Worth watching 9.16.18: Jeremy Pruitt’s post-UTEP euphoria

An absolutely overjoyed Jeremy Pruitt, right after the game:

Jeremy Pruitt’s post-game presser:

Players’ post-game interviews:

The Sports Source guys’ take on the game:

Don’t forget, basketball’s not too far away:


Not Vols, but this happened this weekend:

Worth reading 9.16.18: Takeaways from the Tennessee-UTEP game

If you read only one thing about the Vols today . . .

. . . make it this, from GRT’s Brad Shepard:

Other Vols stuff worth reading today

  1. Rucker: UTEP dud a lesson for Tennessee in opportunism, via 247Sports
  2. Guarantano leading Vols ‘with a lot of confidence right now’, via 247Sports
  3. Vols’ Banks learns tough lesson on goal-line fumble, via 247Sports
  4. Vols’ defense ‘wasn’t perfect’ but posts shutout against UTEP, via 247Sports
  5. The Day After, via VolQuest
  6. Jeremy Pruitt: Vols need to practice better after UTEP win, via KnoxNews
  7. Jauan Jennings rounding into form — just in time for Gators, via 247Sports
  8. Vols football: Bits and pieces, via the Times Free Press
  9. Jeremy Pruitt calls on fans to be ready for game against Florida on Saturday, via Saturday Down South
  10. Jimmy’s blog: After 3 games, are Vols ready for SEC play?, via WNML
  11. Pruitt: Hard ‘to beat anybody in the SEC’ without forcing TOs, via 247Sports
  12. Sapp held out against UTEP due to injury, via 247Sports
  13. ‘Thankful’ Chandler returns to Vols in style, via 247Sports
  14. Pruitt: Sluggish win shows Vols need ‘to improve practicing’, via 247Sports
  15. Kick time, TV finalized for Vols-Florida, via 247Sports
  16. Five Answers: Tennessee 24, UTEP 0, via 247Sports
  17. Ground Game, Defense Propel Vols To 24-0 Win Over UTEP – University of Tennessee, via UTSports

Just going to leave this here

Behind the paywalls

GRT Guessing Game Results Week 3: Randy Holtzclaw maintains lead

Here’s this week’s Guessing Game play-by-play.

Round 1

Q: Which is greater, Tennessee’s rushing yards or UTEP’s total yards? (10-50 points)

A: Tennessee’s rushing yards 10 points (Tennessee had 345 rushing yards to UTEP’s 134 total yards)

A total of 13 players get this right, but because of JWheel101’s bolt from last round, they get only 5 points intstead of 10. JWheel101 gets 5 points, too, because he’s not stuck in the mud.

Mushrooms: Will Shelton and Isaac Bishop (half points)

Bananas: Kent and RockyTopPride (half points)

Blue shells and bolts: No new blue shells or bolts.

Blue Shell #1 Counter: 4

Top 10 after Round 1:

  1. Randy Holtzclaw
  2. Mitchellk
  3. Displaced_Vol_Fan
  4. Mariettavol
  5. Corndawg
  6. cscott95
  7. Brunovol
  8. Sam Hensley
  9. Will Shelton
  10. Joel Hollingsworth

Round 2

Q: Which of the following unlikely scenarios happens this weekend? (10-50 points)

A: None of the first four options happens 10 points

Only Jayyyy gets this right and gets 10 points for it.

Mushrooms: Corndawg and Simpson_vols

Bananas: Jim Cornwell and CrazyVol

Blue shells and bolts: No new blue shells. RockyTopPride fires a thunderbolt.

Blue Shell #1 Counter: 3.

Top 10 after Round 2:

  1. Randy Holtzclaw
  2. Mitchellk
  3. Displaced_Vol_Fan
  4. Corndawg
  5. Mariettavol
  6. Jayyyy
  7. cscott95
  8. Brunovol
  9. Sam Hensley
  10. Will Shelton

Round 3

Q: How many points does UTEP score? (5-15 points)

A: 0-3 10 points

Four players get 5 points (due to the bolt) for getting this right. RockyTopPride gets 5, too, for the bolt.

