Misery Loves Company, or Why Tennessee Could Still Land Many of its Top Targets

If you’re reading this, you’re well aware of the disaster that has been the start of Tennessee’s season.  At 1-3 with a historic loss to Georgia State, a blown home game against BYU, and (yet another) loss to Florida – this time in blowout fashion – it would be difficult to have envisioned a worse way for the 2019 season to begin.  At the same time, it’s easy to wonder what this start (and forecasted end) to the season will do to Tennessee’s 2020 recruiting class.  What was once a dream of a class that could end up as high as the Top 5 if things broke right now has the looks of one that the staff will have to scratch and claw in order to keep in the Top 15-20.

Job #1 of course is to hold onto Tennessee’s current commitments, a group of (currently) 14 prospects that ranks #15 nationally, #7 in the SEC, and #3 in the SEC East (behind only UGA and then barely UF) in terms of average stars.  Particularly given the struggles of Jarrett Guarantano and the lack of anything resembling a future “sure thing” behind him, keeping QB Harrison Bailey in the class is paramount.  But he’s not the only one, as the rest of the class contains really, really good players as evidenced by the disparity between these rankings and those that consider quantity (where the Vols rank #23 nationally).  So making sure these guys are 100% bought in is the first step. 

From there, there is one thing has definitively changed since the salad days of just a month or so ago when Vol fans had dreams of a breakthrough season and saw their team deep in the mix with the elite of the elite among high school prospects. Landing guys like WR Arik Gilbert; TE Darnell Washington; LB Noah Sewell; WRs Rakim Jarrett, Thaiu Jones Bell and Arian Smith; and OL Marcus Dumervil – let alone more than one of them(!) – has become almost impossible.  If you’re Tennessee in 2019 – not Tennessee in 1999 or even 2009 – you need to have more than bigtime recruiters like Brian Nidermeyer and Tee Martin to beat out the likes of Alabama, Clemson, and Georgia for prospects like that.  You need to be showing progress on the field in terms of wins and losses.  Those recruiting dynamos can get you in the door and even get you unofficial and official visits from elite players, but in order to actually get their signatures when their alternatives are playing for titles you have to at least show that that kind of winning is on the horizon.  And that’s incredibly tough to sell right now.

But here’s the sunny side: For quite a few of Tennessee’s top targets – not the 5-stars but still guys the Vols staff would have LOVED to have gotten commitments from even before this disastrous season started – their other top schools are also having very, very bad seasons.  To wit:

4-star DT Omari Thomas is thought to have Ole Miss at the top of his list along with Tennessee.  Texas A&M is also in the mix and Alabama could be a factor should they choose to be, but the Black Bears seem like the main competition right now.  And Ole Miss is currently 2-2 – with a loss to regional G5 rival Memphis to boot – with realistically only 2-3 potential wins left (Mississippi State, Vandy, and New Mexico State).   Not a very popular choice with Ole Miss fans to begin with, and with a reasonable buyout, Matt Luke seems to be in a very precarious situation.

4-star LB Bryson Eason is down to Tennessee and Arkansas.  The Hogs currently sit at 2-2, fresh off a home loss to San Jose State(!), and while theoretically they have 1-2 potential wins on their schedule (Mississippi State and Western Kentucky) Head Coach Chad Morris hasn’t beaten an FBS foe while at Arkansas.  After going 2-10 and 0-8 in the SEC in his first season, to say Morris’s tenure in Fayetteville looks far less than promising would be an understatement.

4-stars OLB Reggie Grimes and LB/RB Len’neth Whitehead are two players for whom the Vols are battling South Carolina.  And the Cocks are off to a brutal 1-3 – with now 6 consecutive losses to FBS schools – in Will Muschamp’s 4th season.  They’ve got at best 4 tossup games left against Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and App State.  As bad as things seem in Knoxville right now they are as bad or worse in Columbia as Cock fans expected much more this deep into Muschamp’s tenure.  If he’s not already in danger of losing his job then it seems certain that Muschamp will enter his fifth season on a very hot seat.

OLB Sa’vell Smalls is a 5-star player from the West Coast who, at least before the season, appeared to have the Vols and FSU at the top of his list and seemed like the most likely of 5-star pulls for Tennessee.  With FSU sitting at a record of 2-2 that includes an embarrassing escape against Louisiana Monroe they are no better off than Tennessee is in terms of the season outlook.  The instate Washington Huskies look like a real player here as well, but Smalls has certainly expressed a willingness to leave the state/region as well as a keen interest in Coach Jeremy Pruitt’s reputation on defense, and nether of those should be discounted.  If there’s one 5-star that Niedermeyer should be focused on it’s probably Smalls.

Then there are instate stud Defensive Linemen Tyler Baron and Jay Hardy, two players for whom the Vols are presumed to be big leaders despite the horrific start to the season.  Nailing those two down is absolutely imperative and at least right now still seems likely barring a worst-case kind of finish. 

If someone told Coach Pruitt right now that he could be assured to sign the current commitment list, Baron and Hardy, and then Thomas, Eason, Whitehead, Grimes, and Smalls, one can be 100% sure he’d take that deal before you could even finish the sentence.  Whether he and his staff can make that happen remains to be seen.  However, if they could manage to do that and then finish out the class from the list below* (the majority of which are 4-stars prospects) – let alone convince one or more of the aforementioned 5-stars to sign up – that would be huge for the future of the program.  Even a casual fan knows that the best players on the team are freshman, sophomores, and the JUCOs that Pruitt recruited.  It is of utmost importance that the 2020 class further improve the overall talent in the program.

