Will, Brad, and I all seem to be in agreement about what to draw from the Vols’ loss to Georgia this week, namely that it was a reminder of how far we still have to go but also positive progress. Meanwhile, some future opponents looked more beatable and some less.
My new expected win total after Week 5 is 4.9, up from 4.55 last week, but still down from 5.5 the week prior to that.
I have Alabama still at 5%, Auburn down to 25% (from 15%), Kentucky steady at 25%, South Carolina back to 40% (from 25% last week), Missouri steady at 40%, Vanderbilt down to 60% (from 50%), and Charlotte steady at 95%.
Use the form below to calculate yours and post it in the comments below the post.
Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week:
Tennessee Volunteers currently
- Lost to #17 WVU*, 40-14
- Beat ETSU, 59-3
- Beat UTEP, 24-0
- Lost to Florida, 47-21
- Lost to #2 Georgia, 38-12
- #9 Auburn, TBD
- #1 Alabama, TBD
- S Carolina, TBD
- Charlotte, TBD
- Kentucky, TBD
- Missouri, TBD
- Vanderbilt, TBD
The Vols’ past opponents
West Virginia Mountaineers
Current record: 4-0 (2-0), 1st in Big 12
- Beat Tennessee*, 40-14
- Beat YSU, 52-17
- NC State, Canceled
- Beat Kansas St, 35-6
- Beat #25 Texas Tech, 42-34
- Kansas, TBD
- Iowa State, TBD
- Baylor, 7:00 PM ET FOX Sports 1
- Texas, TBD
- #17 TCU, TBD
- #15 Oklahoma St, TBD
- #5 Oklahoma, 8:00 PM ET
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Current record: 4-1 (3-0)
- Beat Mars Hill, 28-7
- Lost to Tennessee, 59-3
- Beat VMI, 27-24
- Beat Furman, 29-27
- Beat Chattanooga, 17-14
- Gardner-Webb, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
- The Citadel, 2:00 PM ET
- Wofford, 1:30 PM ET ESPN+
- W Carolina, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
- Mercer, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
- Samford, 1:00 PM ET
UTEP Miners
Current record: 0-5 (0-1), 2nd in C-USA – West
- Lost to N Arizona, 30-10
- Lost to UNLV, 52-24
- Lost to Tennessee, 24-0
- Lost to New Mexico St, 27-20
- Lost to UTSA, 30-21
- North Texas, 7:30 PM ET
- LA Tech, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
- UAB, 7:30 PM ET ESPN+
- Rice, 3:30 PM ET
- MTSU, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
- W Kentucky, 7:30 PM ET
- Southern Miss, 3:00 PM ET ESPN+
Florida Gators
Current record: 4-1 (2-1), 2nd in SEC – East
- Beat Charleston So, 53-6
- Lost to Kentucky, 27-16
- Beat Colorado St, 48-10
- Beat Tennessee, 47-21
- Beat #14 Miss St, 13-6
- #6 LSU, TBD
- Vanderbilt, TBD
- #2 Georgia*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
- Missouri, TBD
- S Carolina, TBD
- Idaho, TBD
- Florida State, TBD
Georgia Bulldogs
Current record: 5-0 (3-0), 1st in SEC – East
- Beat Austin Peay, 45-0
- Beat #24 S Carolina, 41-17
- Beat MTSU, 49-7
- Beat Missouri, 43-29
- Beat Tennessee, 38-12
- Vanderbilt, TBD
- #6 LSU, TBD
- Florida*, 3:30 PM ET CBS
- Kentucky, TBD
- #9 Auburn, TBD
- UMass, TBD
- Georgia Tech, TBD
Auburn Tigers
Current record: 4-1 (1-1), 2nd in SEC – West
- Beat #6 Washington*, 21-16
- Beat Alabama St, 63-9
- Lost to #12 LSU, 22-21
- Beat Arkansas, 34-3
- Beat Southern Miss, 24-13
- #14 Miss St, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
- Ole Miss, TBD
- #22 Texas A&M, TBD
- #2 Georgia, TBD
- Liberty, TBD
- #1 Alabama, TBD
Alabama Crimson Tide
Current record: 5-0 (2-0), 1st in SEC – West
- Beat Louisville*, 51-14
- Beat Arkansas St, 57-7
- Beat Ole Miss, 62-7
- Beat #22 Texas A&M, 45-23
- Beat Louisiana, 56-14
- Arkansas, TBD
- Missouri, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
- #6 LSU, TBD
- #14 Miss St, TBD
- The Citadel, TBD
- #9 Auburn, TBD
South Carolina Gamecocks
Current record: 2-2 (1-2), 3rd in SEC – East
- Beat C. Carolina, 49-15
- Lost to #3 Georgia, 41-17
- Marshall, Canceled
- Beat Vanderbilt, 37-14
- Lost to Kentucky, 24-10
- Missouri, TBD
- #22 Texas A&M, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
- Ole Miss, TBD
- Florida, TBD
- Chattanooga, TBD
- #3 Clemson, TBD
Charlotte 49ers
Current record: 2-3 (1-1), 2nd in C-USA – East
- Beat Fordham, 34-10
- Lost to App St, 45-9
- Beat Old Dominion, 28-25
- Lost to UMass, 49-31
- Lost to UAB, 28-7
- W Kentucky, 3:30 PM ET ESPN+
- MTSU, 3:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss, 2:00 PM ET
- Tennessee, TBD
- Marshall, 2:30 PM ET ESPN+
- FIU, 2:00 PM ET
- FAU, 6:00 PM ET
Kentucky Wildcats
Current record: 5-0 (3-0), 1st in SEC – East
- Beat Cent Michigan, 35-20
- Beat #25 Florida, 27-16
- Beat Murray State, 48-10
- Beat #14 Miss St, 28-7
- Beat S Carolina, 24-10
- #22 Texas A&M, TBD
- Vanderbilt, TBD
- Missouri, TBD
- #2 Georgia, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
- MTSU, TBD
- Louisville, TBD
Missouri Tigers
Current record: 3-1 (0-1), 5th in SEC – East
- Beat UT Martin, 51-14
- Beat Wyoming, 40-13
- Beat Purdue, 40-37
- Lost to #2 Georgia, 43-29
- S Carolina, TBD
- #1 Alabama, TBD
- Memphis, TBD
- Kentucky, TBD
- Florida, TBD
- Vanderbilt, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
- Arkansas, 2:30 PM ET CBS
Vanderbilt Commodores
Current record: 3-2 (0-1), 5th in SEC – East
- Beat MTSU, 35-7
- Beat Nevada, 41-10
- Lost to #8 Notre Dame, 22-17
- Lost to S Carolina, 37-14
- Beat Tennessee St, 31-27
- #2 Georgia, TBD
- Florida, TBD
- Kentucky, TBD
- Arkansas, TBD
- Missouri, TBD
- Ole Miss, TBD
- Tennessee, TBD