Mushrooms: Joel Hollingsworth and TexasVolFan (half points)

Bananas: Will Shelton and Raven17 (half points)

Blue shells and bolts: No new blue shells or bolts. Blue Shell #1 Counter: 2

Final Standings After Week 3:

Rank Player Points
1 Randy Holtzclaw 44
2 Mitchellk 27
3 Displaced_Vol_Fan 20
4 Corndawg 19
5 Mariettavol 17
6 Will Shelton 16.5
7 Jayyyy 16.5
8 cscott95 15
9 Brunovol 15
10 Sam Hensley 15
11 Joel Hollingsworth 13.5
12 chris weatherly 12
13 Dave S 12
14 Jdsimp 12
15 daetilus 10
16 BallerVawl 8.5
17 Raven17 7
18 jfarrar90 7
19 ebreese1 7
20 Phil 7
21 Isaac Bishop 6.5
22 TexasVolFan 6.5
23 Jim Cornwell 5.5
24 JWheel101 5.5
25 Evan 5
26 LTVol99 5
27 Rocky Top 5
28 Jrstep 5
29 Bulldog85 4
30 Rockytopinky 4
31 RockyTopPride 3.5
32 RockyTop5 3
33 Harley 1.5
34 LeniVol 1.5
35 HT 0
36 PaVol 0
37 Sam 0
38 Simpson_vols 0
39 Kent -1.5
40 CrazyVol -3
41 Jason -3

C_hawkfan wins Week 3 of the 2018 Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em Contest

Congratulations to C_hawkfan, who finished first in the Gameday on Rocky Top Pick ‘Em contest this week with a 14-4 record and 137 confidence points. He or she gets a Gameday on Rocky Top t-shirt from our custom tee store, Web Community Tees.

C_hawkfan, watch for a message from me (it will come through the Fun Office Pools system) about how to claim your prize.

Gameday on Rocky Top Logo Tee

 

Here are the full results for this week:

Rank Selection Name W-L Pts Tie Breaker Game (42-24)
1 C_hawkfan 14-4 137 12-37
2 Volfan2002 12-6 133 14-45
3 Timbuktu126 14-4 131 11-19
4 Will Shelton 13-5 129 7-41
5 ctull 12-6 128 10-38**
5 Phonies 12-6 128 23-27
7 Anaconda 12-6 127 17-36**
7 jstorie1 12-6 127 3-52
9 Jayyyy 12-6 125 7-55
10 MariettaVol1 12-6 124 7-55**
10 War Birds 13-5 124 0-0
12 TennRebel 12-6 123 7-31**
12 wedflatrock 12-6 123 10-35
12 mariettavol 12-6 123 6-54
12 vols95 12-6 123 7-55
12 BZACHARY 11-7 123 0-0
17 LuckyGuess 10-8 122 10-40**
17 Rossboro 12-6 122 0-52
17 chuckiepoo 11-7 122 3-59
17 Bulldog 85 11-7 122 13-50
21 PAVolFan 11-7 121 7-40**
21 Knottfair 12-6 121 17-55
23 birdjam 11-7 120 6-45**
23 Joelarbear 12-6 120 21-35
23 alanmar 12-6 120 17-42
23 UTSeven 10-8 120 10-56
27 KeepsCornInAJar 12-6 119 10-35**
27 Joel @ GRT 11-7 119 10-45
29 mmb61 11-7 118 10-42**
29 ChuckieTVol 10-8 118 3-59
31 DMike 10-8 117 3-49**
31 crafdog 11-7 117 13-41
31 Displaced_Vol_Fan 10-8 117 6-48
34 DinnerJacket 11-7 116 10-34**
34 GeorgeMonkey 11-7 116 10-38
34 Jahiegel 12-6 116 9-43
34 King Nothing 12-6 116 12-44
38 Willewillm 11-7 114 0-55
39 ThePowerT 11-7 113 7-45**
39 ltvol99 11-7 113 7-52
39 chatty daddy 11-7 113 13-52
42 RockyTop5 12-6 112 6-45**
42 aquasox 9-9 112 17-45
42 waltsspac 11-7 112 13-51
42 rockytopinky 10-8 112 7-62
42 Fightin Walking Horses 11-7 112 0-77
47 daetilus 9-9 111 10-52**
47 Brandon88 10-8 111 10-55
49 edgarmsmith 11-7 110 10-27**
49 Raven17 10-8 110 0-51
49 mmmjtx 11-7 110 10-45
49 tcarroll90 11-7 110 10-45
49 Rocky4 10-8 110 10-45
49 Dylan pickle 13-5 110 7-49
55 UNDirish60 10-8 109 10-27**
55 OriginalVol1814 10-8 109 7-38
55 Gman15 10-8 109 20-34
55 TennVol95 in 3D! 10-8 109 10-51
59 jfarrar90 9-9 108 14-45**
59 RockyPopPicks 11-7 108 7-55
61 dgibbs 9-9 107 0-45**
61 cnyvol 9-9 107 10-44
61 Nick_Drake87 9-9 107 14-41
61 VandyVol 9-9 107 14-42
61 Fred4UT 11-7 107 6-55
61 Dmorton 12-6 107 9-54
67 spartans100 10-8 106 10-48
68 RandyH112 10-8 105 0-52
69 tpi 10-8 104 0-0
70 boro wvvol 10-8 102 10-45**
70 VillaVol 9-9 102 9-53
72 PensacolaVolFan 10-8 101 0-40**
72 Sam 9-9 101 3-50
74 Orange Swarm 9-9 100 6-52**
74 Jrstep 10-8 100 14-45
76 BlountVols 9-9 99 0-52
77 Keep on truckin’ 9-9 98 10-49**
77 Techboy 9-9 98 0-0
79 tallahasseevol 10-8 97 6-42**
79 JLPasour 9-9 97 6-51
79 JWaldroop 9-9 97 7-52
82 CajunVol 8-10 95 10-47
83 BallerVawl 10-8 94 18-30**
83 ddayvolsfan 10-8 94 7-52
85 tbone9591 9-9 93 10-56
86 Pat OMalley 10-8 92 0-0
87 IndyVolFan 9-9 91 6-62
88 rsbrooks25 10-8 87 0-52**
88 BirdDawg55 9-9 87 10-45
90 ga26engr 9-9 85 17-21
91 JohnCoctostan 0-18 84 -
91 utvol2 0-18 84 -
91 patmd 0-18 84 -
91 IBleedVolOrange 0-18 84 -
91 Aaron Birkholz 0-18 84 -
91 Smokin Turkeys 0-18 84 -
91 I guess Randy Sanders was good after all 0-18 84 -

 

Will leads the pack three weeks in to the season. Here are the complete standings after Week 3:

Rank Player W/L Points
1 Will Shelton 39-19 442
2 C_hawkfan 40-18 440
3 Joelarbear 39-19 435
4 Phonies 37-21 430
5 Fred4UT 39-19 429
6 GeorgeMonkey 40-18 427
7 ctull 40-18 424
7 VillaVol 37-21 424
9 Displaced_Vol_Fan 36-22 423
10 Rossboro 38-20 421
10 Volfan2002 35-23 421
12 alanmar 38-20 420
13 wedflatrock 36-22 419
13 RockyTop5 38-20 419
13 boro wvvol 39-19 419
16 birdjam 36-22 418
16 ChuckieTVol 35-23 418
18 DMike 36-22 417
19 chuckiepoo 36-22 416
20 Nick_Drake87 34-24 414
20 waltsspac 36-22 414
22 Timbuktu126 40-18 413
22 LuckyGuess 35-23 413
22 Jahiegel 36-22 413
22 jfarrar90 33-25 413
26 PAVolFan 35-23 412
27 BlountVols 36-22 411
27 Sam 37-21 411
27 BZACHARY 37-21 411
30 vols95 41-17 410
31 KeepsCornInAJar 37-21 409
31 UTSeven 33-25 409
31 Knottfair 37-21 409
34 Raven17 35-23 408
34 cnyvol 34-24 408
36 mmb61 35-23 406
36 Jayyyy 34-24 406
38 UNDirish60 35-23 405
38 jstorie1 37-21 405
38 Brandon88 34-24 405
41 VandyVol 34-24 404
41 aquasox 34-24 404
43 dgibbs 33-25 402
44 RandyH112 33-25 401
44 chatty daddy 34-24 401
46 tcarroll90 36-22 399
47 ddayvolsfan 37-21 398
48 crafdog 39-19 397
48 Orange Swarm 34-24 397
48 TennVol95 in 3D! 36-22 397
51 OriginalVol1814 34-24 396
51 MariettaVol1 35-23 396
53 Bulldog 85 33-25 395
54 Fightin Walking Horses 35-23 394
55 Willewillm 35-23 393
55 JWaldroop 31-27 393
57 DinnerJacket 35-23 392
57 Rocky4 38-20 392
59 daetilus 33-25 389
60 ThePowerT 33-25 387
61 Dylan pickle 42-16 384
62 spartans100 34-24 382
63 tbone9591 33-25 379
64 Gman15 33-25 378
65 JLPasour 33-25 375
66 edgarmsmith 32-26 374
67 Jrstep 36-22 373
68 tallahasseevol 35-23 371
68 Smokin Turkeys 22-36 371
70 Dmorton 38-20 368
70 tpi 34-24 368
72 King Nothing 37-21 367
72 rockytopinky 35-23 367
74 mmmjtx 33-25 365
74 RockyPopPicks 34-24 365
76 ga26engr 36-22 361
77 TennRebel 36-22 353
78 CajunVol 32-26 347
79 Joel @ GRT 32-26 345
80 IndyVolFan 35-23 343
80 War Birds 35-23 343
82 BallerVawl 30-28 340
83 mariettavol 24-34 335
84 rsbrooks25 33-25 326
85 ltvol99 24-34 322
86 patmd 24-34 319
87 Pat OMalley 31-27 313
88 Keep on truckin 29-29 311
89 Techboy 31-27 304
90 Aaron Birkholz 10-48 294
91 utvol2 11-47 293
92 PensacolaVolFan 21-37 279
93 Anaconda 24-34 272
94 IBleedVolOrange 10-48 256
95 BirdDawg55 9-49 245
96 I guess Randy Sanders was good after all 0-58 242
96 JohnCoctostan 0-58 242

Tennessee 24, UTEP 0: Vols not bad, but sloppy against the Miners

A sleepy 24-0 Tennessee win over the UTEP Miners capped off a sleepy week for Vols fans this afternoon in Neyland Stadium. The UT offense sputtered early again this week, managing a paltry 17 yards on its first possession against a Miners team that was among the worst in the FCS last season.

Tennessee’s next possession began better but ended badly, as a 60-yard drive that culminated in a touchdown was undone by a chop block, sending Tennessee back out of the red zone and into settle-for-a-field-goal range.

Then, their third possession went for 64 yards but ended with a goal-line fumble. The call was somewhat controversial, as there were questions whether running back Jeremy Banks was down and/or whether he crossed the goal line before he lost the ball, but upon review, the on-field call was upheld.

Tennessee led only 3-0 after the first quarter. They scored a touchdown on their next possession to go up 10-0, but then punted out the remainder of the first half.

Despite the gloomy feel of the first half, though, the non-turnover and non-penalty stats were mostly sunny:

As Will pointed out during the game, the team was more sloppy than bad:

Running back Ty Chandler, who didn’t play last week against ETSU, had the highlight of the day on the first play of the second half:

That made the score 17-0, Vols, but the offense again stalled out on its next two possessions. A touchdown pass from Jarrett Guarantano to Jauan Jennings a few minutes into the fourth quarter capped the scoring for the game.

Defense

As a shutout would suggest, the Tennessee defense did a pretty good job all game, holding the Miners to a total of 134 yards, 95 on the ground and 39 through the air. UTEP managed only seven first downs and were 2-14 on third down conversions.