DL Octavius Oxendine

DL Jasheen Davis

DL Jacolbe Cowan

DL Desmond Evans

LB Kaden Johnson

LB Martavis French

LB Jemari Littlejohn

DB Kendall Dennis

DB Joel Williams

DB Mike Harris

DB Javier Morton

WR Dazalin Worsham

WR Kentron Poitier

RB Michael Drennen

RB Marvin Scott

RB Talaun Patton

OL Chris Morris

OL Tariq Stewart

*List does not assume any head/assistant coaching changes anywhere, including at the struggling programs mentioned above, which would presumably add other prospects to the list

While there is much in terms of opportunity lost due to the Vols poor start to the season – and the ability to add more truly no-brainer elite talent is at the top of that list – there is still a real chance to add high priority players due to similar circumstances at rival schools.  And while this is not a column in which we’ll be making the case for Tennessee to stand by Pruitt regardless of how the rest of the season plays out, there is no question that stability in the form of a coach staying on for his 3rd season and beyond – missing over the last eleven years – would be ideal.  Obviously the best case scenario is for the Vols to turn things around and salvage the rest of the season, especially while playing tons of young players.  That would go a long way towards righting the recruiting ship for this class.  However, given what’s happening elsewhere there is still a path for Tennessee to end up signing a class that helps the program take a step forward, even if it’s not as big of a step as was once thought possible.

Finding Out What You Have

With the season opener just five days away, Tennessee will kick off its 2019 schedule with a 3-game out of conference slate before the all-important game against Florida starts the SEC gauntlet.  The initial stretch features two games against relatively lower-end competition (Georgia State and Chattanooga) sandwiched around what should be a very tough game against BYU.  So while the Vols will likely ease into the season on Saturday, they must be immediately prepared for the game against the Cougars and then of course be tuned up for the rest of the season.  Given the way the schedule breaks down, therefore, Tennessee must optimize those 120 minutes in Weeks 1 and 3.  When Jeremy Pruitt waxed both poetically and cryptically about the pros and cons of playing younger (and potentially more talented) players vs. more experienced veterans, to a certain degree this is what he was talking about.  As you look over a 12-game schedule, how do you get your main contributors tuned up while also keeping them as fresh as possible, get your bench players snaps so they’re ready when and if needed, and also give yourself the best chance of winning each and every game?  That’s the conundrum facing every coach in America, but particularly when it comes to a roster with lot of players from the former regime as well as newer players to work in, this opening schedule gives Tennessee a chance to do all of those things as much as possible.

Below is a look, by position, at players at each position who Coach Pruitt and his staff need to play as much as possible in especially the games against GSU and Chattanooga and who in turn need to take as much advantage as possible of the opportunity:

QB

JT Shrout

Brian Maurer

The story here is obvious.  Neither of the Vols backup Quarterbacks have ever taken a college snap, and regardless of the optimism around the 2019 Offensive Line there is still a greater-than-zero chance that one of them is needed for at least a handful of snaps in a meaningful game this season.  Therefore, it’s imperative that Tennessee use these two games to not only determine which of Shrout or Maurer are next in line behind Jarrett Guarantano but also give both of them as many real (i.e., not simply 100% garbage time handoffs) opportunities to learn and grow.  That will not only clarify the depth chart but also make Tennessee coaches at least slightly less nervous if and when one of them has to actually play.

Tennessee has a commitment from 2020 stud QB Harrison Bailey and also just had former 4-star and University of Maryland QB Kasim Hill transfer in.  While Hill’s future scholarship status is unknown, his presence on the roster for 2020 along with Bailey’s commitment will allow Tennessee coaches to rest a little easier about the Quarterback position in 2020 regardless of whether Guarantano comes back for his 5th season in Knoxville or not.

RB
Eric Gray

There’s only one non-veteran in the RB corps, and Gray is someone Vol coaches and fans are very excited to see.  He brings an element of play-making that’s not only unique to this team but also potentially gives Offensive Coordinator Jim Chaney a ton of flexibility with how he can utilize multiple formations and personnel sets, especially in combination with fellow RB Ty Chandler.  The guess here is that we don’t see a lot of that dynamism against GSU since the Vols should be able to run up the score without showing BYU anything to work on for the following week.  But getting Gray his first college carries will still be worthwhile since it will eliminate any jitters when he does get carries that matter.

With the move of Jeremy Banks from RB to LB, Tennessee will enter the 2019 season with only four RBs on the depth chart, one of which (Carlin Fils-Aime) is a senior and one of which (Chandler) is at least a potential NFL early entrant.  The Vols do have one RB commitment in the 2020 class in Tee Hodge, a big and talented player from Maryville.  Ideally there would be a second, very talented back in this class.  However right now there is a dearth of legitimate options and the best one, Ty Jordan, appears to be a heavy Texas lean due to his family’s medical situation.  Certainly the staff will be on the lookout both for breakout senior season performers and also for any shaky commitments to other schools.  But in the interim, Gray looking like a future star would at least make it a legitimate discussion as to whether that second RB is in fact a need rather than a “nice to have.”

TE

Andrew Craig

Jacob Warren

Princeton Fant

Jackson Lowe

Sean Brown

Although the Tennessee TE room has more bodies than it has in a long time, outside of expected star Dominick Wood-Anderson and oft-injured but skilled Austin Pope, there are zero career catches and barely a handful of snaps among the rest.  Craig is a walkon who’s impressed the staff with his physicality and potential to also play some H-Back, while Fant has bounced around between a couple of positions but has lot of athleticism and good size.  Warren/Lowe/Brown are Pruitt signees with great size – especially as a group now that Warren is up to the mid-240s after signing closer to 210 pounds – with tons of promise.  Ideally at least one of them break through and force Chaney and TE Coach Brian Niedermeyer to give them more and more snaps as the season goes on, and these two games are the best opportunity for them to earn that in a lower-risk environment.

Right now the Vols do not have a commitment from a TE in the 2020 recruiting class, and realistically at this point only have one real target in 5-star Darnell Washington.  The Vols are very much in that recruitment and will receive an official visit from him during the season.  However, the other two top teams are Alabama and Georgia, two recruiting juggernauts who have already hosted Washington a time or two more than Tennessee has.  Complicating that recruitment is the notion that Washington and 5-star Arik Gilbert (more on him below) are unlikely to sign with the same team, and Tennessee/Alabama/Georgia make up Gilbert’s top 3 as well.  Can Tennessee convince Gilbert and Washington that Gilbert is truly a WR (a pitch that was Tennessee’s originally and is likely being stolen by the other competitors) and sign them both?  Can they beat out those two schools for either one of these studs anyway?  That all remains to be seen.  What is known, however, is that as good as Washington is – and he looks like an NFL TE right now before playing a down of his senior season in high school – if a handful of those freshmen can show they are potentially top-end SEC TEs than signing one in this class becomes more of a luxury than a necessity.  And with the potential complications with Gilbert noted above, as well as potential issues with numbers in this class for the Vols, that would be big.

