My new expected win total:
- This week: 6.1
- Last week: 5.3
- After Week 9: 5.55
- After Week 8: 6.0
- After Week 7: 6.3
- After Week 6: 5.0
- After Week 5: 4.9
- After Week 4: 4.55
- After Week 3: 5.5
With the Vols looking good this week against Kentucky, and with Missouri and Vanderbilt coming down to the wire, I’m changing the Missouri game back to 50% (from 40% last week) and Vanderbilt back to 60% (from 50% last week.) They are basically both tossups, but the Vols have shown that they can get things done. Whether they can do it consistently yet is the question.
Use the form below to calculate your expected win total and post it in the comments below the post.
Explanations are below, but here’s the updated chart for this week:
Tennessee Volunteers currently
Current record: 5-5 (2-4), 5th in the SEC East
- Lost to #17 WVU*, 40-14
- Beat ETSU, 59-3
- Beat UTEP, 24-0
- Lost to Florida, 47-21
- Lost to #2 Georgia, 38-12
- Beat #21 Auburn, 30-24
- Lost to #1 Alabama, 58-21
- Lost to South Carolina, 27-24
- Beat Charlotte, 14-3
- Beat No. 11 Kentucky, 24-7
- Missouri
- Vanderbilt
The Vols’ past opponents
West Virginia Mountaineers
Current record: 8-1 (6-1), 1st in Big 12, #7
- Beat Tennessee*, 40-14
- Beat YSU, 52-17
- NC State, Canceled
- Beat Kansas St, 35-6
- Beat #25 Texas Tech, 42-34
- Beat Kansas, 38-22
- Lost to Iowa State, 30-14
- Bye
- Beat Baylor, 58-14
- Beat #17 Texas, 42-41
- Beat TCU, 47-10
- Oklahoma St.
- Oklahoma
These guys are legit. We’ll know just how legit over the next couple of weeks.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Current record: 8-2 (6-1), 1st in Southern
- Beat Mars Hill, 28-7
- Lost to Tennessee, 59-3
- Beat VMI, 27-24
- Beat Furman, 29-27
- Beat Chattanooga, 17-14
- Beat Gardner-Webb, 45-0
- Beat The Citadel, 26-23
- Lost to Wofford, 31-17
- Beat Western Carolina, 45-43
- Beat Mercer, 21-18
- Bye
- Samford, 1:00 PM ET
UTEP Miners
Current record: 1-9 (1-5), 6th in C-USA – West
- Lost to N Arizona, 30-10
- Lost to UNLV, 52-24
- Lost to Tennessee, 24-0
- Lost to New Mexico St, 27-20
- Lost to UTSA, 30-21
- Lost North Texas, 27-24
- Bye
- Lost to LA Tech, 31-24
- Lost UAB, 19-0
- Beat Rice, 34-26
- Lost to MTSU, 48-32
- W Kentucky
- Southern Miss
Um, not legit.
Florida Gators
Current record: 7-3 (5-3), 2nd in SEC – East, #15
- Beat Charleston So, 53-6
- Lost to Kentucky, 27-16
- Beat Colorado St, 48-10
- Beat Tennessee, 47-21
- Beat #14 Miss St, 13-6
- Beat #5 LSU, 27-19
- Beat Vanderbilt, 37-27
- Bye
- Lost to #7 Georgia, 36-17
- Lost to Missouri, 38-17
- Beat South Carolina, 35-31
- Idaho
- Florida State
Georgia Bulldogs
Current record: 9-1 (7-1), 1st in SEC – East, #5
- Beat Austin Peay, 45-0
- Beat #24 S Carolina, 41-17
- Beat MTSU, 49-7
- Beat Missouri, 43-29
- Beat Tennessee, 38-12
- Beat Vanderbilt, 41-13
- Lost to #13 LSU, 36-16
- Bye
- Beat Florida, 36-17
- Beat #9 Kentucky, 34-17
- Beat Auburn, 27-10
- UMass
- Georgia Tech
Auburn Tigers
Current record: 6-4 (3-4), 4th in SEC – West
- Beat #6 Washington*, 21-16
- Beat Alabama St, 63-9
- Lost to #12 LSU, 22-21
- Beat Arkansas, 34-3
- Beat Southern Miss, 24-13
- Lost to Miss St, 23-9
- Lost to Tennessee, 30-24
- Beat Ole Miss, 31-16
- Bye
- Beat #20 Texas A&M, 28-24
- Lost to Georgia, 27-10
- Liberty
- Alabama
Alabama Crimson Tide
Current record: 10-0 (7-0), 1st in SEC – West, #1
- Beat Louisville*, 51-14
- Beat Arkansas St, 57-7
- Beat Ole Miss, 62-7
- Beat #22 Texas A&M, 45-23
- Beat Louisiana, 56-14
- Beat Arkansas, 65-31
- Beat Missouri, 39-10
- Beat Tennessee, 58-21
- Bye
- Beat #3 LSU, 29-0
- Beat # 16 Mississippi State, 24-0
- The Citadel
- Auburn
South Carolina Gamecocks
Current record: 5-4 (4-4), 4th in SEC – East
- Beat C. Carolina, 49-15
- Lost to #3 Georgia, 41-17
- Marshall, Canceled
- Beat Vanderbilt, 37-14
- Lost to Kentucky, 24-10
- Beat Missouri, 37-35
- Lost Texas A&M, 26-23
- Bye
- Beat Tennessee, 27-24
- Beat Ole Miss, 48-44
- Lost to Florida, 35-31
- Chattanooga
- Clemson
Charlotte 49ers
Current record: 4-6 (3-3), 4th in C-USA – East
- Beat Fordham, 34-10
- Lost to App St, 45-9
- Beat Old Dominion, 28-25
- Lost to UMass, 49-31
- Lost to UAB, 28-7
- Beat Western Kentucky, 40-14
- Lost to MTSU, 21-13
- Beat Southern Miss, 20-17
- Lost to Tennessee, 14-3
- Lost to Marshall, 30-13
- FIU
- FAU
Kentucky Wildcats
Current record: 7-3 (5-3), 2nd in SEC – East, #20
- Beat Cent Michigan, 35-20
- Beat #25 Florida, 27-16
- Beat Murray State, 48-10
- Beat #14 Miss St, 28-7
- Beat S Carolina, 24-10
- Lost to Texas A&M, 20-14
- Bye
- Beat Vanderbilt, 14-7
- Beat Missouri, 15-14
- Lost to Georgia, 34-17
- Lost to Tennessee, 24-7
- MTSU
- Louisville
The Vols’ future opponents
Missouri Tigers
Current record: 6-4 (2-4), 5th in SEC – East
- Beat UT Martin, 51-14
- Beat Wyoming, 40-13
- Beat Purdue, 40-37
- Lost to #2 Georgia, 43-29
- Lost to South Carolina, 37-35
- Lost to Alabama, 39-10
- Beat Memphis, 65-33
- Lost to Kentucky, 15-14
- Beat #11 Florida, 38-17
- Beat Vanderbilt, 33-28
- Tennessee
- Arkansas
Vanderbilt Commodores
Current record: 4-6 (1-5), 7th in SEC – East
- Beat MTSU, 35-7
- Beat Nevada, 41-10
- Lost to #8 Notre Dame, 22-17
- Lost to S Carolina, 37-14
- Beat Tennessee St, 31-27
- Lost to Georgia, 41-13
- Lost to Florida, 37-27
- Lost to Kentucky, 14-7
- Beat Arkansas, 45-31
- Bye
- Lost to Missouri, 33-28
- Ole Miss
- Tennessee
