up meaningfully helps with bigtime DL priority Omari Thomas – also from Memphis – and c) most importantly, Jeremy Pruitt and his staff think all three are upgrades to what they have on the current roster, than these offers are a no brainer.  Notably Pruitt made the offer to McDonald after seeing Whitehaven in person this past Friday so clearly he feels at least “c” is true.  With top LB target Len’neth Whitehead taking his OV to South Carolina this weekend after having been a UV just two weeks before, he could be trending that way which would make Eason (and then McDonald and French) that much more important.  How soon they can get the Whitehaven Three to Knoxville will be telling in terms of how serious this all is.

DEs Jasheen Davis and Jimari Butler are pass rushers, and that’s an area where the Vols very plainly need help.  Davis is a Wake Forest commitment from Snellville, GA with summer offers from the likes of Michigan and Penn State and has had a great start to his senior season.  It remains to be seen how much reciprocal interest Davis will show, but he’s a solid prospect at a position of need.  Butler is a very raw and inexperienced prospect who’s only played one season of football but has great size at 6’5 with plus-wingspan and is rising up boards.  The Vols were the first SEC school to offer and it will be interesting to see who else follows. 

OTs Jose Gonzalez and James Pogoreic are two relatively lightly recruited Tackle prospects with great size who the Vols have seen a lot to like on their respective senior film. Gonzalez is 6’9 (!) and over 320 pounds, but right now only holds offers from P5 programs like Minnesota and UCLA.  Pogoreic is also very tall at 6’7 but very light at a listed 260 pounds, yet his offer list has exploded since his early senior film got out with the Vols being joined by the likes of Stanford, UNC, and UVA to recently offer him.  Given the caliber of institutions on that list it’s easy to see that academics are extremely important to him, so if Tennessee truly wants to be a player in this recruitment – and that might remain to be seen depending on how things look with instate priority Chris Morris – they’ll need to sell him on the Josh Dobbs/Grant Williams/Josiah James plan. ILB Sione Fotu is an interesting looking prospect from Utah with offers from Utah and Washington State.  Notably, Fotu is planning on taking a mission after high school, so given the Vols immediate needs at the position and incredibly valuable scholarships with the state of the program’s rebuild, I would be surprised to see the Vols go all in for Fotu.

As the calendar turns to October the Tennessee staff is being opportunistic and strategic about who it offers and who it turns up the heat on.  The new offers are tiered by those who already have really nice offer lists (Jones, the Whitehaven kids, Davis, Pogoreic) and the rest who the Vols are getting out in front for.  It goes without saying that turning things around on the field this season is the most important factor in terms of closing out the 2020 recruiting cycle, but the Vols doing the smart thing by broadening the board and giving themselves more options to end up signing a 25-man class that’s necessary to move the program forward in terms of improving the overall talent on the roster.

Hjohn wins Week 5 of the 2019 Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em Contest

Congratulations to Hjohn, who finished first this week in the Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em contest with a record of 16-4 and 199 confidence points.

Here are the full results for last week:

Rank Player W-L Points Tiebreaker
1 Hjohn 16-4 199 30-31
2 mariettavol 16-4 196 21-27
3 Jahiegel 15-5 190 26-28
4 memphispete 15-5 187 28-30
5 birdjam 15-5 186 16-17**
5 claireb7tx 16-4 186 14-21
7 GeorgeMonkey 15-5 185 27-24
8 wedflatrock 14-6 184 17-20**
8 mmmjtx 15-5 184 24-28
8 Hixson Vol1 17-3 184 0-0
11 PAVolFan 14-6 183 21-24
12 hounddog3 15-5 182 24-14
13 joeb_1 14-6 181 31-27
14 jeremy.waldroop 15-5 179 24-30**
14 LuckyGuess 14-6 179 27-28
14 TennRebel 14-6 179 17-13
17 cnyvol 15-5 178 20-23**
17 Phonies 14-6 178 23-24
17 Crusher 15-5 178 35-31
20 keepontruckin 13-7 177 21-17**
20 jfarrar90 14-6 177 34-30
22 waitwhereami 13-7 176 14-27
23 Anaconda 13-7 174 27-23
24 Displaced_Vol_Fan 15-5 173 20-23
25 patmd 15-5 172 19-27**
25 ChuckieTVol 13-7 172 24-27
25 Wilk21 13-7 172 26-35
25 boro wvvol 13-7 172 21-17
29 corn from a jar 13-7 171 14-31**
29 dgibbs 13-7 171 20-17
31 DinnerJacket 15-5 170 31-24
32 Orange On Orange 12-8 169 23-21
33 C_hawkfan 16-4 168 23-29**
33 Neil Neisner 13-7 168 0-0
35 aaron217 14-6 167 20-23**
35 Rossboro 15-5 167 0-0
37 Knottfair 14-6 166 24-31**
37 Raven17 14-6 166 38-14
39 ga26engr 14-6 164 23-32
40 ctull 16-4 163 21-24**
40 Joel @ GRT 13-7 163 33-25
40 tpi 14-6 163 0-0
43 alanmar 15-5 161 27-24
44 daetilus 12-8 160 30-23
45 ltvol99 14-6 159 24-20
46 Sam 15-5 158 0-0**
46 doritoscowboy 11-9 158 0-0
48 Harley 13-7 157 27-17**
48 ddayvolsfan 16-4 157 28-21
48 Bulldog 85 13-7 157 30-27
51 tbone 12-8 156 24-17**
51 VillaVol 15-5 156 29-16
51 PensacolaVolFan 15-5 156 30-20
54 HUTCH 13-7 154 31-24
55 Jayyyy 11-9 153 23-16
56 Timbuktu126 11-9 148 14-12**
56 rockytopinKy 12-8 148 0-0
58 rollervol 13-7 146 21-17
59 trdlgmsr 10-10 140 24-17
60 BZACHARY 11-9 137 0-0
61 rsbrooks25 12-8 135 35-27
62 bluelite 11-9 133 0-0
63 Orange Swarm 10-10 130 13-10
64 TennVol95 in 3D! 9-11 122 24-20
65 Jrstep 0-20 121 0-0**
65 Aaron Birkholz 0-20 121 -
65 mmb61 0-20 121 -
65 UTVols18 0-20 121 -
65 Salty Seth 0-20 121 -
65 Teri28 0-20 121 -
65 Will Shelton 0-20 121 -
65 vols95 0-20 121 -
65 If you ain’t first you’re 0-20 121 -
65 tallahasseevol 0-20 121 -
65 waltsspac 0-20 121 -
65 Willewillm 0-20 121 -
65 UTSeven 0-20 121 -
65 Dmorton 0-20 121 -
65 RockyPopPicks 0-20 121 -
65 ed75 0-20 121 -
65 OriginalVol1814 0-20 121 -
65 BristVol 0-20 121 -
65 orange_devil87 0-20 121 -
65 VFL49er 0-20 121 -
65 ddutcher 0-20 121 -
65 Caban Greys 0-20 121 -
65 cactusvol 0-20 121 -
65 Techboy 0-20 121 -
65 JLPasour 0-20 121 -

C_hawkfan remains in the lead for the season so far with a record of 74-26 and 850 confidence points.

