Tennessee Vols statistical rankings after UTEP

Looking at the national statistical rankings after Week 3, Tennessee’s rushing offense appears to be improving, while its passing offense appears extraordinarily safe but also largely ineffective, comparatively speaking.

Meanwhile, the defense’s numbers look promising heading into SEC play, and the team’s turnovers and penalties rankings took a major hit this week.

Offense

The Vols’ passing game is interesting. On one hand, you can’t get any better than No. 1 at not throwing interceptions. And completion percentage and team passing efficiency make you think that something is going well for the passing attack. On the other hand, though, the actual number of passing yards is ranked woefully low.

The competition certainly has something to do with these numbers (and all of the rest of them in this post as well), but there is some promise there.

Defense

If you’re going to point to ETSU and UTEP being responsible for some of these promising numbers, you also need to acknowledge that West Virginia is on the resume, too. The numbers looked bad after that first week, but now that most teams are beginning to add real opponents to their schedules, things are beginning to even out. So yeah, ETSU and UTEP, but with the Mountaineers on there, too, having a Top 15 defense after Week 3 is a happy thing. The team is also Top 20 in Scoring Defense and First Downs Defense.

If they can start to generate some pressure behind the line of scrimmage in the form of sacks and TFLs without breaking the stuff they’re doing well, the team could be good on defense. Even if the SEC schedule does some damage to that concept, at the very least it seems like a positive development to have those numbers at this point of the season.

Special Teams

Turnovers and Penalties

This right here shows the reason for the difference in the ETSU and UTEP outcomes, as there was a major negative change in both penalties and turnovers. I’ve been thinking (and saying) that that has been uncharacteristic of the team this year, but looking back to the numbers right after the West Virginia game, that may not be the case.

Updated projected win totals for the Vols after Week 3

As I said after the game, the Vols weren’t nearly as bad as they were sloppy against UTEP on Saturday. On one hand, a 24-point win over a team that is really struggling doesn’t instill a lot of confidence going forward, but on the other, it’s easier to clean up a mess than it is to actually get better, and overall, I didn’t think the team was as bad as Pruitt made them sound after the game. If the turnovers and penalties weren’t uncharacteristic of the team so far this season, it would be a different story, but they were as good the first two games in those categories as they were bad the third. So, on balance, I don’t really feel much different about the team after this weekend.

West Virginia’s game against NC State was canceled due to the hurricane, so we don’t have any additional data about how good they might be. ETSU did win their game, and the Bucs are now 2-1. But none of that changes Tennessee’s resume much, either.

It’s with most of the Vols’ future opponents that we begin to see a bit of gloom on the horizon. Fortunately, for Tennessee, it’s next opponent — Florida — might be an exception. The Gators’ resume so far includes a beatdown of an inferior opponent in Charleston Southern, a solid win over a struggling non-Power 5 conference opponent in Colorado State, and a loss to what is probably a good team in Kentucky. Their loss to Kentucky looks worse than Tennessee’s loss to West Virginia, but their win over Colorado State looks better than the Vols’ win over UTEP. Let’s call it a toss-up at this point.

Missouri, too, needed a last-second field goal to beat a struggling Purdue squad, and although Charlotte won its game this week, they’re still squarely in the almost certain win category.

The rest of Tennessee’s opponents, though, look like more trouble after this week. The teams that looked unbeatable last week still look so this week. Georgia rolled, Auburn lost by a single point to LSU, a top 15 team, and Alabama looks like the best team in the history of college football.

In rolling against Murray State, Kentucky did nothing to ease fears that its win over Florida said more about the Gators than it did about the ‘Cats. And Vanderbilt was a real threat to No. 8 Notre Dame in South Bend right up until the very end of the game.

All of that said, I don’t feel any better or worse about the Vols this week, but I do feel worse about several future opponents.

My new expected win total after Week 2 is 5.5. I have Georgia and Alabama at 10%, Auburn at 15%, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Missouri at 40%, Florida and Vanderbilt as toss-ups, and Charlotte at 95%.

Use the form below to calculate yours and post it in the comments below the post.

Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week:

Tennessee Volunteers currently

  • Lost to #17 WVU*, 40-14
  • Beat ETSU, 59-3
  • Beat UTEP, 24-0
  • Florida, 7:00 PM ET
  • #3 Georgia, TBD
  • #7 Auburn, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • Charlotte, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD

The Vols’ past opponents

West Virginia Mountaineers

Current record: 2-0 (0-0), 2nd in Big 12

  • Beat Tennessee*, 40-14
  • Beat YSU, 52-17
  • NC State, Canceled
  • Kansas St, 3:30 PM ET
  • Texas Tech, TBD
  • Kansas, TBD
  • Iowa State, TBD
  • Baylor, 7:00 PM ET FOX Sports 1
  • Texas, TBD
  • #15 TCU, TBD
  • #24 Oklahoma St, TBD
  • #5 Oklahoma, 8:00 PM ET

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Current record: 2-1 (1-0), 1st in Southern

