Inside the Numbers of Tennessee’s Running Game

It will not surprise you to find (via data fromĀ Sports Source Analytics) the Vols are still near the bottom in running the football in the first quarter: 46 carries for 74 yards, a robust 1.61 yards per carry. That first quarter average is 128th nationally (good news: Charlotte is 130th). The Vols are a not-great-but-not-terrible 78th nationally in rushing average overall (4.2 yards per carry); of note, that’s better than Auburn (4.17), among others. Tennessee averages 4.02 yards in the second quarter, 7.33 in the third (bolstered by Ty Chandler’s 81-yard touchdown), and back to 4.02 in the fourth. In our running theme (no pun intended) for this year, the ground game never achieves excellence, but becomes competent as the game goes on. But that is far from the truth in the first quarter.

When you look at each player’s overall stats, it seems more simple than it actually is: Ty Chandler has 40 carries for 247 yards (6.18 per), and Madre London has 36 for 205 (5.69). But Chandler had only four carries before getting hurt against West Virginia, and had a good-but-not-great 19-for-66 (3.47 per) against Florida. London had 11-for-66 against the Gators, but only six yards on three carries last week. Tim Jordan, who looked very much like the answer against West Virginia, has just 43 carries for 140 yards in the last four games. It’s tough when you’re trying to rotate carries among four backs. But none of them are getting the Vols off to a good start in the first quarter.

The Vols are also 24th nationally in carries on first down: 105 runs, 39 passes. If the desire is to make defenses expect the run early, it’s working fairly well when the Vols actually do throw it on first down: 28-of-39 for 407 yards (10.4 yards per attempt). A 71.8% completion percentage is 13th nationally on first down.

But a lot of the issues in the run game aren’t just about running early in the game or a series, but on third-and-short. Tennessee has repeatedly tried to muscle their way forward on 3rd-and-1, and the results haven’t been pretty. On 3rd-and-1-to-3, the Vols have 12 carries for 11 yards. Only five of those 12 runs have picked up the first down. I’ve found myself almost wishing for the Vols to be in 3rd-and-4 than 3rd-and-1, because they’ll at least give themselves more options. The numbers back this up too: on 3rd-and-4-to-6, the Vols have converted five first downs on nine passing attempts. Tennessee is more successful throwing the ball on third-and-medium than running it on third-and-short.

 

2018 college football TV schedule for Vols fans: Week 6

Thursday, Friday

There’s really not much worth watching before Saturday this week, unless you just need to see something because it’s football.

Gameday

Saturday, October 6, 2018
Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON SLATE
No. 19 Texas No. 7 Oklahoma 12:00 PM FOX Channel Hop - Priority Top 25 Matchup
Kansas No. 9 West Virginia 12:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Past Opponent
Maryland No. 15 Michigan 12:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
No. 1 Alabama Arkansas 12:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN DVR - Channel Hop Future Opponent
Northwestern No. 20 Michigan State 12:00 PM FS1 Channel Hop Top 25 Team
Boston College No. 23 NC State 12:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
AFTERNOON SLATE
No. 5 LSU No. 22 Florida 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop - Priority Past Opponent
Florida State No. 17 Miami 3:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
Iowa State No. 25 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
No. 4 Clemson Wake Forest 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
Arizona State No. 21 Colorado 4:00 PM PAC12 Channel Hop Top 25 Team
Indiana No. 3 Ohio State 4:00 PM FOX Channel Hop Top 25 Team
EVENING SLATE
No. 13 Kentucky Texas A&M 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN DVR Future Opponent
SMU No. 12 UCF 7:00 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
Nebraska No. 16 Wisconsin 7:30 PM BTN Channel Hop Top 25 Team
No. 10 Washington UCLA 7:30 PM FOX Channel Hop Top 25 Team
No. 8 Auburn Mississippi State 7:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN DVR Next Opponent
Vanderbilt No. 2 Georgia 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
No. 6 Notre Dame No. 24 Virginia Tech 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
Utah No. 14 Stanford 10:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Team

 

The Vols are off this week, so it’s a good week for channel-hopping and talking and catching up with chores and projectsĀ and stuff. As far as the games go, the Red River Rivalry headlines the noon slot and could be an especially good one this year. You also get to root for West Virginia while you remind anyone within ear shot that more than half of the Vols’ opponents so far have been in the Top 10 at some point already this season. Woo.

