Every Season Tells a Story

For a few of us, the 2018 season kicked over the weekend (Duquesne at UMass baby!). For the rest of us, now it’s game week: everyone’s undefeated, and everyone can dream.

Tennessee’s dreams have been some combination of strange and brief for a long time now. Standing in the way this fall are a Top 20 opener, annual rivalries with the present-and-perhaps-future kings of college football, and the annoying habit of drawing one of the best teams from the SEC West that isn’t Alabama. All of this on the heels of the program’s first eight-loss season and, even more, the worst S&P+ rating of any SEC team when it made its most recent coaching change. Another dream might meet another quick death this fall. The potential for adding another year on that tab might make us wonder if it’s healthy to dream at all.

Along those lines, the last ten years have made me less attached to the head coach, though I’m not sure one can totally escape such attachments no matter where you fall on the spectrum from fan to fanatic. For me it’s one part self-preservation: Lane Kiffin, Derek Dooley, and Butch Jones were all exhausting to defend in their own ways.

But at the same time, what has given me the most comfort and confidence in the last nine months is the presence of Phillip Fulmer. He is, for sure, a coach I was incredibly attached to in all of our younger days. But it’s also because of something I remember most from when those days came to an end:

(from November 3, 2008 at SouthEastern Sports Blog)

Doug Matthews was on Sports Talk earlier today, and made this point: Nick Saban is a fantastic coach, but he’s not personally invested in the University of Alabama the way that Phillip Fulmer was and is invested in the University of Tennessee. Not even close.

Urban Meyer’s not. Neither is Les Miles or Mark Richt.

And the next man who comes in here won’t be either.

Meyer and Miles have won National Championships. And we absolutely hope whoever comes in here next will do the same.

But what we gave away today we won’t find again.

Butch Jones and Lane Kiffin were from somewhere else, Derek Dooley the son of Georgia royalty. Jeremy Pruitt is from the opposite of here.

But there remains no one more personally invested in Tennessee Football than the person who hired him.

There are never any guarantees; we already asked Fulmer to leave once. But as the Vols lost both games and trust in record numbers last fall, he was the only choice, and in all the right ways. I don’t know if or when the Vols will get back to winning like the 1990’s again. But I do find it easier to trust something good is possible with someone so personally invested back in the decision-making chair. That much of what we lost is found again. And it’s valuable, at least to me.

We do all this every year because we love the Vols. Even when they don’t win. But now it’s a little easier to have faith, or at least it feels a little more right. And Fulmer hired hope, an unproven risk/reward coach even though safe and easy options were on the board. The ultimate goal hasn’t changed for us, because it certainly hasn’t changed for him. And it’s one Pruitt knows quite well as an assistant coach.

All of that is down the road, but we can dream its dream. This is Week One. This week we don’t have to worry about how long we’ve been gone. This week everything is new, just as it feels the right kind of old.

And this week is about all of us pulling in the same direction, something we haven’t enjoyed for more than a few short weeks in a very long time. I don’t know how far Jeremy Pruitt and the 2018 Vols will go this fall. He’ll earn some level of trust along the way. But after a season when the rope slipped through our fingers faster than ever, then threatened to unravel entirely? Now we get a chance to pick it back up again, together in more than name only. This is the week to grab the rope. Set your feet. And by God pull.

It’s here.

This week, in Charlotte, in Knoxville, and wherever you listen…it’s football time in Tennessee.

Mistakes will be made. What will they cost?

If you’ve ever devoted much time to reading business/management/self-improvement books, you’ve probably heard the story about the IBM employee who feared he was going to be terminated after making a mistake that cost the company several million dollars. His boss told him that there was no way they were going to fire him now because they had just spent several million dollars educating him.

Whether that actually happened, I don’t know, and it’s probably worth pointing out that the guy to whom this is usually attributed is former IBM CEO Tom Watson, who reportedly also once said that the world only needed five computers. Reports that he actually said that are also dubious, by the way.

Regardless, the reason the story is often repeated in business and management circles is that it drives home an undeniable truth: Mistakes can be valuable because of the education and experience they create.

Mistakes, investments, and goodwill accounts

The trick, of course, is to make sure that the mistake-maker actually leverages his blunder into useful experience and that he achieves and then maintains a positive ledger before his time runs out and his account of goodwill runs dry.

