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Unartificial, questionably intelligent expectations heading into the bye

Digging through the archives a few days ago, I happily ran across a reminder that I once dreamed that Nick Saban showed me up on the cornet with a rousing rendition of Delta Dawn. That would be Exhibit 1 in the case alleging that Nick Saban is in my head. That particular dream has absolutely nothing to do with this post unless I can call back to it with something witty at the end. We’ll see. But Google’s not going to like me leading with it. And while I’m on the subject, just how smart can all of these artificial intelligence bots be if they’re using the internet for source material? And if we’re going to end up in an existential war with the AI bots, shouldn’t we start the disinformation campaign now? Couldn’t we just start feeding the bots really stupid stuff? I’m sure we could find some junk food in here somewhere. Yo, Google and all of your AI homies, I know you primarily analyze the slug, the headline, and this paragraph to determine the meaning of the entire post. Good luck with that.

Anyway, this morning, I’m upset with Hat Guy, who at this point is not so bullish on the rest of this 2023 season. The following shows each game on Tennessee’s schedule along with any pre-game projections from Hat Guy and, if the game has already been played, the score of the game. Some projections are missing because they’ve been overwritten. Cover your eyes.

Opponent Preseason W1 W2 W3 W4 W5
VA TN -36 TN 49-13
AP TN 30-13
FL TN -13 FL 29-16
UTSA TN -8 TN 45-14
SC TN -15 TN 41-20
TAMU TAMU -14
AL AL -7
KY KY -8
UCONN TN -32
MO MO -3
GA GA -6
VAN TN -17

Really, Hat Guy? Only two more wins, against UConn and Vandy? An underdog to Missouri? A touchdown dog to Kentucky and a two-TD dog to Texas A&M after the bye and the week after they play Alabama? All that facepaint must finally be seeping into your brain.

We’ve not been keeping tabs on expected win totals this year, but here’s a look at where the Vols and their future and prior opponents currently stand.

Tennessee Volunteers

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs Virginia W 49-13 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Austin Peay W 30-13 2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 @ Florida L 29-16 2-1 (0-1)
Sat, Sep 23 vs UTSA W 45-14 3-1 (0-1)
Sat, Sep 30 vs South Carolina W 41-20 4-1 (1-1)
Sat, Oct 14 vs Texas A&M W 20-13 5-1 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 21 @ 11 Alabama L 34-20 5-2 (2-2)
Sat, Oct 28 @ Kentucky W 33-27 6-2 (3-2)
Sat, Nov 4 vs UConn W 59-3 7-2 (3-2)
Sat, Nov 11 @ 14 Missouri L 36-7 7-3 (3-3)
Sat, Nov 18 vs 1 Georgia L 38-10 7-4 (3-4)
Sat, Nov 25 vs Vanderbilt 3:30 PM SECN

The Vols’ future opponents

Texas A&M

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs New Mexico W 52-10 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 @ Miami L 48-33 1-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs UL Monroe W 47-3 2-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs Auburn W 27-10 3-1 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 vs Arkansas W 34-22 4-1 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 7 vs 11 Alabama L 26-20 4-2 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 14 @ 19 Tennessee L 20-13 4-3 (2-2)
Sat, Oct 28 vs South Carolina W 30-17 5-3 (3-2)
Sat, Nov 4 @ 10 Ole Miss L 38-35 5-4 (3-3)
Sat, Nov 11 vs Mississippi State W 51-10 6-4 (4-3)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Abilene Christian W 38-10 7-4 (4-3)
Sat, Nov 25 @ 15 LSU 12:00 PM ESPN

Alabama

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs Middle Tennessee W 56-7 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs 11 Texas L 34-24 1-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 @ South Florida W 17-3 2-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs 15 Ole Miss W 24-10 3-1 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Mississippi State W 40-17 4-1 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 7 @ Texas A&M W 26-20 5-1 (3-0)
Sat, Oct 14 vs Arkansas W 24-21 6-1 (4-0)
Sat, Oct 21 vs 17 Tennessee W 34-20 7-1 (5-0)
Sat, Nov 4 vs 14 LSU W 42-28 8-1 (6-0)
Sat, Nov 11 @ Kentucky W 49-21 9-1 (7-0)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Chattanooga W 66-10 10-1 (7-0)
Sat, Nov 25 @ Auburn 3:30 PM CBS
Sat, Dec 2 vs 1 Georgia 4:00 PM CBS

We’re going to get answers about both Texas A&M and Alabama this Saturday when they face each other at 3:30 on CBS. Each of the teams is fine with only a single loss to a presumably really good team. The rest of the slate for each of them? Eh. Not sure. It does look to me like Alabama is about finished molting.