WR

Jordan Murphy/Jacquez Jones

Cedric Tillman/Ramel Keyton

Tennessee’s WR rotation is as firmly set as any position on the team, with three Seniors and Junior who’ve all played a lot of quality football likely to get the bulk of the snaps and targets throughout the season.  However, beyond just the ever-present chance of injury over the course of the season, no team can ever have too many offensive playmakers, so were at least 1-2 of the group above to step up and become a legitimate threat for Guarantano that would broaden the options that Guarantano and Chaney have at their disposal. Murphy has of course showed more in his career to-date than the others, but so far he’s left everyone thinking there’s a lot more there.  Volquest.com has reported that there have been some rumblings of Jones flashing some this preseason.  Same for Keyton.  Tillman is a big bodied WR who is still fairly raw but who has physical gifts and plenty of time to develop them.  In an ideal world the Vols stamp the blowouts over GSU and Chattanooga early enough to get the veterans off the field and these guys on early, allowing the coaches to see if any of them can truly help this season.

The underlying storyline at the position is that with the aforementioned veterans departing after this season (pending Junior Josh Palmer’s season and subsequent NFL early entry decision) there is going to be a ton of question marks at the position in 2020; therefore, a handful of these guys at the very least showing the potential to be legit SEC players next season would not just be big for themselves individually but would also clarify things for the Tennessee coaching staff in terms of numbers for the 2020 recruiting class.  Right now the Vols have commitments from one pure WR in Jalin Hyatt and then two players in Darion Williamson and Jimmy Calloway who could project at WR but also have some positional flexibility depending on team need and (especially for Williamson) how their respective bodies change over the next few years.  As noted above, Arik Gilbert is either target 1A or 1B at the position along with fellow 5-star Rakim Jarrett.  Jarrett is ostensibly an LSU commitment but the Vols were in great shape even before his teammate Mordecai McDaniel commitment to Tennessee last week and then Hill – a former St. Johns College HS player himself – enrolled at Tennessee.  The Vols also continue to recruit Alabama commitment Thaiu Jones-Bell, but  the necessity for yet another WR signee will be illuminated over the course of the season and will depend on the performance of these players as well as Palmer’s NFL decision. 

OL/DL

The storylines from this angle are virtually the same for both the Offensive and Defensive Lines, the positions with the most question marks going into the season and therefore the positions that will ultimately determine the ceiling and the floor for this team.  While the OL has more experience than the DL, both have tons of youth projected to play major roles while the rotations aren’t set at either position as well.  Ideally the Volunteer DL is dominant against both GSU and Chattanooga, getting all 11 scholarship players tons of work to prepare for the rest of the season, and more than holds its own against a BYU OL that is experienced and talented and many will see as a competitive advantage for the Cougars going into the game.

It seems certain that at this point the best case for the OL in particular is:

GSU: Tennessee plays up to 10 players and gets great pass protection and push in the run game throughout

BYU: Tennessee has used the GSU game to narrow down the rotation to closer to 7-8 with a starting 5 they preferably ride the entire game with success

Chattanooga: Depending on the success in the BYU game, Tennessee either continues to ride with the 5 from the BYU game and then also gets the remaining 5 tons more work OR has tweaked the starting 5 from the BYU yet still works in the other 5 to gain more experience

The entire strategy should be aimed at heading to Gainesville with a cohesive starting 5 that’s seen success together at least in the Chattanooga game along with a deep bench that’s gotten tons of snaps this season already

ILB

Henry To’oto’to

Shannon Reid

JJ Peterson

Jeremy Banks

Aaron Beasley

Solon Page

To’oto’to is going to start and looks like a Freshman phenom who’s going to be a star at Tennessee.  Getting any Freshman reps in games like these is always important, but when you’re truly counting on one it’s imperative.  Reid is the most experienced of this group, but these games will give him a chance to showcase the newly added bulk and simply that he’s taken a real step towards being a true contributor in the ILB rotation.  Given Daniel Bituli’s injury situation – and that he’s a player Tennessee can ill afford to be absent during SEC play – Reid could very well start the opener. 

The remaining four have seen a collective zero ILB snaps during their respective careers.  Peterson is a former 5-star recruit who spent last season trying to catch up from showing up late and out of shape.  He’s battled back from injuries early in fall camp and absolutely could use the reps to get truly acclimated to major college football and for the coaches to see if he’s really got 5 (or even 4)-star potential.  Banks moved (back) to LB last week – Vol fans know the deal here: very athletic and ultra-aggressive, Banks practiced some a LB late last season and impressed, but because of depth issues at RB was moved back.  Gray has seemingly passed him in the pecking order so it makes sense to give him another shot here, especially with the relatively light ILB depth.  Beasley is a promising looking freshman who many (including in this space) had pegged as a future LB despite starting out at S.  He’s already been moved and these games are a great chance for him to get his feet wet.  Page has been in the program for a few years and realistically probably just doesn’t have the size or speed to play at this level.  But getting kids like this some run, especially in blowouts, can never hurt.

OLB
Kivon Bennett

Quarvaris Crouch

Roman Harrison

Bennett needs to show that his slimmed down frame has brought with it new explosiveness – these games are a chance for him to earn real snaps along with Deandre Johnson opposite Darrell Taylor and try to hold off Crouch and Harrison, two freshmen who are likely to provide at least rotational snaps at the position as they both bring a level of speed and athleticism missing on the roster.  Florida’s OL held up reasonably well against Miami’s pass rush this past Saturday night, but they are still inexperienced and a relative weakness for the Gators and QB Felipe Franks is abysmal when under pressure.  Therefore, figuring out how to maximize the pass rush while minimizing the number of blitzes will be key for Tennessee In that game, which is why it is essential that the Vols staff uses these two games to get their young pass-rushers ready.