The priority in the 3:30 slot is No. 5 LSU traveling to No. 22 Florida — Geaux Tigahs. And in the evening, we get to see a couple of future opponents as Auburn travels to Mississippi State and Kentucky goes to Texas A&M. Vanderbilt is also at Georgia, and that could be instructive as to our expectations for the Vols game against the Commodores.

Full sortable and searchable college football TV schedule

Date Away Home Time TV
Thu Oct 4 Georgia State Troy 7:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Thu Oct 4 Tulsa Houston 8:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Fri Oct 5 Georgia Tech Louisville 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Fri Oct 5 Middle Tennessee Marshall 7:30 PM CBSSN
Fri Oct 5 Utah State BYU 9:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 No. 19 Texas No. 7 Oklahoma 12:00 PM FOX
Sat Oct 6 Kansas No. 9 West Virginia 12:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Maryland No. 15 Michigan 12:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 No. 1 Alabama Arkansas 12:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Northwestern No. 20 Michigan State 12:00 PM FS1
Sat Oct 6 Buffalo Central Michigan 12:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Oct 6 East Carolina Temple 12:00 PM ESPNN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Eastern Michigan Western Michigan 12:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Oct 6 Illinois Rutgers 12:00 PM BTN
Sat Oct 6 Missouri South Carolina 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Tulane Cincinnati 12:00 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Syracuse Pittsburgh 12:20 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Boston College No. 23 NC State 12:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 TBD Sam Houston State 2:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Oct 6 Northern Illinois Ball State 3:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Oct 6 No. 5 LSU No. 22 Florida 3:30 PM CBS
Sat Oct 6 Florida State No. 17 Miami 3:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Iowa State No. 25 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 No. 4 Clemson Wake Forest 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Bowling Green Toledo 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Oct 6 Iowa Minnesota 3:30 PM BTN
Sat Oct 6 Kansas State Baylor 3:30 PM FS1
Sat Oct 6 Miami (OH) Akron 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Oct 6 Navy Air Force 3:30 PM CBSSN
Sat Oct 6 Ohio Kent State 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Oct 6 San Diego State Boise State 3:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 South Alabama Georgia Southern 3:30 PM ESPN3
Sat Oct 6 South Florida UMass 3:30 PM
Sat Oct 6 Arizona State No. 21 Colorado 4:00 PM PAC12
Sat Oct 6 Indiana No. 3 Ohio State 4:00 PM FOX
Sat Oct 6 New Mexico UNLV 4:00 PM
Sat Oct 6 UL Monroe Ole Miss 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Old Dominion Florida Atlantic 5:00 PM
Sat Oct 6 No. 13 Kentucky Texas A&M 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 SMU No. 12 UCF 7:00 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Louisiana Texas State 7:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Oct 6 UAB Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM
Sat Oct 6 UConn Memphis 7:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Oct 6 UTSA Rice 7:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Oct 6 Nebraska No. 16 Wisconsin 7:30 PM BTN
Sat Oct 6 No. 10 Washington UCLA 7:30 PM FOX
Sat Oct 6 No. 8 Auburn Mississippi State 7:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Vanderbilt No. 2 Georgia 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 North Texas UTEP 7:30 PM
Sat Oct 6 No. 6 Notre Dame No. 24 Virginia Tech 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Liberty New Mexico State 8:00 PM
Sat Oct 6 Washington State Oregon State 9:00 PM PAC12
Sat Oct 6 California Arizona 10:00 PM FS1
Sat Oct 6 Utah No. 14 Stanford 10:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Colorado State San Jose State 10:30 PM CBSSN
Sat Oct 6 Fresno State Nevada 10:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Oct 6 Wyoming Hawai'i 11:59 PM

Tennessee Vols statistical rankings after Georgia

When you compare Tennessee’s national rankings in all of the major NCAA stat categories for this year to this time last year, you see that the defense has improved, especially in some of the most important categories.Ā On offense, the passing game is more reliable and the run game is slightly better than this time last year. And you might be surprised to find that the turnover numbers were basically just as bad after the Georgia game in 2017 as they have been so far in 2018.

Offense

Bottom line here, I think, is that if you compare After Georgia 2018 to After Georgia 2017, you see a lot more green this year. The passing game, while still not exactly jet-propelled, is at least fairly safe and efficient. Most everything else is basically about the same as last year at this time, except that Rushing Offense and Red Zone Offense are slightly improved.

Defense

This time last year, the only green for the defense came in a couple of quirky categories. Passing Yards Allowed looked great, but many would argue it was due to the run defense being so bad that no opponent in their right mind would ever choose to throw it against the Vols. Fourth down conversions are likely a very small sample set.

