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Updated GRT community win probabilities for Week 4

Ty Chandler

Below are the results from our survey of the GRT community on how last weekend impacted our collective expected win total for the Vols this season. We opened this week’s Win Probability Calculator for business on Sunday at noon, and the last entry was Tuesday. The room temperature was hottest Saturday night and cooled over the course of the week, so if temperature affects reporting of expectations, keep that in mind.

Here are this week’s results:

UMass GA SC AL KY So. Miss. MO LSU VU Total Wins
95% 36% 54% 8% 55% 85% 75% 44% 54% 7.06

 

Lots of 50/50 games in there in South Carolina, Kentucky, LSU, and Vanderbilt. Folks are considerably less confident in the Georgia game, but still think UMass, Southern Miss, and Missouri are safe. While adding up the percentages only equates to barely over seven wins, being right on each game would mean the Vols would win eight games, about what the fan base collectively expected before the season began.

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