In comparison, the Vols’ offense, as disappointing as 24 points may have been, had 512 total yards, 345 rushing and 167 passing. They had 24 first downs and were 4-12 on third down and 1-1 on fourth.

Players

Guarantano had a solid day, as he was 12-16 for 168 yards and a touchdown and looked mostly in control the entire game. He threw no interceptions for the third week in a row.

The running backs were led by Chandler’s 158. Madre London added 74, Tim Jordan 49, and Jeremy Banks 45. Guarantano had 20.

Six different players caught balls for the Vols. Josh Palmer had 64 yards on two catches with a long of 53, and Brandon Johnson had four catches for 51 yards. It was great to see Jennings get more involved this week with three catches for 22 yards and a touchdown, and Dominick Wood-Anderson was targeted multiple times and caught two balls for 21 yards. Marquez Callaway seemed to be much more involved than his stat line is willing to admit: It says he had only one catch for 8 yards. Perhaps it’s all of his punt returns that made him seem more involved.

Only 24-0?

It’s hard to be disappointed in a defense that allows no points, no matter the team. The offense scoring only 24 points, though, is a cause for concern, but in my view there are three main reasons the Vols didn’t score more points, and they’re not quite as concerning as they might seem, as they are easily-correctable and/or uncharacteristic of the team so far this season.

Penalties

The Vols committed eight penalties for 65 yards, the majority of which were on the offense. The first — a chop block — negated a touchdown. Half of the drives that resulted in punts were stalled out by penalties. The offense moved when not behind the chains due to stupid penalties.

Turnovers

As mentioned earlier, Tennessee’s third offensive possession was rolling right along until freshman running back Jeremy Banks lost the football as he was stretching for the goal line. It may or may not have been the right call, but in any event, it ended an almost certain opportunity for another 7 points.

The score could have been worse due to turnovers, as punt returner Marquez Callaway also muffed a punt and gave the ball to the Miners’ offense at the 33-yard line. Fortunately, their own penalties and the Vols’ defense pushed them back and forced a punt.

Splitting time among the quarterbacks

As I said before, Guarantano was 12-16 (75%) for 168 yards. Despite him doing well and the team not clicking or pulling away from the Miners, the coaching staff decided to give backup quarterback Keller Chryst playing time at key junctures of the game.

That didn’t work so well.

With the Vols only up 10-0 and getting the ball back with 1:40 to play in the first half, Chryst’s first opportunity netted 6 yards in four plays and a punt.

Chandler limited the Vols’ first possession after the break to a single-play drive resulting in a touchdown, and Guarantano put together an eight-play, 38-yard drive after that, although that one ended up in a punt as well.

Chryst got the next possession, with 5:43 left in the third quarter and the Vols leading 17-0, and the team promptly went three plays for 1 yard before punting.

Guarantano got the next one and went 71 yards in 11 plays, throwing the touchdown pass to Jennings to finish it off.

Chryst’s next possession was his best. With 8:23 left in the game, he led the team on a six-play, 37-yard drive. But the only pass went for a loss of 1 yard, and the drive still ended with a punt.

The rest was garbage time with nothing but run plays and a kneel down.

I suppose it’s a good idea to get the backup quarterback ready to play, just in case. Somehow, though, it seems like a better idea when the team is already firing on all cylinders with the first-string guy, and although Guarantano was doing his part, the team wasn’t exactly rolling even with him at the helm. Continuity seems like a better goal than experience for the backups at this point.

Maybe we’ll be glad sometime in the future that Chryst has had some live fire, but it’s become quite clear that Guarantano is the team’s No. 1 quarterback, and although the team moved the ball well this afternoon, I don’t know that it really made Vols fans feel any better in advance of next week’s big showdown with the Gators.

 

 

 

Your Gameday Gameplan: Tennessee-UTEP

It’s Gameday on Rocky Top, with the 1-1 Tennessee Vols hosting the UTEP Miners at Neyland Stadium today at noon.

Here’s the Gameday Gameplan for Vols fans. Where and when to find the Vols game on TV, what other games to watch, and what to listen to and read as you wait for kickoff.

