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Expected Win Total Machine – Week 4

during the Gators' game against the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday, September 18, 2021 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. / UAA Communications photo by Hannah White

Here’s where we’ve stood heading into the first three Saturdays of the year in expected win totals:

The Vols had no problem with Tennessee Tech, but are still more of a mystery than we were counting on after three weeks. Tennessee now has a Top 25 defense and a Top 10 special teams unit in SP+. But the offense continues to face question marks at just about every position group that isn’t…tight end, which was probably the least certain coming into the year. Jacob Warren leads the Vols in receptions with nine, and Princeton Fant is tied for second with six.

Last week, our community gave the Vols a 22.7% chance to beat Florida. Let’s see how you’re feeling about that, and everything else, this week:

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You can’t go back, of course, but Pittsburgh’s 44-41 loss to Western Michigan certainly didn’t give us the warm fuzzies. Looking forward:

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