  • Beat Mars Hill, 28-7
  • Lost to Tennessee, 59-3
  • Beat VMI, 27-24
  • Furman, 7:30 PM ET
  • Chattanooga, 7:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • Gardner-Webb, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • The Citadel, 2:00 PM ET
  • Wofford, 1:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • W Carolina, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • Mercer, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
  • Samford, 1:00 PM ET

UTEP Miners

Current record: 0-3 (0-0), 1st in C-USA – West

  • Lost to N Arizona, 30-10
  • Lost to UNLV, 52-24
  • Lost to Tennessee, 24-0
  • New Mexico St, 7:30 PM ET
  • UTSA, 7:00 PM ET ESPN+
  • North Texas, 7:30 PM ET
  • LA Tech, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • UAB, 7:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • Rice, 3:30 PM ET
  • MTSU, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
  • W Kentucky, 7:30 PM ET
  • Southern Miss, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+

Florida Gators

Current record: 2-1 (0-1), 3rd in SEC – East

  • Beat Charleston So, 53-6
  • Lost to Kentucky, 27-16
  • Beat Colorado St, 48-10
  • Tennessee, 7:00 PM ET
  • #16 Miss St, TBD
  • #12 LSU, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • #3 Georgia*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
  • Missouri, TBD
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • Idaho, TBD
  • Florida State, TBD

As difficult as Tennessee’s upcoming slate is, the Gators’ is nothing to smirk at, either. They could go off the rails just as easily as the Vols.

Georgia Bulldogs

Current record: 3-0 (1-0), 1st in SEC – East

  • Beat Austin Peay, 45-0
  • Beat #24 S Carolina, 41-17
  • Beat MTSU, 49-7
  • Missouri, 12:00 PM ET
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • #12 LSU, TBD
  • Florida*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • #7 Auburn, TBD
  • UMass, TBD
  • Georgia Tech, TBD

We’ll no more about Georgia after this week’s game against Missouri. I don’t think the Tigers will be much of a threat, and if the Bulldogs beat them like they did South Carolina, there’s little hope for anyone in the East.

Auburn Tigers

Current record: 2-1 (0-1), 3rd in SEC – West

  • Beat #6 Washington*, 21-16
  • Beat Alabama St, 63-9
  • Lost to #12 LSU, 22-21
  • Arkansas, 7:30 PM ET
  • Southern Miss, TBD
  • #16 Miss St, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • Texas A&M, TBD
  • #3 Georgia, TBD
  • Liberty, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD

Alabama Crimson Tide

Current record: 3-0 (1-0), 1st in SEC – West

  • Beat Louisville*, 51-14
  • Beat Arkansas St, 57-7
  • Beat Ole Miss, 62-7
  • Texas A&M, 3:30 PM ET
  • Louisiana, TBD
  • Arkansas, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • #12 LSU, TBD
  • #16 Miss St, TBD
  • The Citadel, TBD
  • #7 Auburn, TBD

South Carolina Gamecocks

Current record: 1-1 (0-1), 3rd in SEC – East

  • Beat C. Carolina, 49-15
  • Lost to #3 Georgia, 41-17
  • Marshall, Canceled
  • Vanderbilt, 4:00 PM ET
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Texas A&M, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Chattanooga, TBD
  • #2 Clemson, TBD

Charlotte 49ers

Current record: 2-1 (1-0), 1st in C-USA – East

  • Beat Fordham, 34-10
  • Lost to App St, 45-9
  • Beat Old Dominion, 28-25
  • UMass, 3:30 PM ET
  • UAB, TBD
  • W Kentucky, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • MTSU, 3:00 PM ET
  • Southern Miss, 2:00 PM ET
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Marshall, 2:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • FIU, 2:00 PM ET
  • FAU, 6:00 PM ET

Kentucky Wildcats

Current record: 3-0 (1-0), 1st in SEC – East

  • Beat Cent Michigan, 35-20
  • Beat #25 Florida, 27-16
  • Beat Murray State, 48-10
  • #16 Miss St, 7:00 PM ET
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • Texas A&M, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • #3 Georgia, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • MTSU, TBD
  • Louisville, TBD

This weekend’s game against No. 16 Mississippi State will be telling.

Missouri Tigers

Current record: 3-0 (0-0), 3rd in SEC – East

  • Beat UT Martin, 51-14
  • Beat Wyoming, 40-13
  • Beat Purdue, 40-37
  • #3 Georgia, 12:00 PM ET
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD
  • Memphis, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Arkansas, 2:30 PM ET CBS

Again, how Missouri does against Georgia this week will give us some meaningful data for a projection against Tennessee.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Current record: 2-1 (0-0), 3rd in SEC – East

  • Beat MTSU, 35-7
  • Beat Nevada, 41-10
  • Lost to #8 Notre Dame, 22-17
  • S Carolina, 4:00 PM ET
  • Tennessee St, TBD
  • #3 Georgia, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Arkansas, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD

 

Gators, Guarantano, and the Run-Pass Ratio

It seems fair to say Tennessee isn’t asking Jarrett Guarantano to do too much so far. He only attempted 25 passes despite trailing all day against West Virginia. And the Vols didn’t seek to step on the gas to create additional separation from UTEP on the scoreboard, thus Guarantano attempted only 16 passes. His 54 attempts through three weeks rank 11th in the SEC, ahead of only the starters from Alabama, Georgia, and Mississippi State, whose assistance hasn’t been required much beyond halftime.

