2022 Expected Win Total Machine

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Spring practice is over, opening night is two days closer, and it’s a good time to break out the expected win total machine. Tennessee’s number one ranking in baseball will help these next 136 days from here to Ball State pass more quickly. But after spring practice is still a good time to take the temperature, a little more free from August’s optimism.

If you’re new to our site and/or the win total machine, enter the percentage chance you give Tennessee to win each game this fall. Your number against Ball State should be closer to 100; your number at Georgia should be closer to zero, though I’m curious to see how much distance we’re feeling from there this off-season. Enter all of your percentage guesses, and the win total machine will tell you how many regular season wins you expect from Tennessee this fall.

It’s one thing to say, “We’re going 9-3!” and believe these nine games are 100% wins and those three are 100% losses, which is never how it actually works. That’s why we love the honesty the win total machine brings out, providing an expectation that should be both healthier and closer to reality.

When you submit your totals, you’ll be part of our community expected win total. You can also leave your individual win totals in the comments below for conversation. We’ll check back in with some preliminary analysis as we go.

(If you have trouble with the table on your phone, try viewing the page in desktop mode)

Good luck and Go Vols.

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Harley
Harley
1 month ago

Mine came out to 8.3; think it is conservative.

Your expected win total is 8.3.Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 90%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 60%
at LSU: 60%
vs Alabama: 20%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 20%
vs Missouri: 60%
at South Carolina: 60%
at Vanderbilt: 95%

Go Vols!!

Tom Turley
Tom Turley
1 month ago

I came out at 7.8, which seemed surprisingly low. I expect the Vols to win at least eight games this year. My totals were as follows: vs Ball State: 95% at Pittsburgh: 45% vs Akron: 100% vs Florida: 60% at LSU: 55% vs Alabama: 25% vs UT-Martin: 100% vs Kentucky: 65% at Georgia: 15% vs Missouri: 70% at South Carolina: 50% at Vanderbilt: 95% Looks like my lower score than some is predicated on lacking confidence against Pittsburgh, LSU, and Sakarlina. From what little I’ve read, Pitt is supposed to be good even without Kenny Pickens, and I still have… Read more »

Tom Turley
Tom Turley
1 month ago
Reply to  Tom Turley

Pickett, of course, not Pickens.

Sam Hensley
Sam Hensley
1 month ago

Wow, I’m lower than I expected to be. I’ll start being more aggressive with these sorts of exercises after a few years of success in a row, I suppose. BVS
Your expected win total is 7.6.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 94%
at Pittsburgh: 70%
vs Akron: 97%
vs Florida: 45%
at LSU: 40%
vs Alabama: 15%
vs UT-Martin: 98%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 12%
vs Missouri: 70%
at South Carolina: 65%
at Vanderbilt: 90%

John Wilbanks
John Wilbanks
1 month ago

I’m at 7.7 which is lower than I expected. Will likely talk myself up to 9 by late Aug…

Last edited 1 month ago by John Wilbanks
HixsonVol
HixsonVol
1 month ago

I am sitting at 8.0 but I was not wearing my orange tinted glasses since I am at work.

Your expected win total is 8.0.
Your details:
vs Ball State: 100%
at Pittsburgh: 68%
vs Akron: 100%
vs Florida: 54%
at LSU: 50%
vs Alabama: 25%
vs UT-Martin: 100%
vs Kentucky: 55%
at Georgia: 25%
vs Missouri: 65%
at South Carolina: 65%
at Vanderbilt: 95%

OKVol
OKVol
1 month ago

This total is lower than I would have anticipated. But also seems like the right ballpark. Tennessee is way better than we were a few years back. But unfortunately, much of the SEC East is also on a slight upward swing. Would be interesting to compare the division through time using some rating stats.

Your expected win total is 7.6.Your details:
vs Ball State: 99%
at Pittsburgh: 60%
vs Akron: 99%
vs Florida: 55%
at LSU: 45%
vs Alabama: 10%
vs UT-Martin: 99%
vs Kentucky: 60%
at Georgia: 15%
vs Missouri: 65%
at South Carolina: 60%
at Vanderbilt: 90%

memphispete
memphispete
29 days ago

Bunch of Negative Nancies. I rolled at 12-0 because this is preseason and we are supposed to be about National Championship expectations here at Tennessee. How can anyone who is a True Vol Fan for Life ever give less than 100% at anything?! They can’t.

Brenna Russell
Brenna Russell
29 days ago

I’m at 8.7. Really looking forward to the season

HT
HT
23 days ago

Your expected win total is 7.2.Your details:
vs Ball State: 95%
at Pittsburgh: 47%
vs Akron: 95%
vs Florida: 30%
at LSU: 25%
vs Alabama: 1%
vs UT-Martin: 97%
vs Kentucky: 75%
at Georgia: 5%
vs Missouri: 80%
at South Carolina: 75%
at Vanderbilt: 90%