Rank Player W-L % Points
1 C_hawkfan 74-26 74.00 850
2 birdjam 71-29 71.00 841
3 wedflatrock 71-29 71.00 835
4 GeorgeMonkey 69-31 69.00 825
5 jeremy.waldroop 69-31 69.00 823
6 PAVolFan 71-29 71.00 821
7 corn from a jar 70-30 70.00 820
8 LuckyGuess 67-33 67.00 814
8 keepontruckin 66-34 66.00 814
10 Raven17 69-31 69.00 813
11 joeb_1 65-35 65.00 812
11 Hixson Vol1 73-27 73.00 812
13 ChuckieTVol 69-31 69.00 811
14 memphispete 69-31 69.00 810
15 Displaced_Vol_Fan 68-32 68.00 805
15 mmmjtx 70-30 70.00 805
17 hounddog3 67-33 67.00 804
18 Knottfair 67-33 67.00 801
19 jfarrar90 66-34 66.00 800
20 alanmar 68-32 68.00 794
20 Joel @ GRT 67-33 67.00 794
22 daetilus 65-35 65.00 793
23 DinnerJacket 68-32 68.00 792
24 Phonies 68-32 68.00 791
25 TennRebel 65-35 65.00 790
26 cnyvol 66-34 66.00 786
27 dgibbs 63-37 63.00 770
27 HUTCH 63-37 63.00 770
27 Bulldog 85 66-34 66.00 770
30 Orange On Orange 64-36 64.00 767
31 waitwhereami 69-31 69.00 765
31 Sam 69-31 69.00 765
33 Will Shelton 52-48 52.00 764
34 OriginalVol1814 56-44 56.00 762
35 mariettavol 64-36 64.00 761
36 ga26engr 68-32 68.00 759
37 aaron217 63-37 63.00 757
38 Harley 66-34 66.00 755
38 UTSeven 55-45 55.00 755
40 boro wvvol 63-37 63.00 754
40 doritoscowboy 63-37 63.00 754
42 ddayvolsfan 68-32 68.00 749
43 Anaconda 54-46 54.00 747
44 trdlgmsr 61-39 61.00 739
45 VillaVol 66-34 66.00 733
46 ltvol99 68-32 68.00 730
47 tbone 57-43 57.00 721
47 BZACHARY 63-37 63.00 721
49 Crusher 59-41 59.00 711
50 Rossboro 55-45 55.00 710
51 TennVol95 in 3D! 58-42 58.00 709
52 rsbrooks25 64-36 64.00 707
52 bluelite 61-39 61.00 707
54 ctull 53-47 53.00 699
54 Wilk21 59-41 59.00 699
54 tpi 54-46 54.00 699
54 Neil Neisner 56-44 56.00 699
58 PensacolaVolFan 64-36 64.00 696
59 claireb7tx 58-42 58.00 694
60 Orange Swarm 58-42 58.00 693
61 Timbuktu126 56-44 56.00 691
61 Jayyyy 48-52 48.00 691
63 Jahiegel 57-43 57.00 689
64 rollervol 61-39 61.00 680
65 patmd 63-37 63.00 679
66 rockytopinKy 56-44 56.00 643
67 Willewillm 25-75 25.00 605
68 Jrstep 34-66 34.00 599
69 BristVol 26-74 26.00 580
70 Dmorton 27-73 27.00 577
71 Caban Greys 13-87 13.00 567
72 vols95 21-79 21.00 563
73 tallahasseevol 14-86 14.00 557
74 JLPasour 14-86 14.00 555
74 If you ain�t first you�re 13-87 13.00 555
74 orange_devil87 15-85 15.00 555
77 RockyPopPicks 21-79 21.00 547
78 Aaron Birkholz 13-87 13.00 546
79 ed75 13-87 13.00 542
80 Salty Seth 12-88 12.00 532
81 Techboy 11-89 11.00 531
82 Hjohn 46-54 46.00 528
82 waltsspac 11-89 11.00 528
84 cactusvol 12-88 12.00 522
85 VFL49er 4-96 4.00 471
86 Teri28 5-95 5.00 424
87 ddutcher 0-100 0.00 423
87 UTVols18 0-100 0.00 423
87 mmb61 0-100 0.00 423

Coordinator churn and the Tennessee Volunteers

Coordinator continuity was a hallmark of the Phillip Fulmer Era of Tennessee football from 1992-2008. John Chavis served as Fulmer’s defensive coordinator from 1995 right through to the bitter end in 2008. The offensive coordinator position was also mostly stable with David Cutcliffe serving in that role from 1993-1998 and then again from 2006-2007. In the interim, Randy Sanders was the only other OC.

Until the 2008 season, Fulmer had a grand total of one defensive coordinator and two offensive coordinators over the course of 16 seasons. Whether things started going south for Fulmer as early as 2001 or whether the beginning of the end came later, it’s an indisputable fact that his team won the SEC East as late as 2007. Whatever success you give him credit for, that success occurred alongside an impressive record of coordinator continuity.