But in those 54 attempts, however restrained the offense may or may not have been…Guarantano has been pretty good.

He’s hit on 39 of them, for a 72.2% completion percentage. That’s 10th nationally through three weeks. His 9.1 yards per attempt are tied for 22nd nationally. And the Vols are one of just 14 teams yet to throw an interception.

It’s one game against an FCS foe, one game against what may be the worst team in FBS, and one against a West Virginia team not known for its defense. But what he’s been asked to do, he’s done well.

How much more will the Vols ask of him this week?

The coaches change, but the first rule of Tennessee-Florida remains: the team that runs the ball best has the best chance to win. The best chance doesn’t guarantee victory – the Vols have won the rushing battle three years in a row now – but it’s still the best philosophy. And it’s one Jeremy Pruitt should enjoy.

Tennessee has run the ball 132 times this year to Guarantano’s 54 passes (plus six for Keller Chryst). So far they’ve kept the ball on the ground 68.8% of the time. It sounds like a winning formula in this series…but the results have been mixed thus far. The Vols are clearly more explosive this year: after just 46 runs of 10+ yards and 13 of 20+ yards last season, Tennessee has 21 and six, respectively, in 2018.

But slow starts are both perception and reality. What do we make of this:

  • 1st Quarter: 28 carries, 35 yards, 1.6 ypc (129th nationally)
  • 1st Half: 69 carries, 237 yards, 3.4 ypc (97th nationally)
  • 2nd Half: 63 carries, 427 yards, 6.8 ypc (9th nationally)

(Stats from Sports Source Analytics)

Are the Vols simply wearing down lower-level competition as the game goes on? Ty Chandler’s 81-yard run in the third quarter certainly helps, and that first series against West Virginia certainly hurt the first quarter numbers. But Tennessee clearly has to get off to a better start.

And this is where the rubber will meet the road for Jeremy Pruitt and Tyson Helton: how long do you stay patient with the ground game against the Gators? How much more do you give Guarantano to do instead?

Of his 54 passes, I can’t remember many (if any) that were in danger of being intercepted. The Vols will have to take more chances. How this new staff manages risk will matter a lot; it’ll feel like even more to us watching after the way the previous staff often failed to manage it well. Tennessee is built on Maxim #1, and Jeremy Pruitt seems like a guy who likes coaching the team that makes the fewest mistakes. But it takes all seven maxims to beat the Gators. How the new coach plays for and makes the breaks will go a long way Saturday night.

 

Worth reading 9.16.18: Takeaways from the Tennessee-UTEP game

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from GRT’s Brad Shepard:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Rucker: UTEP dud a lesson for Tennessee in opportunism, via 247Sports
  2. Guarantano leading Vols ‘with a lot of confidence right now’, via 247Sports
  3. Vols’ Banks learns tough lesson on goal-line fumble, via 247Sports
  4. Vols’ defense ‘wasn’t perfect’ but posts shutout against UTEP, via 247Sports
  5. The Day After, via VolQuest
  6. Jeremy Pruitt: Vols need to practice better after UTEP win, via KnoxNews
  7. Jauan Jennings rounding into form — just in time for Gators, via 247Sports
  8. Vols football: Bits and pieces, via the Times Free Press
  9. Jeremy Pruitt calls on fans to be ready for game against Florida on Saturday, via Saturday Down South
  10. Jimmy’s blog: After 3 games, are Vols ready for SEC play?, via WNML
  11. Pruitt: Hard ‘to beat anybody in the SEC’ without forcing TOs, via 247Sports
  12. Sapp held out against UTEP due to injury, via 247Sports
  13. ‘Thankful’ Chandler returns to Vols in style, via 247Sports
  14. Pruitt: Sluggish win shows Vols need ‘to improve practicing’, via 247Sports
  15. Kick time, TV finalized for Vols-Florida, via 247Sports
  16. Five Answers: Tennessee 24, UTEP 0, via 247Sports
  17. Ground Game, Defense Propel Vols To 24-0 Win Over UTEP – University of Tennessee, via UTSports

Just going to leave this here

Behind the paywalls

Sunday Best: Ty Chandler Is the Spark This Offense Needs

Editor’s note:  With my esteemed colleagues taking care of the heavy postgame lifting as I’m handling my national college football obligations on Saturday, I wanted to do something a little different. Each Sunday from now through the end of the year, we’ll take a last look at the game before, pointing out some positives as we move through the various phases of the Jeremy Pruitt rebuild.