Aside from that, most things are much better so far this year for Tennessee, including the all-important categories of Rushing Defense, 3rd Down Defense, and First Downs Defense. There are still some things that need fixing and still a lot of room for improvement everywhere, but it’s beginning to look like things are actually getting better on this side of the ball.

Special Teams

The return game has fallen off since last season, especially for punts.

Turnovers and Penalties

I was a bit surprised to find that this isn’t really all that much different from this time last year. The turnover luck is terrible, but it was bad last year, too.

Updated projected win totals for the Vols after Week 5

Will, Brad, and I all seem to be in agreement about what to draw from the Vols’ loss to Georgia this week, namely that it was a reminder of how far we still have to go but also positive progress. Meanwhile, some future opponents looked more beatable and some less.

My new expected win total after Week 5 is 4.9, up fromĀ 4.55 last week, but still down fromĀ 5.5 the week prior to that.

I have Alabama still at 5%, Auburn down to 25% (from 15%), Kentucky steady at 25%, South Carolina back to 40% (from 25% last week), Missouri steady at 40%, Vanderbilt down to 60% (from 50%), and Charlotte steady at 95%.

Use the form below to calculate yours and post it in the comments below the post.

Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week:

Tennessee Volunteers currently

  • Lost to #17 WVU*, 40-14
  • Beat ETSU, 59-3
  • Beat UTEP, 24-0
  • Lost to Florida, 47-21
  • Lost to #2 Georgia, 38-12
  • #9 Auburn, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • Charlotte, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD

The Vols’ past opponents

West Virginia Mountaineers

Current record: 4-0 (2-0), 1st in Big 12

  • Beat Tennessee*, 40-14
  • Beat YSU, 52-17
  • NC State, Canceled
  • Beat Kansas St, 35-6
  • Beat #25 Texas Tech, 42-34
  • Kansas, TBD
  • Iowa State, TBD
  • Baylor, 7:00 PM ET FOX Sports 1
  • Texas, TBD
  • #17 TCU, TBD
  • #15 Oklahoma St, TBD
  • #5 Oklahoma, 8:00 PM ET

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Current record: 4-1 (3-0)

  • Beat Mars Hill, 28-7
  • Lost to Tennessee, 59-3
  • Beat VMI, 27-24
  • Beat Furman, 29-27
  • Beat Chattanooga, 17-14
  • Gardner-Webb, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • The Citadel, 2:00 PM ET
  • Wofford, 1:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • W Carolina, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • Mercer, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
  • Samford, 1:00 PM ET

UTEP Miners

Current record: 0-5 (0-1), 2nd in C-USA – West

  • Lost to N Arizona, 30-10
  • Lost to UNLV, 52-24
  • Lost to Tennessee, 24-0
  • Lost to New Mexico St, 27-20
  • Lost to UTSA, 30-21
  • North Texas, 7:30 PM ET
  • LA Tech, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • UAB, 7:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • Rice, 3:30 PM ET
  • MTSU, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
  • W Kentucky, 7:30 PM ET
  • Southern Miss, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+

Florida Gators

Current record: 4-1 (2-1), 2nd in SEC – East

  • Beat Charleston So, 53-6
  • Lost to Kentucky, 27-16
  • Beat Colorado St, 48-10
  • Beat Tennessee, 47-21
  • Beat #14 Miss St, 13-6
  • #6 LSU, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • #2 Georgia*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
  • Missouri, TBD
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • Idaho, TBD
  • Florida State, TBD

Georgia Bulldogs

Current record: 5-0 (3-0), 1st in SEC – East

  • Beat Austin Peay, 45-0
  • Beat #24 S Carolina, 41-17
  • Beat MTSU, 49-7
  • Beat Missouri, 43-29
  • Beat Tennessee, 38-12
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • #6 LSU, TBD
  • Florida*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • #9 Auburn, TBD
  • UMass, TBD
  • Georgia Tech, TBD

Auburn Tigers

Current record: 4-1 (1-1), 2nd in SEC – West

  • Beat #6 Washington*, 21-16
  • Beat Alabama St, 63-9
  • Lost to #12 LSU, 22-21
  • Beat Arkansas, 34-3
  • Beat Southern Miss, 24-13
  • #14 Miss St, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • #22 Texas A&M, TBD
  • #2 Georgia, TBD
  • Liberty, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD

Alabama Crimson Tide

Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 1st in SEC – West

  • Beat Louisville*, 51-14
  • Beat Arkansas St, 57-7
  • Beat Ole Miss, 62-7
  • Beat #22 Texas A&M, 45-23
  • Beat Louisiana, 56-14
  • Arkansas, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • #6 LSU, TBD
  • #14 Miss St, TBD
  • The Citadel, TBD
  • #9 Auburn, TBD

South Carolina Gamecocks

Current record: 2-2 (1-2), 3rd in SEC – East

  • Beat C. Carolina, 49-15
  • Lost to #3 Georgia, 41-17
  • Marshall, Canceled
  • Beat Vanderbilt, 37-14
  • Lost to Kentucky, 24-10
  • Missouri, TBD
  • #22 Texas A&M, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Chattanooga, TBD
  • #3 Clemson, TBD

Charlotte 49ers

Current record: 2-3 (1-1), 2nd in C-USA – East

  • Beat Fordham, 34-10
  • Lost to App St, 45-9
  • Beat Old Dominion, 28-25
  • Lost to UMass, 49-31
  • Lost to UAB, 28-7
  • W Kentucky, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • MTSU, 3:00 PM ET
  • Southern Miss, 2:00 PM ET
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Marshall, 2:30 PM ET ESPN+
  • FIU, 2:00 PM ET
  • FAU, 6:00 PM ET

Kentucky Wildcats

Current record: 5-0 (3-0), 1st in SEC – East

  • Beat Cent Michigan, 35-20
  • Beat #25 Florida, 27-16
  • Beat Murray State, 48-10
  • Beat #14 Miss St, 28-7
  • Beat S Carolina, 24-10
  • #22 Texas A&M, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • #2 Georgia, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • MTSU, TBD
  • Louisville, TBD

Missouri Tigers

Current record: 3-1 (0-1), 5th in SEC – East

  • Beat UT Martin, 51-14
  • Beat Wyoming, 40-13
  • Beat Purdue, 40-37
  • Lost to #2 Georgia, 43-29
  • S Carolina, TBD
  • #1 Alabama, TBD
  • Memphis, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Vanderbilt, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD
  • Arkansas, 2:30 PM ET CBS

Vanderbilt Commodores

Current record: 3-2 (0-1), 5th in SEC – East

  • Beat MTSU, 35-7
  • Beat Nevada, 41-10
  • Lost to #8 Notre Dame, 22-17
  • Lost to S Carolina, 37-14
  • Beat Tennessee St, 31-27
  • #2 Georgia, TBD
  • Florida, TBD
  • Kentucky, TBD
  • Arkansas, TBD
  • Missouri, TBD
  • Ole Miss, TBD
  • Tennessee, TBD

Worth reading 10.1.18: Tennessee-Georgia aftermath

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from 247Sports’ Wes Rucker:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. The Day After,Ā via VolQuest
  2. Pruitt emotional in hailing ‘fight’ from Vols in Georgia loss,Ā via 247Sports
  3. Sunday’s Best: Tennessee vs. Georgia; A Spark After Shame,Ā via Gameday on Rocky Top
  4. Taylor, Vols befuddled by Georgia fumble-recovery score,Ā via 247Sports
  5. Pruitt on Vols’ top-10 stretch: ‘That’s what we want to be’,Ā via 247Sports
  6. Tennessee football: Vols’ performance against Georgia makes Auburn matchup more interesting,Ā via Saturday Down South
  7. Pruitt: Vols will ‘keep trying to fix Tennessee’ during bye week,Ā via 247Sports
  8. Jimmy’s blog: Vols show improvement in loss to Georgia,Ā via WNML
  9. What Jeremy Pruitt said following Vols’ 38-12 loss at Georgia,Ā via 247Sports
  10. ‘Not surprising’ Sapp made return, was productive at Georgia,Ā via 247Sports
  11. Vols ‘finally got going’ on offense in second half of loss,Ā via 247Sports
  12. Guarantano rebounds after taking beating in loss to Florida,Ā via 247Sports
  13. Georgia 38, Tennessee 12: Vols keep it interesting into the fourth,Ā via Gameday on Rocky Top
  14. No. 2/3 Bulldogs Top Vols in Athens, 38-12 – University of Tennessee,Ā via UTSports

Survival is Progress

Last year my wife and I brought our firstborn home from the hospital the day Tennessee played Georgia, the best of all ways to not be thinking about the game. “Did we really fumble it right back to them? Hey, he peed on the floor!” But from there, I’d imagine your October and November with the Vols were a little like mine no matter what ages you had at home: outcomes a little blurry, details inconsequential, lots of losing and little hope.