College football coaches are well acquainted with this notion. If progress and success are deposits stored up with their bosses and fans, then mistakes (and losses generally, over time) are withdrawals. Withdrawals can be the equivalent of a little spending money or they can be major catastrophes to the balance of the account. Spend more than you have, and you’re overdrawn. No coach can remain overdrawn for long, no matter the size of his opening balance.

Tennessee football is in a rebuilding phase, and in that sense, it’s kind of like a startup, flush with stacks of crisp new $100 bills. In essence, Jeremy Pruitt begins his Tennessee tenure with a generous loan. The opening balance funds the “honeymoon” period, and the expectation is that he will make more withdrawals than deposits for some period of time.

Goodwill management

Pruitt’s primary goal for the immediate future, then, is to manage his stash of investment goodwill well. He’ll have some opportunities to increase his balance by having his team do well, and if he can capitalize on those opportunities, it will be good for everyone involved.

But mostly, he’s going to be on a bit of a spending spree for a while, and he’ll have to make the most of it. With a tough year looming, he can spend what he needs to, but he can’t burn through it like a prodigal lottery winner with a few hundred new friends.

Mistake management

As a brand new head coach in the SEC, Pruitt’s going to make some mistakes this year.

As a weary fan base, so will we.

What all of that costs depends largely on how well those mistakes are managed.

Football seasons are funny things. We fans tell ourselves before the season begins, when the numbers are sterile and devoid of emotion and pain, that a six-loss season is a reasonable goal. We tell ourselves that we expect mistakes to be made and that it’s just part of the process that we’re prepared to endure for a while.

And then we actually witness those mistakes in all of their gory glory while in a heightened state of emotion, and logic and reason fly out the window as quickly as regrettable words fly out of our mouths. It’s one thing to predict just one more L in the win/loss column. It’s another thing entirely to watch a rival receiver get behind the entire defense to grab a game-winning, 63-yard touchdown pass with 9 seconds left in a tie game. The letter “L” doesn’t make you raise your voice. Watching your team gift wrap a miracle to a hated rival — again! — will make you scream bloody murder.

Jeremy Pruitt’s job this fall is not to make no mistakes. He’s a new head coach with a steep learning curve ahead of him, and he’s going to do some things that cause us pain.

What he does need to do, though, is minimize his mistakes and learn from the ones he makes.

As fans, our support for Pruitt need not be unconditional. We don’t need to give him a free pass for his mistakes, and we aren’t expected to endure forever mistakes that are never leveraged into education, experience, and, in due time, success.

But the temptation to overcharge, to price-gouge Pruitt’s goodwill account in the emotional aftermath of an early mistake or two is coming, and we would be wise to resist it.

2018 Gameday on Rocky Top Picks Contest

It’s back and better than ever: the 2018 Gameday on Rocky Top Picks Contest is now open. As always, we’re using our friends at Fun Office Pools: we pick 20 games each week (straight up) using confidence points, where you place 20 points on the outcome you’re most confident in, one point on the outcome you’re least confident in, etc. Weekly winners get a free Gameday on Rocky Top t-shirt; the regular season champ gets pride, plus a free Gameday on Rocky Top hoodie.

NEW THIS YEAR: the games are listed with the latest weekend kickoff first, which means if you forget to pick the Thursday night game it only costs you one point instead of 20. My apologies that it took us having a baby last fall to realize how ridiculous that punishment used to be.

If you’ve played in one of our pools before, you should’ve received an email with sign-up instructions. You can also click here to sign up! Any questions, fire away in the comments below.

Here’s our Week 1 slate!

Thursday, August 30

  • Northwestern at Purdue – 8:00 PM – ESPN

Friday, August 31

  • Army at Duke – 7:00 PM – ESPNU
  • Western Kentucky at #4 Wisconsin – 9:00 PM – ESPN
  • San Diego State at #13 Stanford – 9:00 PM – Fox Sports 1

Saturday, September 1

  • Florida Atlantic at #7 Oklahoma – 12:00 PM – FOX
  • Ole Miss vs Texas Tech (Houston) – 12:00 PM – ESPN
  • #23 Texas at Maryland – 12:00 PM – Fox Sports 1
  • Tennessee vs #17 West Virginia (Charlotte) – 3:30 PM – CBS
  • #6 Washington vs #9 Auburn (Atlanta) – 3:30 PM – ABC
  • Appalachian State at #10 Penn State – 3:30 PM – Big Ten Network
  • Central Michigan at Kentucky – 3:30 PM – ESPNU
  • Washington State at Wyoming – 3:30 PM – CBS Sports Network
  • #22 Boise State at Troy – 6:00 PM – ESPNEWS
  • Cincinnati at UCLA – 7:00 PM – ESPN
  • #14 Michigan at #12 Notre Dame – 7:30 PM – NBC
  • Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt – 7:30 PM – SEC Network
  • #1 Alabama vs Louisville (Orlando) – 8:00 PM – ABC
  • BYU at Arizona – 10:45 PM – ESPN