We’ll call it Sunday Best. Hope you guys enjoy…

***

There weren’t a lot of things to be excited about after Saturday’s sleepwalking victory over UTEP where it looked like the Tennessee Vols failed to wake up following a night out on the Strip.

Winning 24-0 against arguably the worst FBS team in the nation is nothing to be thrilled about. But with Florida coming to Neyland Stadium next Saturday night, style points don’t matter anymore. The only takeaway from Saturday is there is still so much to be worked on.

Jeremy Pruitt acknowledged as much in his man-of-few-words mode following the game when he did his postgame interview with the SEC Network. He said there’s far too much for Tennessee to work on internally to worry about Florida. He believes if the Vols take care of themselves, they can take care of a lot of issues.

We’ll see on Saturday.

But the past two weekends were all about fact-finding missions. Who can help this team win the important games? Can this team win important games?

The answer to those questions may very well be “nobody this year” and “nope, not this year,” but those aren’t acceptable answers to Pruitt and this staff. Say what you will about this team, but it’s obvious that Pruitt knows football, and that the Vols are going to play real hard-nosed football once they get the players in the right places and the trenches fixed. This year’s roster simply doesn’t have the horses, but the brand of ball the Vols want to play — whether they can play it in 2018 or not — is encouraging.

One of the building blocks for this rebuild was on full display against the Miners in sophomore running back Ty Chandler.

This was a player coveted by Alabama, Georgia and others a couple of years ago when Butch Jones plucked him out of Nashville. Unlike a lot of highly ranked players on this roster, he doesn’t look like a “miss.” If anything, he’s the most dynamic player on the entire roster, and we got a glimpse of what he can do Saturday.

I don’t care that it was against UTEP; that matters none. What Chandler brings to the offense is a dimension the Vols haven’t had since Lamarcus Coker, who just happens to be the last player to break off a run like Chandler’s 81-yard touchdown yesterday.

But take that run away for a moment. On his other runs, he had 77 yards on 11 carries, an average of (even I can do this one…) 7 yards per carry.

We’ve spent the past couple of games oohing and ahhing about how good Tim Jordan looks and that he can be a primary back in this offense, and we all fell in love with Jeremy Banks and his hard-nosed running. He looked good at times again against UTEP, though it looked to me like the officials blew the call on his ruled fumble at the goal line. Regardless, he’s got to do a better job taking care of the ball.

Madre London looks like a quality stopgap this year too, even though this will be his only year in orange.

But no matter how those guys looked at times throughout the season’s first couple of games, they aren’t Chandler. He’s deceptively shifty, and he is bigger than you think. Most importantly, he possesses the kind of breakaway speed Tennessee needs to produce big plays in the running game. Hopefully, as the season progresses, this offensive line will improve, and if it does, Chandler’s upside gets higher and higher.

He’s the kind of player who can win you a game against a Florida or South Carolina if he breaks free.

The only other players on UT’s offense who have that kind of different-level ability are receivers Marquez Callaway and Jordan Murphy.

After getting concussed in the second quarter against West Virginia, the Vols were cautious with Chandler the past couple of weeks. They unleashed him against UTEP, and he is an X-factor to be reckoned with against the Gators. If he’s not a major part of the game plan, something’s wrong.

He will be.

“Ty is a guy that he’s a pretty instinctive runner,” Pruitt said in the postgame interview, according to GoVols247’s Patrick Brown. “He’s got good vision, but he’s got good speed, so he got out there and done a good job finishing that run. It’s a good thing he did, because I’m not sure that we wouldn’t have gotten another penalty before we got in the end zone, so I’m glad he got it to the end zone.”

As we’ve discussed before, this season is about finding those pieces of the puzzle for building blocks, not only this year but next season, too. Against ETSU, we watched a defense that forced turnovers and turned them into points. That defense pitched a shutout against UTEP, but the turnovers were nowhere to be found.

Murphy had a huge game against the Buccaneers but barely made a noise on Saturday.

Callaway has been a consistent weapon, and Jarrett Guarantano is the no-doubt starting quarterback for this team in ’18 and in the future.

The running back room looks good for the future, and hopefully, after Saturday, we see who the leader of that group is going to be.

To be fair to Chandler, though, legends aren’t forged against the UTEP Miners. They’re bad — really bad — and all the mistakes on offense, the line issues and the ability to finish drives kept anybody from being truly happy with Saturday’s outcome.

Next weekend is the season’s first opportunity to make a name for himself. A year ago, with John Kelly in the backfield, Chandler had to play a support role. He’ll have to do the same at times this year with so many players who should get carries for UT. But the Vols need to ride the player who can turn a game in their favor in a hurry. The Gators don’t have a lot of players like him on their offense, either.

Look for Chandler to get a load of touches next weekend if this offensive coaching staff is confident. Of course, a lot of his success will be determined by the play of his offensive line, but Chandler has a window to become one of the most beloved players on this football team despite a difficult season.

Hopefully, he takes advantage.