Yesterday friends and family gathered round to celebrate our son’s first birthday in the morning, then watch the Georgia game at 3:30. It seemed like another well-timed teacher of perspective. And we were all, spoken or unspoken, afraid of the same thing happening to the Vols again. Not the result, which seemed automatic with Tennessee at +32.5. But the outcome: a we’re-so-bad-none-of-this-matters hopelessness.

Tennessee made it matter. Right now, that’s a win.

It wasn’t simply in beating Vegas or playing better than last year against this particular opponent. The 2017 version featured not only a shutout but, far worse, 2.73 yards per play from the Vol offense. This time around Tennessee averaged 4.54. Not great, but it had a pulse. As has been the case since the West Virginia game, this is a theme for 2018: far from excellent, but capable of competence (when not turning it over six times).

Heart failure was a major concern coming in: new coach not used to losing, brutal loss to your most relevant rival last week, players sent to the locker room, uh oh. We’ve been staring down the oncoming train of this particular gauntlet for a long time. If what happened last year happened again this year, we wouldn’t have liked it but we might’ve understood it. And, as was the case when the calendar turned to October last year, the rest of the season would have been about next season.

But Tennessee showed heart on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense. They got little help from an offense that ran only 42 plays before Jeremy Banks fumbled with less than four minutes to go. The Vols seem committed to running the football, even if they’re not running it particularly well: Jarrett Guarantano remains fourth among SEC quarterbacks in yards per attempt (8.6), but the Vols are still last in the league in attempts (21.2 per game). Tennessee runs it almost literally twice as much as they throw it (211-106).

And this answer, like many things with this team, may simply come back to what they believe about the offensive line. Guarantano stayed relatively clean on Saturday – another big win – but you still feel nervous every time we don’t run. The gameplan for a while felt like Lane Kiffin’s against Urban Meyer when the Vols were 30-point underdogs on the road in 2009, with a quarterback we thought was fragile behind patchwork offensive line. Tennessee leaned on its defense, which worked to prevent big plays, and took few chances on the offensive end. Keep it close, and keep everyone – players, fans, etc. – invested.

It worked, eventually, in 2009. And it seemed to work this week too.

And it’s really selling our defense short to say they just worked to prevent big plays. In the run game, if you take out Isaac Nauta’s 31-yard gift with our defense in pass coverage, Georgia averaged 4.4 yards per carry. The only defenses to hold them to less than that the last two years: Notre Dame, Auburn (the first time), and Alabama. It’s a full day even trying to slow down Georgia’s run game. The Vol defense put in a full day’s work.

Speaking of heart, you’ll probably see what you want to see out of this:

…but regardless of whatever way you lean on coach emotion, etc., the Vols had already proven Pruitt’s point before he got choked up. I’m not in the locker room to see it behind the scenes, but you saw it on the field yesterday.

So far, the Vols are better than they were last year. That part you can back up statistically, but we’re aiming for a higher bar than that. Given the opportunity to write themselves off, or be written off by the number two team in the country, Tennessee’s heart is instead still beating. Six wins still feels like an uphill climb, but the Vols still have their hands on the rope. Just as important, the Vols are still relatively healthy. Brandon Kennedy’s loss was obviously unhelpful, and one hopes Marquez Callaway can get out of concussion protocol by the Auburn game. But on the whole, Tennessee seems largely intact in mind, body, and quarterback.

Alabama, of course, is still to come; we all know what we’re getting into there. But the rest feels a little less known today. Auburn, despite their persistence in the Top 10, could drift slowly toward “trap game” territory in the next two weeks. Kentucky is in the Top 15 in both the polls and S&P+. I don’t know.

I don’t know about Tennessee either. But on a day when many were worried about us being put out of our misery on the last weekend of September, the Vols showed signs of life. It’s enough to get us through the bye week, and send us to Auburn with a spark. I don’t know if it’ll catch fire. But I’m eager to find out. Hope remains valuable around these parts. And while it may have gone to Athens to die, it came back to Knoxville alive.

Go Vols.

Sunday’s Best: Tennessee vs. Georgia; A Spark After Shame

 

We all got through the moral victories phase long ago, so it’s hard to come out of the second-consecutive 26-point loss feeling anything warm-and-fuzzy about the Vols.

This year isn’t going to go like any of us hoped, and we’re just going to have to deal with that.

But, despite being overmatched and despite not getting Georgia’s best effort in what resulted in a 38-12 loss in Athens on Saturday, there were some definite positives if you’re looking through your orange-colored glasses. There were players who responded after last week’s six-turnover fiasco in a disastrous loss to Florida. There was fight all the way to the end when UGA did what it was supposed to do and took a Tennessee turnover and tacked on a shove-it score.