Sunday, September 2

  • #8 Miami vs #25 LSU (Dallas) – 7:30 PM – ABC

Monday, September 3

  • #20 Virginia Tech at #19 Florida State – 8:00 PM – ESPN

 

Tennessee Shores Up Offensive Line of the Future With Melvin McBride Commitment

With spots filling up quickly and some big-name targets remaining on the board, Tennessee can afford to be selective with the last few players it takes in this year’s recruiting class.

That alone should tell you what the coaching staff thinks of Melvin McBride, a 6’4″, 315-pound projected offensive guard from Whitehaven HS in Memphis who pledged to UT over Arkansas, Memphis, Louisville and others on Wednesday.

The Vols already have commitments from 5-star offensive tackle Wanya Morris, 4-star offensive guard/tackle Jackson Lampley and 3-star guard Chris Akporoghene — and they’re right at the top of the list for 5-star tackle Darnell Wright with Alabama. But Pruitt has been upgraded Tennessee’s size in the trenches since he got here.

And, unlike some of the coaches before him, he knows you never turn down a big body who wants to come to your school, especially one who has crazy upside. McBride’s high school coach told 247Sports’ Steve Wiltfong that McBride is “scary athletic.” The uber-athletic big man can play along the front on either side of the ball, and he is a basketball standout, too.

In other words, he possesses the kind of size and athleticism that you can’t teach, and it’s exactly what you want along the offensive front.

If you’re Pruitt, you take him now and figure out the numbers later. But McBride is definitely a guy you want in this class, especially considering you want and need to have plenty of able bodies up front.

The Vols are already reportedly improving up front with the additions of JUCO tackle Jahmir Johnson and freshman Jerome Carvin. Another freshman, Ollie Lane, could factor into the equation down the road, and the return of Trey Smith, Chance Hall and the transfer of Brandon Kennedy should help with a unit that was awful a year ago.

But if the Vols can close the deal on Wright, this has the potential to be the best O-line class at Tennessee in a long, long time. McBride figured to be headed to Arkansas recently, but a couple of Memphis-area Vols — Carvin and junior offensive tackle Drew Richmond — reportedly talked with McBride deep into the night and convinced him he needed to wear orange and white.

That’s exactly the kind of peer recruiting you need. In that conversation was a first-year guy who has been given the opportunity to prove himself and shone immediately, placing himself firmly in the mix to start (Carvin), a maligned veteran who has struggled at times throughout his career but still looks like the Game 1 starter at one of the tackle spots as he tries to turn around his career (Richmond) and a guy who will fill the void in the future in McBride.

It speaks volumes for the kind of environment Pruitt and offensive line coach Will Friend fostered since arriving on campus.

Yes, UT now has 20 commitments in a class that wasn’t supposed to reach 25, but there’s a long way between now and national signing day. You never know about defections, flips, mutual parting of ways, injuries or other factors. McBride was a big ol’ bird in hand, and he not only gives the Vols a great athletic big man with a huge upside (he’s only played football one season), he helps Pruitt and Co. get in the door of Whitehaven, a powerhouse in West Tennessee.

His coach thinks he’s a steal.

“Extremely athletic for a man that size — actually, scary athletic for a guy that size,” Whitehaven coach Rodney Saulsberry said, according to the Knoxville News-Sentinel‘s Blake Toppmeyer. “Extremely strong, extremely driven and extremely coachable. The kid is a sponge to learning. He wants to get better.”

McBride’s pledge moves Tennessee to No. 10 in the 247Sports Composite rankings, and the Vols are eighth on Rivals.

The Vols need help all over the field in this year’s recruiting cycle, but they have placed a major emphasis on the trenches. McBride is the fourth offensive lineman and the 10th trench man to pledge in this year’s haul.

McBride isn’t the most polished player yet, but he’d be one of the most athletic linemen on UT’s roster. Best of all, he’ll actually have some time to develop like an offensive lineman is supposed to, considering he’s going to be stepping into a situation where UT has some nice-looking young guard prospects like Carvin, K’Rojhn Calbert, Riley Locklear and Ryan Johnson. McBride looks like a definite interior lineman like Akporoghene, and Morris and Lampley could project to tackle.