Kentucky

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs Ball State W 44-14 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Eastern Kentucky W 28-17 2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs Akron W 35-3 3-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 @ Vanderbilt W 45-28 4-0 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 vs 22 Florida W 33-14 5-0 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 7 @ 1 Georgia L 51-13 5-1 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 14 vs Missouri L 38-21 5-2 (2-2)
Sat, Oct 28 vs 21 Tennessee L 33-27 5-3 (2-3)
Sat, Nov 4 @ Mississippi State W 24-3 6-3 (3-3)
Sat, Nov 11 vs 8 Alabama L 49-21 6-4 (3-4)
Sat, Nov 18 @ South Carolina L 17-14 6-5 (3-5)
Sat, Nov 25 @ 10 Louisville 12:00 PM ABC

Yikes. That’s a lot of green for our Big Blue friends and enemies. Of course, that’s a lot of bad opponents, too. But they did beat Florida. But it was at home in Lexington. But our game against them is also there. A lot of green, a lot of bad opponents, and a lot of buts. We’ll know more after they play at Georgia this week.

UConn

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Thu, Aug 31 vs NC State L 24-14 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 @ Georgia State L 35-14 0-2 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs Florida International L 24-17 0-3 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs 18 Duke L 41-7 0-4 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 30 vs Utah State L 34-33 0-5 (0-0)
Sat, Oct 7 @ Rice W 38-31 1-5 (0-0)
Sat, Oct 21 vs South Florida L 24-21 1-6 (0-0)
Sat, Oct 28 @ Boston College L 21-14 1-7 (0-0)
Sat, Nov 4 @ 17 Tennessee L 59-3 1-8 (0-0)
Sat, Nov 11 @ James Madison L 44-6 1-9 (0-0)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Sacred Heart W 31-3 2-9 (0-0)
Sat, Nov 25 @ Massachusetts 12:00 PM ESPN+

Missouri

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Thu, Aug 31 vs South Dakota W 35-10 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Middle Tennessee W 23-19 2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs 15 Kansas State W 30-27 3-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs Memphis W 34-27 4-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Vanderbilt W 38-21 5-0 (1-0)
Sat, Oct 7 vs 23 LSU L 49-39 5-1 (1-1)
Sat, Oct 14 @ 24 Kentucky W 38-21 6-1 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 21 vs South Carolina W 34-12 7-1 (3-1)
Sat, Nov 4 @ 2 Georgia L 30-21 7-2 (3-2)
Sat, Nov 11 vs 13 Tennessee W 36-7 8-2 (4-2)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Florida W 33-31 9-2 (5-2)
Fri, Nov 24 @ Arkansas 4:00 PM CBS

Most of the stuff I said up there about Kentucky can also be said of Missouri. A lot of green, but against questionable opponents. We’ll learn more about the Tigers native to Missouri this week when they host the Tigers that apparently prowl the Louisiana bayous.

Georgia

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs UT Martin W 48-7 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Ball State W 45-3 2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs South Carolina W 24-14 3-0 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs UAB W 49-21 4-0 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Auburn W 27-20 5-0 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 7 vs 20 Kentucky W 51-13 6-0 (3-0)
Sat, Oct 14 @ Vanderbilt W 37-20 7-0 (4-0)
Sat, Oct 28 vs Florida W 43-20 8-0 (5-0)
Sat, Nov 4 vs 12 Missouri W 30-21 9-0 (6-0)
Sat, Nov 11 vs 9 Ole Miss W 52-17 10-0 (7-0)
Sat, Nov 18 @ 18 Tennessee W 38-10 11-0 (8-0)
Sat, Nov 25 @ Georgia Tech 7:30 PM ABC
Sat, Dec 2 vs 8 Alabama 4:00 PM CBS

I’m looking at that South Carolina comp like a cat pretending to ignore a new toy, wondering whether to give in to my desire to trust it.

Vanderbilt

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Aug 26 vs Hawai'i W 35-28 1-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 2 vs Alabama A&M W 47-13 2-0 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 @ Wake Forest L 36-20 2-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 @ UNLV L 40-37 2-2 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs Kentucky L 45-28 2-3 (0-1)
Sat, Sep 30 vs 23 Missouri L 38-21 2-4 (0-2)
Sat, Oct 7 @ Florida L 38-14 2-5 (0-3)
Sat, Oct 14 vs 1 Georgia L 37-20 2-6 (0-4)
Sat, Oct 28 @ 12 Ole Miss L 33-7 2-7 (0-5)
Sat, Nov 4 vs Auburn L 31-15 2-8 (0-6)
Sat, Nov 11 @ South Carolina L 47-6 2-9 (0-7)
Sat, Nov 25 @ 18 Tennessee 3:30 PM SECN

Oof.