Tennessee 24, UTEP 0: Vols not bad, but sloppy against the Miners

A sleepy 24-0 Tennessee win over the UTEP Miners capped off a sleepy week for Vols fans this afternoon in Neyland Stadium. The UT offense sputtered early again this week, managing a paltry 17 yards on its first possession against a Miners team that was among the worst in the FCS last season.

Tennessee’s next possession began better but ended badly, as a 60-yard drive that culminated in a touchdown was undone by a chop block, sending Tennessee back out of the red zone and into settle-for-a-field-goal range.

Then, their third possession went for 64 yards but ended with a goal-line fumble. The call was somewhat controversial, as there were questions whether running back Jeremy Banks was down and/or whether he crossed the goal line before he lost the ball, but upon review, the on-field call was upheld.

Tennessee led only 3-0 after the first quarter. They scored a touchdown on their next possession to go up 10-0, but then punted out the remainder of the first half.

Despite the gloomy feel of the first half, though, the non-turnover and non-penalty stats were mostly sunny:

As Will pointed out during the game, the team was more sloppy than bad:

Running back Ty Chandler, who didn’t play last week against ETSU, had the highlight of the day on the first play of the second half:

That made the score 17-0, Vols, but the offense again stalled out on its next two possessions. A touchdown pass from Jarrett Guarantano to Jauan Jennings a few minutes into the fourth quarter capped the scoring for the game.

Defense

As a shutout would suggest, the Tennessee defense did a pretty good job all game, holding the Miners to a total of 134 yards, 95 on the ground and 39 through the air. UTEP managed only seven first downs and were 2-14 on third down conversions.

In comparison, the Vols’ offense, as disappointing as 24 points may have been, had 512 total yards, 345 rushing and 167 passing. They had 24 first downs and were 4-12 on third down and 1-1 on fourth.

Players

Guarantano had a solid day, as he was 12-16 for 168 yards and a touchdown and looked mostly in control the entire game. He threw no interceptions for the third week in a row.

The running backs were led by Chandler’s 158. Madre London added 74, Tim Jordan 49, and Jeremy Banks 45. Guarantano had 20.

Six different players caught balls for the Vols. Josh Palmer had 64 yards on two catches with a long of 53, and Brandon Johnson had four catches for 51 yards. It was great to see Jennings get more involved this week with three catches for 22 yards and a touchdown, and Dominick Wood-Anderson was targeted multiple times and caught two balls for 21 yards. Marquez Callaway seemed to be much more involved than his stat line is willing to admit: It says he had only one catch for 8 yards. Perhaps it’s all of his punt returns that made him seem more involved.

Only 24-0?

It’s hard to be disappointed in a defense that allows no points, no matter the team. The offense scoring only 24 points, though, is a cause for concern, but in my view there are three main reasons the Vols didn’t score more points, and they’re not quite as concerning as they might seem, as they are easily-correctable and/or uncharacteristic of the team so far this season.

Penalties

The Vols committed eight penalties for 65 yards, the majority of which were on the offense. The first — a chop block — negated a touchdown. Half of the drives that resulted in punts were stalled out by penalties. The offense moved when not behind the chains due to stupid penalties.

Turnovers

As mentioned earlier, Tennessee’s third offensive possession was rolling right along until freshman running back Jeremy Banks lost the football as he was stretching for the goal line. It may or may not have been the right call, but in any event, it ended an almost certain opportunity for another 7 points.

The score could have been worse due to turnovers, as punt returner Marquez Callaway also muffed a punt and gave the ball to the Miners’ offense at the 33-yard line. Fortunately, their own penalties and the Vols’ defense pushed them back and forced a punt.

Splitting time among the quarterbacks

As I said before, Guarantano was 12-16 (75%) for 168 yards. Despite him doing well and the team not clicking or pulling away from the Miners, the coaching staff decided to give backup quarterback Keller Chryst playing time at key junctures of the game.

That didn’t work so well.

With the Vols only up 10-0 and getting the ball back with 1:40 to play in the first half, Chryst’s first opportunity netted 6 yards in four plays and a punt.

Chandler limited the Vols’ first possession after the break to a single-play drive resulting in a touchdown, and Guarantano put together an eight-play, 38-yard drive after that, although that one ended up in a punt as well.

Chryst got the next possession, with 5:43 left in the third quarter and the Vols leading 17-0, and the team promptly went three plays for 1 yard before punting.

Guarantano got the next one and went 71 yards in 11 plays, throwing the touchdown pass to Jennings to finish it off.

Chryst’s next possession was his best. With 8:23 left in the game, he led the team on a six-play, 37-yard drive. But the only pass went for a loss of 1 yard, and the drive still ended with a punt.

The rest was garbage time with nothing but run plays and a kneel down.

I suppose it’s a good idea to get the backup quarterback ready to play, just in case. Somehow, though, it seems like a better idea when the team is already firing on all cylinders with the first-string guy, and although Guarantano was doing his part, the team wasn’t exactly rolling even with him at the helm. Continuity seems like a better goal than experience for the backups at this point.