The Vols are going to have options, and Pruitt has proved so far in spring and fall camps that he wants his guys to learn to play multiple positions so he can always have his best players on the field if there are injuries.

McBride’s athleticism lends itself to future versatility, and while the Razorbacks have come into the state and grabbed a few guys the Vols didn’t prioritize in what is a good year rankings-wise for guys from the Volunteer State, it was good to see Pruitt get a big man he wanted in a head-to-head battle.

The Vols likely are done on the offensive front until Wright makes his decision, and the big man from West Virginia has a spot regardless. It’ll be interesting to see how the final few places in the class shakes out.

Worth reading 8.22.18: the Idiot Optimist’s Guide to the 2018 season

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it the 2018 edition of Will’s ever-awesome Idiot Optimist’s Guide:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Rucker: Older, wiser Jonathan Kongbo easier to believe in for Tennessee Vols football, via 247Sports
  2. Why Somebody Must Stand Up in Tennessee’s Quarterback Derby, via Gameday on Rocky Top
  3. Tennessee Vols Baylen Buchanan confident talented secondary, via 247Sports
  4. WVU football closing in on 2018 season-opener against Tennessee, via 247Sports
  5. Tennessee DBs eager to play in Pruitt’s ‘in-your-face’ defense, via 247Sports
  6. Tennessee Vols Football: Injury bug keeps biting at West Virginia, via 247Sports
  7. The Fumble that kept Vols’ national title run on track almost never happened, via Saturday Down South
  8. Tennessee Vols Football: Phillip Fulmer remembers emotional final moments of 1998 title game, via 247Sports

Behind the paywalls

The Idiot Optimist’s Guide to the 2018 Season

Did you know the Vols are 500-to-1 to win the national championship? That’s life-changing money, boys!

Listen, I’ve already got the basketball Vols at 25-to-1 to win it all. Those winnings are set aside to get right with the debt collectors and the Lord, so it’s all limousine ridin’ and jet flyin’ with the rest. My wife had already been telling me I should pay less attention to Butch Jones and more to Rick Barnes long before last fall went right down the drain. And when Admiral dunked that ball at Rupp Arena, I asked her right then and there if we could name our first child Private First Class. She did not go for that, but she’s got an SEC Championship t-shirt in the closet, by God. And you’d better clear out some room for the Pruitt collection.

I mean, with Phillip at the helm, it don’t much matter who the coach is. Only took us a decade to figure that one out. And whenever CPF (ADPF?) decides to retire to Wyoming with a fistful of championships, we can simplify the search process. If you want to involve the common man and the common fan, you don’t have to schedule an on-campus riot to do it. Just get one of us a spot on the search committee. Then have the prospective new AD start down their list of hypothetical coaching candidates. If our first response is, “Who’s that?”, “(Fulmerized) no!”, or “…wait, what?”, you don’t hire that person. Something that simple could’ve saved us from Derek Dooley, Butch Jones, and Greg Schiano.

But we don’t need saving anymore. Fulmer’s bringing championships to the entire athletic department. You do know the only reason we didn’t win the NCAA Tournament is because we got beat by God, right? But only by one point! If Sister Jean’s reward is a Final Four appearance for a mid-major, I know we’re due at least six national championships. She turned 99 this week, and I hope that lady has lots of time left on this earth. But I hope she also knows that in heaven, it’s John Ward and Bill Anderson on the call.

Look man, Jeremy Pruitt got the Tennessee job, got out there ‘cruitin’, then held Clemson’s offense to 2.69 yards per play in his spare time. Remember how excited you were when we signed Kyle Phillips, Shy Tuttle, Jonathan Kongbo, Darrin Kirkland, Nigel Warrior…I mean, basically our entire defense? Now think about them in this guy’s hands. What’s the record for fewest first downs in a season? Wait, is it the Clawfense?

Then on offense, nevermind who’s playing quarterback, this year they’ll have actual coaching! Imagine that! And Florida State fans still believe they’d’ve won the title in ’98 if Chris Weinke was healthy, but he’s not even good enough to coach our QBs! But really, here’s all the coaching they need: get the ball to the guy who wore Gator-skin boots to the postgame, then caught a hail mary, then told the truth about our previous administration IN LANGUAGE THE INTERIM COACH COULD UNDERSTAND. Get the ball to Jauan, and Weinke won’t have the only Heisman on the property. It doesn’t even matter that we could start all four-and-five-stars on the offensive line. One of them is Trey Smith, and he’s been waiting all year to hit somebody. Good luck, West Virginia.