When is the Vols game, and what TV channel is it on?

Here are the particulars for today’s Tennessee game:

The best other games for Vols fans to watch today

Here’s our list of games to watch today, curated just for Vols fans:

Saturday, September 15, 2018
Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON SLATE
UTEP Tennessee 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Live Go Vols!
Murray State Kentucky 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN DVR Future Opponent
Vanderbilt No. 8 Notre Dame 2:30 PM NBC DVR Future Opponent
AFTERNOON SLATE
No. 12 LSU No. 7 Auburn 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop - 2 Top 25 Matchup
No. 17 Boise State No. 24 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
Colorado State Florida 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Channel Hop - 1 Next Opponent
EVENING SLATE
No. 1 Alabama Ole Miss 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Middle Tennessee No. 3 Georgia 7:15 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Missouri Purdue 7:30 PM BTN Channel Hop Future Opponent
No. 4 Ohio State No. 15 TCU 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup

See also, this week’s full college football TV schedule.

GRT games and contests

While you’re waiting for the games to begin, make sure that you submit your answers to the GRT Guessing Game questions and update your picks for the GRT Pick ‘Em.

GRT game-week audio

No, we haven’t kicked the Gameday on Rocky Top Podcast to the curb. It just got swallowed up by an over-busy schedule this week. Rest assured, it will return this week, and to be sure you won’t miss it, subscribe via iTunes or Google:

 Listen on Google Play Music

You can still hear Will on his weekly appearance with Josh Ward and Will West’s Sports 180 on WNML:

Pre-game prep

And to catch up on on your pre-game reading, have a look at our game preview posts from earlier this week:

New, experimental game thread

It seems that most people discuss live events on Twitter these days. The problem with that, in my opinion anyway, is that Twitter is much too noisy. It can sometimes be like having a bunch of uninvited people in your basement while you’re trying to watch the game with friends in peace. The thing I like about an open game thread here is that it’s a discussion among friends, like-minded folks who want to enjoy the game together because they also enjoy each others’ company. The problem is that Twitter has all the best snacks, so nobody shows up.

So, in an experimental attempt to get the best of both worlds, I’m going to create a special Twitter list of our esteemed Gameday on Rocky Top community members and then embed it here. I don’t know that it’s going to offer anything better than all-Twitter or all-GRT, but I figure it’s worth a shot.

So . . . if you’d like to be included in the Twitter GRT Game Thread list, post your Twitter handle in the comment section below so I can add you.

Here goes nothing. 🙂

Go Vols!

Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game: UTEP edition

It’s time for this week’s edition of the Gameday on Rocky Top Guessing Game. If you are wondering what that is exactly, you can find out everything you need to know here. Last week’s results are here.

 

Let’sa go!

  1. Submit your answers to our three questions below.
  2. Click the “Submit” button.
  3. Copy and paste your answers in the comments below.

Good luck!

Tennessee-UTEP statsy preview prediction: Vols 45, UTEP 10

With it still being so early in the season, projecting games consists of attempting to identify what’s of value so far this season and what’s of value from last season, combining the two, and then comparing the result to your gut, which in the third game of any new season is on equal footing with data.

So let’s get to it. First, the predictions, and below them, the details:

Predictions

Tennessee rushing yards: 200

UTEP rushing yards: 125

Tennessee passing yards: 200

UTEP passing yards: 90

Tennessee points: 45

UTEP points: 10

Tennessee rushing

Tennessee is averaging 159.5 rushing yards per game so far in this short season. UTEP is giving up 260.5 per game, which makes them the worst rushing defense the Vols have faced so far. UTEP’s run defense was similarly bad last season, so that supports the result from the small sample size of the 2018 season.

Tennessee got 129 rushing yards against West Virginia and 190 against ETSU. Based on all of that, my guess for rushing yards for Tennessee against UTEP is 200.

UTEP rushing

The Tennessee defense is allowing 121.5 rushing yards per game so far in 2018, while the UTEP run game is averaging 183.5 yards per game. Last year, those numbers were 251.3 and 91.6, significantly worse for both teams.

