On Monday, we unveiled the 2018 edition of the GRT Expected Win Total Machine. How are Vols fans in general feeling about the season? Here’s the data so far:
| WV | ETSU | UTEP | FL | GA | AU | AL | SC | CH | KY | MO | VU | Total |
| 42% | 98% | 96% | 50% | 15% | 21% | 9% | 45% | 98% | 67% | 55% | 69% | 6.65 |
- We Vols fans as a group are expecting right around 6.65 wins this season, more than a full game above where Vegas put the line.
- We’re giving Tennessee a 42% chance to beat West Virginia.
- We’re feeling most confident about ETSU and Charlotte, putting both at 98%. UTEP is at 96%.
- We’re feeling least confident about Alabama (9%), then Georgia (15%), then Auburn (21%). We then have West Virginia at 42% and South Carolina at 45%.
- After that, though, we have either toss-ups or expected wins. Florida is right at 50%, Missouri is 55%, and Kentucky and Vanderbilt are 67% and 69%, respectively.
- The entries range from an expected 4.69 wins to an expected 10.35 wins.
It will be interesting to see how the outcome of tomorrow’s game against West Virginia impacts these numbers next week. Where do you fall with respect to the crowd? Are you with the herd, or are you an outlier?