And look, I fully respect a man who refuses to acknowledge the reality of the situation atop his head. I’m a Holgo man. West Virginians are our Appalachian brethren. But the Mountaineers are Diet Tennessee: looks the same, tastes kinda the same but mostly worse, zero national championships.

Then we get Randy Sanders’s ETSU program, who will change their mascot to the screen pass by the end of the year if they haven’t already. But I think they could take UTEP, who went 0-12 last year but only lost 11 of them by at least 14 points.

When I close my eyes and dream, I see the four game winning streak we should be on against the Gators. Instead, we lost once because we wet the bed in the red zone, once because we gave up a 4th-and-17, and once on a hail mary. And that’s just the Cliffs Notes. But one in a row is better than none in a row. Do you know the last Tennessee coach to beat the Gators on his very first try? Phillip By God Fulmer. And never you mind that new coach in Gainesville, the same truth still applies: they ain’t no good. Vols by 30, unless we decide to win 20-17 in overtime as a tribute. And don’t worry, that means we can pay tribute to 1998 against Georgia by keeping them out of the end zone altogether. But I do appreciate the Dawgs helping us move along with our coaching search last fall.

Then it’s Auburn, who beat Alabama last year because the Tide had 1st-and-10 inside the Auburn 40 on their last three drives and scored zero points. That’s not Jeremy’s fault! Sounds like a Saban problem to me. I’m sure their new intern can solve that one. If you don’t think the Pruitt-for-Butch trade makes Tennessee over Alabama the lock of the century, I don’t know what to tell you. How many life championships are Bama fans claiming by now? I can’t keep giving out these winners for free!

We’ve owed Will Muschamp a punch in the face for like six years now, and finally have the coaching staff that will encourage that sort of behavior, metaphorically speaking, instead of being satisfied that we’re close enough to put our hands on them but let’s see what happens in the fourth quarter. Then we play the 49ers, which might’ve been a good game back in the 80’s but I’m not sold on the Garoppolo kid yet. He does have the advantage of moving as far away as physically possible from Tom Brady, but we’ll have to wait and see.

Kentucky? Wait til basketball season. Missouri? I’ve been hoping we’d schedule the Cowboys for years, this is a much easier way to get a piece of Derek Dooley. Vanderbilt? Swept them in basketball too! It don’t matter who we see in Atlanta since we’ll’ve already beaten the two best teams in the division. But in the playoff, I’m pulling for Ohio State, Florida Atlantic, and of course, Wake Forest. Since we’re guaranteed a shot at Butch Jones and Derek Dooley already, I figure we can just go ahead and cleanse our palate altogether.

15-0, National Champions, boys. Then we’re going after that single-season college basketball wins record, which is currently held by three John Calipari teams (or two teams and an asterisk). Get your tattoos now, boys. And don’t tell my wife I already did.

Hey look, only took me nine years to learn about GIFs!

via GIPHY

 

 

 

 

Why Somebody Must Stand Up in Tennessee’s Quarterback Derby

If you think Tennessee coach Jeremy Pruitt is mum on his quarterback battle this preseason because he wants to lob a bit of gamesmanship in the direction of West Virginia, I think you’re off.

It’s because he’s simply not enamored with either of his two frontrunners — or anybody in particular — when it comes to who’s going to lead this Tennessee offense.

Redshirt sophomore Jarrett Guarantano’s name comes up the most as being the favorite to win the job, but graduate transfer senior Keller Chryst hasn’t been ruled out yet, either. While it would be a long shot for Will McBride or freshman JT Shrout to trot out with the 1s against West Virginia, they haven’t been officially axed in the race, either.

Pruitt knows UT has made improvements at a lot of places on the field. Offensively, in particular, the Vols have shown glimmers of hope. The running backs actually have the potential to be stout, considering Ty Chandler is the flashiest player on the team, Tim Jordan followed up his spring-game breakout with a solid preseason and Michigan State transfer Madre London is going to be hard to handle, especially in short-yardage situations.

The Vols’ wide receiving corps hasn’t been consistent in the first couple of weeks of camp, but unit coach David Johnson is known for getting the most out of his guys. If veteran Jauan Jennings gets over his bumps and bruises, he’ll lead a group that has a lot of upside with steady players like Marquez Callaway and Brandon Johnson. Josh Palmer has enjoyed a nice camp, and Jordan Murphy looks like he could help a lot right away. Maybe even freshman Cedric Tillman will have a role. The tight end position got a major boost from JUCO transfer Dominick Wood-Anderson, who should be targeted often.