West Virginia is averaging 203.5 rushing yards per game so far this season, and they put up 118 against the Vols. ETSU got 125 in Neyland. Based on all of that, I’m guessing UTEP will get maybe 125 yards rushing yards against Tennessee’s still-learning defense.

Tennessee passing

So far in 2018, Tennessee is averaging 198.0 passing yards per game, and UTEP is allowing 165.0. The Vols put up 224 against the Bucs and 172 against the Mountaineers, slightly more than their season average so far. My guess, then, is that Tennessee will end up with somewhere around 200 passing yards this weekend.

UTEP passing

The Tennessee pass defense is allowing 249.0 passing yards per game so far this year, although they have West Virginia and Will Grier — who are averaging 382.5 passing yards per game through two games — on their resume. The Vols allowed only 69 to ETSU, which is now averaging 171.

UTEP is averaging only 125.0 passing yards per game so far this season, slightly less than the 134.9 they averaged in 2017.

Based on all of that, my expectation for the Vols’ passing defense in this game is that they’ll likely give up somewhere around 90 passing yards to UTEP.

Tennessee scoring

For what it’s worth, a 14-point game and a 59-point game gives Tennessee an average of 36.5 points per game this season. Their average last season was 19.8.

UTEP is currently allowing 41.0 points per game this season, a bit higher than their average of 36.8 last year.

The Vols scored 59 points against ETSU and 14 against West Virginia, which is allowing 15.5 points per game so far this year.

I think it’s probably safe to say that UTEP is closer to ETSU than West Virginia, so I’m going with an estimate of around 45 points against UTEP.

UTEP scoring

Tennessee is allowing 21.5 points per game so far in 2018. Last year, they allowed 29.1. Again, the variance is great when you consider ETSU and West Virginia were the two opponents.

UTEP’s offense is averaging 17.0 points per game this year after averaging 11.8 all of last year.

ETSU scored 28 points against Mars Hill but got only 3 against the Vols. The Mountaineers got 40 against Tennessee and then 52 against Youngstown State.

With that, I’m setting the expectation for UTEP’s points against the Vols at 10.

Comparison of predictions to other models and Vegas

So, I’m going with Vols 45, UTEP 10, a spread of -35.

The Vegas spread is between 30.5 and 31, with an over/under of 47-47.5, which converts to something like Tennessee 39, UTEP 8.

Bill Connelly’s S&P+ gives the Vols a 98.8% chance of winning and spits out an expected score of 52.5-13.4, a spread of 39.1.

ESPN’s FPI gives the Vols a 98.4% chance of winning.

 

 

 

2018 college football TV schedule for Vols fans: Week 3

Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

Honestly, there’s not much worth watching early this week. Boston College and Wake Forest play on Thursday on ESPN and Memphis hosts Georgia State on Friday on ESPN, but this would be a good week to do some other stuff you’ve been meaning to get done.

Gameday

Saturday, September 15, 2018
Away Home Time TV How Why
NOON SLATE
UTEP Tennessee 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Live Go Vols!
Murray State Kentucky 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN DVR Future Opponent
Vanderbilt No. 8 Notre Dame 2:30 PM NBC DVR Future Opponent
AFTERNOON SLATE
No. 12 LSU No. 7 Auburn 3:30 PM CBS Channel Hop - 2 Top 25 Matchup
No. 17 Boise State No. 24 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup
Colorado State Florida 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN Channel Hop - 1 Next Opponent
EVENING SLATE
No. 1 Alabama Ole Miss 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Middle Tennessee No. 3 Georgia 7:15 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN Channel Hop Future Opponent
Missouri Purdue 7:30 PM BTN Channel Hop Future Opponent
No. 4 Ohio State No. 15 TCU 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN Channel Hop Top 25 Matchup

 

The Vols have the noon slot this weekend, and if you’re interested in seeing a couple of future opponents in action, your DVR can handle the Kentucky-Murray State and Vanderbilt-Notre Dame games.