DB

Treveon Flowers/Shawn Shamburger

Kenneth George/Cheyenne Labruzza/Brandon Davis

Warren Burrell/Tyus Fields/Jerrod Means/Kenny Solomon

The news over the weekend about Bryce Thompson, and the uncertainty that brings to Tennessee’s secondary while his situation is sorted out, makes this particular section all the more meaningful.  We’ll operate under the assumption that Thompson misses at least the GSU game, in which case it’s likely that Freshman Warren Burrell will start alongside Sophomore Alontae Taylor at Cornerback while Junior Shawn Shamburger, a relatively little-used but talented player, continues to project as the starting Nickelback.  It would also mean that all of the other players above, from the returning players getting one of their first respective starts like Shamburger and Flowers; returning players who have played very little such as George, Labruzza, and Davis; and Burrell’s fellow Freshmen Fields, Means, and Solomon, will all move up a slot in the rotation against GSU and Chattanooga.  The starters will need to show that they’re capable of being high level SEC players, while the less experienced returners and the freshmen sans Burrell will have an opportunity to show that they can help this season and then be meaningful contributors and possibly starters down the road in their careers.  A guy like Means, who moved over from WR this fall and has shown promise to go with his physical gifts, or a guy like Solomon who could be used on Kick Returns (especially in Thompson’s absence, and especially in low-risk situations), have unique opportunities to show they belong. 

Ultimately the best thing that can come from these games is for Tennessee to come out of them with tons of confidence, newly experienced players, and a clean injury sheet.  The latter is arguably the most important but is also the thing most out of anyone’s control.  So the staff must focus on the first two and maximize the opportunities so that they give the team the best chance to hit its ceiling.

BJ Ojulari and Eric Shaw and the Illustration of Pruitt’s Recruiting Philosophy

By week’s end, both OLB BJ Ojulari and TE Eric Shaw will have announced their commitments to their respective universities of choice.  Both have been to Tennessee’s campus multiple times, both are rated s 4-stars by 247 Sports (Ojulari at #184 overall – and also a 4-star on Rivals, Shaw at #301 overall), and both have nice offer lists.  They’re both very good prospects who will play their college football in the SEC, the best conference in college football bar none.

Here’s where they differ: Tennessee has gone all-in on Ojulari, as have LSU, Auburn, Florida and others, whereas in the end Shaw wasn’t a take for at least the Vols if not also instate Auburn. So today Shaw is going to pick South Carolina, a program that Tennessee hasn’t beaten since 2015 and one that is a roadblock for Tennessee in between where it is and where it wants to be: back at the top of the SEC East and the entire conference.  In contrast, the Vols are in a dogfight right down to the end for Ojulari, who if he doesn’t pick Tennessee will choose either LSU or Auburn, two programs who’ve been winning at a high level for a decade-plus.  As the rankings difference and more importantly level of schools willing to take them suggest, Ojulari is considered to be an “elite adjacent” prospect – he’s not a take for instate UGA right now – while Shaw is considered to be a solid player whose ceiling and floor are both lower.  Ojulari is a physical freak who’s not only added weight to his 6-3, 225 pound frame but also added new dimensions to his pass-rushing skill-set this spring and summer to where he’s no longer strictly a speed rusher.  He won DL MVP at the Rivals 3 Stripe Camp in Atlanta, showed out at The Opening in Atlanta, and then most impressively was named to the “Dream Team” at the Opening Finals against many of the best players in the country.  The Vols are looking for at least one bigtime pass-rushing OLB and would love to pair Ojulari with Reggie Grimes from the Midstate and/or West Coast product Sav’ell Smalls to give them one of the best position groups in the country.  Ojulari would also combine with QB Harrison Bailey give the Vols two Marietta HS studs in the class of 2020 to go with WR Ramel Keyton from last year’s class, giving Tennessee yet another tie to their teammate and 5-star stud WR/TE Arik Gilbert.  That all remains to be seen of course pending Ojulari’s choice on Friday.

One could make the case that rather than try and go head to head with the Georgias and Alabamas and LSUs and Auburns for top-end recruits – where the Vols are going to lose more than they win at least for now – they should take the slow and steady approach to program building.  That is, recruit against the likes of South Carolina, Missouri, Mississippi State, etc. – programs in the middle of the SEC to whom Tennessee is looking up at the moment.  As we’ve discussed, that’s very much not the approach that Jeremy Pruitt is taking in the least.  In fact, as illustrated very starkly by these two recruitments, Pruitt is looking to just skip over the programs that he (and Vol fans) feel have no business being slotted above Tennessee and zoom straight back to competing against the aforementioned programs at the top of the SEC.  Whether that is ultimately successful or not is to be determined, but they’ve already got more than a handful of no-doubt bluechippers in this class and realistically are squarely in the mix for, frankly, a whole lot more after landing a Top 10 class of 2019.  If Pruitt is in fact successful with his strategy he’ll at the very least raise the floor for the program, as Tennessee will quickly have way more talent than the middle of the pack programs, enabling the Vols to go back to beating those teams regularly strictly on talent alone.  At the same time, Pruitt will have Tennessee at least approximating the talent of the elite SEC programs, narrowing the gap such that outcoaching and getting a break here and there will enable Tennessee to actually beat them instead of just coming close as it has for the better part of the last ten years.

Two Weeks Into Camp, Do Early CB Returns Change Calculus for 2020 DB Recruiting?

With a roster that has been drastically improved since Coach Jeremy Pruitt took over but still has a ways to go in order for Tennessee to be a true SEC contender, there realistically isn’t one position that can reasonably be considered in strong shape top to bottom.  There are certainly more blue chip players on the roster than there have been in a long time, and there is also hope that Pruitt and his very well-regarded staff can get step-up performances from a number of former 3-star recruits who were signed by the former regime.  But no matter how you cut it, there are needs at every position.  However, there are a finite number of scholarships in a given cycle, and staffs inevitably have to make concessions from one position to another as they put each class together. 