Then you’ve got an offensive line group that was an atrocity a year ago but has begun to look serviceable. If Trey Smith returns at 100 percent, you can add him to a group where newcomers Brandon Kennedy, Jahmir Johnson and Jerome Carvin are carving a role. If Chance Hall can help and K’Rojhn Calbert can continue to improve, the group looks much better with veterans like Ryan Johnson, Drew Richmond, Marcus Tatum and Riley Locklear in the mix, too.

Which brings us to quarterback, where all we know is there is one, big rippling fart noise in the reports.

Come on, man.

If Guarantano can’t emerge as The Man in Year 3, that’s a cause for concern. He has all the tools: a big arm, decent speed, can make all the throws and isn’t too erratic. The New Jersey native really struggled a year ago with his internal clock, and that seems to be an issue so far in camp, as well. You can’t make plays if plays flicker out in the backfield. Guarantano must learn to feel pressure, evade it and deliver strikes to his receivers or tuck and run. He can’t take too many drive-killing sacks.

Chryst isn’t the same kind of playmaker and doesn’t have near the arm as Guarantano, but does he advance the unit downfield better? That’s something we can’t know. He’s a big kid, but he isn’t as physically gifted as Guarantano, so why hasn’t he been ruled the backup already?

It’s either because he’s been better than reported or because Guarantano isn’t good enough yet. Pruitt needs to keep both guys motivated, and the Vols need for that to translate into quality reps when it matters most.

The truth is it would be a stunner if Chryst won the job. It’s Guarantano’s to lose, and he’s GOING TO be the guy, but he absolutely must take it and run with it. If it’s Chryst early, the Vols are in Kenny Loggins’ danger zone.

Offensive coordinator Tyson Helton has led groups before that featured quality quarterbacks. Brandon Doughty posted record-breaking numbers at Western Kentucky, and Sam Darnold developed into a first-round draft pick under Helton’s tutelage at Southern Cal. But it doesn’t feel like the Vols are going to be a quarterback-led team in 2018, at least not at the beginning of the year.

If the offensive line is improved, the running backs are good enough to be the leaders on the offense. That means all Guarantano [or Chryst] needs to be is a game manager who doesn’t get the team beat by negative plays or turnovers, but they need to be able to make a few [don’t say splash, don’t say splash] big-gainers to get chunk yardage in clutch situations.

In other words, there’s no reason the winner of UT’s quarterback derby can’t be as good as Kentucky’s Stephen Johnson or Texas A&M’s Nick Starkel were a year ago. In a perfect world, you’d love to see Guarantano win the gig, settle into a muted role the way Jake Fromm did for most of the year with Georgia a season ago and then burst out in some big games later in the year.

Nobody is suggesting this year’s Tennessee can be anything like 2017 Georgia. Fromm’s supporting cast was worlds better than anything the Vols can trot out this year. But the cupboard isn’t bare in Knoxville. Butch Jones didn’t recruit enough talent, but the biggest issue was the development of the players once they got to campus; not getting good ones to come.

The Vols got less out of more than any other team in college football during the past five years, without question.

Tennessee doesn’t have the horses to compete with Alabama, Auburn or Georgia (all of which are, sadly, on the ’18 schedule) but that’s not where the season will be made or broken. Huge early-season games loom against West Virginia and Florida, and then UT needs to be in good enough shape and not spiraling out of control in the loss column to be able to finish strong late in the year.

In order to do that — beat the Mountaineers or Gators and reel off a nice season-ending streak — the Vols can’t have crappy quarterback play. This team isn’t going to be good enough to be like some of those Nick Saban-led champion Alabama teams who could have propped up any old stiff under center.

They’ve got to have somebody who takes care of the ball and can take care of a drive with a big play every once in a while.

Guarantano [or Chryst… but really Guarantano] need to prove they’re worth their scholarship. It’s time. Anything less, and it’s going to be a long football season again on Rocky Top.

Tennessee Recruiting: What Does Jaylen McCollough’s Commitment Mean to the Vols?

Right now, Tennessee may not be beating Alabama and Georgia on the field or when it comes to comparing commitments. But star units aren’t necessarily made on the recruiting trail; they’re made in development.