Ironically, Fulmer was done in by a failure in continuity. When Cutcliffe left the second time, Fulmer made a fateful decision. At a time folks were turning up the heat and setting the timer, Fulmer hired Dave Clawson to be his new offensive coordinator. It was either widely known or merely rumored at the time that the Clawfense took more than a single season to install, and it turns out, Fulmer didn’t have that much time.

Fulmer’s firing ushered in an unprecedented wave of head coach and coordinator churn that has, so far, lasted over a decade. Here’s the list of head coaches and coordinators that the Vols have cycled through since 2008.

That’s five head coaches, six offensive coordinators (one of them non-consecutive), and eight defensive coordinators over the course of 12 seasons. There was complete continuity among the head coach and both coordinators in only two of the past 12 years.

But is coordinator churn a symptom or a cause? Is it a necessary response to failure on the field or is it perhaps itself contributing to that failure?

Here’s a look at year-by-year churn and the total offense and defense, along with season records:

The first thing to note is that the Clawfense was indeed terrible in 2008. Jim Chaney’s first year as OC for Lane Kiffin’s 2009 team was already significantly better. If you look only at Chaney’s total offense for his first four seasons on Rocky Top, it will look like it took him four years to get rolling. But Dooley and his staff and stuff arrived in Chaney’s second year, and in 2011, just as they were beginning to hit their stride, Justin Hunter and Tyler Bray both got hurt and missed significant time. In his final year with Dooley in 2012, Chaney put up a whopping 475.9 yards per game, which is the best it’s been these past 12 years.

Under Dooley, the defense got worse in Justin Wilcox’s first season and then better in his second. But then Wilcox left, and Dooley was faced with a decision similar to that faced by Fulmer in 2008. He had to hire a new coordinator in a make-or-break year. He chose Sal Sunseri, whose defense gave up an astounding 471.33 yards per game in 2012. Dooley was fired because his first-year defensive coordinator was as bad as his four-year offensive coordinator was good.

Enter Butch Jones and his new staff, offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian and defensive coordinator John Jancek. With total coaching turnover, the offense suffered and the defense, although improved from the Sunseri debacle, was still terrible. When all three of those guys remained at their respective positions the following year in 2014, everything improved. The offense went from 353.3 yards per game to 370.5, and the defense went from allowing 418.4 yards per game to allowing only 364.6. The team went from 5-7 each of the past three seasons to 7-6.

The 2015 season is a bit of an anomaly, as Jones and Jancek were both back as head coach and DC, but Mike DeBord replaced Mike Bajakian as OC. DeBord appears to be the only new coordinator hire for an existing head coach that actually made things better in his first season, taking the total yards per game from 370.5 in 2014 under Bajakian to 422.3 in 2015.

The following year, though, Jones replaced defensive coordinator John Jancek with the widely-heralded Bob Shoop, and the Tennessee defense went from giving up 362 yards per game to allowing 449.2. He actually got only marginally better in his second year, and Jones then compounded the problem by making a similar mistake in replacing DeBord with Larry Scott. Under Scott, the offense went from 443.7 yards per game to 291.1. And that was the end of Butch Jones.

The entire coaching roster churned again in 2018 when Fulmer hired Jeremy Pruitt as head coach and Pruitt hired Tyson Helton as offensive coordinator and Kevin Sherrer as defensive coordinator. Only a single season later, though, Tennessee already has two new coordinators in Jim Chaney and Derrick Ansley. Only time will tell whether there will be a first-year dropoff due to yet another season of coordinator churn.

Tennessee’s struggle over the past 12 years has coincided with unprecedented levels of coaching turnover, especially in the coordinator positions. The data suggests that this churn isn’t a symptom of the problem, but perhaps the problem itself. There is a transitional period not only for new head coaches, but for new coordinators as well, and they don’t seem to get honeymoons.

It is true that a major college football program can’t keep an under-performing staff just for the sake of continuity, but it’s also true that a certain level of continuity is necessary to an informed decision about that staff.

If Fulmer is relatively certain that he has the right guys in place, his most important job is to foster the same continuity he achieved during his head-coaching tenure. To do that, he’s going to need to commit to keeping all of them and sticking with them for a certain number of years, even when things go bad for a spell.