That said, projected numbers at each position in a class can fluctuate depending on a number of factors, most importantly of course the number and talent of the current and future players on the roster.  Specifically at Cornerback for Tennessee, three developments in camp so far have the potential to influence what Tennessee seeks to do at the position in the class of 2020:

  • After two weeks of camp and one major scrimmage, one name has been prominently and consistently mentioned among the breakout players – freshman and veterans alike – so far this fall: CB Warren Burrell.  Burrell was an even-at-the-time obviously underrated (by recruiting sites) prospects who chose the Vols over Florida, among others, and was an early enrollee who showed playmaking ability in the spring.  At over 6’0 and with long arms and a nose for the ball to go with the kind of attitude needed to be successful at the position, Burrell has taken his strong spring performance and run with it.  After receiving rare praise from Pruitt, Burrell by all accounts played most of Sunday night’s scrimmage with the starters at CB opposite Bryce Thompson and is at worst going to be the third CB in the rotation when the Vols start the season in less than three weeks, meaning the three top CBs will all be either sophomores or freshman.  Both of the other class of 2019 prospects signed to be CBs – Tyus Fields and Kenny Solomon – have also had their moments early in camp, showing the tenacity and speed/length they are known for, respectively
  • Tennessee’s only projected contributor in the secondary who is a Senior, Baylen Buchanan, has been injured since the spring and has not yet practiced.  At this point, though details of his injury are very scarce, it wouldn’t be surprising for him to take a medical redshirt year in 2019 and come back for the 2020 season.  If that happens, it would give the Vols another experienced CB in 2020 that they didn’t anticipate having
  • Jerrod Means, a late take in the class of 2019 as a WR, was moved to CB before the start of camp and has already shown flashes of real potential.  At 6’2 and around 215 pounds, Means has the length that is almost a prerequisite for a Jeremy Pruitt CB prospect.  He’s also a kid who ran a 4.4 40 and produced a 39-inch vertical at a Tennessee camp last summer, so his athletic ability is borderline elite for that size.  Everyone knows that Pruitt loves DBs who played both on both sides of the ball as that likely means they have ball skills that translate well to the secondary, and Means also played Safety in high school.  While it remains to be seen whether he sticks at CB and then becomes a good one, he’s got everything you’re looking for at the position and his move means the Vols added 4 true CBs in the class of 2019

Tennessee already has two CB commitments in the 2020 class in early enrollee Art Green – the nation’s #2 overall JUCO player – and Lovie Jenkins.  Jenkins is almost a carbon copy of Burrell in terms of size and length and chose the Vols over a heavy pursuit from Notre Dame as well as offers from Miami, Missouri, and many others.  Do the Vols need another CB in this class?  Maybe not, though it’s unlikely they’d turn down any of their top targets still on the board – namely Joel Williams (announcing in September,  leaning towards Bama) and Kendal Dennis (Vols in Top 2 with Auburn, UF and Miami trying hard, could announce in August) –  if they wanted in now.  But as things change during the season and the December signing day approaches, the Tennessee staff could certainly decide that the 3rd CB spot is needed more elsewhere, and given the developments above that wouldn’t be surprising in the least.  It’s a good problem for them to have to work through and a sign of the ever-improving roster as well as Pruitt and his staff’s evaluation acumen.

Can Vols Make a Play for Former Georgia 5-star Brenton Cox?

With the news that former 5-star OLB Brenton Cox has decided to transfer (or, if you believe Georgia homers, has been dismissed) from UGA the logical question is of course where will he end up.  He’ll obvious be heavily coveted, assuming he doesn’t have serious skeletons in his closet, as he’s not only a former bluechip recruit but also comes with a full year of playing experience at the highest level of college football.  Last year he played in 13 games for the Dawgs, making 20 tackles including two tackles for loss and one sack.  He also started the Sugar Bowl and has 6 tackles in UGA’s loss to Texas. 

Cox was ranked as the #23 overall player in the 2018 class by the 247 Sports Composite and at 6’4 245 with elite athleticism is exactly what Pruitt and the Vols are looking for in an OLB.  While they are absolutely in the mix for elite edge prospects like BJ Ojulari, Reggie Grimes, and Savell Smalls in the 2020 class, to date they have not succeeded in bringing in a prospect of Cox’s caliber at the position and reasonably believe that it’s a major missing piece to get the Tennessee defense to another level.  Again assuming the reasons for his leaving UGA aren’t of the violent/felonious nature, the Vols should be all-in on trying to land him. 

The good news is that Tennessee has a major tie with Cox, as Pruitt was Alabama’s lead recruiter for him when he was their Defensive Coordinator.  And while he eventually signed with UGA after decommitting from Ohio State, Pruitt got Cox to take an official visit to Alabama in early December right before getting the Tennessee head coaching job and the Tide were thought to be his leader until Pruitt indeed left.  Given Pruitt’s reputation as a recruiter whose biggest strength is relationship building, one can assume that he and Cox had formed a pretty strong bond considering where Pruitt had gotten the Tide in that recruitment.  It’s also fair to assume that while current Tennessee ILB Coach Kevin Sherrer wasn’t Cox’s lead recruiter while at UGA that he and Cox are also very familiar with one another. OSU could end being a player given Cox’s prior status as a Buckeye commitment, but with Urban Meyer having departed Columbus they might be less of a factor. 

Either way, the expectation should be that every national power at least kicks the tires to gauge both the issues surrounding Cox’s departure and then his interest.  From there it will either be a quick decision – as some of these things end up being – or  knock down drag out fight for an immediate impact player.  Tennessee should be a factor here un the latter scenario if it wants to be.  Should they land Cox that would go a LONG way towards addressing one of the biggest needs in the 2020 class and he would be penciled in as an instant starter next season.  Stay tuned…

Defense: Can Vols Get Step-Up Performances from any Butch-era Bench Players?