Jeremy Pruitt is recruiting the type of players he wants to run his scheme, and he isn’t doing too badly in plucking star recruits, either.  Friday continued to prove that.  Before long, he may just have the type of secondary that he was used to having when he was the defensive coordinator with the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs.

The Vols continued their surge up the recruiting rankings on Friday when the commitment of 4-star defensive back Jaylen McCollough, a Power Springs, Georgia, prospect pledged to Tennessee over South Carolina, Alabama and others. He is a player I was very much hoping UT could secure and would be able to fit into the class numbers-wise.

You can’t turn away players of McCollough’s caliber.

Even more interesting is 4-star defensive back prospect Devin Bush, who was considered a Tennessee lean, tweeted that he was re-opening his recruitment on Friday, which is odd for an uncommitted player to do. Was he a silent pledge to the Vols? Was he afraid he was so much of a lock to UT that other teams [like Auburn, for instance] weren’t recruiting him as heavily?

If this is the case, it’s possible that means the Vols have more good news from a target higher on the board. That could be Madison, Alabama, defensive back Jaydon Hill, a long, lanky cornerback who was higher than anybody on UT’s radar and want-list than any cornerback named Elijah Blades [JUCO Oregon commit who chose the Ducks over the Vols] and Warren Burrell [already in the fold for the Vols].

All of a sudden, an area that looked like it could be a position of concern in the last recruiting cycle appears to be shaping up nicely for the future. The Vols love what they’re seeing in the early-going from cornerbacks Alontae Taylor and Bryce Thompson, two true freshman electric athletes who will have to get fire-baptized this year, but that will help them in the future. When you factor in safety Trevon Flowers, who excites UT with his athleticism, and even JUCO cornerback Kenneth George Jr. and freshman Brandon Davis, and it looks like Tennessee had a sneaky-good class of DB in the 2018 cycle.

Now, you throw in Burrell and big-hitting, physical corner Tyus Fields — two 4-star cornerbacks — to go along with North Carolina athlete Anthony Harris, who could play safety or wide receiver, and that’s a great start. The Vols added McCollough today, who could wind up being the biggest piece of the puzzle. Why? Because he’s a physical, in-the-box safety who could play the all-important Star position.

That spot is designed for players physical enough to step up in the run game but athletic enough to hold his own in coverage, too. Think of a nickelback with extra responsibilities. It’s what Minkah Fitzpatrick was so brilliant doing for Alabama and a bit like the role Eric Berry played in Monte Kiffin’s Tampa-2 defense in 2009.

If the Vols can add Hill to close the class, that’s stout. You’ve got your fast, athletic corners in this year’s freshman class [and Fields], you’ve got the big, physical corners in Burrell and Hill, then you’ve got some versatile players like McCullough.

That’s exactly the kind of mix you want. Pruitt is a known develop of defensive backs, and he wants a lot of different, moldable players. McCullough gives Tennessee an exciting player and also keep the Vols beating divisional foes for recruits. McCullough chose UT over other finalist South Carolina. Burrell was down to the Gamecocks, Florida, and N.C. State. Hill is down to the Vols, Gamecocks and Gators. Fields chose UT over N.C. State and Clemson.

The Vols know what they want in the secondary, and they’re getting some guys high on Pruitt’s list. That’s got to be music to Vols fans’ ears.

McCullough reminds me of former Georgia defensive back Bacarri Rambo, who is now with the Buffalo Bills. He’s a big, physical safety who plays with a chip on his shoulder, arrives in a hurry and packs a punch when he gets there. He doesn’t grade out really fast, but he plays much quicker than his 40 time and is seemingly always around the ball.

He continues Tennessee’s surge, and the Vols needed a guy like him in the class. He’s an important piece of the puzzle who could step in and play immediately once he gets on campus.

Ranking Season Openers on the Anticipation/Anxiety Scale

September 1 will be Tennessee’s 13th season opener against a ranked non-conference foe (thanks, as always, to the folks behind Tennessee’s media guide). Fun fact: five of those were against UCLA, from the first one in 1967 through Peyton Manning’s debut in 1994. The Vols are 5-4-3 in those games overall, most recently splitting a pair with California in 2006-07.

But when you’ve struggled like the Vols in the last decade, you don’t need a ranked opener to raise the stakes. Tennessee has had plenty of tense first tests in the last few years, many of them made so by uncertainty surrounding the head coach. Jeremy Pruitt will get the best kind of uncertainty – new coach, first game – against West Virginia. It’s the first impression, but it’s also a Top 20 opponent some are projecting far higher than that.