At 3:30, you have a decision to make: Watch either a Top 12 matchup between No. 12 LSU and No. 7 Auburn or do a little scouting of Tennessee’s next opponent, as Florida takes on Colorado State. Or you could just channel hop between them.

That evening, there’s an interesting Top 25 matchup between No. 4 Ohio State and No. 15 TCU and a couple of future opponents in action, so while away the night with the remote in hand.

Full sortable and searchable college football TV schedule

Date Away Home Time TV
Wed Sep 12 Coastal Carolina Campbell 2:00 PM ESPN3
Thu Sep 13 Boston College Wake Forest 5:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Thu Sep 13 Tennessee Tech Utah State 8:00 PM
Fri Sep 14 Georgia State Memphis 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 UTEP Tennessee 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Murray State Kentucky 12:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Kent State No. 11 Penn State 12:00 PM FS1
Sat Sep 15 No. 21 Miami Toledo 12:00 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 No. 5 Oklahoma Iowa State 12:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Ball State Indiana 12:00 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Florida State Syracuse 12:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Hawai'i Army 12:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 15 Rhode Island UConn 12:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 15 Rutgers Kansas 12:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 Temple Maryland 12:00 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Troy Nebraska 12:00 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Georgia Tech Pittsburgh 12:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Tulane UAB 1:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 UC Davis No. 9 Stanford 2:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 15 Vanderbilt No. 8 Notre Dame 2:30 PM NBC
Sat Sep 15 No. 12 LSU No. 7 Auburn 3:30 PM CBS
Sat Sep 15 No. 17 Boise State No. 24 Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 BYU No. 6 Wisconsin 3:30 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Georgia Southern No. 2 Clemson 3:30 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 SMU No. 19 Michigan 3:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Central Michigan Northern Illinois 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 15 Duke Baylor 3:30 PM FS1
Sat Sep 15 Lehigh Navy 3:30 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 15 Miami (OH) Minnesota 3:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 South Florida Illinois 3:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Southern Mississippi Appalachian State 3:30 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 15 Colorado State Florida 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Eastern Kentucky Bowling Green 4:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 15 North Texas Arkansas 4:00 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 UTSA Kansas State 4:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 Wofford Wyoming 4:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 Houston Texas Tech 4:15 PM FOX
Sat Sep 15 Ohio Virginia 4:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 San Jose State No. 20 Oregon 5:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 15 New Hampshire Colorado 5:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 15 Old Dominion Charlotte 6:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 15 Bethune-Cookman Florida Atlantic 6:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 Eastern Michigan Buffalo 6:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 15 Idaho State California 6:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 15 No. 1 Alabama Ole Miss 7:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Alabama A&M Cincinnati 7:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 15 Arkansas State Tulsa 7:00 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 15 Delaware State Western Michigan 7:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 15 Oregon State Nevada 7:00 PM ESPN3
Sat Sep 15 Texas State South Alabama 7:00 PM ESPN+
Sat Sep 15 Middle Tennessee No. 3 Georgia 7:15 PM ESPN2, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Missouri Purdue 7:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Louisiana No. 16 Mississippi State 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Akron Northwestern 7:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 Marshall South Carolina 7:30 PM ESPNU, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Northern Iowa Iowa 7:30 PM BTN
Sat Sep 15 UL Monroe Texas A&M 7:30 PM SECN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 UMass Florida Intl 7:30 PM
Sat Sep 15 Western Kentucky Louisville 7:30 PM ACCNE, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 No. 4 Ohio State No. 15 TCU 8:00 PM ABC, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 No. 22 USC Texas 8:00 PM FOX
Sat Sep 15 Eastern Washington Washington State 8:00 PM PAC12
Sat Sep 15 New Mexico New Mexico State 8:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 No. 10 Washington Utah 10:00 PM ESPN, WatchESPN
Sat Sep 15 Prairie View UNLV 10:00 PM
Sat Sep 15 No. 23 Arizona State San Diego State 10:30 PM CBSSN
Sat Sep 15 Fresno State UCLA 10:30 PM FS1
Sat Sep 15 Southern Utah Arizona 11:00 PM PAC12