We’ve taken a look at the potential for the 2019 Tennessee team were its former bluechip recruits on the offensive and defensive side of the ball to play up to their rankings.  When you look at it from that angle, there is reason for some optimism if you put a any amount of faith in Coach Jeremy Pruitt and his staff to coach them up.  However, we’ve also stipulated that regardless of whether or not that elevation in play from former 5 and 4-stars happens, the team does not have enough quality depth across the board despite Pruitt’s relatively strong efforts in his stub 2018 class and first full class of 2019. 

Yesterday we took a look at the true Juniors and RS Sophomores from the class of 2017 as well as the handful of seniors and RS Jrs on the offensive side of the ball who, if they step up and play the best ball of their respective careers, can have a meaningful impact on the 2019 season.  Whether its providing quality depth and rest for the first-teamers or even better make big plays when the opportunity presents itself, shoring up the bottom portion of the roster (from a star ranking perspective) with play that exceeds what anyone is expecting from them would simply be huge for Tennessee. 

Below we look at the defensive side of the ball from that perspective:

DL

Matthew Butler (Jr)/Latrell Bumphus (Jr)/Jaquain Blakely (RS Jr)

There is expected to be greater overall depth on the DL this season after Tennessee leaned (too) heavily on three since-departed seniors.  However, there is a big difference between a player who can provide actual quality depth and “Just A Guy.”  Butler  is without a doubt the Vols are counting on to if not push for a starting role than be a first off the bench kind of player.  Bumphus and Blakely, both of whom have played TE in their time in Knoxville, are big guys with athletic ability – if that can translate this season into meaningful skill and ability on the DL such that they can give the starters some real rest without a huge dropoff that would be big

OLB

Deandre Johnson (Jr)/Kivon Bennett (RS So)

Johnson has shown flashes and has actually played a lot of football.  Bennett hasn’t played much on Saturdays but had a strong spring.  These two, along with former 4-star JUCO Jordan Allen, are going to be given every opportunity to take the OLB spot opposite Darrell Taylor.  Whoever does win that job will also probably get a lot of 1-on-1 chances as the hope is that Taylor is commanding double teams on every play.  If either, or preferably both, of them can step up and grab the opportunity and be legit pass-rush threats while also effectively setting the edge in the run game that would take the defense to another level and give DC Derrick Ansely much more freedom and flexibility with his back 7

ILB

Shanon Reid (Jr)

Solon Page (RS So)

Reid was a breakout star in the spring, having completely reshaped his body (read: got a lot bigger) while not losing any of the speed that was his calling card in high school.  At this point it seems like the Vols are counting on him to if not start at ILB – pending what a stud freshman like Henry To’oto’to can do – than at least give them a ton of high-quality snaps. 

Page on the other hand still hasn’t found his niche on defense and is likely a special teamer.  However, there’s a ton of value there too, and if he can make some big plays throughout the course of the season on coverage teams, etc, that would give the Vols a big boost

DB

Shawn Shamburger (Jr)/Theo Jackson (Jr) – sdafadsf

Cheyenne Labruzza (RS So)/Terrell Bailey (RS So) – asfads

Shamburger and Jackson have played a lot of football for Tennessee in their careers – unfortunately it’s been on two of the worst teams in the program’s history.  However, they both do have talent, and Jackson in particular could be in line to start at S.  That’s particularly the case depending on what happens with the Nickel position, where there’s a real chance that Nigel Warrior could slide down and take snaps there. 

Labruzza and Bailey have not played at all on defense in their respective careers to date, and it remains to be seen if they will.  That said, Labruzza has generated some buzz in the offseason and does have a pretty solid pedigree as a prospect and is also finally healthy.  He’ll be in the mix at Nickel and will also play teams for sure.  Anything the Vols can get from these two would be counted as a bonus and would boost the overall play of the team

Offense: Can Vols Get Step-Up Performances from any Butch-era Bench Players?

We’ve taken a look at the potential for the 2019 Tennessee team were its former bluechip recruits on the offensive and defensive side of the ball to play up to their rankings.  When you look at it from that angle, there is reason for some optimism if you put a any amount of faith in Coach Jeremy Pruitt and his staff to coach them up.  However, we’ve also stipulated that regardless of whether or not that elevation in play from former 5 and 4-stars happens, the team does not have enough quality depth across the board despite Pruitt’s relatively strong efforts in his stub 2018 class and first full class of 2019. 

That said, despite the coaching change there has been relatively little attrition, which not only lends credibility to the belief that the players in the program have bought into what Pruitt is trying to build but also leaves a base of older players  – even if  they weren’t bluechip recruits – who could just be looking for the kind of development that was sorely lacking during Butch Jones’s tenure.  Specifically, the much maligned class of 2017 – Jones’s final class – is now made up of true Juniors and RS Sophomores, and as can be seen below there are still quite a few of them – eighteen to be exact.  A handful of seniors and RS Jrs also dot the list below.

Along with getting the most out of its most talented players, squeezing as much juice from the former 3-star proverbial Big Oranges, who have contributed to varying degrees during their time on campus, would go a loooong way towards helping the 2019 team get over the current hump and win 7, 8, even 9 games this season.

RB/HB

Tim Jordan (Jr) – battling for the #2 spot with Jeremy Banks and Eric Gray behind Ty Chandler, Jordan brings a specific set of strengths and limitations to the Vol RB corps.  If he’s improved his vision and straight line speed while keeping and even building on his natural strength and tackle-breaking ability, that would go a long way towards solidifying the position

Princeton Fant (RS So)/Austin Pope (RS Jr) – two guys who’ve bounced around position-wise, each of Fant and Pope have the size and skill to be a Swiss Army Knife HB weapon for Coach Chaney.  Fant in particular just looks like former Vol Chris Brown, and if he can approximate that level of production it would open up a ton for the Vol offense

WR

Josh Palmer (Jr)/Jordan Murphy (Jr)/Brandon Johnson (Sr) – likely the #3/4/5 WRs in the rotation pending Jajuan Jennings’s health, these guys are being counted on heavily.  Palmer in particular oozes NFL potential with his size/speed combo and ability to high point the ball.  If he takes another step this season he could absolutely jump to the WR1 spot