Jeremy Pruitt was almost defiant afterward, standing up for his players and getting emotional about just how far the program has come under him. Yes, the Vols are 2-3 with difficult games against Auburn, Alabama and South Carolina following the bye week, and yes, making a bowl game still looks like a glimmering light far in the distance, but the strides are still evident.

I’ve preached so many times already this season that we’ve got to take pride in the strides, and that is so hard to do when you’re not overly competitive with your rivals. But we still need to. I think it’s becoming quite clear just how far away we are from a talent perspective.

Georgia big-boyed us on that final touchdown drive before the turnover tack-on, and that was tough to see for a team that wanted — maybe even needed — the good vibes that come with keeping it respectable on the scoreboard. But, until then, Tennessee traded punches pretty well.

Take this into consideration: Seven of Georgia’s points came on a fluke fumble recovery by Isaac Nauta after Nauta missed his block on Darrell Taylor, who stripped Jake Fromm of the ball. Nauta picked up the ball and raced 31 yards for the game’s first score.

When the Vols finally put the ball on the ground at the end of the game, UGA marched right down and scored then, too.

But if you take away those two bad bounces/mistakes, UT was schematically fine, at least on defense. It’s very encouraging to see how well Taylor rushed the passer, forcing two fumbles and registering a sack. It was great to see sophomore Will Ignont flying around out there, and though he had a couple of run fits that will hurt his grade in final film study, he’s the type of athlete the Vols need on the second level, and he’s developing.

At times throughout Saturday’s game, Tennessee had three true freshmen playing together in the secondary in Bryce Thompson, Alontae Taylor and Trevon Flowers, and those guys are getting more dependable, too.

The defensive line isn’t great, but they’re making strides. The massive chunk-yardage plays the Vols were allowing a year ago aren’t as frequent anymore, and within the framework of drives, UT was strong, riding the ebbs and flows and getting off the field against a superior team.

Sure, Georgia wound up laying the hammer down, but it was more of situation of being gassed rather than outclassed.

It’s easy to see where the maturity needs to come. Offensively, I’m still frustrated with Tyson Helton’s play-calling, and I’m not excited about Pruitt’s decision to punt near midfield late in the game still down multiple scores. At that point, you gamble because you need to try to win. It was almost as if he was content to keep it close, and that’s not the killer instinct you want. The decision to go for two after the second touchdown was puzzling too, but that’s understandable, and it’s erring on the side of aggression, which will always get you a free pass with me. Those were snafus from which he’ll grow, and, like his team, he’s learning on the fly, too.

Jarrett Guarantano’s toughness is evident, and though he still isn’t where he needs to be, he’s getting better. I thought the offensive line was much better at times against Georgia, even though the running game still struggled to get traction. Ty Chandler in space is something we need to see more of; and it’s disappointing that he only got five carries and five catches. To beat teams like UGA, you must get the ball in your playmakers’ hands, and Helton has to do a better job of that.

Scheming around the inefficiencies of the offensive line hamstrings Helton and UT’s offense, and until that improves dramatically, we’re all going to be frustrated with the results.

But the best thing coming out of Saturday is we aren’t the team that laid an egg against Florida. If that’s our identity, we were going to be watching the worst Tennessee team in school history, and it’s encouraging to see the Vols clean up some of the mistakes, even if there are reams more to fix.

Looking ahead, this team isn’t hopeless for 2018, and I’m very encouraged by the groundwork being laid for the future. It will take two recruiting classes, but the defense will ultimately continue to improve. The Vols must get better offensive playmakers, but, again, that can be fixed by recruiting. Helton needs to get in a better groove and earn his money, but that also should be better with better players. (Doesn’t that cure all?)

We know two things about this year’s Vols: 1) we can’t afford to make mistakes like turnovers and penalties because we aren’t good enough to give anybody extra possessions and win, but 2) when we don’t make those mistakes, we’ll be in football games because they’re well-coached and well-prepared, even if they’re not well-equipped from an athlete standpoint to hang with the elites.

Kentucky looks like a difficult game, but it’s not unwinnable. While Missouri looks like a matchup nightmare because of its passing game, the Vols could be much-improved by then. There’s also no reason right now to mark off the Auburn, South Carolina or Vanderbilt off the list now. The Tigers have some issues, and though the Vols will be double-digit underdogs, it could help to have an extra week to prepare. South Carolina has better talent, too, but the Gamecocks have underachieved.