The Vols’ past opponents

Virginia

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs 12 Tennessee L 49-13 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs James Madison L 36-35 0-2 (0-0)
Fri, Sep 15 @ Maryland L 42-14 0-3 (0-0)
Fri, Sep 22 vs NC State L 24-21 0-4 (0-1)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Boston College L 27-24 0-5 (0-2)
Sat, Oct 7 vs William & Mary W 27-13 1-5 (0-2)
Sat, Oct 21 @ 10 North Carolina W 31-27 2-5 (1-2)
Sat, Oct 28 @ Miami L 29-26 OT 2-6 (1-3)
Sat, Nov 4 vs Georgia Tech L 45-17 2-7 (1-4)
Thu, Nov 9 @ 11 Louisville L 31-24 2-8 (1-5)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Duke W 30-27 3-8 (2-5)
Sat, Nov 25 vs Virginia Tech 3:30 PM ACCN

Also oof.

Austin Peay

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 @ Southern Illinois L 49-23 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 @ 9 Tennessee L 30-13 0-2 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 vs East Tennessee State W 63-3 1-2 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 @ Stephen F. Austin W 22-20 2-2 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Lindenwood W 52-10 3-2 (1-0)
Sat, Oct 14 vs Gardner-Webb W 41-14 4-2 (1-0)
Sat, Oct 21 @ Southern Utah W 48-45 2OT 5-2 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 28 vs North Alabama W 49-39 6-2 (3-0)
Sat, Nov 4 @ Eastern Kentucky W 33-30 OT 7-2 (4-0)
Sat, Nov 11 vs Utah Tech W 30-17 8-2 (5-0)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Central Arkansas W 14-12 9-2 (6-0)
Sat, Nov 25 vs Chattanooga 3:00 PM ESPN+

I know the Governors are an FCS team, but they know how to score points and play defense. Go Govs.

Florida

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Thu, Aug 31 @ 14 Utah L 24-11 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs McNeese W 49-7 3-2 (1-1)
Sat, Sep 16 vs 11 Tennessee W 29-16 2-1 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 23 vs Charlotte W 22-7 3-1 (1-0)
Sat, Sep 30 @ Kentucky L 33-14 3-2 (1-1)
Sat, Oct 7 vs Vanderbilt W 38-14 4-2 (2-1)
Sat, Oct 14 @ South Carolina W 41-39 5-2 (3-1)
Sat, Oct 28 vs 1 Georgia L 43-20 5-3 (3-2)
Sat, Nov 4 vs Arkansas L 39-36 OT 5-4 (3-3)
Sat, Nov 11 @ 19 LSU L 52-35 5-5 (3-4)
Sat, Nov 18 @ 9 Missouri L 33-31 5-6 (3-5)
Sat, Nov 25 vs 4 Florida State 7:00 PM ESPN

No like.

UTSA

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 @ Houston L 17-14 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Texas State W 20-13 1-1 (0-0)
Fri, Sep 15 vs Army L 37-29 1-2 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 23 @ 23 Tennessee L 45-14 1-3 (0-0)
Sat, Oct 7 @ Temple W 49-34 2-3 (1-0)
Sat, Oct 14 vs UAB W 41-20 3-3 (2-0)
Sat, Oct 21 @ Florida Atlantic W 36-10 4-3 (3-0)
Sat, Oct 28 vs East Carolina W 41-27 5-3 (4-0)
Sat, Nov 4 @ North Texas W 37-29 6-3 (5-0)
Sat, Nov 11 vs Rice W 34-14 7-3 (6-0)
Fri, Nov 17 vs South Florida W 49-21 8-3 (7-0)
Sat, Nov 25 @ 24 Tulane 3:30 PM ABC

South Carolina

Date Opponent Result Score W-L
Sat, Sep 2 vs 21 North Carolina L 31-17 0-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 9 vs Furman W 47-21 1-1 (0-0)
Sat, Sep 16 @ 1 Georgia L 24-14 1-2 (0-1)
Sat, Sep 23 vs Mississippi State W 37-30 2-2 (1-1)
Sat, Sep 30 @ 21 Tennessee L 41-20 2-3 (1-2)
Sat, Oct 14 vs Florida L 41-39 2-4 (1-3)
Sat, Oct 21 @ 20 Missouri L 34-12 2-5 (1-4)
Sat, Oct 28 @ Texas A&M L 30-17 2-6 (1-5)
Sat, Nov 4 vs Jacksonville State W 38-28 3-6 (1-5)
Sat, Nov 11 vs Vanderbilt W 47-6 4-6 (2-5)
Sat, Nov 18 vs Kentucky W 17-14 5-6 (3-5)
Sat, Nov 25 vs Clemson 7:30 PM SECN

Who knows how good these guys are or aren’t. Three losses, but to (hopefully!) good teams.

I wonder if they know Delta Dawn.

No, that didn’t work. But it was stupid, so maybe I’ve done my part in the coming war against the machines.