Maybe we’ll be glad sometime in the future that Chryst has had some live fire, but it’s become quite clear that Guarantano is the team’s No. 1 quarterback, and although the team moved the ball well this afternoon, I don’t know that it really made Vols fans feel any better in advance of next week’s big showdown with the Gators.

 

 

 

Your Gameday Gameplan: Tennessee-UTEP

It’s Gameday on Rocky Top, with the 1-1 Tennessee Vols hosting the UTEP Miners at Neyland Stadium today at noon.

Here’s the Gameday Gameplan for Vols fans. Where and when to find the Vols game on TV, what other games to watch, and what to listen to and read as you wait for kickoff.

When is the Vols game, and what TV channel is it on?

Here are the particulars for today’s Tennessee game:

The best other games for Vols fans to watch today

Here’s our list of games to watch today, curated just for Vols fans:

Saturday, September 15, 2018
Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON SLATE
UTEP Tennessee 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Live Go Vols!
Murray State Kentucky 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN DVR Future Opponent
Vanderbilt No. 8 Notre Dame 2:30 PM NBC DVR Future Opponent
AFTERNOON SLATE
No. 12 LSU No. 7 Auburn 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop - 2 Top 25 Matchup
No. 17 Boise State No. 24 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
Colorado State Florida 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Channel Hop - 1 Next Opponent
EVENING SLATE
No. 1 Alabama Ole Miss 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Middle Tennessee No. 3 Georgia 7:15 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Missouri Purdue 7:30 PM BTN Channel Hop Future Opponent
No. 4 Ohio State No. 15 TCU 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup

See also, this week’s full college football TV schedule.

GRT games and contests

While you’re waiting for the games to begin, make sure that you submit your answers to the GRT Guessing Game questions and update your picks for the GRT Pick ‘Em.

GRT game-week audio

No, we haven’t kicked the Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast to the curb. It just got swallowed up by an over-busy schedule this week. Rest assured, it will return this week, and to be sure you won’t miss it, subscribe via iTunes or Google:

 Listen on Google Play Music

You can still hear Will on his weekly appearance with Josh Ward and Will West’s Sports 180 on WNML:

Pre-game prep

And to catch up on on your pre-game reading, have a look at our game preview posts from earlier this week:

New, experimental game thread

It seems that most people discuss live events on Twitter these days. The problem with that, in my opinion anyway, is that Twitter is much too noisy. It can sometimes be like having a bunch of uninvited people in your basement while you’re trying to watch the game with friends in peace. The thing I like about an open game thread here is that it’s a discussion among friends, like-minded folks who want to enjoy the game together because they also enjoy each others’ company. The problem is that Twitter has all the best snacks, so nobody shows up.

So, in an experimental attempt to get the best of both worlds, I’m going to create a special Twitter list of our esteemed Gameday on Rocky Top community members and then embed it here. I don’t know that it’s going to offer anything better than all-Twitter or all-GRT, but I figure it’s worth a shot.

So . . . if you’d like to be included in the Twitter GRT Game Thread list, post your Twitter handle in the comment section below so I can add you.

Here goes nothing. 🙂

Go Vols!

Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game: UTEP edition

It’s time for this week’s edition of the Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game. If you are wondering what that is exactly, you can find out everything you need to know here. Last week’s results are here.

 

Let’sa go!

  1. Submit your answers to our three questions below.
  2. Click the “Submit” button.
  3. Copy and paste your answers in the comments below.

Good luck!

The Unpredictable (Non-UGA) SEC East

Two weeks into the season, our top two thoughts about the SEC East remain unchanged:

  • Georgia is waaaaaaayyyyyyy better than everyone else; the Vols shouldn’t compare themselves to UGA right now.
  • There’s little separation between the rest of the division; the Vols may have finished last in 2017, but how they do against the non-UGA East is still a good barometer in 2018.

South Carolina was the most popular choice to come in second; they got dusted by Georgia at home, trailing 41-10 until a late touchdown trimmed the final margin to 24. And on the other end of the spectrum, Kentucky beat Florida – in Gainesville – for the first time in more than three decades.

There’s an anything-can-happen feel to the rest of the division behind the Dawgs. Case in point: look who’s leading the non-UGA pack in S&P+ through two weeks:

Team S&P+ FPI
Missouri 16 27
Vanderbilt 23 53
Kentucky 35 47
South Carolina 43 33
Florida 46 32
Tennessee 57 61

Wyoming-over-Missouri was a trendy preseason pick; the Tigers routed the Cowboys 40-13 and now face a suddenly 0-2 Purdue team this week. And if your reflex is still to pick against Vanderbilt no matter what, you paid dearly for it the first two weeks: 35-7 over MTSU, 41-10 over Nevada.

These numbers will be tested over the next two weeks. Vanderbilt is in South Bend Saturday afternoon, Missouri hosts Georgia next week. We’ll see how good those two are against top-level competition. But the anything-can-happen-ness among the rest of the division is still good news for a Tennessee team looking to move its way up the ladder.

