“Not one with Auburn and Texas A&M,” you might say. But with those two added to the docket, the order of opponents becomes much more important: if you’re playing five preseason Top 15 teams for only the second time ever, you don’t want to play any of them in consecutive weeks if you can help it.
The Vols, of course, can’t help it: they’ll get what the league office gives them, which clearly didn’t work to our advantage last time. Today we’ll discover our week one opponent at 3:00 PM ET and the full slate at 7:00. Aside from putting some distance between our five marquee opponents, what would be most advantageous for the Vols?
If you gave me the authority to set Tennessee’s entire schedule, I’d go with something like this:
Week 1: Missouri – the Vols face two year one coaches in 2020, and with one of them at struggling Arkansas, I’ll take my chances in week one with Missouri. The assumption here is no spring practice is especially cruel to new coaches, and the Vols get a shot at Eli Drinkwitz’s squad before they get their feet set. And if fans are allowed in the stands, it’s nice to open at home.
Week 2: at Auburn – The rhythm you want puts a Top 15 opponent between a not-Top 15 opponent, and I’m taking the Tigers first. Auburn now has Chad Morris running the offense, another disadvantage with no spring practice. It fills the week two hole where Oklahoma would’ve been, and is a lower-risk entry to big-time football as a cross-divisional opponent: lose and it’s not an enormous setback in the SEC East, win and you do wonders early.
Week 3: at Vanderbilt – I put Tennessee’s two easiest games around two of their most difficult:
Week 4: Florida – The Gators maintain their traditional place on Tennessee’s schedule, and the healthy distance from the Georgia game the Vols would’ve enjoyed for the first time in 2020 anyway.
Week 5: bye – It may seem more advantageous to put the bye in the dead center of the schedule the following week, but I like it better here to do things this way:
Week 6: Alabama – The Vols retain their bye the week before the Crimson Tide come to Knoxville, and avoid whatever emotional response would come from winning or losing to the Gators in playing the following week.
Week 7: at Arkansas – What might be Tennessee’s easiest game on the schedule needs to surround one of their big three rivalries and preseason Top 10 games, so we’ve got Arkansas in the aftermath of Alabama, where it also serves as a nice buffer for…
Week 8: Texas A&M – Whatever you want to believe about the Aggies’ ceiling in preseason will surely be known by now, so you either get another marquee game or a frustrated squad with less to play for. Similar logic comes into play with:
Week 9: at South Carolina – I was tempted to make the Gamecocks Tennessee’s week one opponent, but you’d rather catch a potentially embattled coach later in the season when things might already be lost.
Week 10: Kentucky – As it originally existed on Tennessee’s schedule, this is the warm-up…
Week 11: at Georgia – …and this is the finisher. Having Georgia at the end could keep SEC East hopes alive throughout the season, just by having the possibility of an upset win in Athens on the table. Having spent our entire SEC East existence playing Florida (other than 2001) and Georgia in the first half of the season, we’re used to our fate being sealed by the second week of October. I hope the league office keeps the Dawgs at the end of our road; it’s an enticing option if they want to keep the Cocktail Party’s place in the order intact, and keep Alabama and Auburn on the final weekend. The Dawgs and Gators are used to facing key rivals this weekend anyway, so I’d love for Tennessee to get one of those Week 11 spots on their schedule.
Anything you’d most like to see when the schedule is released today?