Six wins still seems like a long ways away, but it’s not impossible. Last week, I thought it was impossible.

That may be the smallest inkling of hope, but at least it’s some. This Tennessee team is beginning to learn how to play football the right way, and even though it won’t always do it, we’re starting to see the Vols being in position to make plays on defense and hitting a few things downfield on offense.

If you can’t see Pruitt’s passion for this team and this program, you’re not looking hard enough. This year is tough on us all, but it’s toughest on him and the players. Let’s just keep watching them improve. Maybe, by the end of the year, it will show in the win column.

If not, at least the frustration of building a foundation will be over.

Georgia 38, Tennessee 12: Vols keep it interesting into the fourth

The Tennessee Volunteers were still into the game well into the fourth quarter this afternoon but ultimately gave way to the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs, 38-12.

The game got off to a typically ominous start for Tennessee when Darrell Taylor sacked Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm on third-and-9 and caused him to fumble. The two most likely outcomes of a play like that are a Tennessee guy falling on the ball or a Georgia guy falling on the ball and the Bulldogs settling for a field goal attempt. Instead, the ball bounced right into the hands of Georgia tight end Isaac Nauta, who ran 31 yards for a touchdown. Of course.

Tennessee’s offense wasn’t exactly stymied in the first half, but they certainly stalled out without anything to show for it and were scoreless in the first half. Similarly, the defense was doing some good things but wasn’t exactly keeping Georgia from gaining yards. They forced a couple of punts and held the Bulldogs to a field goal before finally giving up the game’s first earned touchdown late in the first half. The teams went to the locker room with Georgia leading 17-0.

Georgia opened the second half with a touchdown, making the score 24-0 and threatening to runaway with it like we’d all feared, but Tennessee put together a 10-play, 75-yard drive on its first possession of the second half, capped by a 37-yard touchdown pass from Jarrett Guarantano to Josh Palmer.

In the most interesting part of the game, the Tennessee defense then held, the offense punted, and the defense held again, and then the Vols added another touchdown when Guarantano hooked up with Ty Chandler for a 35-yard touchdown.

At that point, it was a 12-point game (Georgia 24, Tennessee 12) with 11:10 to go in the fourth quarter. The Vols had the last two scores and its defense had forced two short drives that ended in punts for Georgia. But the Bulldogs sealed the game on their next possession with a 13-play, 75-yard drive that drained 7:39 off the clock, and that was the end of that.

A fumble by running back Jeremy Banks on Tennessee’s next play signaled the beginning of garbage time, as it gave Georgia a short field, another touchdown, and a final score of 38-12.

The bad

Even though the outcome of the game was in doubt for a longer period of time than anticipated, it was clear to both the eye and the box score that Georgia was the much better team and it was still another 26-point loss for the Vols.Ā Georgia had 25 first downs to Tennessee’s 11, and they had 410 total yards to the Vols’ 209.

The Vols still started slow, still found themselves victim to The Weirdness, and still made several crucial mistakes. Marquez Callaway going out with an apparent concussion is very bad news for him and for the team as well. Also, there’s at least one guy in the secondary who appears to be actively avoiding contact.

The good

On the other hand, this is what the team looks like when they’re not turning the ball over an unnatural six times in a single game, and although it’s not yet up to standards, it’s not embarrassing. The guys appeared to be tougher. There was more falling forward, gaining a couple of yards at the end of a play rather than losing a couple. The offense scored some points against a terrific defense, and the defense held Georgia to a respectable 31 points until garbage time.

There’s still a lot of work to do, and there are still several challenging weeks ahead, but you can see the glimmers of something good beginning to take shape.

Your Gameday Gameplan: Tennessee-Georgia

It’s Gameday on Rocky Top, with the 2-2 (0-1) Tennessee Vols traveling to Athens to take on the 4-0 (2-0) Georgia Bulldogs at 3:30.

Here’s the Gameday Gameplan for Vols fans. Where and when to find the Vols game on TV, what other games to watch, and what to listen to and read as you wait for kickoff.

When is the Vols game, and what TV channel is it on?