Jacquez Jones (RS So)/Maleik Gray (RS So) – two guys who haven’t done anything yet in their two years on the Hill, were one of them to jump up into the rotation and give Chaney and Jarrett Guarantano another option or two at the position that would be huge.  More likely for these two is special teams duty where – especially given the small talent differentials between Tennessee and quite a few teams on the schedule – a big play or two could swing the season

OL

K’rohjn Calbert (RS So)

Marcus Tatum (RS Jr)

Nathan Niehaus (RS Jr)

Riley Locklear (Jr)

Calbert is far and away the most physically gifted of the four OL listed, yet has played the least amount of football.  He will be in the mix for a starting RG spot when fall camp kicks off.  And while the other three have all started and played quite a bit, the best case scenario for the Vols is that the younger and more talented players earn starting roles and these guys provide the kind of high quality experienced depth that Tennessee hasn’t had on the OL for most of the last decade

Given the volume of players at each position, it’s easy to see both the necessity for the Vols that some of these players step up as well as how big it would be.  Even if none of them become starters but just provide quality depth and rest for the first-teamers or even better make big plays when the opportunity presents itself, shoring up the bottom portion of the roster (from a star ranking perspective) with play that exceeds what anyone is expecting from them would simply be huge for Tennessee.

Robinson Gives Vols Trio of Interior Maulers to Build OL Class Around

While the 2019 OL class was built around 5-star OTs Wanya Morris and Darnell Wright, the Thursday commitment of James Robinson – to go with earlier commitments Javontez Spraggins and Cooper Mays – gives Tennessee an outstanding threesome of interior roadgraders around whom they are building this class to complement last year’s OT haul.   While Mays appears to be pegged for Center, both Robinson and Spraggins look like they can play both Guard positions and Robinson even appears to have at least some potential to kick out to Right Tackle.  At least at first, however, he’ll likely be paired on the inside with the aforementioned classmates.  All three are well known for their nasty dispositions and bring the size to back up the attitudes. 

Robinson likely caps off Tennessee’s interior OL class as long as they can hold onto Spraggins, whose recruiting is still in the midst of blowing up, especially since the class of 2019 also featured two interior OL in Jackson Lampley and Chris Akporoghene.  Therefore OL Coach Will Friend and the rest of the staff will now turn their focus to much needed OTs.  Tackles are always a hot commodity every cycle, but for the Vols their an even bigger need despite last year’s stud tandem because the roster is still thin there.  Top options there include the following:

Chris Morris is currently in a heated battle the Vols and  Texas A&M, with Tennessee probably trailing the Aggies at this point.  He took his OV to Knoxville for their Cookout recruiting event in late June before the Dead Period began, then visited College Station unofficially after the Dead Period ended and has been there quite a few times.  Tennessee will undoubtedly need to get him back to campus, ideally for a game and then again for another unofficial in December, since A&M still has their OV available

Marcus Dumervil spent 3 days in Knoxville in mid-June after having OV’d to both LSU and OU in the spring.  He took an UV to instate UF when the Dead Period ended last weekend and the Gators have made a move there.  He does have ties to Vols via Josh Palmer and Kivon Bennett from St Thomas Aquinas HS.  This is going to be a bigtime battle but the Vols are definitely in play here and look like a likely OV destination for him in the fall

JUCOS Tariq Stewart and Antwan Reed have ties to Vol staffer Joe Osovet from his days as the former head coach at their Junior College.  Stewart has an offer from Maryland after earning a UT offer when he and Reed camped in June.  Reed was a Penn State commitment before academic concerns caused him to sign with Western Michigan before ultimately heading to JUCO

Tyson Wannamaker is a longtime South Carolina commitment with a tie to Chris Rumph via a longtime relationship with Tyson’s father.  He visited the Vols for their Cookout event in late June before the Dead Period began and Tennessee continues to be in contact with him and the family.  That one is likely an uphill battle for the Palmetto State native and longtime Cocks commitment, but the Vols will look to hang around and get him back to campus for an OV

What if Highly Ranked Vols on Defense Play to their Ranking?

In our last piece we looked at the 5 and 4-stars on the offensive side of Tennessee’s roster and wondered what the Vols’ offense would look like in 2019 if the most highly recruited players on the team – from seniors to true freshman – play up to their rankings this season.

Acknowledging that Tennessee not have enough bluechip talent, there is some on both sides of the ball.  So what would happen if when camp starts on Friday Strength & Conditioning Coach Fitzgerald has worked wonders and then Pruitt and his staff can get all of his blue-chip talent to play up to those past rankings?  Before we even get to former 3-stars being coached up and playing beyond those rankings, if the Vols can get its true top-end talent to play like it things could look much different this fall.  As an aside, both the dearth of top-end talent that existed on the roster when Coach Prutt took over as well as how quickly he’s added a good amount of bluechippers is striking when you look at it from this angle.

Below, by position, are former 5-and high 4-stars on Tennessee’s 2019 defensive roster:

DL

5-star Aubrey Solomon

4-stars Greg Emerson, Emmit Gooden, Savion Williams

Assuming Solomon gets his transfer waiver, he and Gooden and Williams are quite possibly the starting DL.  That’s a legit SEC DL – each bluechippers as recruits and each with the kind of size and talent necessary to win the line of scrimmage more often than not. Emerson is coming off RS season after a gruesome injury cost him his senior high school season but he’s now almost 2 years removed and likely is in the best shape of his life.  He’s not currently being counted by most observers as even part of the 2nd wave of the DL rotation, but what if he takes a leap and emerges as one of, say, the Top 5 DL?  All of the sudden Tennessee’s DL goes from being arguably the biggest question mark on the team to a real strength.

