Last week, our community projected the Vols to finish with 6.54 wins, just a hair down from the preseason total of 6.74 in preseason. That number was actually up from the week before (6.45), showing increased confidence in the Vols despite the loss at Alabama.
Considering our November schedule, the real difference between six and seven projected wins is what you think Tennessee will do on Saturday night in Lexington. Last week, our community gave Tennessee a 51.5% chance of victory in the Bluegrass, numbers similar to what we’ve seen against Ole Miss (47.2%), Missouri (52%), and Pittsburgh (49.2%). We thought those would be four toss-up-ish games in preseason, and they all felt about that way heading into kickoff.
But now, heading into this kickoff, Kentucky is fresh off a faceplant in Starkville.
So we’re running the machine again this week, to see how much more confident you’re feeling against the Wildcats. The Georgia number may change a bit as well after they stomped Florida, but we’ll worry about that next week.