Recruiting is still the long-term solution, and Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and Missouri are still not threats there. The Vols (11th) have the lead on South Carolina (16th) and Florida (18th) in the 247 Composite Rankings, but the Gators (53.3%) and Gamecocks (44.4%) now lead the Vols (40%) in blue chip ratio. Without the on-field results, it will be difficult for Jeremy Pruitt and staff to separate themselves from Muschamp and Mullen in recruiting.

That makes whatever separation can be earned on the field even more important. Thus Tennessee’s five most important games are all against the non-UGA SEC East, all of them some version of up for grabs. The Vols get one more tune-up this week, then the Gators, then three straight “brace yourself” opponents with a bye week thrown in for good measure. But whatever happens there or even against Florida, four of those most important games are in the last five down the stretch (plus Charlotte). What happens against those big rivals in the middle may feel like it carries more weight, but it may be what the Vols can do against their secondary rivals from the SEC East down the stretch that becomes the best sign of progress. For Tennessee to be successful, historically speaking, it has to separate itself from Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and South Carolina. The Vols can’t allow those secondary rivalries to become actual rivalries in the long-term.

In the short-term, though, we should be in for interesting outcomes when these six teams face each other.

 

Locks & Keys Week 3: A Miner Test Before Florida

That’s a little more like it, Vols.

After an embarrassing season-opening 40-14 loss at the hands of West Virginia, Tennessee played a much easier opponent in Week 2, overcoming a sluggish start to dominate visiting East Tennessee State, 59-3. The Vols again play a pushover this week with an early kickoff against UTEP. It would be nice to do the same thing, getting a last-week tuneup in time for the Florida Gators.

Let’s face it: This is a game where the Vols can look ahead and still win. As a matter of fact, they should go into this game with the feeling that this is a preparation game for next week’s massive early-season showdown against a Gators team that is very beatable.

Neither the Vols or Florida are going to challenge Georgia in the SEC East, but that doesn’t change the importance of next weekend’s night game one iota. The Vols need to get everything out of their system this weekend and gain a ton of confidence heading into SEC play. So, what’s it going to take to do that?

KEYS

Bypass the breakfast hangover

Morning games suck. It’s actually a good thing for me personally this week because I can just enjoy the Vols and then worry about all my other writing responsibilities later in the day, but players, coaches, fans, virtually everybody hates them.

The exciting thing for the Vols is next week’s Neyland Stadium showdown with Florida is a night game, which is awesome. But in order to get there, the Vols have to wake and rake this weekend against UTEP. Hey, at least it’s UTEP, amirite?

The Miners aren’t a good football team, but Tennessee made ETSU look OK a week ago by struggling to start the game. This came on the heels of Jarrett Guarantano nearly getting his teeth knocked out as West Virginia destroyed him on the season opener’s first play. The Vols have been sleepwalking out of the gates. That won’t get them beat this week, but it’s a nasty habit that will kill them as the season progresses. They need a hot start this weekend and to keep that momentum going.

Get the O-line online

This week, I ranked the Vols next-to-last in my SEC Week 2 power rankings on B/R. That doesn’t mean they can’t move up; I expect them to. But they’ve got to prove it to everybody. Right now, they’re still the same team that went 0-8 a year ago and still have tons of issues.

Perhaps the biggest struggle right now in what could be a fixable situation is the offensive line.

It hurts that transfer center Brandon Kennedy is out for the year after a freak accident in practice that led to a torn ACL. But between Ryan Johnson and Jerome Carvin, the Vols have players there who can fill the void if they play up to their potential.

The Vols’ most athletic offensive front includes Carvin, K’Rojhn Calbert, Trey Smith, Jahmir Johnson and Marcus Tatum. That doesn’t mean the Vols are ever going to go with that unit, but that’s what would give the Vols their biggest chance at success. But those guys have to own it, and they haven’t yet. Veterans like Johnson and Drew Richmond must play better, or they’ll get bypassed.

Coach Jeremy Pruitt has another week to mix and match, but the time has come for the first-team offensive line to materialize and start playing up to their ability. If they play like they have so far against Florida, UT is in bad shape.

Split reps

This may sound like an indictment of Guarantano, and it absolutely shouldn’t, but Keller Chryst needs to play and to throw more than three passes.

Look: I don’t think there’s any question Guarantano is the starter, and he’s earned it. Everybody “oohed” and “ahhed” over that deep ball Chryst threw last week against ETSU. Well, guess what? Guarantano completed two. Still, next weekend is going to be a different animal, and if JG starts to struggle, you need to know you can go to the Chryst well and good things could possibly follow.

I want Chryst to be loosened up entering the Florida game. There’s also the possibility that JG could get hit and hurt with all the early-season offensive line issues, and you want Chryst ready. He’s a veteran, and he looked poised an confident leading the offense.

Give him two quarters against the Miners, no questions asked. Give him 10 or 12 throws. The Vols need it for the immediate future.