LB

5-stars JJ Peterson, Quarvaris Crouch

4-stars Daniel Bituli, Darrell Taylor, Will Ignot, Jordan Allen, Henry To’oto’to, Roman Harrison

The position with the most bluechip talent on the entire roster, the issue of course is that three of them are true freshman and one is a RSFr.  However, this is a spot where guys playing up to their billing – both off the edge as well as ILB – would be just huge.  A pass-rushing group led by Taylor, Crouch, Allen and Harrison playing like truly elite players, complemented by a an ILB wrecking crew of Bituli, Ignot, To’oto’to, and Peterson (who could also play some at OLB) would not only cause problems for offenses in both the passing and running games but also give DC Derrick Ansley tons of options and flexibility. 

DB

5-stars Nigel Warrior

4-stars Alontae Taylor, Bryce Thompson, Jaylen McCullough, Tyus Fields, Deangelo Gibbs

Another position where the majority of the elite talent on the roster skews incredibly young, the secondary will likely feature at least three former 5 and 4-stars among the five starters.  If Gibbs is eligible he’s instantly vying for a starting spot at Nickel, and either way true freshman McCullough will be in the mix there.  If the light turns on and Warrior takes a 5-star leap while both Taylor and Thompson make a big jump in their sophomore season, the secondary could end up being the #1 strength of the team.

As you can see, while there isn’t enough elite talent on the roster – yet – there is perhaps more than one might think on both sides of the ball.  What Tennessee fans are hoping is that Coach Pruitt, Coach Chaney and Coach Ansley, along with the rest of one of the highest paid staffs in the country, can unlock that potential.  If so, and of course if they can also get some 3-stars to play up a level at the same time, the program will make the kind of massive improvement in Year 2 that both fans and recruits are looking for.

What if Highly Ranked Vols on Offense Play to their Ranking?

Before any discussion of Tennessee’s 2019 roster and season outlook can go anywhere, it must be acknowledged that the team does not have enough talent.  It doesn’t have enough talent to realistically compete for an SEC East championship; it likely doesn’t have enough talent to win more than 8 games; and it doesn’t even have enough talent to feel that good about beating all of the other SEC non-contenders on the schedule, including Missouri, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt.  That’s just where the program is right now and will be unti Coach Jeremy Pruitt adds another couple (1-2?)  of recruiting classes.  But…

What if the highest ranked and most highly recruited players on the team – from seniors to true freshman – play up to their rankings this season?  Because while Tennessee not have enough high 5-and-high-4-stars, and is still lacking high quality depth up and down the roster, there are still quite a few former blue-chip recruits on campus in Knoxville.  So what would happen if when camp starts on Friday Strength & Conditioning Coach Fitzgerald has worked wonders and then Pruitt and his staff can get all of his blue-chip talent to play up to those past rankings?  Before we  even get to former 3-stars being coached up and playing beyond those rankings, if the Vols can get its true top-end talent to play like it things could look much different this fall.

Below, by position, are former 5-and high 4-stars on Tennessee’s 2019 offensive roster:

QB

Jarrett Guarantano

There are differing opinions on JG, but regardless of how one feels about the Vols’ signal caller it’s clear he’s got more room to grow in order to live up to his billing as one of the very top high school QBs in the country. If he does that it might mean more than any other player on the list, as it goes without saying that top end QB play can take any team to another level

OL

5-stars Trey Smith, Wanya Morris, Darnell Wright

4-stars Brandon Kennedy, Jerome Carvin, Ryan Johnson, Jackon Lampley With Trey coming back from injury he’ll almost assuredly pair with Morris on the left side, and Kennedy is locked in as the starting Center.  Wright will be thrust into a battle at RT, while Carvin and Johnson are top contenders for the RG position and will be firmly in the rotation no matter who wins the starting job.  So Tennessee could potentially have 3 5-stars and 2 4-stars starting on its OL, with another 4-star as the top backup two true freshman OL– ignoring the potential perils of starting one let alone two freshman OL, that’s really strong.  And if those six in particular play like 5 and 4-stars, look out.  Ideally Lampley will redshirt, but even having the luxury to do so is a far cry from the very recent state of Tennessee’s OL. 

RB

4-stars Ty Chandler, Eric Gray, Carlin Fils-aime

That’s your likely starter and 3rd back in a 5-RB rotation in Chandler and Gray, with “CFA” being a potential gadget player in new OC Jim Chaney’s creative offensive system.  If Chandler and Gray can become bigtime Swiss Army Knife weapons all over the field and Chaney can optimize CFA’s very solid speed/power combination then the Vols will have an incredibly dynamic backfield.

WR

4-stars Marquez Callaway, Tyler Byrd, Ramel Keyton

One could strongly argue that Callaway has lived up to the ranking, but going back to the 2017 opener against Georgia Tech where he simply dominated, what if he does that every week?  What if Tyler Byrd has the lightbulb come on and looks like the borderline 5-star he appeared to be in the US Army All American Game? Keyton has an opportunity to break into the rotation depending on how many WRs Tee Martin wants to play, but what if he’s taken a huge step this summer in the weight room and has a Justyn Ross/Jaylen Waddle type freshman year?

TE

4-stars Dominick Wood-Anderson, Jackson Lowe

There are very big expectations for “DWA” coming into the season, as the former #1 JUCO in the country, for whom Tennessee beat out Alabama straight up, heads into his final college season.  He’s got elite size and speed, can block at the point of attack, and has good hands.  But he wasn’t the gamechanger needed last season – what if he is in 2019?  What if he becomes an All-American and a force at the position, both stretching the field and dominating in the red zone while being a third-down conversion machine?  Lowe is a big kid who had a nice spring as an early enrollee and has a chance to be the #2 TE.  If he is an immediate contributor and can be a dominant inline blocker in two-TE sets with DWA the Vols will have a lot of flexibility in terms of sets no matter the down and distance.

Especially at the incredibly important positions of Quarterback and Offensive Line, the Vols have enough bluechippers that if Coach Pruitt, Coach Chaney and the rest of the offensive staff can get 5 and 4-star performances from them both the floor and the ceiling for the 2019 Tennessee season are raised significantly.   That’s a big if, but not beyond the realm of possibility given the developmental history of the staff.  We’ll next take a look at the defensive side of the ball where Tennessee also has some real yet untapped talent.