Here are the particulars for today’s Tennessee game:

The best other games for Vols fans to watch today

Here’s our list of games to watch today, curated just for Vols fans:

Saturday, September 29, 2018
Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON SLATE
No. 12 West Virginia No. 25 Texas Tech 12:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Past Opponent
Louisiana No. 1 Alabama 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
AFTERNOON SLATE
Tennessee No. 2 Georgia 3:30 PM CBS Live Go Vols!
Southern Mississippi No. 10 Auburn 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN DVR Next Opponent
Florida No. 23 Mississippi State 6:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Check the score Past Opponent
EVENING SLATE
No. 20 BYU No. 11 Washington 7:30 PM FOX Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
No. 4 Ohio State No. 9 Penn State 7:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop - Priority Top 25 Matchup
No. 7 Stanford No. 8 Notre Dame 7:30 PM NBC Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
South Carolina No. 17 Kentucky 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN DVR/Channel Hop Future Opponents
No. 19 Oregon No. 24 California 10:30 PM FS1 Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup

 

And here’s a searchable version of the entire college football TV schedule for the day:

Date Away Home Time TV
Thu Sep 27 North Carolina No. 16 Miami 8:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Fri Sep 28 Memphis Tulane 8:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Fri Sep 28 UCLA Colorado 9:00 PM FS1
Sat Sep 29 No. 12 West Virginia No. 25 Texas Tech 12:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Louisiana No. 1 Alabama 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Central Michigan No. 21 Michigan State 12:00 PM FS1
Sat Sep 29 Syracuse No. 3 Clemson 12:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Arkansas Texas A&M 12:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Army Buffalo 12:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 29 Bowling Green Georgia Tech 12:00 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Indiana Rutgers 12:00 PM BTN
Sat Sep 29 Oklahoma State Kansas 12:00 PM
Sat Sep 29 Temple Boston College 12:00 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Virginia NC State 12:20 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 UL Monroe Georgia State 2:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 UMass Ohio 2:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 29 Kent State Ball State 3:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Tennessee No. 2 Georgia 3:30 PM CBS
Sat Sep 29 Baylor No. 6 Oklahoma 3:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 No. 18 Texas Kansas State 3:30 PM FS1
Sat Sep 29 Pittsburgh No. 13 UCF 3:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Cincinnati UConn 3:30 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 29 Coastal Carolina Troy 3:30 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 29 Florida State Louisville 3:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Old Dominion East Carolina 3:30 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 29 Purdue Nebraska 3:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 29 Rice Wake Forest 3:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 South Alabama Appalachian State 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Western Michigan Miami (OH) 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Southern Mississippi No. 10 Auburn 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Tennessee State Vanderbilt 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Nevada Air Force 4:00 PM ESPNN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 No. 14 Michigan Northwestern 4:30 PM FOX
Sat Sep 29 Florida No. 23 Mississippi State 6:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Arkansas State Georgia Southern 6:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Liberty New Mexico 6:00 PM
Sat Sep 29 Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan 6:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Utah Washington State 6:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 29 Charlotte UAB 7:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 29 UTEP UTSA 7:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Virginia Tech No. 22 Duke 7:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Boise State Wyoming 7:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 29 Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee 7:00 PM
Sat Sep 29 Hawai'i San Jose State 7:00 PM
Sat Sep 29 Houston Baptist SMU 7:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 29 Iowa State TCU 7:00 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 No. 20 BYU No. 11 Washington 7:30 PM FOX
Sat Sep 29 No. 4 Ohio State No. 9 Penn State 7:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 No. 7 Stanford No. 8 Notre Dame 7:30 PM NBC
Sat Sep 29 South Carolina No. 17 Kentucky 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Florida Intl 7:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 29 Louisiana Tech North Texas 7:30 PM
Sat Sep 29 Marshall Western Kentucky 7:30 PM
Sat Sep 29 Ole Miss No. 5 LSU 9:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 Oregon State Arizona State 10:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 29 No. 19 Oregon No. 24 California 10:30 PM FS1
Sat Sep 29 Toledo Fresno State 10:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 29 USC Arizona 10:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN

 

GRT games and contests

While you’re waiting for the games to begin, make sure that you submit your answers to the GRT Guessing Game questions and update your picks for the GRT Pick ‘Em.

GRT game-week audio

Here’s Will’s regular Friday appearance with Josh Ward and Will West on WNML’s Sports 180:

After doing four episodes of the Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast last week, we did none this week because we couldn’t squeeze one in toĀ a calendar full of therapy sessions. Our team therapist says that’s okay.

Pre-game prep

And to catch up on on your pre-game reading, have a look at our game preview posts from earlier this week:

Go Vols!

Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game: Georgia edition

It’s time for this week’s edition of the Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game. If you are wondering what that is exactly, you can find out everything you need to know here. Last week’s results are here.

Let’sa go!

  1. Submit your answers to our three questions below.
  2. Click the “Submit” button.
  3. Copy and paste your answers in the comments below.

Good luck!