How will the first game set the tone for Jeremy Pruitt and 2018? How does it compare to some of the other season openers in recent memory in terms of anticipation and anxiety going in?

Level 1: The Sure Thing

  • 2004 UNLV, 1999 & 2002 Wyoming, FCS Opponents

Lane Kiffin, Derek Dooley, and Butch Jones all opened their UT coaching careers with FCS opponents. In FBS/Division 1-A, you have to go back to the special jersey night game against UNLV to find a sure-thing opponent that actually played itself out that way. UAB the following year certainly felt like one going in.

Level 2: The Pseudo-Sure Thing

  • 2016 Appalachian State, 2015 Bowling Green, 2008 UCLA, 2007 California

A successful season, or at least a successful finish in the prior year, often creates overconfidence in the season opener. With Butch Jones it was capable mid-majors who were overlooked in part because of massive Week 2 opportunities in Oklahoma and Bristol. Phillip Fulmer’s last two teams opened on the road with Pac-12 opponents, one the Vols torched the year before and one the Clawfense was expected to torch. The lesson: never overlook a team with a pulse in week one.

Level 3: I Have No Idea

  • 2000 Southern Miss, 1998 Syracuse, 1994 UCLA

You have to go back almost two decades, but all three of these were some form of rebuild/reload against ranked opponents, two of them on the road. The ’94 Vols were replacing their starting tailback, both wide receivers, and the Heisman runner-up at quarterback. The ’98 Vols were replacing the next Heisman runner-up, along with several key defensive pieces. And in 2000, most of the pieces from that championship run were gone. It was a testament to the strength of Tennessee’s program that the Vols went 2-1 in these games, all of them close. Tennessee’s performance in these openers didn’t necessarily color the entire season (other than Jerry Colquitt’s injury in ’94), but did create a first impression that was ultimately reliable. West Virginia probably goes in this tier: the game shouldn’t be confused for a toss-up with the Vols at +9.5, but we know so little about Tennessee in the midst of starting over I feel like there’s more to learn here than just the outcome.

Level 4: I’m Nervous

  • 2017 Georgia Tech, 2014 Utah State, 2003 Fresno State

Disappointing season the year before + opponent you feel like you should beat but not blow out + additional anxiety you know will come if you lose = these openers, the rare kind that can create more anxiety than anticipation. The Vols were solid against Fresno in ’03, surprisingly good against Chuckie Keeton and Utah State in ’14, and we all remember the full spectrum of emotions that came with the Butch Jones experience last year. The stakes for losing a game like this are so high it creates a, “Why did we schedule these guys?” mentality, even though those decisions are made far before we know what kind of anxiety/anticipation we’ll be feeling leading up to kickoff.

Level 5: Everything is on the line!

  • 2012 NC State, 2006 California

The ol’ let’s make decisions about the future of the program opener, when a disastrous season the year before and a capable opponent in the first game create a tense situation. The Vols went 2-0 in these games, though one was a false positive. Looking at things this way gives me additional appreciation for what the Vols did to Cal in 2006. It’s the fantasy we’d like to come true every time we play a significant opponent in the season opener; fortunately the West Virginia game doesn’t carry the same burden of the fate of the program at stake.

It’s only the first impression, but it will be a meaningful one for Jeremy Pruitt and this Tennessee team. Where does it rank for you in terms of anticipation and anxiety?

 

Vols pick up commitment from 4-star safety Jaylen McCollough

Jaylen McCollough, a 4-star safety from Hillgrove High School in Powder Springs, Georgia, announced this morning that he has committed to Tennessee:

According to 247Sports, McCollough is a solid 4-star prospect (.9434 in the composite), the nation’s 10th-best safety, and the nation’s 131st-best player overall. He had offers from the likes of Georgia, Ohio State, USC, Penn State, Alabama, Notre Dame, Auburn, Florida, South Carolina, and others.

McCollough’s the 19th commitment in the Class of 2019 for the Vols and the third highest-ranked player in the class so far behind offensive tackle Wanya Morris and receiver Ramel Keyton. With the commitment, Tennessee moves to No. 11 in the national rankings. The blue-chip ratio of the class is now 8:11, or 42%.

At 6’0″ and 194 pounds, McCollough’s already in the height and weight range for the safety position in Jeremy Pruitt’s ideal defensive roster blueprint and figures to make some noise in the secondary next fall.