Maintain the defensive edge

Last weekend was so much fun on defense. Yes, the Vols played a team they are much bigger, faster and stronger than. But they were all over the field doing big things on defense, making plays and piling on.

Marquill Osborne’s punt block and recovery for a touchdown got the ball rolling. Then you had Bryce Thompson’s interception and return for a near-touchdown that set up another one. Darrin Kirkland Jr. finally got the UT defense one with a pick six. It was the kind of plays you expect to make against ETSU, and it’s the kind of plays the Vols are going to have to make on that side of the ball if they’re going to win a game or two they aren’t supposed to this year.

The Buccaneers couldn’t convert on third downs, and the UT defense consistently got off the field and didn’t give up big plays. Now, of course, ETSU is a far cry from Georgia, Alabama, Auburn or even Florida. But the Vols haven’t done that against ANYBODY.

Troubling still is the lack of a pass rush. Tennessee desperately has to manufacture ways to get to the quarterback. That’s especially important this week as they must find a spark before UF and Feleipe Franks come to town. The Gators signal-caller is erratic when pressured, and that’s something the Vols must find.

Ride the Bull

We all hope this week that Ty Chandler can get back into the game and get some important reps under his belt before the big game against Florida. After all, he’s UT’s starter who got his bell rung early in the West Virginia game never to return. Tim Jordan has done an excellent job spelling him, but the Vols need Chandler healthy by next week.

But this is the ideal situation this week to get Jeremy “Bull” Banks 20 carries. Last week against ETSU, he powered his way in for two goal-line touchdowns and was Tennessee’s most passionate, violent runner by far. It’s exciting to think about his future, especially after Pruitt — who rarely makes comparisons — said he reminds his coach of former Alabama great and NFL starter Eddie “Cowboy” Lacy.

Bull needs 20 carries this week. Let him carry the team on his shoulders for spans. Pruitt has praised him, calling him one of the team’s best leaders already. Let him lead.

Vols 49 UTEP 13

LOCKS

Last week was Jameis Winston Skrong. After a 4-3 opening weekend, the picks thrived last weekend, going 5-2 to kick it up a notch. We’re going for 7-0 this week!  My only two losses a week ago were picking Memphis to cover 4.5 over Navy (the Tigers lost outright) and Fresno State getting 2.5 against Minnesota. The cross-country trippers failed yet again. CURSES! When will I learn!

Meanwhile, Mississippi State rolled over Kansas State, easily eclipsing 9.5, Cincinnati handled Miami Ohio despite being 2.5-point dogs, Mizzou thumped Wyoming, easily covering the 17.5-point spread, and Maryland got it going late to surpass the 16.5-point advantage over Bowling Green.

That puts the ol’ early-season record at 9-5. That isn’t too bad. We’ll take it. We’re up money!

  1. Tennessee vs. UTEP over 48: There must be something I’m missing here. As my score above indicates, I think the Vols get to this number by themselves, and while UT looked better on defense a week ago, the Vols still aren’t a team you think are going to hold many teams off the scoreboard. This one flies over easily.
  2. Maryland -16.5 over Temple: I’m gonna keep riding the Turtles! Last weekend, they covered against Bowling Green. Meanwhile, Temple fell to 0-2 getting upset by Buffalo. This is two teams going in opposite directions. Maryland by 20-plus.
  3. Hawaii +6.5 over Army: I JUST talked about the dangers of taking a team that has to go across the country, and now I’m doing it again. Stupid, right? Nah. Hawaii’s run-and-shoot offense is fun, and Cole McDonald is one of the best college players you’ve got heard of this year. I think the Warriors have a great chance to move to 4-0. Take the points, even if the fact that it being an early game scaaaaaaaares me.
  4. Colorado State +20 over Florida: The Gators are going to win their final tune-up before heading to Knoxville to take on the Vols, but Mike Bobo’s Rams are fresh off an upset of Arkansas. They are a quality offensive team, and UF can’t score a ton of points, no matter how bad CSU’s defense is. I’d be stunned if the Gators won this game by three TDs.
  5. Alabama -21 over Ole Miss: Is Hugh Freeze still coaching the Rebels? Didn’t think so. Ol’ Hubert always did well against the Tide, but Shotgun Kelly ain’t walking through that door. Ole Miss can’t stop anybody on defense, and now Alabama brings its elite weaponry to town. I’m taking the Tide until they prove they won’t cover.
  6. Vanderbilt and Notre Dame under 52: As much as I think VU is going to cover the spread here, I liked the number better earlier in the week when it was Commodores +14. With that number creeping below two touchdowns, I’m leery on the road. But I’m not when it comes to the under. This is two hard-nosed teams, and I expect it to be low-scoring. I hate unders, but I’ll take this.
  7. Rutgers +2.5 over Kansas: I’m not a Jayhawks believer just because they went on the road to Central Michigan last week and got their first victory away from home since 2009. TWO THOUSAND AND NINE!!! They return to Lawrence this weekend to take on a Rutgers team that is thankful they got the Ohio State debacle out of the way. The Scarlet Knights roll on the road.