Here’s a look at the four factors numbers for Tennessee’s game tonight against the Arkansas Razorbacks. The conclusions are upfront, just after each team’s baseline, and the details follow:
Baseline
First up, here’s what each team is doing at this point in the season.
Summary and Score Prediction
The forecast for tonight against the Hogs calls not only for still more rain, but for more poor shooting percentages and more turnovers. In the midst of those dark skies, though, there is a shining beacon of light in the fact that Arkansas thinks rebounds have cooties and just won’t touch them. For a team struggling to shoot the ball but full of swagger on the other end, this is fantastic news and provides the best opportunity to turn all those lemons into lemonade. Also, if the Vols will just bang a little instead of shoot a lot, the Hogs will put them on the line.
The goals for the Vols:
- Rebound. When you shoot, you’re likely going to miss, but the Hogs will let you try again if you just go get the ball.
- When you get a rebound, go up toward to rim through a defender and get to the foul line.
- Rebound. You can frustrate Arkansas into bad shots, and they don’t like offensive boards, so give them one bad shot only.
Vegas likes the Vols by 2.5-3, but KenPom calls this one a toss-up and puts the score at Tennessee 66, Arkansas 65. Buckle up!
Four Factors: Straight-Up
Effective FG%
Conclusion: Most like Kentucky and Wisconsin, and quite a bit better than the Vols, as are most teams.
Turnover %
Conclusion: Oof. These guys are downright Scroogy. Sharing is caring, y’all.
Offensive Rebound %
Conclusion: Either these guys are allergic to the offensive glass or they never miss. I’m going with the former.
Free Throw Rate
Conclusion: Most like Washington and Mississippi State, these guys are getting to the line. Tennessee’s getting better, if they can just remember that the road to the foul line goes through defenders in a straight line to the rim rather than by trying to shoot over them.
Four Factors: Opponent impact
Effective FG%
Conclusions
Man, oh man. Will the Vols ever catch a break? Maybe the reason they’re not shooting well is that they’re playing really good shooting defenses every time they step on the court. On the other hand, defensive shooting percentage is still holding . . . steady.
Turnover %
Conclusions
LOL. This is like leaving the door wide open for a master burglar. Get ready to cringe. Oh, and they won’t return the favor because SCROOGE.
Offensive Rebounding %
Conclusions
Not only are the Hogs allergic to the offensive glass, it looks like they just don’t like rebounding period. This is good news, both for a good shooting defense and a bad shooting offense.
Free Throw Rate
Conclusions
The Hogs will let you get to the foul line if only you decide to make it a priority. Do the Vols want to shoot free throws? Stay tuned!
Go Vols.